I ran the top 30 over 50m through the worksheet last night. I think today I will run the top 50 through the workbook as well. My purpose is to try and compare how the statistics change over time to give some feeling as to how the stocks are valued over time. The problem is that the ROIC is such a volatile statistic (as working capital goes to zero it goes to infinity) that it is difficult to use in averages and such, So I think the medians are more telling. I think in a top 50 ranking they will be even more telling, which is why I am going to start that today. I do have one other idea on how to compare, which is to use JGs own method, that is ranking within the ranking. Without further adieu, here is what I have so far.
Top 30 ranking:
Stock | EY | ROC | EY Rank | ROC Rank | Sum |
SNTA | 62% | 2025% | 2 | 3 | 5 |
PDLI | 18% | 173754% | 6 | 1 | 7 |
SMED | 29% | 338% | 7 | 6 | 13 |
EME | 22% | 304% | 5 | 11 | 16 |
UEPS | 14% | 1257% | 1 | 16 | 17 |
SOLR | 19% | 590% | 9 | 12 | 21 |
SNTS | 13% | 3902% | 22 | 2 | 24 |
TSRA | 19% | 277% | 20 | 5 | 25 |
USMO | 35% | 155% | 3 | 23 | 26 |
IMMU | 14% | 731% | 12 | 15 | 27 |
ONTY | 14% | 772% | 16 | 13 | 29 |
PPD | 21% | 187% | 15 | 14 | 29 |
KHD | 36% | 140% | 13 | 17 | 30 |
PVSW | 15% | 526% | 10 | 20 | 30 |
WTW | 12% | 1114% | 4 | 29 | 33 |
JCOM | 12% | 777% | 30 | 4 | 34 |
PRSC | 16% | 275% | 27 | 7 | 34 |
FRX | 21% | 176% | 26 | 9 | 35 |
CHKE | 13% | 725% | 25 | 10 | 35 |
IDCC | 19% | 180% | 11 | 24 | 35 |
XOMA | 27% | 119% | 8 | 27 | 35 |
UNTD | 15% | 233% | 29 | 8 | 37 |
LO | 13% | 650% | 18 | 19 | 37 |
CBPO | 20% | 120% | 14 | 26 | 40 |
PRGX | 14% | 196% | 23 | 21 | 44 |
CEU | 14% | 207% | 19 | 25 | 44 |
VCLK | 12% | 571% | 28 | 18 | 46 |
FLR | 18% | 134% | 24 | 22 | 46 |
VSNT | 10% | 513% | 17 | 30 | 47 |
DLX | 13% | 187% | 21 | 28 | 49 |
Comparison with various points in time:
3/19/10 | Average | 19% | 6371% |
Median | 16% | 321% | |
2/19/10 | Average | 25% | 5599% |
Median | 19% | 329% | |
11/06/09 | Average | 46% | 770% |
Median | 16% | 229% | |
07/31/09 | Average | 37% | 588% |
Median | 20% | 212% | |
04/16/09 | Average | 45% | 740% |
Median | 27% | 228% |
Here is the rankings of each 30 stocks for the 5 time periods:
Stock | Date | EY | ROC | EY Rank | ROC Rank | Sum |
SNTA | 3/19/2010 | 62% | 2025% | 10 | 11 | 21 |
SNTA | 11/7/2009 | 83% | 1354% | 8 | 16 | 24 |
SNTA | 2/19/2010 | 56% | 1354% | 11 | 17 | 28 |
snta | 1/7/2010 | 52% | 1354% | 13 | 18 | 31 |
qlti | 4/16/2009 | 177% | 988% | 5 | 26 | 31 |
vsnt | 4/16/2009 | 31% | 1581% | 29 | 12 | 41 |
ptie | 4/16/2009 | 50% | 825% | 14 | 31 | 45 |
scmp | 4/16/2009 | 27% | 1512% | 39 | 13 | 52 |
msb | 4/16/2009 | 27% | 2890% | 44 | 10 | 54 |
ptie | 7/31/2009 | 34% | 825% | 25 | 32 | 57 |
QCOR | 11/7/2009 | 24% | 10939% | 54 | 4 | 58 |
qcor | 4/16/2009 | 25% | 7841% | 51 | 7 | 58 |
pdli | 1/7/2010 | 22% | 145094% | 65 | 2 | 67 |
