Wednesday, July 15, 2009

Great Balls of Fire!

Quite a day, I was up 3.8% which was my 4th best day of the year. Every stock was green. FSUMF and CKSW were each up around 9%. HCKT was almost up 10%. We'll see if the momentum continues, the talking heads were besides themselves gakking about how INTC and GS have sparked the rally. But I suspect the market will be only as good as the most recent earnings... so if a bellweather disappoints it could drop just as fast.

My quickie ADY play (which I didn't count as MFI) worked out quite satisfactorily (up 20% on Tuesday and another 5% today before I sold. Too bad the GRVY move hasn't been quite as good, but you can't always get instant satisfaction.

I thought I'd give a quick update on the top 50 mechanical portfolio. It is really smoking. The open stocks are up 25% (this goes back to July 2009) while the S&P is up a mere 1.6%. I need to stop over-thinking and just follow the mechanics. Great example, the most recent stocks to hit the mechanical portfolios are MTXX, JTX and SGR. I bought JTX... but the best two have been MTXX and SGR (up 15% already). There is still time. Without further ado, here is the mechanical portfolio:

Symbol Date Original Current Dividend S&P O S&P D Stock Chg S&P Chg Diff
MSFT 7/20/08 25.86 24.12 0.26 125.98 2.49 -5.7% -24.0% 18.3%
VCLK 7/20/08 10.20 10.87 - 125.98 2.49 6.6% -24.0% 30.6%
SHFK.PK 7/26/08 27.50 14.12 - 125.48 2.49 -48.7% -23.7% -25.0%
IBAS 7/26/08 3.90 1.75 - 125.48 2.49 -55.1% -23.7% -31.4%
CF 8/8/08 134.65 71.22 0.20 129.37 2.49 -47.0% -26.0% -21.0%
ANF 8/8/08 50.38 25.08 0.35 129.37 2.49 -49.5% -26.0% -23.5%
AYSI.OB 8/8/08 1.77 0.42 - 129.37 2.49 -76.3% -26.0% -50.3%
DEIX 8/8/08 1.70 0.16 - 129.37 2.49 -90.6% -26.0% -64.6%
PRFT 8/8/08 7.36 6.91 - 129.37 2.49 -6.1% -26.0% 19.9%
TEX 8/8/08 47.22 12.16 - 129.37 2.49 -74.2% -26.0% -48.3%
DBTK 8/8/08 11.20 8.33 - 129.37 2.49 -25.6% -26.0% 0.4%
GRMN 8/8/08 37.09 23.65 0.38 129.37 2.49 -35.2% -26.0% -9.2%
KHD 8/8/08 25.26 8.96 - 129.37 2.49 -64.5% -26.0% -38.5%
LOOP 8/8/08 10.50 7.86 - 129.37 2.49 -25.1% -26.0% 0.8%
LO 8/8/08 68.41 67.79 1.84 129.37 2.49 1.8% -26.0% 27.8%
MPAA 8/8/08 6.60 4.29 - 129.37 2.49 -35.0% -26.0% -9.0%
