Sunday, May 03, 2015

Back Home! Top 200 List and Other Thoughts

Back In The Nutmeg State

Got back home about 4pm on Saturday. Just in time to see my son and his date off to the prom. They looked great together.  Funny story, I was talking with the mother and found out she grew up in my home town (Bloomington, Indiana) until age 5, when she moved to Connecticut.  Small world after all.

Top 200 List

Here is a top 200 list as of May 1st.  I wanted to create it to help me with my decision on upcomin tranche this week:

Ticker Rank  Stock Price  Market Cap Earnings Yield ROIC Dividend Yield
PDLI 1           6.87        1,167 34% 843% 8.60%
PERI 2           3.45            253 43% 693% 0.00%
DEPO 3         23.55        1,870 16% 3136% 0.00%
CALL 4           6.53            117 23% 450% 0.00%
AGX 5         32.02            475 16% 784% 0.00%
CTCM 6           3.42            534 31% 301% 16.60%
KING 7         15.85        5,105 18% 380% 0.00%
PSDV 8           4.02            118 13% 3938% 0.00%
RPXC 9         15.57            859 12% 1813% 0.00%
VEC 10         25.61            274 14% 502% 0.00%
SJT 11         11.03            514 12% 1117% 2.70%
KZ 12           6.73            314 13% 320% 0.00%
GAME 13           6.87        1,863 11% 873% 0.00%
JOE 14         17.32        1,599 30% 152% 0.00%
HLF 15         41.62        3,559 16% 191% 0.00%
ANTM 16      153.23      42,966 12% 287% 1.60%
HRB 17         31.55        8,682 12% 342% 2.50%
WTW 18           8.60            488 11% 417% 0.00%
IDCC 19         55.22        2,091 10% 1370% 1.60%
TSRA 20         36.97        1,981 10% 1365% 2.00%
TNH 21      136.78        2,530 15% 143% 6.80%
GME 22         39.17        4,289 15% 139% 3.70%
ENTA 23         35.48            684 16% 118% 0.00%
CPLA 24         53.93            673 12% 176% 2.20%
NATH 25         42.00            193 12% 159% 0.00%
LQDT 26           9.30            278 16% 110% 0.00%
HNT 27         52.87        4,202 10% 379% 0.00%
HUM 28      166.36      25,345 12% 193% 0.60%
NLNK 29         46.16        1,447 9% 1127% 0.00%
NSR 30         29.89        1,699 13% 133% 0.00%
XENE 31         13.48            183 10% 449% 0.00%
IQNT 32         18.89            642 12% 149% 3.70%
AET 33      108.47      38,257 10% 668% 0.90%
STRA 34         50.68            544 16% 99% 0.00%
SGU 35           7.43            426 17% 93% 4.70%
CRT 36         22.73            136 11% 159% 7.30%
PFMT 37           2.97            147 15% 99% 0.00%
IRS 38         18.14        1,030 9% 527% 1.20%
BKE 39         45.75        2,204 13% 111% 1.80%
ADMS 40         16.86            328 9% 1508% 0.00%
GORO 41           3.40            187 20% 79% 3.50%
CLCT 42         23.12            197 9% 707% 6.20%
PETS 43         15.70            317 11% 141% 4.10%
PBI 44         22.83        4,627 10% 150% 3.20%
WLKP 45         28.49            723 71% 67% 4.10%
ONE 46           2.85            136 16% 77% 0.00%
PPC 47         25.08        6,509 20% 69% 0.00%
CSCO 48         29.13    150,311 9% 342% 3.00%
KFY 49         31.84        1,583 10% 201% 1.20%
QCOM 50         68.42    114,056 9% 339% 2.80%
APOL 51         16.84        1,821 20% 67% 0.00%
CPHR 52         10.20            272 8% 827% 0.00%
HPQ 53         33.80      62,902 13% 83% 2.20%
EGL 54         27.32            494 12% 84% 0.00%
CA 55         31.85      14,046 9% 460% 3.10%
UIS 56         21.63        1,078 13% 80% 0.00%
UBNT 57         28.24        2,534 9% 218% 0.60%
SMT 58           1.17            148 27% 62% 0.00%
