Saturday, January 23, 2016

Weekend Update 1/23/16

Weekend Update

Well, it was a better week. I was actually up about 2%. Still down 8.5% on the year.  Looking at other indices:

R3K: -7.2%
MFI Index: -9.5%
GARIX: -5.1%
MFI Formula: -6.8%
MFI Select: -10.3%
MFI Micro: -6.3%
Dividend: -8.4%

MFI Select

Just one more week on the 2/1/15 tranche, it is not doing well.  I do have a list of stocks to buy that look quite reasonably priced to me.

2/1/2015 Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
VEC $28.00 $19.26 $0.00 -31.2% -4.1%
QCOM $62.73 $48.07 $1.86 -20.4% -4.1%
VIAB $63.91 $43.21 $1.53 -30.0% -4.1%
UIS $22.03 $9.53 $0.00 -56.7% -4.1%
NHTC $12.44 $19.69 $0.05 58.7% -4.1%
Totals -15.9% -4.1%
5/6/2015 Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
CBI $50.38 $34.16 $0.14 -31.9% -8.9%
PSDV $4.12 $3.57 $0.00 -13.4% -8.9%
TSRA $38.94 $27.50 $0.60 -27.8% -8.9%
KORS $62.24 $38.41 $0.00 -38.3% -8.9%
DEPO $23.50 $16.66 $0.00 -29.1% -8.9%
Totals -28.1% -8.9%
8/17/2015 Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
VDSI $18.66 $15.03 $0.00 -19.5% -9.4%
SALE $9.34 $9.00 $0.00 -3.6% -9.4%
CSCO $28.95 $23.37 $0.42 -17.8% -9.4%
TGNA $25.30 $23.42 $0.28 -6.3% -9.4%
HSII $20.14 $26.17 $0.13 30.6% -9.4%
Totals -3.3% -9.4%
11/15/2015 Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
LCI $34.01 $36.40               -   7.0% -7.4%
SAVE $34.48 $43.40               -   25.9% -7.4%
PPC $18.98 $21.66               -   14.1% -7.4%
VEC $23.60 $19.26               -   -18.4% -7.4%
VNCE $3.99 $4.57               -   14.5% -7.4%
Totals 8.6% -7.4%


Date Differential MFI Value R3K Value
12/1/2012 -2.20%          99,765            101,965
1/1/2013 -1.78%        102,798            104,575
2/1/2013 -2.26%        102,594            104,856
3/1/2013 -2.23%        102,881            105,114
4/1/2013 -0.43%        106,804            107,234
5/1/2013 2.00%        110,423            108,423
6/1/2013 4.75%        115,831            111,085
7/1/2013 4.29%        114,888            110,597
8/1/2013 6.91%        124,799            117,889
9/1/2013 10.46%        124,536            114,079
10/1/2013 19.67%        138,655            118,990
11/1/2013 19.75%        143,514            123,764
12/1/2013 23.70%        150,105            126,405
1/1/2014 26.63%        157,138            130,503
2/1/2014 24.70%        150,619            125,918
3/1/2014 25.66%        158,116            132,458
4/1/2014 30.38%        162,991            132,616
5/1/2014 29.65%        162,428            132,779
6/1/2014 31.44%        167,001            135,559
7/1/2014 39.23%        177,971            138,740
8/1/2014 31.13%        167,054            135,922
9/1/2014 35.90%        177,792            141,892
10/1/2014 29.38%        168,321            138,944
11/1/2014 26.14%        168,810            142,666
12/1/2014 30.22%        176,420            146,198
1/1/2015 28.17%        174,306            146,140
2/1/2015 20.63%        162,833            142,201
3/1/2015 25.15%        175,476            150,324
4/1/2015 29.95%        178,565            148,612
5/1/2015 37.31%        186,655            149,348
6/1/2015 51.53%        202,897            151,371
7/1/2015 62.69%        211,437            148,743
8/1/2015 40.75%        192,117            151,369
9/1/2015 36.41%        178,603            142,195
10/1/2015 43.12%        181,175            138,052
11/1/2015 69.02%        217,959            148,936
12/1/2015 73.49%        223,435            149,946
1/1/2016 63.33%        209,514            146,186
Current 51.97%        187,781            135,811


Earnings should start pouring in shortly.

