Friday, January 08, 2016

Train Wreck

Train Wreck

Week one of the new year in the markets was a train wreck. Down about 8%. I think I saw somewhere that was the worst opening week in NYSE history.

Here is a table showing the various open MFI tracking portfolios. The first column is how everything stands today. The second column is how things were at end of 2015.

1/30/2015 -13.1% -4.5% -8.6%
2/27/2015 -21.0% -13.9% -7.2%
3/27/2015 -20.6% -13.9% -6.7%
4/24/2015 -22.6% -14.3% -8.4%
5/29/2015 -22.0% -16.0% -6.0%
6/26/2015 -18.9% -9.8% -9.1%
7/30/2015 -14.2% -4.2% -9.9%
8/28/2015 -9.1% 0.4% -9.5%
9/25/2015 -8.1% 0.6% -8.7%
10/30/2015 -13.8% -6.8% -7.0%
11/27/2015 -11.7% -4.8% -7.0%


Look at that wreck. 4 of the tranches are in bear territory, down more than 20%.  WTW is proving even Oprah can not save the day.  The "official" MFI Index is 7.4% down in first 5 trading days.  GARIX is down "just" 4.2%, I guess the sort/long is saving the day.

My MFI select is down 8.7% (hurt by NHTC)
MFI Formula down 5.2% and 
MFI Micro down 6.0%.

Not sure where things go from here, but when I go shopping for my five new select stocks on 2/1, I think I'll be getting some bargains.

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