ASPS 59         25.14            528 14% 74% 0.00%
BRCD 60         11.65        5,116 11% 110% 1.20%
APEI 61         27.68            480 17% 64% 0.00%
LBMH 62           2.93            157 9% 219% 3.70%
BCOR 63         15.36            627 9% 211% 0.00%
CSIQ 64         36.08        2,172 17% 63% 0.00%
SPOK 65         18.05            398 9% 171% 2.40%
KORS 66         62.55      12,863 10% 101% 0.00%
SAIC 67         50.50        2,404 9% 154% 2.20%
NHTC 68         22.62            289 8% 4374% 0.40%
FENG 69           7.18            535 12% 74% 0.00%
GIB 70         42.23      13,637 8% 335% 0.00%
ATAI 71           4.33              99 12% 69% 8.90%
LCI 72         58.99        2,187 10% 105% 0.00%
BBY 73         35.18      12,531 14% 59% 2.40%
VNCE 74         18.57            709 9% 158% 0.00%
ITRN 75         22.81            478 10% 92% 5.60%
UEPS 76         13.89            640 18% 55% 0.00%
PLOW 77         22.05            490 12% 68% 3.90%
VIA 78         68.62      27,620 8% 230% 1.90%
AAPL 79      128.95    752,405 8% 317% 1.50%
ECYT 80           5.88            245 8% 263% 0.00%
NRCIA 81         14.55            358 8% 233% 1.70%
LO 82         69.74      25,100 8% 720% 3.80%
NEWT 83         17.05            150 8% 2221% 9.00%
VIAB 84         69.17      27,841 8% 230% 1.90%
EME 85         44.69        2,900 10% 90% 0.70%
COH 86         37.87      10,505 10% 104% 3.20%
SLI 87         42.32            178 14% 57% 0.00%
REX 88         63.01            502 29% 50% 0.00%
RTN 89      105.08      32,428 9% 113% 2.50%
NOK 90           6.50      25,728 8% 211% 2.10%
TDC 91         45.01        6,936 8% 303% 0.00%
HSII 92         24.09            447 9% 100% 2.10%
HGT 93           4.93            197 23% 50% 3.80%
SAFM 94         75.27        1,698 28% 49% 1.10%
LEE 95           3.07            166 11% 67% 0.00%
CRWN 96           3.87        1,392 10% 90% 0.00%
SFUN 97           8.29        3,780 9% 142% 5.40%
GPS 98         40.16      17,188 12% 60% 2.20%
ETM 99         11.72            454 10% 90% 0.00%
ANIK 100         34.06            522 11% 73% 0.00%
TIME 101         22.90        2,519 9% 93% 3.40%
AVP 102           8.16        3,547 14% 54% 2.90%
ORCL 103         44.37    199,399 8% 446% 1.40%
MGIC 104           6.46            287 9% 90% 2.40%
BBX 105         17.26            279 25% 47% 0.00%
CSC 106         65.23        9,174 12% 60% 1.40%
VGR 107         22.02        2,268 8% 241% 7.20%
TSQ 108         13.55            226 11% 68% 0.00%
MAN 109         85.03        6,768 11% 64% 1.20%
NUS 110         58.55        3,539 12% 61% 2.30%
LYB 111      104.50      50,265 12% 55% 3.10%
GD 112      140.14      46,902 9% 122% 2.10%
KLIC 113         15.46        1,197 16% 49% 0.00%
LE 114         29.46            944 12% 59% 0.00%
NSU 115           4.02            810 54% 44% 4.40%
USNA 116      115.66        1,494 8% 163% 0.00%
STRZB 117         39.19        4,170 9% 123% 0.00%
MED 118         30.78            375 9% 84% 0.00%
POZN 119           8.02            267 7% 656% 0.00%
MSFT 120         48.66    400,771 8% 195% 3.00%
RMAX 121         33.69            413 7% 1436% 1.50%
NVMI 122         11.18            307 9% 89% 0.00%
STRZA 123         39.87        4,242 8% 123% 0.00%
ALDW 124         19.70        1,231 14% 49% 15.70%
WINA 125         90.01            465 8% 304% 0.30%
OMC 126         76.75      18,988 8% 266% 2.60%
GRMN 127         45.43        8,738 9% 79% 4.10%
EVOL 128           9.35            112 9% 110% 4.60%
DNB 129      127.93        4,644 7% 1620% 1.40%
