Wednesday, July 01, 2015

New Tranche With Pretty Table

Ok, I have a laptop.  Here are my open MFI Formula tranches:

10/1/2014 Stocks Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
BAH $23.52 $25.70 $0.37 10.8% 7.9%
BKE $45.55 $45.97 $3.45 8.5% 7.9%
CA $27.87 $29.51 $0.75 8.6% 7.9%
GME $41.70 $44.12 $1.05 8.3% 7.9%
NUS $44.56 $46.92 $1.05 7.6% 7.9%
Totals 8.8% 7.9%
12/31/14 Stocks Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
CA $30.83 $29.51 $0.50 -2.6% 1.4%
CSCO $28.36 $27.35 $0.61 -1.4% 1.4%
RGR $34.81 $58.09 $0.49 68.3% 1.4%
GME $34.21 $44.12 $0.72 31.1% 1.4%
IQNT $19.87 $18.47 $0.30 -5.5% 1.4%
Totals 17.9% 1.4%
3/31/2015 Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
HRB $31.99 $29.76 $0.20 -6.3% 0.1%
GME $37.69 $44.12 $0.36 18.0% 0.1%
KING $15.85 $14.11 $0.00 -11.0% 0.1%
NSU $3.43 $3.76 $0.04 10.8% 0.1%
PPC $22.65 $23.39 $0.00 3.3% 0.1%
Totals 2.9% 0.1%
7/1/2015 Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
BKE $46.45 $45.97 $0.00 -1.0% 0.2%
CA $29.34 $29.51 $0.00 0.6% 0.2%
MSFT $44.42 $44.45 $0.00 0.1% 0.2%
QCOM $62.95 $62.90 $0.00 -0.1% 0.2%
VIAB $64.75 $64.61 $0.00 -0.2% 0.2%
Totals -0.1% 0.2%


Category/Tranche October January April July Total
Initial Investment    249,820     249,939   250,180    249,728      999,667
Current Tranche 8.8% 17.9% 2.9% -0.1% 7.4%
Previous Tranche 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tranche -2 0.0%              -              -               -   0.0%
MFI Overall Gain 8.8% 17.9% 2.9% -0.1% 7.4%
Current Balance    271,726     294,798   257,559    249,381   1,073,464
R3K Current Tranche 7.9% 1.4% 0.1% 0.2% 2.4%
R3K Overall Gain 7.9% 1.4% 0.1% 0.2% 2.4%
R3K Balance    269,477     253,391   250,481    250,128   1,023,477
Annualized IRR 11.8% 39.0% 12.1% -23.9% 20.4%

3 comments:

John Carney said...

Marsh,

My head is still hurting with 40% of your portfolio in 3 names (GME, CA, BKE). Looking at the June 27 2014 tracking portfolio you had NUS, PDLI, COH, RGR, CPLA, AND KING that did not perform well and lost money.

Is there something in your 8 years of data that suggest that this will work over time?

Marsh_Gerda said...

John - not sure I understand the question. I have posted many, many times here how a dividend approach combined with MFI going back to 2006 outperforms. And if you use the larger dividend stocks, it does even better. Can I guarantee it will work in the future? Of course not.

Is there more risk in being concentrated? Of course there is. But I am viewing this as a multi year approach, and I believe that the downsides from being concentrated overtime will be more than offset by the upsides.

John Carney said...

Thanks.