Saturday, February 04, 2012

Super Bowl Weekend Update

Super Bowl Weekend

It is pretty funny living in Connecticut. We are about equidistant between New York and Boston so the fans are pretty evenly split between Giants and Patriots. As a Cowboys fan, I have to say I am not fond of either team. I will simply root for an exciting game.

Portfolio Update

My Dividend Portfolio continues to outperform. It has beaten the Russell 3000 by about three points and has been relatively steady. I did have some happenings over this week.

  1. STD reported earnings. I ended up selling them as they had a bit of a pop and I am tired of the unknowns regarding Europe exposure. If they come back down to the low 7s, I might buy back in.
  2. AZN reported earnings and announced major layoffs (AstraZeneca Plans to Cut 7,300 Jobs). They are going to have $1.95 dividend in mid-February (it was $1.85 last year). The stock is not exactly a growth stock, but I will likely hold for another year.
  3. PRE announced a dividend hike (PartnerRe increases quarterly common share dividend by 3% to $0.62 from $0.60 per share), which is always music to my ears.
  4. CSQ also announced a substantial dividend hike (Calamos Closed-End Funds (CHI, CHY, CSQ, CGO and CHW) Announce Monthly Distributions for February 2012, Including Increases to CSQ and CHW), sounds like the Brandenburg Concertos to me.
  5. VR reported a big miss.

I decided to sell my VR (note - VR was one of my largest holdings). I was disappointed with the miss and I have been looking to reduce my P&C Insurance exposure a bit. They did well for me, so no complaints. I took 1/2 the money and doubled my position in PRE (love the divvy hike). The rest I will holdin cash for time being.

I like PRE for three reasons:
  1. They are cheaper than VR (price to book around 85% vs high 90s for VR).
  2. They pay a better dividend (around 3.8% vs 3%).
  3. They have greater European presence. I believe there may be market dislocation in Europe as the reinsurance Mammoths there (Swiss Re, Munich Re and Hannover Re) may have to take some serious haircuts in their European sovereign debt holdings, which could cause them to have reduced capacity to assume insurance risk.

The final big news for me was the 13% spike in GNW. I am still very bullish on this stock, but as it doesn't pay a dividend I do not track it here. Below I show my current holdings and how they are performing.

Current Portfolio













Stock Shares Avg Cost Current Price Dividends Received Pct Change R3K Change Diff
AZN 424 47.15 47.50 1,092 6.2% 5.7% 0.5%
BHK 2,908 12.54 13.84 1,283 13.8% 1.1% 12.7%
CEL 1,531 25.81 15.13 5,875 -26.5% 23.0% -49.6%
CPL 1,000 22.67 30.03 - 32.5% 17.4% 15.0%
CSCO 1,806 16.75 20.09 304 21.0% 3.0% 18.0%
CSQ 5,065 8.16 9.37 1,205 17.8% 17.2% 0.5%
DD 500 43.78 52.01 - 18.8% 7.9% 10.9%
ENH-PA 1,000 26.12 26.69 - 2.2% 4.0% -1.8%
FCX 503 36.06 46.48 125 29.6% 13.6% 16.0%
GCAP 4,000 6.38 6.40 - 0.3% 4.0% -3.7%
HPQ 804 25.79 29.07 96 13.2% 13.6% -0.5%
INTC 1,281 19.63 26.74 997 40.2% 18.4% 21.8%
JQC 4,483 8.85 8.90 1,598 4.6% 3.8% 0.8%
KMF 1,760 21.68 26.79 1,330 27.0% 13.3% 13.8%
KSW 13,048 3.76 3.59 4,023 3.7% 16.3% -12.6%
LNC 2,425 24.32 23.84 593 -1.0% 11.0% -11.9%
MNDO 13,678 2.48 2.45 2,400 6.0% 5.9% 0.0%
MSFT 947 26.75 30.24 576 15.3% 10.4% 4.9%
NSU 3,200 6.31 6.46 - 2.4% 2.3% 0.0%
PM 436 45.63 76.62 1,614 76.0% 26.3% 49.7%
PRE 1,005 61.76 67.64 300 10.0% 5.8% 4.2%
PVD 397 63.26 73.21 698 18.5% 13.5% 5.0%
RTN 458 46.82 48.97 434 6.6% 2.4% 4.2%
SBS 835 39.66 68.06 1,912 77.4% 18.8% 58.6%
SLF 2,719 27.31 21.15 1,805 -20.1% 4.8% -25.0%
STD 125 7.81 8.42 - 7.8% 5.0% 2.8%
STO 1,000 23.86 25.95 - 8.8% 14.9% -6.2%
USB 1,901 21.76 29.20 923 36.4% 17.4% 19.0%
WBK 489 105.66 114.48 3,636 15.4% 11.0% 4.3%
Total Open

