Tuesday, February 16, 2010

CF Reports Decent Earnings

CF gave an indication why Yara is buying TRA. They are quite bullish about the future as they announced earnings this morning (UPDATE - CF net, sales drop, sees strong spring; shares up). I am not sure how to benchmark a fair price for CF given the TRA purchase. Last I looked AGU was offering about $109 for CF... perhaps $120? TRA did go for a 25% premium... that would be almost $130.

Speaking of buyouts, I saw another interesting one today... not MFI related, but one could have made a pretty penny. Simon Properties (owner of your local mall) is buying General Growth Properties (which I thought was bankrupt) for $6 a share, plus ownership in SPG. Check out their one year chart:

Basic ChartGet Basic Chart(s) for:


GEN GROWTH PROP INC (PNK) Edit
Range:1d 5d 3m 6m 1y 2y 5y max Type:Bar | Line | CandleScale:Linear | LogSize:M | L
Compare:GGWPQ.PK vs S&P Nasdaq Dow
Want more control over the chart? Try our Interactive Chart.
Chart for General Growth Properties Inc. (GGWPQ.PK)

About 50 cents a share a year ago... now over $12.

Here are my current holdings, I haven't updated in a while, I am 21% in cash. I may buy ARRS this week...

WILC 227%
KHD 43%
SHE 87%
AMED 67%
CBI 56%
UEPS 41%
CMFO 52%
BR 33%
AGX 29%
UTA 24%
PFE 29%
RTN 21%
BIOC 18%
CF 16%
ENDP 21%
CYTK 21%
HCKT 13%
CEU 17%
FRX 28%
WTW 12%
BKE 17%
IDCC 9%
LIWA 5%
PRIM 11%
RGR 9%
KSW 10%
UIS 5%
ESI 5%
PVSW 5%
GXDX 2%
QKLS 0%
RAI -3%
TRMS -4%
JCOM -10%
CBPO -12%
QCOR -19%
GTLS -15%
TSRA -20%
GIGM -40%
CHCG -51%
JTX -56%
Grand Total 12%


I did run my cruncher this morning on the top 50 greater than 250k. Here they are ranked:

Row Labels EY ROC Total Mkt Cap
PDLI 22% 145094% 6 1,124
QCOR 20% 10939% 12 294
TSRA 21% 277% 15 937
ENDP 18% 821% 20 2,340
USMO 40% 153% 20 259
PPD 20% 188% 23 447
KHD 48% 140% 24 393
UEPS 15% 1257% 25 790
UNTD 18% 255% 26 531
SPMD 20% 160% 28 5,070
JCOM 15% 672% 30 933
FIX 21% 106% 35 439
LO 13% 650% 38 11,972
GTLS 24% 80% 39 469
VGR 13% 243% 39 979
UIS 16% 147% 41 1,510
FLR 17% 130% 41 7,989
TPC 30% 69% 42 985
DLX 14% 187% 42 889
WTW 11% 1099% 43 2,231
PRIM 17% 125% 44 277
CTCM 12% 261% 44 2,124
KBR 21% 71% 44 2,962
PBH 13% 207% 45 370
COCO 19% 88% 45 1,227
ARO 16% 128% 46 2,367
NSR 12% 235% 46 1,717
RTN 14% 150% 46 20,741
CSKI 19% 81% 47 300
TRLG 20% 78% 48 464
CNU 13% 145% 51 271
ARRS 17% 84% 52 1,335
SOHU 13% 153% 52 1,878
VIA 12% 179% 52 18,684
BKE 15% 96% 53 1,347
DRC 15% 99% 53 2,519
EXBD 12% 98% 66 739
CHBT 13% 76% 67 357
SAI 12% 88% 70 7,275

Finally, here is the most recent top 30 mechinical portfolio standings:

