Saturday, May 07, 2016

Weekend Update 5/7/16

Weekend Update

Another week flies by - this one was pretty forgettable from an investment standpoint. I was down 2.3% for the week.  That leaves me at +1.45% for the year.  I had a lot of companies report earnings and generally speaking they were not all that hot.

Here are some of my laggards for the week:



Wow, making that list really socks you in the gut. Some subpar performances there. LCI actually had decent earnings!

Headlines

Lots of bad news.




8/17/2015  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 VDSI  $18.66 $16.35 $0.00 -12.4% -1.5%
 SALE  $9.34 $7.27 $0.00 -22.2% -1.5%
 CSCO  $28.95 $26.53 $0.68 -6.0% -1.5%
 TGNA  $25.30 $22.93 $0.42 -7.7% -1.5%
 HSII  $20.14 $18.62 $0.26 -6.3% -1.5%
 Totals  -10.9% -1.5%
11/15/2015  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 LCI  $34.01 $17.81               -   -47.6% 0.8%
 SAVE  $34.48 $41.08               -   19.2% 0.8%
 PPC  $18.98 $24.76                3 44.9% 0.8%
 VEC  $23.60 $21.66               -   -8.2% 0.8%
 VNCE  $3.99 $5.86               -   46.9% 0.8%
 Totals  11.0% 0.8%
2/1/2016  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 VEC  $19.64 $21.66  $           -   10.3% 7.2%
 QCOM  $45.18 $50.92  $       0.48 13.8% 7.2%
 PERI  $2.45 $1.50  $           -   -38.8% 7.2%
 DEPO  $15.34 $15.51  $           -   1.1% 7.2%
 TDC  $24.02 $28.14  $           -   17.2% 7.2%
 Totals  0.7% 7.2%
5/6/2016  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 BRCD  $7.97 $8.08  $           -   1.4% 0.4%
 CBI  $37.82 $38.23  $           -   1.1% 0.4%
 HSII  $18.51 $18.62  $           -   0.6% 0.4%
 RHI  $38.51 $38.75  $           -   0.6% 0.4%
 UTHR  $107.99 $108.16  $           -   0.2% 0.4%
 Totals  0.8% 0.4%


 Category/Tranche   August   November   February   May   Total 
 Initial Investment         25,000          25,000       25,000        25,000      100,000
 Current Tranche  -10.9% 11.0% 0.7% 0.8% 0.4%
 Previous Tranche  11.2% 69.4% -14.3% -25.2% 55.7%
 Tranche -2  41.4% 14.2% 8.5% 18.3% 20.6%
 Tranche -3  14.1% 43.7% 78.3% 33.0% 0.0%
 MFI Overall Gain  59.8% 208.8% 66.9% 18.5% 88.5%
 Current Balance         39,946          77,200       41,721        29,625      188,492
 R3K Current Tranche  -1.5% 0.8% 7.2% 0.4% 1.7%
 R3K Overall Gain  56.3% 58.9% 42.8% 33.0% 47.7%
 R3K Balance         39,075          39,728       35,689        33,238      147,730
 Annualized IRR  13.4% 38.3% 17.0% 5.8% 20.0%
You can see via the annualized IRRs that 20% overall is pretty solid. But the May tranches have been the underperformers, at just 5.8%.

 Date   Differential   MFI Value   R3K Value 
12/1/2012 -2.20%          99,765            101,965
1/1/2013 -1.78%        102,798            104,575
2/1/2013 -2.26%        102,594            104,856
3/1/2013 -2.23%        102,881            105,114
4/1/2013 -0.43%        106,804            107,234
5/1/2013 2.00%        110,423            108,423
6/1/2013 4.75%        115,831            111,085
7/1/2013 4.29%        114,888            110,597
8/1/2013 6.91%        124,799            117,889
9/1/2013 10.46%        124,536            114,079
10/1/2013 19.67%        138,655            118,990
11/1/2013 19.75%        143,514            123,764
12/1/2013 23.70%        150,105            126,405
1/1/2014 26.63%        157,138            130,503
2/1/2014 24.70%        150,619            125,918
3/1/2014 25.66%        158,116            132,458
4/1/2014 30.38%        162,991            132,616
5/1/2014 29.65%        162,428            132,779
6/1/2014 31.44%        167,001            135,559
7/1/2014 39.23%        177,971            138,740
8/1/2014 31.13%        167,054            135,922
9/1/2014 35.90%        177,792            141,892
10/1/2014 29.38%        168,321            138,944
11/1/2014 26.14%        168,810            142,666
12/1/2014 30.22%        176,420            146,198
1/1/2015 28.17%        174,306            146,140
2/1/2015 20.63%        162,833            142,201
3/1/2015 25.15%        175,476            150,324
4/1/2015 29.95%        178,565            148,612
5/1/2015 37.31%        186,655            149,348
6/1/2015 51.53%        202,897            151,371
7/1/2015 62.69%        211,437            148,743
8/1/2015 40.75%        192,117            151,369
9/1/2015 36.41%        178,603            142,195
10/1/2015 43.12%        181,175            138,052
11/1/2015 69.02%        217,959            148,936
12/1/2015 73.49%        223,435            149,946
1/1/2016 63.33%        209,514            146,186
2/1/2016 49.49%        187,428            137,934
3/1/2016 56.48%        194,415            137,934
4/1/2016 47.34%        195,770            148,430
5/1/2016 46.38%        194,301            147,923
Current 40.76%        188,492            147,730

Rough start to May, going from 194,301 to 188,492. Frustrating.