32,820 13.0% 10.7% 2.2%
Closed



11.2% 7.4% 3.8%
Combined



12.0% 8.9% 3.1%
IRR Since 12/31/10


14.8%

2012 Gain



11.7%

















Estimated Dividends for Next 12 Months











Stock Shares Ann Dividend / Share Yield Projected Dividend Sector Worth Anniversary
AZN 424 $ 2.40 5.1% 1,018 Pharma 20,147 1/6
BHK 2,908 $ 0.80 5.8% 2,338 Bond 40,248 7/6
CEL 1,531 $ 2.05 13.5% 3,139 Utility 23,170 6/29
CPL 1,000 $ 1.27 4.2% 1,270 Utility 30,030 9/29
CSCO 1,806 $ 0.24 1.2% 433 Tech 36,283 4/25
CSQ 5,065 $ 0.84 9.0% 4,255 Hybrid 47,462 8/23
DD 500 $ 1.64 3.2% 820 Chemicals 26,005 12/9
ENH-PA 1,000 $ 1.94 7.3% 1,938 Bond 26,689 1/17
FCX 503 $ 1.00 2.2% 503 Basic Resources 23,364 11/28
GCAP 4,000 $ 0.20 3.1% 800 Services 25,600 1/12
HPQ 804 $ 0.48 1.7% 386 Tech 23,365 11/22
INTC 1,281 $ 0.84 3.1% 1,076 Tech 34,241 9/17
JQC 4,483 $ 0.80 9.0% 3,587 Hybrid 39,902 7/8
KMF 1,760 $ 1.60 6.0% 2,816 Pipelines 47,146 9/15
KSW 13,048 $ 0.15 4.2% 1,957 Construction 46,844 5/2
LNC 2,425 $ 0.32 1.3% 776 Insurance 57,805 11/10
MNDO 13,678 $ 0.20 8.2% 2,736 Tech 33,511 2/4
MSFT 947 $ 0.80 2.6% 757 Tech 28,629 12/6
NSU 3,200 $ 0.10 1.5% 320 Basic Resources 20,672 1/25
PM 436 $ 3.08 4.0% 1,343 Consumer 33,415 6/7
PRE 1,005 $ 2.56 3.8% 2,572 Insurance 67,950 9/7
PVD 397 $ 3.70 5.1% 1,470 Finance 29,086 8/5
RTN 458 $ 1.72 3.5% 788 Defense 22,446 7/14
SBS 835 $ 2.39 3.5% 1,995 Utility 56,817 5/10
SLF 2,719 $ 1.46 6.9% 3,970 Insurance 57,517 6/29
STD 125 $ 0.64 7.6% 80 Finance 1,051 12/1
STO 1,000 $ 0.94 3.6% 940 Basic Resources 25,950 11/23
USB 1,901 $ 0.50 1.7% 951 Finance 55,523 9/29
WBK 489 $ 8.13 7.1% 3,978 Finance 56,009 11/19
















Total

5.0% 49,011


















Upcoming Dividends












Stock Shares x Date Div/Share Est New Shares Amount

CSQ 5,065 2/8/12 $ 0.07 37.0 355

DD 500 2/10/12 $ 0.41 3.0 205

ENH-PA 1,000 2/11/12 $ 0.48 18.0 484

BHK 2,908 2/13/12 $ 0.07 14.0 195

MSFT 947 2/15/12 $ 0.20 6.0 189

AZN 424 2/15/12 $ 1.95 17.0 827

PRE 1,005 2/17/12 $ 0.62 9.0 623

SLF 2,719 2/21/12 $ 0.37 47.0 1,006

MNDO 13,678 2/28/12 $ 0.20 1,116.0 2,736

GCAP 4,000 3/7/12 $ 0.05 31.0 200

HPQ 804 3/12/12 $ 0.12 3.0 96

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