TARO 130      142.99        6,125 9% 94% 0.00%
BAH 131         27.82        4,192 8% 150% 1.80%
MYGN 132         33.29        2,510 8% 157% 0.00%
SNDK 133         68.47      15,341 9% 101% 1.80%
OUTR 134         68.33        1,275 11% 57% 1.80%
DISCK 135         30.47      20,293 8% 184% 0.00%
NOC 136      156.01      31,280 9% 102% 1.70%
EMR 137         59.33      41,217 10% 73% 3.30%
IBM 138      173.67    172,333 9% 89% 2.70%
CATO 139         39.58        1,083 11% 59% 3.10%
LEJU 140         10.10        1,389 8% 269% 9.20%
BBBY 141         71.41      12,721 12% 53% 0.00%
PEIX 142         12.23            301 31% 41% 0.00%
NCIT 143         10.03            136 10% 59% 0.00%
SYMC 144         25.14      17,519 8% 126% 2.50%
ROK 145      120.52      16,391 8% 182% 2.30%
STV 146           4.26            265 11% 53% 0.00%
CPSI 147         53.51            591 8% 112% 4.80%
WNR 148         45.42        4,459 19% 41% 3.00%
CHE 149      116.51        2,035 8% 131% 0.70%
KBSF 150           6.17            157 17% 42% 0.00%
CHKE 151         21.49            187 8% 214% 1.00%
WCG 152         78.02        3,450 9% 85% 0.00%
PM 153         83.39    129,088 8% 210% 5.10%
NTAP 154         36.69      11,634 9% 78% 1.80%
CTG 155           8.20            131 18% 41% 3.00%
FOSL 156         83.75        4,296 12% 48% 0.00%
FL 157         60.28        8,698 10% 57% 1.60%
ACN 158         93.36      63,407 7% 583% 2.20%
LOGI 159         15.03        2,502 8% 136% 2.00%
MRVL 160         14.30        7,466 9% 83% 1.60%
CR 161         61.77        3,638 10% 63% 2.10%
ATVI 162         23.05      16,803 7% 754% 1.00%
TPUB 163         17.42            448 12% 47% 3.60%
DISCB 164         32.22      21,459 8% 184% 0.00%
IPG 165         21.01        8,637 8% 149% 2.20%
MIXT 166           7.03            226 9% 77% 0.00%
GHM 167         23.18            235 11% 53% 1.30%
IBA 168         53.80        2,688 21% 39% 0.00%
MLHR 169         27.54        1,655 10% 61% 2.00%
TRW 170      105.05      11,734 11% 51% 0.00%
NTI 171         25.59        2,365 11% 51% 8.10%
MIK 172         26.10        5,429 8% 105% 0.00%
DISCA 173         32.74      21,805 7% 184% 0.00%
LMT 174      189.00      60,518 8% 109% 3.00%
XLNX 175         43.98      11,852 8% 143% 2.90%
RECN 176         16.08            616 9% 61% 1.80%
CO 177           6.36            464 15% 40% 0.00%
PME 178           2.16            171 29% 37% 2.10%
KEYS 179         33.68        5,726 9% 65% 0.00%
NVDA 180         22.75      12,662 8% 100% 1.50%
HI 181         29.16        1,863 9% 64% 2.60%
SYNT 182         45.17        3,800 8% 100% 0.00%
MAG 183         39.03            138 9% 66% 0.00%
THO 184         60.85        3,253 9% 64% 1.70%
CALM 185         45.39        2,199 11% 47% 3.60%
NOV 186         54.73      22,385 15% 39% 3.50%
NTCT 187         41.61        1,728 7% 456% 0.00%
RGR 188         54.58        1,052 9% 60% 1.40%
TJX 189         65.55      45,618 8% 90% 1.20%
MDP 190         51.88        2,355 8% 112% 3.30%
MO 191         50.66      99,598 7% 395% 4.10%
PCAR 192         65.57      23,349 12% 42% 1.40%
BPI 193           8.73            396 13% 40% 0.00%
DOX 194         54.52        8,579 7% 160% 1.30%
TKC 195         11.05        9,724 16% 36% 15.90%
HIBB 196         46.94        1,183 11% 46% 0.00%
CEL 197           4.58            467 16% 36% 0.00%
CRESY 198         13.03            654 11% 44% 0.00%
MKSI 199         35.32        1,891 10% 50% 2.00%
DV 200         30.06        1,962 13% 39% 1.00%