STX 8/8/08 15.00 10.87 0.12 129.37 2.49 -26.7% -26.0% -0.7%
BARE 8/26/08 12.81 7.91 - 127.39 2.49 -38.3% -24.8% -13.4%
EGN 8/26/08 53.56 38.14 0.25 127.39 2.49 -28.3% -24.8% -3.5%
PRM 8/26/08 3.02 1.90 0.07 127.39 2.49 -34.8% -24.8% -9.9%
LOV 8/26/08 4.26 2.45 - 127.39 2.49 -42.5% -24.8% -17.6%
SCMP 9/2/08 9.50 6.35 - 128.79 2.49 -33.2% -25.7% -7.5%
EGMI.OB 9/6/08 0.69 1.17 - 124.42 2.49 69.6% -23.0% 92.6%
MLNX 9/6/08 10.61 12.50 - 124.42 2.49 17.8% -23.0% 40.9%
WFR 9/15/08 34.34 17.83 - 126.09 2.49 -48.1% -24.1% -24.0%
KBR 9/15/08 19.17 18.11 0.05 126.09 2.49 -5.3% -24.1% 18.8%
DELL 9/22/08 16.63 12.32 - 124.12 2.49 -25.9% -22.9% -3.1%
NGA 9/22/08 6.50 6.09 - 124.12 2.49 -6.3% -22.9% 16.6%
TTWO 9/22/08 16.57 8.09 - 124.12 2.49 -51.2% -22.9% -28.3%
FWLT 10/6/08 31.91 20.69 - 110.34 1.80 -35.2% -13.9% -21.3%
MOS 10/6/08 40.88 44.55 0.05 110.34 1.80 9.1% -13.9% 23.0%
WRLS 10/6/08 1.82 2.15 - 110.34 1.80 18.1% -13.9% 32.0%
TSCM 10/6/08 5.09 2.04 0.03 110.34 1.80 -59.4% -13.9% -45.6%
CTCM 10/10/08 9.02 10.77 - 88.50 1.80 19.4% 7.4% 12.0%
DAR 10/10/08 7.55 6.87 - 88.50 1.80 -9.0% 7.4% -16.4%
NOV 10/10/08 23.42 33.40 - 88.50 1.80 42.6% 7.4% 35.2%
PRGX 10/10/08 4.69 3.04 - 88.50 1.80 -35.2% 7.4% -42.6%
PCP 10/10/08 54.15 75.66 0.04 88.50 1.80 39.8% 7.4% 32.4%
ALDN 10/10/08 9.64 11.49 - 88.50 1.80 19.2% 7.4% 11.8%
GPX 10/17/08 5.03 6.60 - 93.21 1.80 31.2% 2.0% 29.2%
BKE 10/31/08 26.34 31.71 0.20 96.83 1.80 21.1% -1.8% 23.0%
CYNO 10/31/08 8.76 7.41 - 96.83 1.80 -15.4% -1.8% -13.6%
DHX 10/31/08 4.06 4.40 - 96.83 1.80 8.4% -1.8% 10.2%
GES 10/31/08 21.77 25.94 0.10 96.83 1.80 19.6% -1.8% 21.4%
HWAY 10/31/08 10.10 12.97 - 96.83 1.80 28.4% -1.8% 30.2%
WBC 10/31/08 18.37 18.00 0.07 96.83 1.80 -1.6% -1.8% 0.2%
GTLS 11/7/08 11.62 19.03 - 93.86 1.80 63.8% 1.3% 62.5%
CDII 11/7/08 2.77 1.53 - 93.86 1.80 -44.8% 1.3% -46.0%
IPHS 11/7/08 19.97 16.95 0.17 93.86 1.80 -14.3% 1.3% -15.5%
MSPD 11/7/08 1.31 2.31 - 93.86 1.80 76.3% 1.3% 75.1%
QLGC 11/7/08 11.49 13.56 - 93.86 1.80 18.0% 1.3% 16.7%
SCHN 11/7/08 27.07 52.86 - 93.86 1.80 95.3% 1.3% 94.0%
SVR 11/7/08 8.92 16.79 - 93.86 1.80 88.2% 1.3% 87.0%
TDC 11/7/08 14.48 23.85 - 93.86 1.80 64.7% 1.3% 63.4%
EBAY 10/31/08 14.19 17.83 - 96.83 1.80 25.7% -1.8% 27.5%
