Much better week. I was down 8.5% going into last week, now I am down 4.5%. That was all pretty much accomplished on Friday, where my entire portfolio was up almost 4%! That included 5 stocks up by over 10%, including SJT at almost 23%.
I also had a lot of activity yesterday as I began to retire my 1/30/15 MFI tranche and set up a new tranche for 2016.
MFI Select
Looking back, I was down 10.3% YTD a week ago, I am now down 10.5% (hmmm, not so good)!
| 2/1/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| VEC | $28.00 | $19.76 | $0.00 | -29.4% | -2.6% |
| QCOM | $62.73 | $45.34 | $1.86 | -24.8% | -2.6% |
| VIAB | $63.91 | $44.90 | $1.53 | -27.4% | -2.6% |
| UIS | $22.03 | $10.87 | $0.00 | -50.7% | -2.6% |
| NHTC | $12.44 | $19.95 | $0.05 | 60.8% | -2.6% |
| Totals | -14.3% | -2.6% | |||
| 5/6/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| CBI | $50.38 | $38.82 | $0.14 | -22.7% | -7.4% |
| PSDV | $4.12 | $3.41 | $0.00 | -17.3% | -7.4% |
| TSRA | $38.94 | $28.82 | $0.60 | -24.4% | -7.4% |
| KORS | $62.24 | $39.90 | $0.00 | -35.9% | -7.4% |
| DEPO | $23.50 | $15.34 | $0.00 | -34.7% | -7.4% |
| Totals | -27.0% | -7.4% | |||
| 8/17/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| VDSI | $18.66 | $15.50 | $0.00 | -17.0% | -8.0% |
| SALE | $9.34 | $9.10 | $0.00 | -2.6% | -8.0% |
| CSCO | $28.95 | $23.79 | $0.42 | -16.4% | -8.0% |
| TGNA | $25.30 | $24.01 | $0.28 | -4.0% | -8.0% |
| HSII | $20.14 | $26.36 | $0.13 | 31.5% | -8.0% |
| Totals | -1.7% | -8.0% | |||
| 11/15/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| LCI | $34.01 | $25.51 | - | -25.0% | -5.9% |
| SAVE | $34.48 | $41.80 | - | 21.2% | -5.9% |
| PPC | $18.98 | $22.18 | - | 16.9% | -5.9% |
| VEC | $23.60 | $19.76 | - | -16.3% | -5.9% |
| VNCE | $3.99 | $5.17 | - | 29.6% | -5.9% |
| Totals | 5.3% | -5.9% |
You will note I have greyed out the 1/30/15 tranche. I have sold the UIS and VIAB. I have added to VEC and QCOM - they will be in the 2/1/16 tranche. I will sell the NHTC on Monday, but for purposes of this tracking, it is closed out. I have three stocks to buy on Monday.
For the record, here are all my closed tranches. This was the first negative:
| 8/15/12 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| DLB | $34.43 | $33.04 | $4.00 | 7.6% | 22.1% |
| KFY | $13.98 | $18.95 | $0.00 | 35.6% | 22.1% |
| MSFT | $30.19 | $31.92 | $0.92 | 8.8% | 22.1% |
| NSU | $3.62 | $3.33 | $0.12 | -4.6% | 22.1% |
| UIS | $19.96 | $24.52 | $0.00 | 22.8% | 22.1% |
| Totals | 14.1% | 22.1% | |||
| 11/15/12 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| AAPL | $537.62 | $527.28 | $8.75 | -0.3% | 36.7% |
| ABC | $40.21 | $69.23 | $0.86 | 74.3% | 36.7% |
| LPS | $23.89 | $34.26 | $0.40 | 45.1% | 36.7% |
| VIAB | $49.12 | $80.94 | $1.15 | 67.1% | 36.7% |
| WU | $12.77 | $16.40 | $0.50 | 32.3% | 36.7% |
| Totals | 43.7% | 36.7% | |||
| 2/1/13 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| AAPL | $450.60 | $500.66 | $8.75 | 13.1% | 21.1% |
| GA | $6.10 | $11.01 | $0.65 | 91.2% | 21.1% |