vsnt | 7/31/2009 | 25% | 1287% | 50 | 19 | 69 |
elnk | 1/7/2010 | 44% | 658% | 15 | 54 | 69 |
PDLI | 2/19/2010 | 21% | 145094% | 68 | 3 | 71 |
SMED | 2/19/2010 | 20% | 10939% | 74 | 5 | 79 |
cytk | 1/7/2010 | 29% | 707% | 35 | 46 | 81 |
khd | 7/31/2009 | 318% | 311% | 2 | 79 | 81 |
scmp | 7/31/2009 | 20% | 1512% | 72 | 14 | 86 |
SOLR | 11/7/2009 | 23% | 831% | 56 | 30 | 86 |
khd | 4/16/2009 | 176% | 311% | 6 | 80 | 86 |
PDLI | 3/19/2010 | 18% | 173754% | 94 | 1 | 95 |
qcor | 1/7/2010 | 18% | 10939% | 95 | 6 | 101 |
divx | 4/16/2009 | 32% | 323% | 27 | 74 | 101 |
KHD | 11/7/2009 | 794% | 220% | 1 | 101 | 102 |
prgx | 4/16/2009 | 35% | 303% | 22 | 82 | 104 |
SMED | 3/19/2010 | 29% | 338% | 34 | 72 | 106 |
EME | 2/19/2010 | 27% | 343% | 42 | 69 | 111 |
qcor | 7/31/2009 | 17% | 7841% | 108 | 8 | 116 |
solr | 4/16/2009 | 20% | 761% | 81 | 37 | 118 |
EME | 11/7/2009 | 26% | 343% | 48 | 70 | 118 |
prgx | 7/31/2009 | 27% | 303% | 41 | 83 | 124 |
eme | 1/7/2010 | 23% | 343% | 57 | 71 | 128 |
UEPS | 2/19/2010 | 22% | 338% | 61 | 73 | 134 |
vclk | 1/7/2010 | 17% | 967% | 109 | 27 | 136 |
endp | 1/7/2010 | 18% | 821% | 103 | 33 | 136 |
hckt | 4/16/2009 | 27% | 244% | 43 | 93 | 136 |
SOLR | 2/19/2010 | 18% | 821% | 106 | 34 | 140 |
ghm | 4/16/2009 | 28% | 207% | 36 | 105 | 141 |
mtxx | 7/31/2009 | 187% | 150% | 3 | 138 | 141 |
EME | 3/19/2010 | 22% | 304% | 62 | 81 | 143 |
ctcm | 4/16/2009 | 20% | 366% | 80 | 67 | 147 |
ONTY | 11/7/2009 | 15% | 1371% | 133 | 15 | 148 |
solr | 7/31/2009 | 17% | 761% | 110 | 38 | 148 |
SOLR | 3/19/2010 | 19% | 590% | 91 | 57 | 148 |
eme | 7/31/2009 | 25% | 225% | 49 | 100 | 149 |
SNTS | 2/19/2010 | 16% | 914% | 122 | 28 | 150 |
USMO | 11/7/2009 | 40% | 153% | 17 | 134 | 151 |
usmo | 1/7/2010 | 41% | 153% | 16 | 135 | 151 |
PRGX | 11/7/2009 | 20% | 321% | 76 | 76 | 152 |
VSNT | 11/7/2009 | 15% | 1031% | 128 | 25 | 153 |
USMO | 2/19/2010 | 15% | 1257% | 132 | 22 | 154 |
ntri | 4/16/2009 | 23% | 237% | 58 | 96 | 154 |
kfy | 4/16/2009 | 25% | 219% | 52 | 102 | 154 |
TSRA | 2/19/2010 | 39% | 153% | 18 | 136 | 154 |
USMO | 3/19/2010 | 35% | 155% | 24 | 131 | 155 |
airv | 4/16/2009 | 18% | 514% | 97 | 62 | 159 |
tra | 4/16/2009 | 29% | 156% | 32 | 130 | 162 |
KHD | 3/19/2010 | 36% | 140% | 21 | 142 | 163 |
UEPS | 3/19/2010 | 14% | 1257% | 142 | 23 | 165 |
solr | 1/7/2010 | 16% | 689% | 118 | 48 | 166 |
ONTY | 2/19/2010 | 35% | 140% | 23 | 143 | 166 |
usmo | 4/16/2009 | 37% | 135% | 20 | 146 | 166 |
SNTS | 3/19/2010 | 13% | 3902% | 159 | 9 | 168 |
cray | 4/16/2009 | 178% | 103% | 4 | 164 | 168 |
PPD | 2/19/2010 | 20% | 277% | 83 | 86 | 169 |
KHD | 2/19/2010 | 17% | 590% | 112 | 58 | 170 |
jcom | 1/7/2010 | 15% | 672% | 125 | 51 | 176 |
ppd | 4/16/2009 | 21% | 192% | 66 | 110 | 176 |
deck | 4/16/2009 | 37% | 114% | 19 | 157 | 176 |
vsnt | 1/7/2010 | 14% | 914% | 148 | 29 | 177 |
PVSW | 2/19/2010 | 15% | 731% | 136 | 41 | 177 |
