Saturday, March 06, 2010

Game Plan

I took a longer look at the aging of my portfolio and the continuing transition. I figured out that I need to buy 6 stocks between now and the end of May. Then in April, May and June I have 9 stocks that will be hitting their one year. I am going to be increasing slightly my $ per stock. Of the 9 stocks, I think I will hold the following for another year: UTA, ENDP, UEPS and FRX... I may (should) rebalance these to my new target investment per stock... I will be selling HCKT, JTX, PFE, CHCG and WILC. So I will need 5 additional stocks in that stretch.

Speaking of UTA, they officially announce their earnings on Monday, but they released their 10-K on Friday and I was not pleased. Their revenues were higher than a year ago, but income was flat. They were clearly discounting to gain market share. These Chinese stocks are ultra sensitive to so-so earnings, so I expect a blood bath on Monday.

Finally, I show my mechanical portfolio (top 50 below). The stocks from March 6th 2009 close out, it was an ungodly group. Six stock (4 in top 50 and 2 in top 30) up an average of 142%, compared to 69% for S&P, outperformance of 73%!

Symbol
Original Current Dividend S&P O S&P D Stock Chg S&P Chg Diff
EXBD 3/6/09 12.96 26.21 0.74 68.92 2.18 105.6% 68.9% 36.7%
DISH 3/6/09 9.27 21.18 - 68.92 2.18 128.5% 68.9% 59.6%
QLTI 3/6/09 1.41 4.90 - 68.92 2.18 247.5% 68.9% 178.6%
SRDX 3/6/09 16.87 19.87 - 68.92 2.18 17.8% 68.9% -51.1%
INFI 4/16/09 5.83 6.28 - 87.08 1.62 7.7% 33.1% -25.3%
CRAY 5/1/09 3.98 5.94 - 87.89 1.62 49.2% 31.8% 17.4%
TWX 5/1/09 22.84 30.54 - 87.89 1.62 33.7% 31.8% 1.9%
RST 5/1/09 29.83 21.80 - 87.89 1.62 -26.9% 31.8% -58.7%
ulcm 5/1/09 8.72 9.94 - 87.89 1.62 14.0% 31.8% -17.8%
AAV 5/15/09 3.41 7.38 - 88.71 1.62 116.4% 30.6% 85.8%
AMED 5/29/09 30.43 60.06 - 92.53 1.62 97.4% 25.2% 72.2%
UTA 5/29/09 7.90 10.85 - 92.53 1.62 37.3% 25.2% 12.1%
PFE 6/5/09 14.51 17.48 - 94.55 1.62 20.5% 22.5% -2.1%
VM 6/5/09 4.55 5.50 - 94.55 1.62 20.9% 22.5% -1.7%
ONTY 6/11/09 2.60 4.95 - 95.08 1.62 90.4% 21.9% 68.5%
BPI 6/19/09 16.74 20.43 - 92.04 1.10 22.0% 25.3% -3.3%
GME 6/19/09 22.95 18.08 - 92.04 1.10 -21.2% 25.3% -46.5%
SHAW 7/10/09 23.69 35.29 - 87.96 1.10 49.0% 31.1% 17.8%
RTN 7/24/09 45.39 57.11 0.62 98.06 1.10 27.2% 17.6% 9.6%
CBZ 7/31/09 6.54 6.39 - 98.81 1.10 -2.3% 16.7% -19.0%
CBI 7/31/09 13.95 22.35 - 98.81 1.10 60.2% 16.7% 43.5%
DRC 7/31/09 29.11 31.04 - 98.81 1.10 6.6% 16.7% -10.1%