TKTM 11/14/08 5.87 7.09 - 86.62 1.80 20.8% 9.7% 11.0%
ERES 11/14/08 4.65 5.77 - 86.62 1.80 24.1% 9.7% 14.3%
FEED 11/14/08 1.76 5.69 - 86.62 1.80 223.3% 9.7% 213.6%
HCKT 11/14/08 2.57 2.55 - 86.62 1.80 -0.8% 9.7% -10.5%
FLR 11/14/08 35.73 49.09 0.13 86.62 1.80 37.7% 9.7% 28.0%
GTI 11/14/08 4.79 11.70 - 86.62 1.80 144.3% 9.7% 134.5%
INTX 11/14/08 4.10 4.07 - 86.62 1.80 -0.7% 9.7% -10.5%
MSO 11/14/08 3.91 3.17 - 86.62 1.80 -18.9% 9.7% -28.7%
JCG 11/14/08 11.22 27.41 - 86.62 1.80 144.3% 9.7% 134.6%
MDR 11/14/08 7.80 18.40 - 86.62 1.80 135.9% 9.7% 126.2%
ABAT 11/21/08 1.34 3.91 - 79.52 1.80 191.8% 19.5% 172.3%
ADSK 11/21/08 14.37 18.46 - 79.52 1.80 28.5% 19.5% 8.9%
GIGM 11/21/08 3.79 5.43 - 79.52 1.80 43.3% 19.5% 23.7%
OPTV 11/21/08 0.94 1.35 - 79.52 1.80 43.6% 19.5% 24.1%
PRO 11/21/08 4.14 8.05 - 79.52 1.80 94.4% 19.5% 74.9%
WTSLA 11/21/08 2.20 2.97 - 79.52 1.80 35.0% 19.5% 15.5%
AIRT 11/28/08 6.08 8.53 - 90.09 1.80 40.3% 5.5% 34.8%
BSQR 11/28/08 2.48 2.78 - 90.09 1.80 12.1% 5.5% 6.6%
CKSW 11/28/08 2.20 6.30 - 90.09 1.80 186.4% 5.5% 180.9%
IILG 11/28/08 5.30 10.76 - 90.09 1.80 103.0% 5.5% 97.5%
PBSO.PK 11/28/08 0.39 0.40 - 90.09 1.80 1.3% 5.5% -4.2%
DIVX 12/8/08 4.37 5.65 - 87.93 1.80 29.3% 8.1% 21.2%
GSIT 12/8/08 2.94 4.04 - 87.93 1.80 37.4% 8.1% 29.3%
HGRD 12/8/08 1.35 4.53 - 87.93 1.80 235.6% 8.1% 227.5%
ISIL 12/8/08 7.92 13.52 0.12 87.93 1.80 72.2% 8.1% 64.1%
MAXY 12/8/08 5.80 7.00 - 87.93 1.80 20.7% 8.1% 12.6%
PVSW 12/8/08 3.80 5.65 - 87.93 1.80 48.7% 8.1% 40.6%
DDMX 12/14/08 11.13 15.50 - 88.99 1.80 39.3% 6.8% 32.4%
PSOF 12/14/08 2.74 4.11 - 88.99 1.80 50.0% 6.8% 43.2%
ITWO 12/29/08 5.61 12.59 - 87.16 1.08 124.4% 8.2% 116.2%
JOYG 12/29/08 21.95 34.44 - 87.16 1.08 56.9% 8.2% 48.7%
TRMS 12/29/08 1.03 2.00 - 87.16 1.08 94.2% 8.2% 85.9%
CTGX 1/5/09 3.18 6.58 - 92.96 1.08 106.9% 1.5% 105.4%
PMD 1/5/09 6.44 6.70 - 92.96 1.08 4.0% 1.5% 2.6%
HPY 1/26/09 8.54 9.55 - 83.11 1.08 11.8% 13.5% -1.7%
HLIT 1/31/09 5.15 5.89 - 82.83 1.08 14.4% 13.9% 0.5%
HGT 1/31/09 13.06 12.50 - 82.83 1.08 -4.3% 13.9% -18.2%
CNU 2/9/09 1.96 2.77 - 86.98 1.08 41.3% 8.5% 32.9%
SJT 2/9/09 19.05 12.51 - 86.98 1.08 -34.3% 8.5% -42.8%
SGU 2/9/09 2.55 3.42 0.07 86.98 1.08 36.8% 8.5% 28.3%