Symbol
Original Current Dividend S&P O S&P D Stock Chg S&P Chg Diff
DELL 2/21/09 8.41 14.14 - 77.42 2.18 68.1% 44.6% 23.6%
SOLR 2/21/09 4.22 5.87 - 77.42 2.18 39.1% 44.6% -5.5%
DECK 2/28/09 41.27 101.32 - 73.93 2.18 145.5% 51.4% 94.1%
FWLT 2/28/09 15.04 27.97 - 73.93 2.18 86.0% 51.4% 34.6%
HCKT 2/28/09 2.56 2.59 - 73.93 2.18 1.2% 51.4% -50.2%
MWW 2/28/09 6.59 14.68 - 73.93 2.18 122.8% 51.4% 71.4%
PTIE 2/28/09 4.53 6.05 - 73.93 2.18 33.6% 51.4% -17.8%
TRLG 2/28/09 10.22 19.27 - 73.93 2.18 88.6% 51.4% 37.2%
qlti 3/6/09 1.41 4.68 - 68.92 2.18 231.9% 62.4% 169.5%
exbd 3/6/09 12.96 22.33 0.74 68.92 2.18 78.0% 62.4% 15.6%
FIX 3/13/09 9.73 11.45
76.09 2.18 17.7% 47.1% -29.4%
DBTK 3/13/09 6.65 8.48 - 76.09 2.18 27.5% 47.1% -19.6%
LOOP 3/13/09 5.77 9.50 - 76.09 2.18 64.6% 47.1% 17.6%
PRO 3/27/09 4.29 8.31 - 81.61 1.62 93.7% 36.4% 57.3%
ACN 4/9/09 27.71 40.84 - 85.81 1.62 47.4% 29.8% 17.6%
INFI 4/16/09 5.83 6.37 - 87.08 1.62 9.3% 27.9% -18.6%
TSRA 5/1/09 14.52 19.16 - 87.89 1.62 32.0% 26.7% 5.3%
RST 5/1/09 29.83 17.12 - 87.89 1.62 -42.6% 26.7% -69.3%
ulcm 5/1/09 8.72 9.97 - 87.89 1.62 14.3% 26.7% -12.4%
TYPE 5/1/09 3.80 9.33 - 87.89 1.62 145.5% 26.7% 118.8%
CRAY 5/1/09 3.98 5.35 - 87.89 1.62 34.4% 26.7% 7.7%
INT 5/8/09 41.90 47.06 - 92.98 1.62 12.3% 19.8% -7.4%
IPHS 5/15/09 15.03 20.50 - 88.71 1.62 36.4% 25.5% 10.9%
GNI 5/29/09 86.75 90.89 3.60 92.53 1.62 8.9% 20.3% -11.4%
UTA 5/29/09 7.90 9.80 - 92.53 1.62 24.1% 20.3% 3.7%
FRX 6/5/09 23.66 29.52 - 94.55 1.62 24.8% 17.8% 7.0%
ONTY 6/11/09 2.60 5.19 - 95.08 1.62 99.6% 17.1% 82.5%
VM 6/11/09 4.24 5.50 - 95.08 1.62 29.7% 17.1% 12.6%
BPI 6/19/09 16.74 15.25 - 92.04 0.51 -8.9% 19.8% -28.7%
MTXX 7/2/09 5.77 4.73 - 91.84 0.51 -18.0% 20.0% -38.1%
JTX 7/2/09 5.74 2.44 - 91.84 0.51 -57.5% 20.0% -77.5%
GIGM 7/24/09 4.98 3.02 - 98.06 0.51 -39.4% 12.4% -51.8%
CBI 7/31/09 13.95 21.27 - 98.81 0.51 52.5% 11.6% 40.9%
BR 7/31/09 17.27 21.64 0.28 98.81 0.51 26.9% 11.6% 15.4%
LO 7/31/09 73.72 75.60 - 98.81 0.51 2.6% 11.6% -9.0%
ITWO 8/7/09 14.36 19.73 - 101.20 0.51 37.4% 8.9% 28.5%
BKE 8/14/09 26.54 29.12 2.00 100.79 0.51 17.3% 9.4% 7.9%
GTLS 8/14/09 20.73 16.61 - 100.79 0.51 -19.9% 9.4% -29.3%
PRIM 8/14/09 6.95 8.11 0.05 100.79 0.51 17.4% 9.4% 8.0%
SEPR 8/14/09 18.12 23.00 - 100.79 0.51 26.9% 9.4% 17.5%
PVSW 8/14/09 5.00 5.21 - 100.79 0.51 4.2% 9.4% -5.2%
CEU 8/21/09 5.10 6.31 - 102.96 0.51 23.7% 7.1% 16.6%
cytk 8/28/09 3.04 3.13 - 103.38 0.51 3.0% 6.6% -3.7%
jcom 8/28/09 22.14 20.72 - 103.38 0.51 -6.4% 6.6% -13.1%
AMED 9/4/09 35.00 59.80 - 102.06 0.51 70.9% 8.0% 62.8%
MIPS 9/18/09 3.72 4.13 - 106.72 0.51 11.0% 3.3% 7.7%
MHP 9/25/09 23.67 34.50 0.23 104.45 0.59 46.7% 5.6% 41.1%
AGX 10/16/09 12.50 15.93 - 108.89 0.59 27.4% 1.3% 26.1%
BBND 10/30/09 3.70 2.99 - 103.56 0.59 -19.2% 6.5% -25.7%
FLR 10/30/09 44.42 45.49 - 103.56 0.59 2.4% 6.5% -4.1%
RGR 10/30/09 10.62 11.50 - 103.56 0.59 8.3% 6.5% 1.7%
RTN 10/30/09 45.28 54.50 0.31 103.56 0.59 21.0% 6.5% 14.5%
VRSK 10/30/09 27.43 28.25 - 103.56 0.59 3.0% 6.5% -3.5%
immu 11/6/09 3.61 3.05 - 107.13 0.59 -15.5% 3.0% -18.5%
cbst 11/6/09 17.60 20.96 - 107.13 0.59 19.1% 3.0% 16.1%
snta 11/6/09 3.20 4.08 - 107.13 0.59 27.5% 3.0% 24.5%
CNU 11/13/09 3.10 4.48 - 109.62 0.59 44.5% 0.6% 43.9%
IDCC 11/20/09 23.56 25.72 - 109.43 0.59 9.2% 0.8% 8.3%
PDLI 11/27/09 6.63 6.88 - 109.57 0.59 3.8% 0.7% 3.1%
ARO 12/4/09 28.95 35.04 - 111.01 0.59 21.0% -0.6% 21.6%
CBPO 12/4/09 9.06 8.02 - 111.01 0.59 -11.5% -0.6% -10.9%
SHE 12/31/09 5.15 9.95 - 111.44 - 93.2% -1.5% 94.7%
SMED 2/5/10 6.74 7.95 - 106.66 - 18.0% 2.9% 15.1%
SPMD 2/5/10 36.63 34.04 - 106.66 - -7.1% 2.9% -10.0%
XOMA 2/5/10 0.42 0.46 - 106.66 - 9.8% 2.9% 6.9%
















Totals 22.8% 5.2% 17.5%
63.3% of stocks beat the S&P 500 Benchmark
Closed 14.1% -9.9% 24.0%
S&P C

109.74

Open 31.1% 19.7% 11.4%

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