JEC 7/31/09 40.98 41.44 - 98.81 1.10 1.1% 16.7% -15.6%
NPSP 7/31/09 3.89 3.99 - 98.81 1.10 2.6% 16.7% -14.2%
ASGN 7/31/09 4.23 6.98 - 98.81 1.10 65.0% 16.7% 48.3%
AGX 8/7/09 12.35 15.56 - 98.81 1.10 26.0% 16.7% 9.3%
BBND 8/7/09 4.00 2.98 - 98.81 1.10 -25.5% 16.7% -42.2%
LHCG 8/7/09 24.55 31.61 - 98.81 1.10 28.8% 16.7% 12.0%
RGR 8/7/09 11.45 12.55 - 98.81 1.10 9.6% 16.7% -7.1%
PRIM 8/7/09 6.95 8.72 0.05 100.79 1.10 26.2% 14.4% 11.7%
SEPR 8/7/09 18.12 23.00 - 100.79 1.10 26.9% 14.4% 12.5%
CEU 8/21/09 5.10 6.15 - 102.96 1.10 20.6% 12.0% 8.6%
CYTK 8/21/09 3.04 3.38 - 102.96 1.10 11.2% 12.0% -0.8%
CMFO 8/28/09 4.55 6.36 - 102.96 1.10 39.8% 12.0% 27.7%
NAVR 9/4/09 1.79 2.03 - 102.60 1.10 13.4% 12.4% 1.0%
WTW 9/11/09 26.00 24.67 0.35 104.77 1.10 -3.8% 10.1% -13.9%
MIPS 9/18/09 3.72 4.25 - 106.72 1.10 14.2% 8.1% 6.2%
ESI 10/30/09 90.35 110.92 - 103.56 0.59 22.8% 10.9% 11.9%
VRSK 10/30/09 27.43 27.38 - 103.56 0.59 -0.2% 10.9% -11.1%
APOL 11/6/09 55.99 62.39 - 107.13 0.59 11.4% 7.2% 4.2%
CBST 11/6/09 17.60 21.75 - 107.13 0.59 23.6% 7.2% 16.4%
SNTA 11/6/09 3.20 4.42 - 107.13 0.59 38.1% 7.2% 30.9%
IMMU 11/6/09 3.61 3.56 - 107.13 0.59 -1.4% 7.2% -8.6%
PBH 11/13/09 6.95 8.55 - 109.62 0.59 23.0% 4.8% 18.3%
IDCC 11/20/09 23.56 25.78 - 109.43 0.59 9.4% 4.9% 4.5%
PDLI 11/27/09 6.63 7.04 - 109.57 0.59 6.2% 4.8% 1.4%
CBPO 12/4/09 9.06 9.59 - 111.01 0.59 5.8% 3.5% 2.4%
XOMA 12/4/09 0.72 0.50 - 111.01 0.59 -30.1% 3.5% -33.5%
SHE 12/31/09 5.15 9.09 - 111.44 - 76.5% 2.5% 74.0%
RAI 1/15/10 53.81 54.74 - 113.64 - 1.7% 0.5% 1.2%
TRMS 1/15/10 2.45 2.42 - 113.64 - -1.2% 0.5% -1.8%
SAI 1/15/10 18.90 19.31 - 113.64 - 2.2% 0.5% 1.6%
NATH 1/28/10 14.70 15.73 - 108.57 - 7.0% 5.2% 1.8%
SMED 2/5/10 6.74 6.91 - 106.66 - 2.5% 7.1% -4.6%
SPMD 2/5/10 36.63 41.00 - 106.66 - 11.9% 7.1% 4.8%
UIS 2/5/10 34.25 38.93 - 106.66 - 13.7% 7.1% 6.5%
QKLS 2/12/10 5.69 6.21 - 108.04 - 9.1% 5.7% 3.4%
MGIC 2/12/10 1.78 1.82 - 108.04 - 2.2% 5.7% -3.5%
ESIC 2/19/10 2.07 2.10 - 111.14 - 1.4% 2.8% -1.3%
ODSY 2/19/10 17.89 17.69 - 111.14 - -1.1% 2.8% -3.9%
HRB 2/26/10 17.28 16.69 - 110.74 - -3.4% 3.2% -6.6%
TNDM 2/26/10 16.12 17.55 - 110.74 - 8.9% 3.2% 5.7%
DEXO 2/26/10 29.80 30.00 - 110.74 - 0.7% 3.2% -2.5%






Top 50 Portfolio







Totals 21.5% 2.5% 19.1%
54.8% of stocks beat the S&P 500 Benchmark
Closed 20.2% -2.7% 22.9%
S&P C

114.25

Open 36.6% 22.5% 14.2%

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