What a crummy week. I frankly am in no mood to talk about stocks. Just been such a struggle lately. I know it is a marathon, not a sprint. I know I am still a net buyer of stocks, so drops in prices right now are technically good for me. But there is something very depressing about seeing your net worth decrease.
The smartest thing I bought in the past two years was the most boring: NTC. I guess the takeaway is that boring can be good. I will continue to stay the course. I am buying BAC warrants on the dips and on the dips after the dips. I tell myself I will be happy in 2019 - but with less confidence than I felt two or three years ago.
MFI Select
| Date | Differential | MFI Value | R3K Value |
| 12/1/2012 | -2.20% | 99,765 | 101,965 |
| 1/1/2013 | -1.78% | 102,798 | 104,575 |
| 2/1/2013 | -2.26% | 102,594 | 104,856 |
| 3/1/2013 | -2.23% | 102,881 | 105,114 |
| 4/1/2013 | -0.43% | 106,804 | 107,234 |
| 5/1/2013 | 2.00% | 110,423 | 108,423 |
| 6/1/2013 | 4.75% | 115,831 | 111,085 |
| 7/1/2013 | 4.29% | 114,888 | 110,597 |
| 8/1/2013 | 6.91% | 124,799 | 117,889 |
| 9/1/2013 | 10.46% | 124,536 | 114,079 |
| 10/1/2013 | 19.67% | 138,655 | 118,990 |
| 11/1/2013 | 19.75% | 143,514 | 123,764 |
| 12/1/2013 | 23.70% | 150,105 | 126,405 |
| 1/1/2014 | 26.63% | 157,138 | 130,503 |
| 2/1/2014 | 24.70% | 150,619 | 125,918 |
| 3/1/2014 | 25.66% | 158,116 | 132,458 |
| 4/1/2014 | 30.38% | 162,991 | 132,616 |
| 5/1/2014 | 29.65% | 162,428 | 132,779 |
| 6/1/2014 | 31.44% | 167,001 | 135,559 |
| 7/1/2014 | 39.23% | 177,971 | 138,740 |
| 8/1/2014 | 31.13% | 167,054 | 135,922 |
| 9/1/2014 | 35.90% | 177,792 | 141,892 |
| 10/1/2014 | 29.38% | 168,321 | 138,944 |
| 11/1/2014 | 26.14% | 168,810 | 142,666 |
| 12/1/2014 | 30.22% | 176,420 | 146,198 |
| 1/1/2015 | 28.17% | 174,306 | 146,140 |
| 2/1/2015 | 20.63% | 162,833 | 142,201 |
| 3/1/2015 | 25.15% | 175,476 | 150,324 |
| 4/1/2015 | 29.95% | 178,565 | 148,612 |
| 5/1/2015 | 37.31% | 186,655 | 149,348 |
| 6/1/2015 | 51.53% | 202,897 | 151,371 |
| 7/1/2015 | 62.69% | 211,437 | 148,743 |
| 8/1/2015 | 40.75% | 192,117 | 151,369 |
| 9/1/2015 | 36.41% | 178,603 | 142,195 |
| 10/1/2015 | 43.12% | 181,175 | 138,052 |
| 11/1/2015 | 69.02% | 217,959 | 148,936 |
| 12/1/2015 | 73.49% | 223,435 | 149,946 |
| 1/1/2016 | 63.33% | 209,514 | 146,186 |
| 2/1/2016 | 49.49% | 187,428 | 137,934 |
| Current | 47.38% | 181,081 | 133,703 |
I am showing this table first. It is a bit of a puke table. On 12/1 I was at $223,435 - now I am $181,081. That is a 19% drop in 2+ months.
