Saturday, May 28, 2016

Memorial Day Weekend Update

Weekend Update

What a week for my portfolio! I sure did not see this coming.  I was up 5.3% just for the week. That makes me up a very respectable 7.7% for the year. Of course it helped having one of my largest holdings, REXI, spiking 50% on Monday. But that was only about 2 points of my weekly gain. Everything else clicked as well.

I am in Wilkes-Barre PA, on my way to a weekend in Pittsburgh.  With the good week in the markets, I upgraded to a Hilton Garden Inn! Living the life.

MFI Select

8/17/2015  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 VDSI  $18.66 $16.30 $0.00 -12.7% 0.7%
 SALE  $9.34 $7.24 $0.00 -22.5% 0.7%
 CSCO  $28.95 $28.92 $0.68 2.2% 0.7%
 TGNA  $25.30 $22.79 $0.42 -8.3% 0.7%
 HSII  $20.14 $18.86 $0.26 -5.1% 0.7%
 Totals  -9.2% 0.7%
11/15/2015  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 LCI  $34.01 $23.75  $           -   -30.2% 3.0%
 SAVE  $34.48 $43.54  $           -   26.3% 3.0%
 PPC  $18.98 $24.84  $       2.75 45.4% 3.0%
 VEC  $23.60 $24.95  $           -   5.7% 3.0%
 VNCE  $3.99 $5.75  $           -   44.1% 3.0%
 Totals  18.3% 3.0%
2/1/2016  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 VEC  $19.64 $24.95  $           -   27.0% 9.6%
 QCOM  $45.18 $55.27  $       1.01 24.6% 9.6%
 PERI  $2.45 $1.32  $           -   -46.1% 9.6%
 DEPO  $15.34 $20.34  $           -   32.6% 9.6%
 TDC  $24.02 $27.94  $           -   16.3% 9.6%
 Totals  10.9% 9.6%
5/6/2016  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 BRCD  $7.97 $8.60  $           -   7.9% 2.7%
 CBI  $37.82 $37.83  $           -   0.0% 2.7%
 HSII  $18.51 $18.86  $           -   1.9% 2.7%
 RHI  $38.51 $40.94  $           -   6.3% 2.7%
 UTHR  $107.99 $117.78  $           -   9.1% 2.7%
 Totals  5.0% 2.7%
 Category/Tranche   August   November   February   May   Total 
 Initial Investment         25,000          25,000       25,000        25,000      100,000
 Current Tranche  -9.2% 18.3% 10.9% 5.0% 6.3%
 Previous Tranche  11.2% 69.4% -14.3% -25.2% 55.8%
 Tranche -2  41.4% 14.2% 8.5% 18.3% 20.6%
 Tranche -3  14.1% 43.7% 78.3% 33.0% 0.0%
 MFI Overall Gain  62.8% 228.9% 83.7% 23.5% 99.7%
 Current Balance         40,691          82,235       45,935        30,880      199,741
 R3K Current Tranche  0.7% 3.0% 9.6% 2.7% 4.0%
 R3K Overall Gain  59.8% 62.5% 46.0% 33.0% 50.3%
 R3K Balance         39,947          40,618       36,494        33,238      150,296
 Annualized IRR  13.7% 40.1% 20.1% 7.1% 21.6%


It was a good week here.  I was up about 2%.  My newest tranche is off to a nice 5% start. Before I hurt myself trying to pat my own back, it is sometimes about a nice tail wind.  For instance the 5 stocks I sold from the May 2015 tranche are up 10% already (sadly I sold them) as PSDV spiked 24% yesterday and DEPO is up 31% since the sale.  And then the 5 stocks I did not buy are up 4.5% so far. So I really could not lose.

 Date   Differential   MFI Value   R3K Value 
12/1/2012 -2.20%          99,765            101,965
1/1/2013 -1.78%        102,798            104,575
2/1/2013 -2.26%        102,594            104,856
3/1/2013 -2.23%        102,881            105,114
4/1/2013 -0.43%        106,804            107,234
5/1/2013 2.00%        110,423            108,423
6/1/2013 4.75%        115,831            111,085
7/1/2013 4.29%        114,888            110,597
8/1/2013 6.91%        124,799            117,889
9/1/2013 10.46%        124,536            114,079
10/1/2013 19.67%        138,655            118,990
11/1/2013 19.75%        143,514            123,764
12/1/2013 23.70%        150,105            126,405
1/1/2014 26.63%        157,138            130,503
2/1/2014 24.70%        150,619            125,918
3/1/2014 25.66%        158,116            132,458
4/1/2014 30.38%        162,991            132,616
5/1/2014 29.65%        162,428            132,779
6/1/2014 31.44%        167,001            135,559
7/1/2014 39.23%        177,971            138,740
8/1/2014 31.13%        167,054            135,922
9/1/2014 35.90%        177,792            141,892
10/1/2014 29.38%        168,321            138,944
11/1/2014 26.14%        168,810            142,666
12/1/2014 30.22%        176,420            146,198
1/1/2015 28.17%        174,306            146,140
2/1/2015 20.63%        162,833            142,201
3/1/2015 25.15%        175,476            150,324
4/1/2015 29.95%        178,565            148,612
5/1/2015 37.31%        186,655            149,348
6/1/2015 51.53%        202,897            151,371
7/1/2015 62.69%        211,437            148,743
8/1/2015 40.75%        192,117            151,369
9/1/2015 36.41%        178,603            142,195
10/1/2015 43.12%        181,175            138,052
11/1/2015 69.02%        217,959            148,936
12/1/2015 73.49%        223,435            149,946
1/1/2016 63.33%        209,514            146,186
2/1/2016 49.49%        187,428            137,934
3/1/2016 56.48%        194,415            137,934
4/1/2016 47.34%        195,770            148,430
5/1/2016 46.38%        194,301            147,923
Current 49.45%        199,741            150,296