Then here are actual top 50 against my list:

Ticker Mkt Cap Date My Ranking Price EY ROIC
ACHI 530 1-May #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
ADMS 296 1-May 40       16.86 9% 1508%
APEI 474 1-May 61       27.68 17% 64%
APOL 1,812 1-May 51       16.84 20% 67%
AGX 472 1-May 5       32.02 16% 784%
BBY 12,355 1-May 73       35.18 14% 59%
HRB 8,684 1-May 17       31.55 12% 342%
BRCD 4,935 1-May 60       11.65 11% 110%
BKE 2,208 1-May 39       45.75 13% 111%
CA 13,960 1-May 55       31.85 9% 460%
CPLA 654 1-May 24       53.93 12% 176%
CSCO 148,767 1-May 48       29.13 9% 342%
CLCT 207 1-May 42       23.12 9% 707%
DEPO 1,415 1-May 3       23.55 16% 3136%
DHX 400 1-May #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
ENTA 653 1-May 23       35.48 16% 118%
EGL 490 1-May 54       27.32 12% 84%
FLR 8,627 1-May #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
GME 4,219 1-May 22       39.17 15% 139%
GORO 187 1-May 41          3.40 20% 79%
HPQ 61,584 1-May 53       33.80 13% 83%
ONE 138 1-May 46          2.85 16% 77%
IQNT 646 1-May 32       18.89 12% 149%
IDCC 2,005 1-May 19       55.22 10% 1370%
KING 5,119 1-May 7       15.85 18% 380%
KFY 1,605 1-May 49       31.84 10% 201%
LQDT 277 1-May 26          9.30 16% 110%
MSB 204 1-May #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A
KORS 12,574 1-May 66       62.55 10% 101%
NATH 189 1-May 25       42.00 12% 159%
NSR 1,658 1-May 30       29.89 13% 133%
NSU 799 1-May 115          4.02 54% 44%
NLNK 1,305 1-May 29       46.16 9% 1127%
PDLI 1,107 1-May 1          6.87 34% 843%
PFMT 144 1-May 37          2.97 15% 99%
PETS 321 1-May 43       15.70 11% 141%
PPC 6,590 1-May 47       25.08 20% 69%
PBI 4,589 1-May 44       22.83 10% 150%
PSDV 117 1-May 8          4.02 13% 3938%
QCOM 111,730 1-May 50       68.42 9% 339%
RPXC 863 1-May 9       15.57 12% 1813%
SAIC 2,331 1-May 67       50.50 9% 154%
STRA 550 1-May 34       50.68 16% 99%
TSRA 1,959 1-May 20       36.97 10% 1365%
UBNT 2,512 1-May 57       28.24 9% 218%
UIS 1,086 1-May 56       21.63 13% 80%
VEC 268 1-May 10       25.61 14% 502%
VIAB 27,467 1-May 84       69.17 8% 230%
VNCE 682 1-May 74       18.57 9% 158%
WTW 485 1-May 18          8.60 11% 417%

Interesting that I had more flame outs that usual. Both DHX and ACHI show goose eggs in Fidelity. FLR just reported Thursday night, so that could be a timing issue. MSB has been a problem for quite a few months.

My Tranche

Here are the five stocks I am leaning towards:
  1. MNDO
  2. DEPO
  3. HPQ
  4. PSDV
  5. KORS
A couple of smaller cap stocks in there. I could also be convinced on UBNT, CBI, ASPS and PERI.  We shall see.

