Thursday, January 07, 2010

Quick look at Start of Year

Here are a few quick snapshots of how my portfolio is doing. I am loving the transition to the mechanical approach, not only because it is doing well, but since I have more stocks, a blow-up like TSRA today doesn't kill me. Also, I am less tempted to micro-manage, which generally doesn't work well for me.

KHD was up another 8% today as the market seems to like their plan. PVSW was oddly up 10% as they "narrowed" their guidance (Pervasive Software Updates Guidance for the December Quarter). And BKE was up nicely as they had a solid December (The Buckle, Inc. Reports December 2009 Net Sales).

Here is my inception to date graph. Even without the 2 point error I found at year-end, I would still be above breakeven. I can't even begin to explain how good it feels to be in the black.


Then here is a little table I pulled together that shows inception to date by year-end and annual gains/losses. Note these may not always match the indices as they reflect when I invested the dollars.

MFI Annual Performance

ITD Annual
2006 10.74% 10.74%
2007 -6.57% -15.63%
2008 -41.60% -37.50%
2009 0.71% 72.47%
2010 4.71% 3.97%



IWV Annual Performance

ITD Annual
2006 11.23% 11.23%
2007 4.65% -5.91%
2008 -30.54% -33.63%
2009 -13.95% 23.87%
2010 -11.80% 2.50%

Then here is how my mechanical stocks have fared that are in my portfolio:

Still Own 1













Values



Symbol Date Bought Price Pct Gain IWV Gain Diff
AGX 10/22/2009 $12.31 $14.43 17.2% 4.6% 12.6%
AMED 9/8/2009 $35.86 $50.55 41.0% 11.2% 29.7%
BIOC 7/30/2009 $3.70 $4.30 16.2% 16.6% -0.4%
BKE 8/17/2009 $26.66 $32.34 28.8% 16.6% 12.2%
BR 7/30/2009 $16.53 $22.54 38.1% 16.6% 21.5%
CBI 7/30/2009 $13.62 $22.52 65.3% 16.6% 48.8%
CBPO 12/4/2009 $9.15 $12.80 39.9% 3.5% 36.4%
CEU 8/26/2009 $5.40 $7.15 32.4% 11.0% 21.4%
CMFO 10/30/2009 $4.30 $8.34 94.0% 10.8% 83.1%
CYTK 12/21/2009 $2.59 $3.12 20.5% 2.2% 18.2%
ESI 11/3/2009 $93.61 $102.47 9.5% 9.7% -0.3%
FRX 6/9/2009 $23.10 $31.37 35.8% 22.4% 13.4%
GIGM 7/27/2009 $5.02 $3.32 -33.9% 17.0% -50.9%
GTLS 8/27/2009 $19.50 $19.64 0.7% 11.0% -10.2%
HCKT 5/7/2009 $2.30 $2.67 16.1% 28.1% -11.9%
IDCC 11/17/2009 $23.62 $26.63 12.7% 3.2% 9.6%
JCOM 9/30/2009 $23.00 $20.39 -11.3% 7.9% -19.3%
JTX 6/29/2009 $5.55 $4.93 -11.1% 24.6% -35.7%

6/30/2009 $5.41 $4.93 -8.8% 25.3% -34.2%
PFE 6/9/2009 $14.13 $18.53 33.4% 22.4% 11.0%
PRIM 9/30/2009 $7.30 $7.73 6.2% 7.9% -1.7%
PVSW 8/18/2009 $4.96 $5.24 5.6% 15.5% -9.8%
QKLS 11/20/2009 $5.75 $6.83 18.8% 5.1% 13.7%
RGR 10/30/2009 $10.59 $10.47 -0.2% 10.8% -11.0%
RTN 7/27/2009 $45.61 $51.35 13.9% 17.0% -3.1%
SHE 1/5/2010 $5.31 $6.19 16.6% 0.5% 16.0%
UTA 5/29/2009 $7.90 $10.91 38.1% 25.5% 12.6%
WTW 9/21/2009 $26.00 $29.38 14.3% 6.6% 7.7%







Average Open


19.6% 13.2% 6.4%
Still Own 0













Values



Symbol Date Bought Sold Pct Gain IWV Gain Diff
AHCI 1/5/2009 $1.11 $1.73 55.9% 0.2% 55.7%
CKSW 1/5/2009 $1.99 $5.52 177.4% 26.7% ######
DBTK 3/16/2009 $6.70 $7.05 5.2% 14.7% -9.5%
DELL 2/23/2009 $8.55 $9.52 11.3% 6.5% 4.9%

2/27/2009 $8.66 $9.52 10.0% 7.4% 2.5%
FRX 6/9/2009 $23.10 $29.08 25.9% 11.1% 14.8%
GME 6/22/2009 $22.64 $25.76 13.8% 24.5% -10.7%

6/23/2009 $20.63 $22.65 9.8% 16.5% -6.7%
PFE 6/5/2009 $14.46 $16.27 13.6% 11.2% 2.4%
RST 5/7/2009 $29.72 $27.00 -9.2% 0.2% -9.3%

5/8/2010 $28.78 $27.00 -6.2% 0.2% -6.4%
SEPR 8/17/2009 $17.86 $23.09 29.3% 1.4% 27.9%
SOLR 2/23/2009 $4.70 $8.09 72.1% 6.5% 65.7%
UTA 6/23/2009 $8.37 $10.90 30.2% 2.7% 27.5%
VM 6/5/2009 $4.38 $5.18 18.3% 4.5% 13.8%

6/23/2009 $3.11 $4.33 39.2% 2.7% 36.5%

6/6/2009 $4.23 $5.18 22.5% 4.5% 18.0%














Average Closed


30.5% 8.3% 22.2%
Open and Closed

23.8% 11.4% 12.4%

Finally, here is my current holdings:

Stock Gain/Loss
WILC 192%
CMFO 94%
KHD 67%
CBI 65%
UEPS 58%
QXM 42%
AMED 41%
CBPO 40%
UTA 38%
BR 38%
FRX 36%
PFE 33%
CEU 32%
LIWA 32%
BKE 29%
ENDP 23%
CYTK 20%
QKLS 19%
AGX 17%
SHE 17%
BIOC 16%
HCKT 16%
WTW 14%
RTN 14%
IDCC 13%
ESI 9%
CF 8%
PRIM 6%
PVSW 6%
GTLS 1%
KSW 0%
RGR 0%
JTX -10%
WH -11%
JCOM -11%
QCOR -12%
TSRA -16%
GIGM -34%
CHCG -41%

2 comments:

Homer315 said...

Marsh, how are you deciding how much money to invest in any particular mechanical stock? What if there are five new ones every week for two months? Won't you run out of money to put to work unless you keep decreasing the amount you invest in any one particular stock?

Marsh_Gerda said...

It is a good question Al. I am still 20% in cash, so I am just putting in a constant amount. When I run out, I'll have to decide whether I can no longer add stocks or whether I divert $ from non MFI investing.