Terrible week for me. I am too depressed to even figure out how bad it was. It was like every bit of news was bad news. I had earnings from 6 or 7 of my holdings. Some were bad (like QCOM) and others were dreadful (like UIS and AWRE). The stock market will teach you humility. So I am now up 5.3% on the year. Seems like just a few weeks ago it was 14%. I had a meltdown last year from September onward, hopefully this is not a repeat.
MFI Select
Ok, I did the math. Down a smidgen over 10% this past week. Wow. I am not sure, but that has to be one of my worst MFI weeks ever. Hurt by NHTC down 25%.
| Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain | |
| $24.40 | $28.40 | $0.80 | 19.7% | 8.2% | |
| AGX | $36.71 | $37.13 | $0.70 | 3.1% | 8.2% |
| ITRN | $21.32 | $24.70 | $0.87 | 19.9% | 8.2% |
| $9.34 | $10.07 | $0.15 | 9.5% | 8.2% | |
| $58.25 | $48.80 | $0.21 | -15.9% | 8.2% | |
| Totals | 7.3% | 8.2% | |||
| Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain | |
| $64.80 | $48.06 | $0.63 | -24.9% | 3.7% | |
| IPCM | $38.45 | $51.89 | $0.00 | 35.0% | 3.7% |
| VIAB | $72.29 | $56.41 | $1.06 | -20.5% | 3.7% |
| NHTC | $12.19 | $25.22 | $0.06 | 107.4% | 3.7% |
| $4.40 | $3.38 | $0.00 | -23.2% | 3.7% | |
| Totals | 14.8% | 3.7% | |||
| 2/1/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| VEC | $28.00 | $23.73 | $0.00 | -15.3% | 5.2% |
| QCOM | $62.73 | $61.64 | $0.90 | -0.3% | 5.2% |
| VIAB | $63.91 | $56.41 | $0.73 | -10.6% | 5.2% |
| $22.03 | $16.55 | $0.00 | -24.9% | 5.2% | |
| NHTC | $12.44 | $25.22 | $0.05 | 103.1% | 5.2% |
| Totals | 10.4% | 5.2% | |||
| Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain | |
| $50.38 | $48.80 | $0.07 | -3.0% | 0.0% | |
| PSDV | $4.12 | $4.07 | $0.00 | -1.3% | 0.0% |
| TSRA | $38.94 | $34.64 | $0.20 | -10.5% | 0.0% |
| KORS | $62.24 | $39.33 | $0.00 | -36.8% | 0.0% |
| DEPO | $23.50 | $32.60 | $0.00 | 38.7% | 0.0% |
| Totals | -2.6% | 0.0% |
| Category/Tranche | August | November | February | May | Total |
| Initial Investment | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 100,000 |
| Current Tranche | 7.3% | 14.8% | 10.4% | -2.6% | 7.5% |
| Previous Tranche | 41.4% | 14.2% | 8.5% | 18.3% | 19.0% |
| Tranche -2 | 14.1% | 43.7% | 78.3% | 33.0% | 42.3% |
| MFI Overall Gain | 73.0% | 88.4% | 113.5% | 53.2% | 82.0% |
| Current Balance | 43,251 | 47,093 | 53,367 | 38,312 | 182,023 |
| R3K Current Tranche | 8.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 0.0% | 4.3% |
| R3K Overall Gain | 57.8% | 62.3% | 43.9% | 34.2% | 49.6% |
| R3K Balance | 39,446 | 40,585 | 35,975 | 33,552 | 149,558 |
| Annualized IRR | 20.5% | 26.5% | 35.8% | 21.2% | 25.8% |
| Date | Differential | MFI Value | R3K Value |
| -2.20% | 99,765 | 101,965 | |
| -1.78% | 102,798 | 104,575 | |
| -2.26% | 102,594 | 104,856 | |
| -2.23% | 102,881 | 105,114 | |
| -0.43% | 106,804 | 107,234 | |
| 2.00% | 110,423 | 108,423 | |
| 4.75% | 115,831 | 111,085 | |
| 4.29% | 114,888 | 110,597 | |
| 6.91% | 124,799 | 117,889 | |
| 10.46% | 124,536 | 114,079 | |
| 19.67% | 138,655 | 118,990 | |
| 19.75% | 143,514 | 123,764 | |