PRSC | 2/19/2010 | 18% | 321% | 100 | 77 | 177 |
TSRA | 3/19/2010 | 19% | 277% | 90 | 87 | 177 |
WTW | 2/19/2010 | 159% | 99% | 7 | 170 | 177 |
eme | 4/16/2009 | 27% | 144% | 38 | 141 | 179 |
tsra | 1/7/2010 | 18% | 279% | 96 | 84 | 180 |
usmo | 7/31/2009 | 29% | 135% | 33 | 147 | 180 |
IMMU | 2/19/2010 | 22% | 176% | 59 | 122 | 181 |
prgx | 1/7/2010 | 18% | 321% | 105 | 78 | 183 |
JCOM | 2/19/2010 | 31% | 119% | 30 | 154 | 184 |
iphs | 4/16/2009 | 64% | 81% | 9 | 176 | 185 |
PPD | 3/19/2010 | 21% | 187% | 69 | 117 | 186 |
IMMU | 3/19/2010 | 14% | 731% | 146 | 42 | 188 |
GIGM | 11/7/2009 | 19% | 237% | 92 | 97 | 189 |
iphs | 7/31/2009 | 55% | 81% | 12 | 177 | 189 |
PPD | 11/7/2009 | 20% | 188% | 77 | 113 | 190 |
gni | 7/31/2009 | 15% | 497% | 126 | 65 | 191 |
ONTY | 3/19/2010 | 14% | 772% | 156 | 36 | 192 |
ghm | 7/31/2009 | 26% | 136% | 47 | 145 | 192 |
AGX | 11/7/2009 | 12% | 1259% | 172 | 21 | 193 |
IMMU | 11/7/2009 | 14% | 738% | 155 | 39 | 194 |
FRX | 3/19/2010 | 21% | 176% | 71 | 123 | 194 |
ueps | 1/7/2010 | 11% | 1275% | 175 | 20 | 195 |
ctcm | 7/31/2009 | 15% | 366% | 127 | 68 | 195 |
tsra | 4/16/2009 | 19% | 194% | 86 | 109 | 195 |
XOMA | 3/19/2010 | 27% | 119% | 40 | 155 | 195 |
int | 4/16/2009 | 21% | 171% | 70 | 126 | 196 |
rgr | 1/7/2010 | 30% | 103% | 31 | 165 | 196 |
WTW | 3/19/2010 | 12% | 1114% | 173 | 24 | 197 |
khd | 1/7/2010 | 24% | 140% | 53 | 144 | 197 |
divx | 7/31/2009 | 15% | 323% | 123 | 75 | 198 |
FRX | 2/19/2010 | 20% | 188% | 84 | 114 | 198 |
PVSW | 3/19/2010 | 15% | 526% | 139 | 60 | 199 |
TSRA | 11/7/2009 | 16% | 279% | 115 | 85 | 200 |
ppd | 1/7/2010 | 19% | 188% | 85 | 115 | 200 |
fix | 4/16/2009 | 32% | 95% | 28 | 173 | 201 |
PRSC | 3/19/2010 | 16% | 275% | 113 | 89 | 202 |
RGR | 11/7/2009 | 28% | 103% | 37 | 166 | 203 |
IDCC | 2/19/2010 | 13% | 725% | 161 | 43 | 204 |
CHKE | 2/19/2010 | 14% | 672% | 152 | 52 | 204 |
GHM | 11/7/2009 | 18% | 209% | 101 | 103 | 204 |
ahci | 4/16/2009 | 26% | 112% | 46 | 158 | 204 |
egy | 7/31/2009 | 34% | 74% | 26 | 178 | 204 |
JCOM | 3/19/2010 | 12% | 777% | 170 | 35 | 205 |
amed | 11/7/2009 | 16% | 246% | 114 | 92 | 206 |
ppd | 7/31/2009 | 18% | 198% | 99 | 107 | 206 |
lo | 7/31/2009 | 13% | 700% | 160 | 47 | 207 |
JCOM | 11/7/2009 | 14% | 672% | 154 | 53 | 207 |
CHKE | 3/19/2010 | 13% | 725% | 164 | 44 | 208 |
untd | 1/7/2010 | 16% | 255% | 119 | 90 | 209 |
IDCC | 3/19/2010 | 19% | 180% | 88 | 121 | 209 |
immu | 1/7/2010 | 12% | 738% | 171 | 40 | 211 |
hckt | 7/31/2009 | 16% | 244% | 117 | 94 | 211 |
UNTD | 2/19/2010 | 14% | 526% | 151 | 61 | 212 |
XOMA | 2/19/2010 | 26% | 103% | 45 | 167 | 212 |
chke | 1/7/2010 | 13% | 725% | 168 | 45 | 213 |
fwlt | 7/31/2009 | 20% | 146% | 73 | 140 | 213 |
LO | 11/7/2009 | 13% | 674% | 167 | 49 | 216 |
PVSW | 11/7/2009 | 14% | 464% | 150 | 66 | 216 |
FIX | 11/7/2009 | 22% | 117% | 60 | 156 | 216 |