MFI Index in 2015

MFI has struggled in 2015.  Here is a look at the 50 stocks in my index since the start of the year in the 2nd quarter:

Index Stock Start 31-Mar Current YTD Change Q2 Change
1   ADMS      17.37         17.49         16.89 -2.8% -3.4%
2   AFOP      14.51         17.42         18.42 26.9% 5.7%
3   ANIK      40.74         41.17         34.84 -14.5% -15.4%
4   APOL      34.11         18.92         16.84 -50.6% -11.0%
5   AGX      33.64         36.17         32.24 -4.2% -10.9%
6   AVID      14.21         14.90         16.22 14.1% 8.9%
7   AWRE         4.54           4.39            4.14 -8.8% -5.7%
8   BCOR      13.85         13.66         15.55 12.3% 13.8%
9   BKE      52.52         54.09         48.86 -7.0% -9.7%
10   CA      30.45         32.86         32.10 5.4% -2.3%
11   CSCO      27.82         27.72         29.53 6.2% 6.5%
12   COH      37.56         41.77         38.21 1.7% -8.5%
13   DLX      62.25         69.58         65.79 5.7% -5.4%
14   DEPO      16.11         22.41         23.86 48.1% 6.5%
15   EBIX      16.99         30.46         28.04 65.0% -7.9%
16   FLR      60.63         57.37         58.91 -2.8% 2.7%
17   GME      33.80         38.32         39.53 17.0% 3.2%
18   GORO         3.38           3.22            3.49 3.3% 8.4%
19   ONE         4.21           2.42            2.90 -31.1% 19.8%
20   IQNT      19.63         15.89         19.40 -1.2% 22.1%
21   IDCC      52.90         50.94         56.22 6.3% 10.4%
22   IILG      20.89         26.33         25.20 20.6% -4.3%
23   ITRN      22.04         22.33         23.19 5.2% 3.9%
24   KING      15.36         16.98         16.84 9.6% -0.8%
25   LCI      42.88         67.71         59.52 38.8% -12.1%
26   LFVN         1.30           0.79            0.77 -40.4% -1.9%
27   LQDT         8.17           9.88            9.26 13.3% -6.3%
28   MSB      17.28         13.97         16.16 -6.5% 15.7%
29   NHTC      11.45         17.92         22.90 100.0% 27.8%
30   NSR      27.80         24.62         30.10 8.3% 22.3%
31   NUS      43.70         60.56         59.26 35.6% -2.1%
32   PDLI         7.71           7.04            7.02 -8.9% 0.0%
33   PFMT         6.65           3.40            2.92 -56.1% -14.1%
34   PETS      14.37         16.69         15.99 11.3% -4.2%
35   PBI      24.37         23.51         23.02 -5.5% -2.1%
36   RPXC      13.78         14.39         15.27 10.8% 6.1%
37   SPOK      17.36         19.30         18.52 6.7% -4.0%
38   STRA      74.28         53.41         50.40 -32.1% -5.6%
39   RGR      34.63         49.63         54.86 58.4% 10.5%
40   TTWO      28.03         25.46         24.36 -13.1% -4.3%
41   TDC      43.68         44.14         45.01 3.0% 2.0%
42   TZOO      12.62           9.64         13.62 7.9% 41.3%
43   TPUB      22.90         19.40         17.54 -23.4% -9.6%
44   UBNT      29.64         29.55         28.60 -3.5% -3.2%
45   UIS      29.48         23.21         21.86 -25.8% -5.8%
46   USNA    102.59      111.12       120.23 17.2% 8.2%
47   VEC      27.40         25.49         25.60 -6.6% 0.4%
48   VIAB      75.25         68.63         69.50 -7.6% 1.3%
49   WTW      24.84           6.99            8.55 -65.6% 22.3%
50   WILN         2.99           2.51            2.47 -17.4% -1.6%
Total    19,816      19,969       20,304 2.5% 1.7%

So up 2.5% for the year and 1.7% since March 31st.  All over the map. WTW and TZOO were terrible in the 1st quarter, but great thus far in 2nd quarter. Sometimes it pays to pick a loser.

The Russell 3000 is up 3.2%, so MFI is trailing.  The real loser has been GARIX, which is Gotham Fund that is long/short by Greenblatt.  It is down 1.65%.

New Computer?

My Lenovo X220 is about to hit 4 years pretty soon.  I am thinking about an upgrade; although this one does still work quite well.  Just some are out now that have such a stunning battery life, are lighter, have the touch screen and more memory on SSD.  The Dell XPS 13 actually has gotten rave reviews.  Maybe an early Father's Day gift...

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