Friday, January 04, 2013

New Year Starts With A Bang

2013 Starts Off Well

It was a great week to be long in the stock market.  I think I saw where it was the best week since December 2011.  I am sure glad (whew) I sold my SDS last week.  I guess there was pent-up Fiscal Cliff relief.  Doesn't always have to be rational.  I was speaking with a colleague and he thinks 2013 will be a good year for the market because other options (such as Bonds) are so poor.  Could be some logic in that, I saw our friends at GS essentially said the same thing (Why Goldman Thinks You Should Dump Bonds Now).

Fans of MFI will be pleased to know the method is off to a good start. Perhaps for-education stocks can only go so low.  Here is how my Index did the first 3 trading days:


Stock Start Last Month Current YTD Change
APOL      20.92         20.92         22.03 5.3%
AGX      18.00         18.00         19.00 5.6%
BAH      13.92         13.92         14.86 6.8%
CA      21.98         21.98         23.05 4.9%
CPLA      28.23         28.23         29.83 5.7%
CF    203.16      203.16       210.88 3.8%
CSCO      19.65         19.65         20.48 4.2%
DELL      10.14         10.14         10.97 8.2%
DLX      32.24         32.24         33.22 3.0%
DMRC      20.70         20.70         21.59 4.3%
DLB      29.33         29.33         30.44 3.8%
GME      25.09         25.09         24.80 -1.2%
GNI      67.20         67.20         71.00 5.7%
GTAT         3.03           3.03            3.45 13.9%
HLF      32.94         32.94         37.00 12.3%
HFC      46.55         46.55         44.35 -4.7%
IDCC      41.09         41.09         44.12 7.4%
INTX         9.48           9.48         10.27 8.3%
ESI      17.31         17.31         19.29 11.4%
JCOM      30.60         30.60         31.88 4.2%
KLIC      11.99         11.99         12.40 3.4%
LPS      24.62         24.62         25.49 3.5%
MANT      25.94         25.94         27.02 4.2%
MSFT      26.71         26.71         26.74 0.1%
NATR      14.48         14.48         15.41 6.4%
NSU         4.28           4.28            4.26 -0.5%
NTI      25.44         25.44         24.62 -3.2%
NUS      37.05         37.05         41.17 11.1%
PDLI         7.04           7.04            7.39 5.0%
PETS      11.10         11.10         11.40 2.7%
PBI      10.64         10.64         11.37 6.9%
POOSF         1.42           1.42            1.45 2.7%
POZN         5.01           5.01            5.19 3.6%
QCOR      26.72         26.72         26.11 -2.3%
RTN      57.56         57.56         59.01 2.5%
RPXC         9.04           9.04         10.04 11.1%
SAI      11.32         11.32         11.82 4.4%
STX      30.42         30.42         31.45 3.4%
SVLC         2.52           2.52            2.63 4.4%
SAVE      17.73         17.73         18.10 2.1%
STRA      56.17         56.17         60.86 8.3%
TNAV         7.99           7.99            7.96 -0.4%
TZOO      18.99         18.99         19.07 0.4%
UIS      17.30         17.30         17.93 3.6%
USMO      11.68         11.68         11.65 -0.3%
USNA      32.93         32.93         35.71 8.4%
EGY         8.65           8.65            8.99 3.9%
VCI      25.78         25.78         26.82 4.0%
VG         2.37           2.37            2.38 0.4%
WCRX      12.04         12.04         12.86 6.8%
Total    11,656      11,656       12,168 4.4%

I think 4.4% in three days is pretty solid, Russell 3000 was up like 2.8%.  My portfolios were also off to a decent start.  Here is my dividend portfolio:


Stock Start Last Week Current QTD Change
AAPL         532.17             532.17           527.00 -1.0%
BHK           14.90               14.90              15.38 3.2%
CIM              2.61                  2.61                2.73 4.6%
CSCO           19.65               19.65              20.48 4.2%
CSQ              9.81                  9.81              10.15 3.5%
FCX           34.20               34.20              35.49 3.8%
FSC           10.42               10.42              10.85 4.1%
HFC           46.55               46.55              44.35 -4.7%
INTC           20.62               20.62              21.16 2.6%
JPM           43.97               44.27              45.66 3.8%
JQC              9.65                  9.65                9.87 2.3%
KMF           28.79               28.79              29.17 1.3%
MPC           63.00               63.00              62.55 -0.7%
O           40.21               40.21              41.33 2.8%
OIBAX              6.58                  6.58                6.57 -0.2%
PGR           21.10               21.10              22.27 5.5%
PRE           80.49               80.49              82.89 3.0%
PVD         104.00             104.00           108.26 4.1%
SAI           11.32               11.32              11.82 4.4%
SLCA           16.73               16.73              17.15 2.5%
STO           25.04               25.04              25.46 1.7%
VIVHY           22.81               22.81              21.99 -3.6%
Totals


2.0%

Then my MFI portfolio was up 2.45%.  Finally, my alternatives are off to a strong start.  GNW is up 10.2%, SD was up 3% and GLRE was the laggard at flat.


August 15 Tranche  









Stock Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
DLB $34.43 $30.44 $4.00 0.0% 6.2%
KFY $13.98 $16.16 $0.00 15.6% 6.2%
MSFT $30.19 $26.74 $0.23 -10.7% 6.2%
NSU $3.62 $4.26 $0.05 19.2% 6.2%
UIS $19.96 $17.93 $0.00 -10.2% 6.2%
Totals


2.8% 6.2%






November 15 Tranche  









Stock Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
AAPL $537.62 $527.00 $0.00 -2.0% 9.4%
ABC $40.21 $43.69 $0.00 8.7% 9.4%
LPS $23.89 $25.49 $0.10 7.1% 9.4%
VIAB $49.12 $57.51 $0.28 17.6% 9.4%
WU $12.77 $14.02 $0.13 10.8% 9.4%
Totals


8.4% 9.4%

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