PRGX | 2/19/2010 | 13% | 650% | 163 | 55 | 218 |
lo | 1/7/2010 | 13% | 674% | 169 | 50 | 219 |
PRIM | 11/7/2009 | 20% | 150% | 82 | 137 | 219 |
LO | 3/19/2010 | 13% | 650% | 166 | 56 | 222 |
CBPO | 2/19/2010 | 19% | 160% | 93 | 129 | 222 |
br | 7/31/2009 | 15% | 277% | 135 | 88 | 223 |
tra | 7/31/2009 | 23% | 100% | 55 | 169 | 224 |
cf | 1/7/2010 | 22% | 109% | 63 | 163 | 226 |
LO | 2/19/2010 | 20% | 120% | 75 | 152 | 227 |
exbd | 4/16/2009 | 21% | 109% | 67 | 161 | 228 |
UNTD | 3/19/2010 | 15% | 233% | 130 | 99 | 229 |
int | 7/31/2009 | 18% | 171% | 102 | 127 | 229 |
CBPO | 3/19/2010 | 20% | 120% | 78 | 153 | 231 |
VM | 11/7/2009 | 16% | 189% | 120 | 112 | 232 |
VCLK | 3/19/2010 | 12% | 571% | 174 | 59 | 233 |
dyai.pk | 1/7/2010 | 14% | 251% | 144 | 91 | 235 |
VSNT | 2/19/2010 | 15% | 242% | 140 | 95 | 235 |
fix | 7/31/2009 | 22% | 95% | 64 | 174 | 238 |
frx | 1/7/2010 | 18% | 155% | 107 | 132 | 239 |
VSNT | 3/19/2010 | 10% | 513% | 177 | 63 | 240 |
FLR | 2/19/2010 | 10% | 513% | 178 | 64 | 242 |
CEU | 2/19/2010 | 16% | 171% | 121 | 124 | 245 |
CEU | 3/19/2010 | 14% | 207% | 143 | 104 | 247 |
VCLK | 2/19/2010 | 19% | 111% | 89 | 159 | 248 |
PRGX | 3/19/2010 | 14% | 196% | 141 | 108 | 249 |
FLR | 3/19/2010 | 18% | 134% | 104 | 148 | 252 |
DLX | 11/7/2009 | 15% | 185% | 134 | 119 | 253 |
dlx | 7/31/2009 | 15% | 187% | 138 | 116 | 254 |
cbi | 7/31/2009 | 20% | 89% | 79 | 175 | 254 |
gigm | 7/31/2009 | 14% | 237% | 157 | 98 | 255 |
cski | 7/31/2009 | 19% | 100% | 87 | 168 | 255 |
FLR | 11/7/2009 | 17% | 134% | 111 | 149 | 260 |
exbd | 7/31/2009 | 18% | 109% | 98 | 162 | 260 |
RTN | 11/7/2009 | 15% | 147% | 124 | 139 | 263 |
dlx | 1/7/2010 | 14% | 185% | 145 | 120 | 265 |
CEU | 11/7/2009 | 13% | 191% | 165 | 111 | 276 |
jtx | 7/31/2009 | 14% | 169% | 149 | 128 | 277 |
DLX | 3/19/2010 | 13% | 187% | 162 | 118 | 280 |
JTX | 11/7/2009 | 14% | 153% | 147 | 133 | 280 |
DLX | 2/19/2010 | 15% | 122% | 131 | 150 | 281 |
she | 1/7/2010 | 10% | 199% | 176 | 106 | 282 |
jtx | 1/7/2010 | 14% | 171% | 158 | 125 | 283 |
CBI | 11/7/2009 | 16% | 99% | 116 | 171 | 287 |
idcc | 1/7/2010 | 15% | 122% | 137 | 151 | 288 |
CBST | 11/7/2009 | 15% | 110% | 129 | 160 | 289 |
cbi | 1/7/2010 | 14% | 99% | 153 | 172 | 325 |
Then here is the average ranking of each of the 5 time periods:
Row Labels | Average of Sum |
4/16/2009 | 136 |
2/19/2010 | 179 |
1/7/2010 | 186 |
7/31/2009 | 188 |
3/19/2010 | 190 |
11/7/2009 | 193 |
Grand Total | 179 |
So while this doesn't give us absolute values, it does show things on a relative basis. 4/16 was clearly when things were cheapest. Interestingly 11/7/09 was the least cheap.
1 comment:
Marsh,
Instead of averaging ROIC the way you implied you should probably average the invested capital (and the returns) over a period of time and then calculate the ratio. That makes more sense, IMHO.
Free Speech
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