| 5/6/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| CBI | $50.38 | $36.96 | $0.14 | -26.4% | -10.2% |
| PSDV | $4.12 | $3.38 | $0.00 | -18.1% | -10.2% |
| TSRA | $38.94 | $27.61 | $0.60 | -27.6% | -10.2% |
| KORS | $62.24 | $51.84 | $0.00 | -16.7% | -10.2% |
| DEPO | $23.50 | $16.14 | $0.00 | -31.3% | -10.2% |
| Totals | -24.0% | -10.2% | |||
| 8/17/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| VDSI | $18.66 | $14.88 | $0.00 | -20.3% | -10.8% |
| SALE | $9.34 | $8.48 | $0.00 | -9.2% | -10.8% |
| CSCO | $28.95 | $22.89 | $0.42 | -19.5% | -10.8% |
| TGNA | $25.30 | $23.02 | $0.28 | -7.9% | -10.8% |
| HSII | $20.14 | $22.22 | $0.26 | 11.6% | -10.8% |
| Totals | -9.0% | -10.8% | |||
| 11/15/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| LCI | $34.01 | $24.82 | - | -27.0% | -8.8% |
| SAVE | $34.48 | $42.43 | - | 23.1% | -8.8% |
| PPC | $18.98 | $22.25 | - | 17.2% | -8.8% |
| VEC | $23.60 | $18.05 | - | -23.5% | -8.8% |
| VNCE | $3.99 | $4.66 | - | 16.8% | -8.8% |
| Totals | 1.3% | -8.8% | |||
| 2/1/2016 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| VEC | $19.64 | $18.05 | - | -8.1% | -3.1% |
| QCOM | $45.18 | $44.02 | - | -2.6% | -3.1% |
| PERI | $2.45 | $2.20 | - | -10.2% | -3.1% |
| DEPO | $15.34 | $16.14 | - | 5.2% | -3.1% |
| TDC | $24.02 | $23.54 | - | -2.0% | -3.1% |
| Totals | -3.5% | -3.1% |
You can see my portfolio I started this week is stumbling out of the gate, down 3.5%. But I suppose I should feel lucky. The tracking portfolio I started over the weekend is down 3.6%.
MFI Formula
All I will say is that I am outperforming on a relative basis, but that does not make me happy.
| Date | Differential | Value | R3K Value |
| 10/1/2014 | 0.00% | 100,000 | 100,000 |
| 11/1/2014 | 1.63% | 102,288 | 100,658 |
| 12/1/2014 | 0.30% | 101,375 | 101,075 |
| 1/1/2015 | -0.33% | 100,664 | 100,995 |
| 2/1/2015 | 1.67% | 101,281 | 99,611 |
| 3/1/2015 | 3.62% | 106,073 | 102,454 |
| 4/1/2015 | 5.09% | 106,781 | 101,695 |
| 5/1/2015 | 5.78% | 107,859 | 102,077 |
| 6/1/2015 | 5.08% | 108,213 | 103,134 |
| 7/1/2015 | 4.82% | 106,423 | 101,604 |
| 8/1/2015 | 3.71% | 107,112 | 103,404 |
| 9/1/2015 | 4.38% | 101,523 | 97,139 |
| 10/1/2015 | 6.39% | 100,703 | 94,312 |
| 11/1/2015 | 2.93% | 104,835 | 101,907 |
| 12/1/2015 | -3.48% | 99,443 | 102,926 |
| 1/1/2016 | -3.36% | 96,830 | 100,193 |
| 2/1/2016 | -0.72% | 93,797 | 94,319 |
| Current | 1.17% | 92,791 | 91,430 |
| 3/31/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| HRB | $31.99 | $34.98 | $0.60 | 11.2% | -10.3% |
| GME | $37.69 | $26.83 | $1.08 | -25.9% | -10.3% |
| KING | $15.85 | $17.95 | $0.00 | 13.2% | -10.3% |
| NSU | $3.43 | $2.91 | $0.12 | -11.7% | -10.3% |
| PPC | $22.65 | $22.25 | $0.00 | -1.8% | -10.3% |
| Totals | -3.0% | -10.3% | |||