MFI Formula

7/1/2015  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 BKE  $46.45 $26.20 $1.96 -39.4% -1.0%
 CA  $29.34 $29.71 $0.75 3.8% -1.0%
 MSFT  $44.42 $50.39 $1.03 15.8% -1.0%
 QCOM  $62.95 $50.92 $1.44 -16.8% -1.0%
 VIAB  $64.75 $41.32 $1.20 -34.3% -1.0%
 Totals  -14.2% -1.0%
10/1/2015  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 BKE  $36.83 $26.20 $1.73 -24.2% 6.3%
 IQNT  $21.96 $16.21 $0.30 -24.8% 6.3%
 QCOM  $53.45 $50.92 $0.96 -2.9% 6.3%
 CSCO  $26.37 $26.53 $0.68 3.2% 6.3%
 CA  $27.30 $29.71 $0.50 10.7% 6.3%
 Totals  -7.6% 6.3%
 12/31/15 Stocks   Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 BBY  $30.31 $31.98 $0.73 7.9% 0.6%
 GME  $28.34 $30.09 $0.37 7.5% 0.6%
 IILG  $15.89 $14.47 $0.12 -8.2% 0.6%
 PPC  $22.22 $24.76 $2.75 23.8% 0.6%
 VIAB  $40.93 $41.32 $0.40 1.9% 0.6%
 Totals  6.6% 0.6%
 4/1/16 Stocks  Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
 CALM  $51.27 $51.65 $0.44 1.6% 0.3%
 HPQ  $12.10 $11.59 $0.00 -4.2% 0.3%
 TIME  $15.24 $15.44 $0.00 1.3% 0.3%
 IILG  $13.85 $14.47 $0.00 4.4% 0.3%
 TSRA  $30.79 $30.46 $0.00 -1.1% 0.3%
 Totals  0.4% 0.3%

 Category/Tranche   October   January   April   July   Total 
 Initial Investment      249,820        249,939     250,180      249,728         999,667
 Current Tranche  -7.6% 6.6% 0.4% -14.2% -3.7%
 Previous Tranche  0.5% 11.0% -0.2% 0.0% 3.1%
 Tranche -2  0.0%                 -                 -                  -   0.0%
 MFI Overall Gain  -7.2% 18.3% 0.2% -14.2% -0.7%
 Current Balance      231,857        295,773     250,588      214,289         992,508
 R3K Current Tranche  6.3% 0.6% 0.3% -1.0% 1.6%
 R3K Overall Gain  5.7% 0.4% -0.8% -1.0% 1.1%
 R3K Balance      264,153        250,903     248,284      247,334      1,010,675
 Annualized IRR  -4.5% 13.3% 0.1% -16.4% -0.6%
Do not like those negative annualized IRRs.

 Date   Differential   Value   R3K Value 
10/1/2014 0.00%        100,000            100,000
11/1/2014 1.63%        102,288            100,658
12/1/2014 0.30%        101,375            101,075
1/1/2015 -0.33%        100,664            100,995
2/1/2015 1.67%        101,281              99,611
3/1/2015 3.62%        106,073            102,454
4/1/2015 5.09%        106,781            101,695
5/1/2015 5.78%        107,859            102,077
6/1/2015 5.08%        108,213            103,134
7/1/2015 4.82%        106,423            101,604
8/1/2015 3.71%        107,112            103,404
9/1/2015 4.38%        101,523              97,139
10/1/2015 6.39%        100,703              94,312
11/1/2015 2.93%        104,835            101,907
12/1/2015 -3.48%          99,443            102,926
1/1/2016 -3.36%          96,830            100,012
2/1/2016 -0.72%          93,797              94,367
3/1/2016 4.07%          98,588              94,367
4/1/2016 0.34%        102,371            101,548
5/1/2016 -1.91%          99,774            101,200
Current -1.82%          99,251            101,068 

I did find and fix a slight problem in this table.

MFI Micro

I am going to wind this portfolio down and move into more cash. I sold  MNDO and BSQR yesterday after so-so earnings.  I am holding WLDN, MGIC and SPCB.

12/15/2015  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 MGIC  $5.38 $6.84 $0.09 28.8% 0.4%
 BSQR  $6.00 $5.19 $0.00 -13.5% 0.4%
 SPCB  $4.52 $3.58 $0.00 -20.8% 0.4%
 WLDN  $8.64 $10.89 $0.00 26.0% 0.4%
 MNDO  $2.58 $2.01 $0.27 -11.7% 0.4%
 Totals               -   1.8% 0.4%

Dividends and Warrants

terrible week here.

 Div and Warrants   Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   Pct Gain Last Week   Year End 2015 
 BAC-WTA  $4.90 $3.85 $0.00 -21.4% -10.4% -3.6%
 AOD  $7.65 $7.49 $1.33 15.3% 16.4% 15.3%
 JQC  $7.81 $7.89 $0.25 4.2% 4.7% 0.9%
 CSQ  $9.03 $9.75 $1.70 26.7% 28.1% 27.3%
 NTC  $12.07 $13.66 $1.45 25.1% 24.9% 16.1%
 TGONF  $10.24 $9.80 $1.52 10.6% 10.9% 8.3%
 HIG-WT  $21.24 $36.72 $0.00 72.9% 73.9% 72.9%
 O  $23.19 $63.58 $18.37 253.4% 234.5% 205.7%
 OIBAX  $5.05 $5.76 $2.21 57.7% 58.4% 51.9%
 SJT  $8.76 $6.53 $0.19 -23.3% -19.0% -51.6%
 REXI  $5.60 $6.35 $0.13 15.6% 15.1% -2.8%
 Totals  9.1% 12.2% 6.2%

REXI did announce this week.  They stayed pretty flat s you can see.  I was under whelmed by their earnings.


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