MFI Formula

3/31/2015 Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
HRB $31.99 $32.69 $0.60 4.1% -8.9%
GME $37.69 $25.67 $1.08 -29.0% -8.9%
KING $15.85 $17.65 $0.00 11.3% -8.9%
NSU $3.43 $2.53 $0.12 -22.7% -8.9%
PPC $22.65 $21.66 $0.00 -4.4% -8.9%
Totals -8.1% -8.9%
7/1/2015 Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
BKE $46.45 $27.85 $0.46 -39.1% -8.9%
CA $29.34 $26.73 $0.50 -7.2% -8.9%
MSFT $44.42 $52.29 $0.67 19.2% -8.9%
QCOM $62.95 $48.07 $0.96 -22.1% -8.9%
VIAB $64.75 $43.21 $0.80 -32.0% -8.9%
Totals -16.2% -8.9%
10/1/2015 Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
BKE $36.83 $27.85 $0.23 -23.8% -2.3%
IQNT $21.96 $15.60 $0.15 -28.3% -2.3%
QCOM $53.45 $48.07 $0.48 -9.2% -2.3%
CSCO $26.37 $23.37 $0.42 -9.8% -2.3%
CA $27.30 $26.73 $0.25 -1.2% -2.3%
Totals -14.4% -2.3%
12/31/15 Stocks Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
BBY $30.31 $27.27 $0.00 -10.0% -7.6%
GME $28.34 $25.67 $0.00 -9.4% -7.6%
IILG $15.89 $12.59 $0.00 -20.8% -7.6%
PPC $22.22 $21.66 $0.00 -2.5% -7.6%
VIAB $40.93 $43.21 $0.00 5.6% -7.6%
Totals -7.4% -7.6%


Date Differential Value R3K Value
10/1/2014 0.00%        100,000            100,000
11/1/2014 1.63%        102,288            100,658
12/1/2014 0.30%        101,375            101,075
1/1/2015 -0.33%        100,664            100,995
2/1/2015 1.67%        101,281              99,611
3/1/2015 3.62%        106,073            102,454
4/1/2015 5.09%        106,781            101,695
5/1/2015 5.78%        107,859            102,077
6/1/2015 5.08%        108,213            103,134
7/1/2015 4.82%        106,423            101,604
8/1/2015 3.71%        107,112            103,404
9/1/2015 4.38%        101,523              97,139
10/1/2015 6.39%        100,703              94,312
11/1/2015 2.93%        104,835            101,907
12/1/2015 -3.48%          99,443            102,926
1/1/2016 -3.36%          96,830            100,193
Current -2.00%          91,059              92,862


MFI Micro

8/28/2015 Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
VNCE $8.50 $4.57 $0.00 -46.2% -4.8%
ONE $1.99 $3.23 $0.00 62.3% -4.8%
TPUB $11.60 $8.61 $0.18 -24.3% -4.8%
LQDT $7.26 $6.39 $0.00 -12.0% -4.8%
PERI $2.45 $2.38 $0.00 -2.9% -4.8%
Totals -4.6% -4.8%
12/15/2015 Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
MGIC $5.38 $5.52 $0.00 2.6% -7.2%
BSQR $6.00 $5.51 $0.00 -8.2% -7.2%
SPCB $4.52 $5.17 $0.00 14.4% -7.2%
WLDN $8.64 $8.37 $0.00 -3.1% -7.2%
MNDO $2.58 $2.40 $0.00 -7.1% -7.2%
Totals              -   -0.3% -7.2%


Dividends/Warrants

BAC has really hurt this group of late.  I did add to REXI, CSQ and AOD on Tuesday, which so far was a savvy move.

Div and Warrants Start Current Dividend Pct Gain Pct Gain Last Week Year End 2015
BAC-WTA $5.86 $3.90 $0.00 -33.5% -29.9% -3.6%
AOD $7.66 $6.97 $1.14 5.9% 4.5% 15.3%
JQC $7.82 $7.39 $0.10 -4.2% -3.7% 0.9%
CSQ $9.04 $8.56 $1.50 11.3% 12.6% 27.3%
NTC $12.06 $12.60 $1.30 15.3% 15.3% 16.1%
TGONF $10.24 $9.06 $1.19 0.1% 1.8% 8.3%
HIG-WT $21.24 $30.75 $0.00 44.8% 47.9% 72.9%
O $22.83 $54.04 $17.76 214.5% 206.4% 205.7%
OIBAX $5.04 $5.46 $2.15 50.8% 51.2% 51.9%
SJT $8.79 $4.60 $0.15 -46.0% -45.2% -51.6%
REXI $5.61 $4.35 $0.07 -21.2% -20.2% -2.8%
Totals -4.7% -4.1% 6.2%






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