| STRZA | $16.06 | $27.98 | $0.00 | 74.2% | 21.1% |
| CA | $25.07 | $32.08 | $1.00 | 32.0% | 21.1% |
| NUS | $41.94 | $116.59 | $1.20 | 180.8% | 21.1% |
| Totals | 78.3% | 21.1% | |||
| 5/6/2013 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| KLIC | $11.40 | $14.44 | $0.00 | 26.7% | 18.9% |
| CYOU | $29.24 | $28.02 | $0.00 | -4.2% | 18.9% |
| RDA | $9.74 | $16.79 | $0.10 | 73.5% | 18.9% |
| NVDA | $13.85 | $18.43 | $0.32 | 35.4% | 18.9% |
| CF | $183.97 | $243.22 | $2.80 | 33.7% | 18.9% |
| Totals | 33.0% | 18.9% | |||
| 8/15/2013 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| CF | $187.26 | $247.43 | $4.50 | 34.5% | 19.4% |
| FLR | $66.06 | $73.03 | $0.53 | 11.4% | 19.4% |
| AGX | $15.60 | $36.71 | $0.75 | 140.1% | 19.4% |
| KLIC | $11.29 | $14.26 | $0.00 | 26.3% | 19.4% |
| RPXC | $15.92 | $15.09 | $0.00 | -5.2% | 19.4% |
| Totals | 41.4% | 19.4% | |||
| 11/15/13 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| AVG | $17.22 | $19.21 | $0.00 | 11.6% | 14.5% |
| ATVI | $17.71 | $20.10 | $0.20 | 14.6% | 14.5% |
| GA | $9.04 | $11.90 | $0.23 | 34.2% | 14.5% |
| RPXC | $17.04 | $13.91 | $0.00 | -18.4% | 14.5% |
| SYNA | $48.01 | $61.90 | $0.00 | 28.9% | 14.5% |
| Totals | 14.2% | 14.5% | |||
| 2/1/14 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| ATVI | $17.13 | $20.90 | $0.20 | 23.1% | 12.9% |
| KLAC | $61.47 | $61.47 | $18.40 | 29.9% | 12.9% |
| RPXC | $16.22 | $12.35 | $0.00 | -23.9% | 12.9% |
| SNDK | $69.55 | $75.91 | $0.83 | 10.3% | 12.9% |
| WNR | $39.11 | $37.13 | $3.04 | 2.7% | 12.9% |
| Totals | 8.5% | 12.9% | |||
| 5/6/2014 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| AVG | $19.57 | $23.27 | $0.00 | 18.9% | 12.9% |
| CA | $29.54 | $31.41 | $1.00 | 9.7% | 12.9% |
| CSCO | $22.79 | $28.89 | $0.78 | 30.2% | 12.9% |
| NSR | $25.82 | $30.69 | $0.00 | 18.9% | 12.9% |
| RCII | $28.78 | $31.77 | $0.94 | 13.7% | 12.9% |
| Totals | 18.3% | 12.9% | |||
| 8/15/2014 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| CSCO | $24.40 | $28.95 | $0.80 | 21.9% | 8.8% |
| AGX | $36.71 | $40.69 | $0.70 | 12.7% | 8.8% |
| ITRN | $21.32 | $25.11 | $0.87 | 21.9% | 8.8% |
| BRCD | $9.34 | $10.15 | $0.15 | 10.3% | 8.8% |
| CBI | $58.25 | $51.70 | $0.21 | -10.9% | 8.8% |
| Totals | 11.2% | 8.8% | |||
| 11/15/2014 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| FLR | $64.80 | $47.46 | $0.84 | -25.5% | 0.8% |
| IPCM | $38.45 | $80.03 | $0.00 | 108.1% | 0.8% |
| VIAB | $72.29 | $50.69 | $1.46 | -27.9% | 0.8% |
| NHTC | $12.19 | $51.46 | $0.06 | 322.6% | 0.8% |
| AWRE | $4.40 | $3.07 | $0.00 | -30.2% | 0.8% |
| Totals | 69.4% | 0.8% | |||
| 2/1/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| VEC | $28.00 | $19.76 | $0.00 | -29.4% | -2.6% |
| QCOM | $62.73 | $45.34 | $1.86 | -24.8% | -2.6% |
| VIAB | $63.91 | $44.90 | $1.53 | -27.4% | -2.6% |
| UIS | $22.03 | $10.87 | $0.00 | -50.7% | -2.6% |
| NHTC | $12.44 | $19.95 | $0.05 | 60.8% | -2.6% |
| Totals | -14.3% | -2.6% |
So I have had 11 closed tranches with an average gain of 28.9%. The benchmark average has been 15.0%.