TC 2/9/09 4.33 11.61 - 86.98 1.08 168.1% 8.5% 159.7%
bioc 2/16/09 3.72 3.76 - 82.76 1.08 1.1% 14.0% -12.9%
FORR 2/16/09 17.56 24.16 - 82.76 1.08 37.6% 14.0% 23.6%
ZYXI.OB 2/16/09 1.20 0.95 - 82.76 1.08 -20.8% 14.0% -34.8%
FRD 2/23/09 4.95 5.38 - 77.42 1.08 8.7% 21.9% -13.2%
SOLR 2/23/09 4.22 5.50 - 77.42 1.08 30.3% 21.9% 8.5%
MTXX 2/23/09 17.90 6.09 - 77.42 1.08 -66.0% 21.9% -87.8%
TYPE 2/23/09 3.02 7.13 - 77.42 1.08 136.1% 21.9% 114.2%
PTIE 2/23/09 5.41 4.53 - 77.42 1.08 -16.3% 21.9% -38.1%
PDO 2/23/09 3.19 4.90 - 77.42 1.08 53.6% 21.9% 31.8%
SAPE 2/23/09 3.38 6.28 - 77.42 1.08 85.8% 21.9% 63.9%
VDSI 2/23/09 5.25 7.74 - 77.42 1.08 47.4% 21.9% 25.6%
IGTE 2/23/09 2.99 6.48 - 77.42 1.08 116.7% 21.9% 94.9%
DECK 3/2/09 41.27 70.00 - 73.93 1.08 69.6% 27.6% 42.0%
KTII 3/2/09 55.48 87.09 - 73.93 1.08 57.0% 27.6% 29.4%
INT 3/2/09 29.01 39.58 - 73.93 1.08 36.4% 27.6% 8.8%
ICAD 3/2/09 0.90 1.16 - 77.42 1.08 28.9% 21.9% 7.0%
EXBD 3/9/09 12.96 17.55 - 68.92 1.08 35.4% 36.9% -1.5%
DISH 3/9/09 9.27 15.61 - 68.92 1.08 68.4% 36.9% 31.5%
QLTI 3/9/09 1.41 2.17 - 68.92 1.08 53.9% 36.9% 17.0%
SRDX 3/9/09 16.87 23.70 - 68.92 1.08 40.5% 36.9% 3.6%
INFI 4/20/09 5.83 5.93 - 87.08 0.52 1.7% 7.7% -6.0%
CRAY 5/3/09 3.98 8.52 - 87.89 0.52 114.1% 6.7% 107.4%
TWX 5/3/09 22.84 25.71 - 87.89 0.52 12.6% 6.7% 5.9%
RST 5/3/09 29.83 26.71 - 87.89 0.52 -10.5% 6.7% -17.2%
ULCM.PK 5/3/09 2.18 1.90 - 87.89 0.52 -12.8% 6.7% -19.5%
AAV 5/18/09 3.41 4.93 - 88.71 0.52 44.6% 5.7% 38.9%
AMED 6/1/09 30.43 34.25 - 92.53 0.52 12.6% 1.3% 11.2%
UTA 6/1/09 7.90 9.49 - 92.53 0.52 20.1% 1.3% 18.8%
PFE 6/7/09 14.51 15.02 - 94.55 0.52 3.5% -0.8% 4.3%
VM 6/7/09 4.55 3.85 - 94.55 0.52 -15.4% -0.8% -14.6%
ONTY 6/14/09 2.60 3.16 - 95.08 0.52 21.5% -1.4% 22.9%
BPI 6/21/09 16.74 15.99 - 92.04 - -4.5% 1.3% -5.8%
GME 6/21/09 22.95 21.64 - 92.04 - -5.7% 1.3% -7.0%
SGR 7/13/09 23.69 27.10 - 87.96 - 14.4% 6.0% 8.4%
















Totals 7.1% -11.0% 18.0%
55.3% of stocks beat the S&P 500 Benchmark
Closed -28.1% -35.8% 7.8%
S&P C

93.26

Open 24.9% 1.6% 23.2%

1 comment:

john said...

How did you decide on a one year period for a stock to be added? I wonder if six months would work also?

Thanks,
John
modejc