Thursday, June 21, 2007

Slow Reverse

Not too bad yesterday as I went backwards but not as fast as general market. I am now 2% better than the benchmark, which is starting to look respectable. The 2 stocks I wrote about the other day, HNR and NPLA succumbed to gravity the past 2 days, making my blog a good contrarian indicator!

FDG and PDS announced their distributions (Precision Drilling Trust Announces June 2007 Cash Distribution, Fording Announces 2007 Second Quarter Cash Distribution), I am getting steady $ from my Canadian stocks. I have to believe the strengthening CAD helps me.

I did a brief study on stocks that have doubled. It showed that stocks that do well in both EY (>10%) and ROIC (>100%) have best chance of doubling. I guess that isn't a surprise. I have wondered whether one of the two measures is more important than the other. I probably tend to pick the higher EY stocks as I focus on stocks that have dropped in price. Maybe I should get out that dartboard or use the Rand() function in excel :)

1 comment:

AyRon said...

Rand()? Hmmm, I didn't even know about that function! I wonder how "truly" random it is...see this discussion about potential weaknesses in random number generator: How Random is the iPod's Shuffle?

My first stab at MFI was also picking the highest EY, so long as ROC was over 100%. Those picks did ho-hum in the mock portfolio I set up.

Boy, do I want to see what 3 years yields...

-A