| 12/1/2013 | 23.70% | 150,105 | 126,405 |
| 1/1/2014 | 26.63% | 157,138 | 130,503 |
| 2/1/2014 | 24.70% | 150,619 | 125,918 |
| 3/1/2014 | 25.66% | 158,116 | 132,458 |
| 4/1/2014 | 30.38% | 162,991 | 132,616 |
| 29.65% | 162,428 | 132,779 | |
| 31.44% | 167,001 | 135,559 | |
| 39.23% | 177,971 | 138,740 | |
| 31.13% | 167,054 | 135,922 | |
| 35.90% | 177,792 | 141,892 | |
| 29.38% | 168,321 | 138,944 | |
| 26.14% | 168,810 | 142,666 | |
| 30.22% | 176,420 | 146,198 | |
| 28.17% | 174,306 | 146,140 | |
| 20.63% | 162,833 | 142,201 | |
| 25.15% | 175,476 | 150,324 | |
| 29.95% | 178,565 | 148,612 | |
| 37.31% | 186,655 | 149,348 | |
| 51.53% | 202,897 | 151,371 | |
| 62.69% | 211,437 | 148,743 | |
| Current | 32.47% | 182,023 | 149,558 |
This final table really tells the story, from $211,437 (assuming I started at $100K) to 182,023 since July 1st. And that is a period where R3K has edged up a bit. Hopefully I'll pull out of the tailspin.
MFI Formula
Not quite as bloody, down a bit more than 3% during the week.
| 10/1/2014 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| BAH | $23.52 | $25.83 | $0.37 | 11.4% | 7.7% |
| $45.55 | $43.43 | $3.68 | 3.4% | 7.7% | |
| CA | $27.87 | $29.08 | $0.75 | 7.0% | 7.7% |
| $41.70 | $45.49 | $1.05 | 11.6% | 7.7% | |
| $44.56 | $38.68 | $1.05 | -10.9% | 7.7% | |
| Totals | 4.5% | 7.7% | |||
| 12/31/14 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| CA | $30.83 | $29.08 | $0.50 | -4.0% | 1.2% |
| $28.36 | $28.40 | $0.61 | 2.3% | 1.2% | |
| $34.81 | $56.98 | $0.49 | 65.1% | 1.2% | |
| $34.21 | $45.49 | $0.72 | 35.1% | 1.2% | |
| IQNT | $19.87 | $17.77 | $0.30 | -9.1% | 1.2% |
| Totals | 17.9% | 1.2% | |||
| Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain | |
| $31.99 | $32.76 | $0.20 | 3.0% | -0.1% | |
| $37.69 | $45.49 | $0.36 | 21.7% | -0.1% | |
| KING | $15.85 | $15.93 | $0.00 | 0.5% | -0.1% |
| NSU | $3.43 | $3.29 | $0.04 | -2.9% | -0.1% |
| PPC | $22.65 | $19.56 | $0.00 | -13.6% | -0.1% |
| Totals | 1.7% | -0.1% | |||
| Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain | |
| $46.45 | $43.43 | $0.23 | -6.0% | 0.0% | |
| CA | $29.34 | $29.08 | $0.00 | -0.9% | 0.0% |
| $44.42 | $45.94 | $0.00 | 3.4% | 0.0% | |
| $62.95 | $61.64 | $0.00 | -2.1% | 0.0% | |
| VIAB | $64.75 | $56.41 | $0.00 | -12.9% | 0.0% |
| Totals | -3.7% | 0.0% |
So the first tranche has hit the skids a bit. Then July 1st is certainly struggling as well.
| Date | Differential | Value | R3K Value |
| 0.00% | 100,000 | 100,000 | |
| 1.63% | 102,288 | 100,658 | |
| 0.30% | 101,375 | 101,075 | |
| -0.33% | 100,664 | 100,995 | |
| 1.67% | 101,281 | 99,611 | |
| 3.62% | 106,073 | 102,454 | |
| 5.09% | 106,781 | 101,695 | |
| 5.78% | 107,859 | 102,077 | |
| 5.08% | 108,213 | 103,134 | |
| 4.82% | 106,423 | 101,604 | |
| Current | 2.91% | 105,072 | 102,163 |
I'd like to say everything else was hunky-dory, but that was not the case. Oh well, I am still up for the year. I am about to head off on vacation - just one more stress-filled week in NYC.
Have a great weekend everyone.
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