| 7/1/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| BKE | $46.45 | $28.12 | $1.71 | -35.8% | -10.3% |
| CA | $29.34 | $28.32 | $0.50 | -1.8% | -10.3% |
| MSFT | $44.42 | $50.16 | $0.67 | 14.4% | -10.3% |
| QCOM | $62.95 | $44.02 | $0.96 | -28.5% | -10.3% |
| VIAB | $64.75 | $43.24 | $0.80 | -32.0% | -10.3% |
| Totals | -16.7% | -10.3% | |||
| 10/1/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| BKE | $36.83 | $28.12 | $1.48 | -19.6% | -3.8% |
| IQNT | $21.96 | $17.27 | $0.15 | -20.7% | -3.8% |
| QCOM | $53.45 | $44.02 | $0.48 | -16.7% | -3.8% |
| CSCO | $26.37 | $22.89 | $0.42 | -11.6% | -3.8% |
| CA | $27.30 | $28.32 | $0.25 | 4.7% | -3.8% |
| Totals | -12.8% | -3.8% | |||
| 12/31/15 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| BBY | $30.31 | $28.20 | $0.00 | -7.0% | -9.0% |
| GME | $28.34 | $26.83 | $0.00 | -5.3% | -9.0% |
| IILG | $15.89 | $11.46 | $0.00 | -27.9% | -9.0% |
| PPC | $22.22 | $22.25 | $0.00 | 0.2% | -9.0% |
| VIAB | $40.93 | $43.24 | $0.00 | 5.7% | -9.0% |
| Totals | -6.9% | -9.0% |
MFI Micro
Little to crow about here.
| 8/28/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| VNCE | $8.50 | $4.66 | $0.00 | -45.2% | -6.2% |
| ONE | $1.99 | $3.36 | $0.00 | 68.8% | -6.2% |
| TPUB | $11.60 | $7.77 | $0.18 | -31.5% | -6.2% |
| LQDT | $7.26 | $4.69 | $0.00 | -35.5% | -6.2% |
| PERI | $2.45 | $2.20 | $0.00 | -10.2% | -6.2% |
| Totals | -10.7% | -6.2% | |||
| 12/15/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| MGIC | $5.38 | $5.43 | $0.00 | 0.9% | -8.7% |
| BSQR | $6.00 | $5.51 | $0.00 | -8.2% | -8.7% |
| SPCB | $4.52 | $5.20 | $0.00 | 15.0% | -8.7% |
| WLDN | $8.64 | $7.90 | $0.00 | -8.6% | -8.7% |
| MNDO | $2.58 | $2.30 | $0.00 | -10.9% | -8.7% |
| Totals | - | -2.3% | -8.7% |
TPUB suspended their dividend and LQDT had piss-poor earnings.
Dividend Stocks
| Div and Warrants | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | Pct Gain Last Week | Year End 2015 |
| BAC-WTA | $5.20 | $3.75 | $0.00 | -27.9% | -27.5% | -3.6% |
| AOD | $7.65 | $6.95 | $1.19 | 6.3% | 8.5% | 15.3% |
| JQC | $7.82 | $7.47 | $0.10 | -3.1% | -2.6% | 0.9% |
| CSQ | $9.04 | $8.64 | $1.50 | 12.1% | 14.9% | 27.3% |
| NTC | $12.06 | $12.89 | $1.29 | 17.6% | 17.0% | 16.1% |
| TGONF | $10.24 | $9.10 | $1.19 | 0.5% | 1.5% | 8.3% |
| HIG-WT | $21.24 | $33.06 | $0.00 | 55.7% | 52.6% | 72.9% |
| O | $22.83 | $55.89 | $17.96 | 223.5% | 223.1% | 205.7% |
| OIBAX | $5.05 | $5.51 | $2.16 | 52.0% | 51.6% | 51.9% |
| SJT | $8.79 | $4.66 | $0.16 | -45.1% | -27.4% | -51.6% |
| REXI | $5.59 | $4.54 | $0.07 | -17.6% | -20.8% | -2.8% |
| Totals | -3.8% | 0.5% | 6.2% |
Look at SJT. Last week it was down "just" 27.4%. Now off 45%. That is falling off the proverbial table. You can see my hero, NTC. Perhaps the tortoise, but seems to be winning the race.
Posts
No comments:
Post a Comment