Here is how I have done in total, assuming a 100,000 start spread over first 4 tranches:
| Category/Tranche | August | November | February | May | Total |
| Initial Investment | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 100,000 |
| Current Tranche | -1.7% | 5.3% | -14.3% | -27.0% | -9.5% |
| Previous Tranche | 11.2% | 69.4% | 8.5% | 18.3% | 46.2% |
| Tranche -2 | 41.4% | 14.2% | 78.3% | 33.0% | 41.7% |
| Tranche -3 | 14.1% | 43.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| MFI Overall Gain | 76.3% | 192.8% | 65.7% | 14.8% | 87.4% |
| Current Balance | 44,087 | 73,209 | 41,426 | 28,706 | 187,428 |
| R3K Current Tranche | -8.0% | -5.9% | -2.6% | -7.4% | -6.0% |
| R3K Overall Gain | 46.0% | 48.4% | 33.2% | 24.2% | 37.9% |
| R3K Balance | 36,491 | 37,089 | 33,303 | 31,051 | 137,934 |
| Annualized IRR | 17.8% | 39.8% | 18.4% | 5.2% | 22.0% |
So the bottom right hand annualized IRR of 22.0% reflects the 11 closed tranches plus the open tranches which are generally doing worse. Next week, the -14.3% in the February/Current tranche cell of the table will drop down to the "Previous tranche" row.
MFI Formula
Recall that this is an approach I started at q3 of 2014. It is formula driven - stocks over $600m market cap from $100 screen that have a dividend of 2.4% or greater. So far, it has been in a dead heat with the benchmark. This year, it is down 4% (off 6.8% last week).
| 3/31/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| HRB | $31.99 | $34.05 | $0.60 | 8.3% | -7.5% |
| GME | $37.69 | $26.21 | $1.08 | -27.6% | -7.5% |
| KING | $15.85 | $17.90 | $0.00 | 12.9% | -7.5% |
| NSU | $3.43 | $2.69 | $0.12 | -18.1% | -7.5% |
| PPC | $22.65 | $22.18 | $0.00 | -2.1% | -7.5% |
| Totals | -5.3% | -7.5% | |||
| 7/1/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| BKE | $46.45 | $28.42 | $1.71 | -35.1% | -7.5% |
| CA | $29.34 | $28.73 | $0.50 | -0.4% | -7.5% |
| MSFT | $44.42 | $55.09 | $0.67 | 25.5% | -7.5% |
| QCOM | $62.95 | $45.34 | $0.96 | -26.4% | -7.5% |
| VIAB | $64.75 | $45.64 | $0.80 | -28.3% | -7.5% |
| Totals | -12.9% | -7.5% | |||
| 10/1/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| BKE | $36.83 | $28.42 | $1.48 | -18.8% | -0.7% |
| IQNT | $21.96 | $17.18 | $0.15 | -21.1% | -0.7% |
| QCOM | $53.45 | $45.34 | $0.48 | -14.3% | -0.7% |
| CSCO | $26.37 | $23.79 | $0.42 | -8.2% | -0.7% |
| CA | $27.30 | $28.73 | $0.25 | 6.2% | -0.7% |
| Totals | -11.2% | -0.7% | |||
| 12/31/15 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| BBY | $30.31 | $27.93 | $0.00 | -7.9% | -6.1% |
| GME | $28.34 | $26.21 | $0.00 | -7.5% | -6.1% |
| IILG | $15.89 | $11.78 | $0.00 | -25.9% | -6.1% |
| PPC | $22.22 | $22.18 | $0.00 | -0.2% | -6.1% |
| VIAB | $40.93 | $45.64 | $0.00 | 11.5% | -6.1% |
| Totals | -6.0% | -6.1% |
Here is similar table showing all tranches:
| Category/Tranche | October | January | April | July | Total |
| Initial Investment | 249,820 | 249,939 | 250,180 | 249,728 | 999,667 |
| Current Tranche | -11.2% | -6.0% | -5.3% | -12.9% | -8.9% |
| Previous Tranche | 0.5% | 11.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.0% |
| Tranche -2 | 0.0% | - | - | - | 0.0% |
| MFI Overall Gain | -10.8% | 4.4% | -5.3% | -12.9% | -6.2% |
| Current Balance | 222,754 | 260,888 | 236,923 | 217,409 | 937,973 |
| R3K Current Tranche | -0.7% | -6.1% | -7.5% | -7.5% | -5.5% |
| R3K Overall Gain | -1.3% | -6.3% | -7.5% | -7.5% | -5.5% |
| R3K Balance | 246,613 | 234,136 | 231,386 | 231,060 | 943,194 |
| Annualized IRR | -8.2% | 4.0% | -6.3% | -21.0% | -6.5% |
So a start with $1m is down to 937,973. The same amount started in IWV would be at 943,194. As I said, almost a dead heat.
MFI Micro
These are two micro portfolios I started in 2015. They are micro cap stocks and I have less invested here than "normal". They have done relatively well, both beating the benchmark:
| 8/28/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| VNCE | $8.50 | $5.17 | $0.00 | -39.2% | -3.3% |
| ONE | $1.99 | $3.49 | $0.00 | 75.4% | -3.3% |
| TPUB | $11.60 | $9.34 | $0.18 | -18.0% | -3.3% |
| LQDT | $7.26 | $6.51 | $0.00 | -10.3% | -3.3% |
| PERI | $2.45 | $2.45 | $0.00 | 0.0% | -3.3% |
| Totals | 1.6% | -3.3% | |||
| 12/15/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| MGIC | $5.38 | $5.68 | $0.00 | 5.6% | -5.8% |
| BSQR | $6.00 | $6.15 | $0.00 | 2.5% | -5.8% |
| SPCB | $4.52 | $5.21 | $0.00 | 15.3% | -5.8% |
| WLDN | $8.64 | $8.56 | $0.00 | -0.9% | -5.8% |
| MNDO | $2.58 | $2.36 | $0.00 | -8.5% | -5.8% |
| Totals | - | 2.8% | -5.8% |
For the year, they are down 2.2%. Feels like a win.
Dividends/Warrants
The SJT pop really helped this group.
| Div and Warrants | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | Pct Gain Last Week | Year End 2015 |
| BAC-WTA | $5.86 | $4.25 | $0.00 | -27.5% | -33.5% | -3.6% |
| AOD | $7.65 | $7.12 | $1.19 | 8.5% | 5.9% | 15.3% |
| JQC | $7.82 | $7.51 | $0.10 | -2.6% | -4.2% | 0.9% |
| CSQ | $9.04 | $8.89 | $1.50 | 14.9% | 11.3% | 27.3% |
| NTC | $12.06 | $12.83 | $1.29 | 17.0% | 15.3% | 16.1% |
| TGONF | $10.24 | $9.20 | $1.19 | 1.5% | 0.1% | 8.3% |
| HIG-WT | $21.24 | $32.40 | $0.00 | 52.6% | 44.8% | 72.9% |
| O | $22.83 | $55.79 | $17.96 | 223.1% | 214.5% | 205.7% |
| OIBAX | $5.04 | $5.50 | $2.15 | 51.6% | 50.8% | 51.9% |
| SJT | $8.79 | $6.22 | $0.16 | -27.4% | -46.0% | -51.6% |
| REXI | $5.59 | $4.36 | $0.07 | -20.8% | -21.2% | -2.8% |
| Totals | 0.5% | -4.7% | 6.2% |
Pretty telling to go from -4.7% to +0.5% in just a week. And of course, this portfolio is generating an ever increasing income stream as I reinvest all my dividends.
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