MFI Select

Well, despite the drop in GME this week; my MFI Select approach is finally back in the black.  Callooh Callay!

7/1/2015  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 BKE  $46.45 $24.36 $1.96 -43.3% 1.2%
 CA  $29.34 $32.07 $1.01 12.7% 1.2%
 MSFT  $44.42 $52.32 $1.39 20.9% 1.2%
 QCOM  $62.95 $55.27 $1.97 -9.1% 1.2%
 VIAB  $64.75 $44.24 $1.20 -29.8% 1.2%
 Totals  -9.7% 1.2%
10/1/2015  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 BKE  $36.83 $24.36 $1.73 -29.2% 8.7%
 IQNT  $21.96 $16.65 $0.45 -22.1% 8.7%
 QCOM  $53.45 $55.27 $1.49 6.2% 8.7%
 CSCO  $26.37 $28.92 $0.68 12.2% 8.7%
 CA  $27.30 $32.07 $0.76 20.2% 8.7%
 Totals  -2.5% 8.7%
 12/31/15 Stocks   Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 BBY  $30.31 $32.03 $0.73 8.1% 2.9%
 GME  $28.34 $28.80 $0.37 2.9% 2.9%
 IILG  $15.89 $14.21 $0.12 -9.8% 2.9%
 PPC  $22.22 $24.84 $2.75 24.2% 2.9%
 VIAB  $40.93 $44.24 $0.40 9.1% 2.9%
 Totals  6.9% 2.9%
 4/1/16 Stocks  Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
 CALM  $51.27 $45.74 $0.44 -9.9% 2.6%
 HPQ  $12.10 $13.17 $0.00 8.8% 2.6%
 TIME  $15.24 $15.40 $0.19 2.3% 2.6%
 IILG  $13.85 $14.21 $0.00 2.6% 2.6%
 TSRA  $30.79 $31.88 $0.20 4.2% 2.6%
 Totals  1.6% 2.6%

HPQ made a nice leg up this week with good earnings.

 Date   Differential   Value   R3K Value 
10/1/2014 0.00%        100,000            100,000
11/1/2014 1.63%        102,288            100,658
12/1/2014 0.30%        101,375            101,075
1/1/2015 -0.33%        100,664            100,995
2/1/2015 1.67%        101,281              99,611
3/1/2015 3.62%        106,073            102,454
4/1/2015 5.09%        106,781            101,695
5/1/2015 5.78%        107,859            102,077
6/1/2015 5.08%        108,213            103,134
7/1/2015 4.82%        106,423            101,604
8/1/2015 3.71%        107,112            103,404
9/1/2015 4.38%        101,523              97,139
10/1/2015 6.39%        100,703              94,312
11/1/2015 2.93%        104,835            101,907
12/1/2015 -3.48%          99,443            102,926
1/1/2016 -3.36%          96,830            100,012
2/1/2016 -0.72%          93,797              94,367
3/1/2016 4.07%          98,588              94,367
4/1/2016 0.34%        102,371            101,548
5/1/2016 -1.91%          99,774            101,200
Current -1.31%        102,022            103,336

Not so bad.

Dividends and Warrants

Not sure what to do here with the sale of REXI.

 Div and Warrants   Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   Pct Gain Last Week   Year End 2015 
 BAC-WTA  $4.90 $4.12 $0.00 -15.9% -18.3% -3.6%
 AOD  $7.65 $7.50 $1.38 16.2% 14.2% 15.3%
 JQC  $7.81 $8.11 $0.30 7.7% 5.9% 0.9%
 CSQ  $9.04 $9.95 $1.77 29.6% 26.2% 27.3%
 NTC  $12.07 $13.63 $1.50 25.3% 24.7% 16.1%
 TGONF  $10.24 $9.98 $1.52 12.4% 13.0% 8.3%
 HIG-WT  $21.24 $37.92 $0.00 78.6% 78.8% 72.9%
 O  $23.31 $59.90 $18.32 235.5% 232.5% 205.7%
 OIBAX  $5.05 $5.71 $2.21 56.7% 56.6% 51.9%
 SJT  $8.75 $6.95 $0.19 -18.5% -26.1% -51.6%
 REXI  $5.60 $9.61 $0.13 73.8% 17.6% -2.8%
 Totals  17.1% 9.5% 6.2%

But you can see the huge move here week over week.  It was up 9.5% and is now 17.1%.  And it wasn't just REXI. BAC and SJT made nice moves during the week as well.  I think I will just show with REXI for a while.

Have a great weekend everybody.

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