Just for fun (ok I am a little bored), I looked back at the 295 individual stocks which have been in my mechanical portfolios since January 2008. Here are a few useless statistics:
- 21 stocks have appeared on the top 50 list and top 30 list at the same time (footnote: the top 50 list before April 2009 was the top 100 list and the top 30 was the top 25... so I expect it to become more common). The 21 stocks have gone up an average of 42% and out-performed the benchmark by 36%. I list the 21 below. CBI will be the 22nd.
- I was curious to see if there was a correlation between market cap and performance. There was absolutely now strict correlation. But then I tried seeing how they did in deciles. Again, no correlation, although the lowest decile has done the best, up 45%.
- I also looked to see if there was a correlation between initial price and performnce. Again, nada.
| IGC | -88% | -43% |
| ULCM.pk | -17% | -30% |
| TTWO | -43% | -24% |
| RST | -10% | -23% |
| CF | -41% | -19% |
| EXBD | 48% | 3% |
| BPI | 8% | 1% |
| DIVX | 33% | 19% |
| SOLR | 47% | 18% |
| OPTV | 47% | 20% |
| MAXY | 38% | 24% |
| INFI | 39% | 25% |
| DECK | 64% | 29% |
| NTRI | 0% | 35% |
| UTA | 77% | 69% |
| ONTY | 78% | 74% |
| TRMS | 101% | 86% |
| CRAY | 104% | 91% |
| QLTI | 145% | 100% |
| APKT | 119% | 146% |
| EGMI.OB | 139% | 158% |
I think I will buy CBI on Monday and BIOC, which was on the top 30 list a few days ago. BR and LO interest me, maybe in a few weeks if nothing new comes on the lists.
My top 30 mechanical portfolio continues to do extremely well. I did clean it up a bit on the basis of this study. I found I omitted a stock on May 1st (TSRA) and had a few dates wrong.
| Symbol | Date | Original | Current | Dividend | S&P O | S&P D | Stock Chg | S&P Chg | Diff |
| DTPI | 2/2/08 | 4.75 | 2.60 | 0.35 | 139.58 | 2.72 | -37.9% | -38.7% | 0.8% |
| AIRV | 2/13/08 | 5.08 | 5.57 | - | 136.37 | 2.72 | 9.6% | -37.3% | 47.0% |
| CITP | 2/16/08 | 9.98 | 2.21 | - | 135.14 | 2.72 | -77.9% | -36.7% | -41.1% |
| PRXI | 2/16/08 | 4.29 | 1.00 | - | 135.14 | 2.72 | -76.7% | -36.7% | -39.9% |
| CAST | 2/23/08 | 5.06 | 2.83 | - | 135.62 | 2.72 | -44.1% | -40.9% | -3.2% |
| GSB | 3/12/08 | 2.08 | 0.52 | - | 131.36 | 2.72 | -75.0% | -45.5% | -29.5% |
| IGC | 3/12/08 | 3.70 | 0.44 | - | 131.36 | 2.72 | -88.1% | -45.5% | -42.6% |
| LGTY | 3/12/08 | 6.70 | 4.78 | 0.09 | 131.36 | 2.72 | -27.3% | -45.5% | 18.1% |
| MRX | 3/12/08 | 19.45 | 10.26 | 0.12 | 131.36 | 2.08 | -46.6% | -46.0% | -0.7% |
| DEPO | 3/22/08 | 2.74 | 2.55 | - | 132.08 | 2.08 | -6.9% | -36.4% | 29.5% |
| NVTL | 3/22/08 | 8.98 | 6.08 | - | 132.08 | 2.08 | -32.3% | -36.4% | 4.1% |
| VRGY | 3/22/08 | 17.42 | 7.62 | - | 132.08 | 2.08 | -56.3% | -36.4% | -19.8% |
| DLX | 4/6/08 | 19.58 | 11.70 | 1.00 | 136.89 | 2.08 | -35.1% | -34.9% | -0.3% |
| NTRI | 4/6/08 | 14.94 | 14.25 | 0.70 | 136.89 | 2.08 | 0.1% | -34.9% | 34.9% |
| IUSA | 4/6/08 | 5.28 | 4.77 | - | 136.89 | 2.08 | -9.7% | -34.9% | 25.2% |
| LRCX | 4/11/08 | 41.08 | 27.81 | - | 133.38 | 2.08 | -32.3% | -33.2% | 0.9% |
| SLXP | 4/11/08 | 6.47 | 10.88 | - | 133.38 | 2.08 | 68.2% | -33.2% | 101.3% |
| CHRD | 4/19/08 | 5.03 | 3.52 | - | 138.48 | 2.08 | -30.0% | -35.6% | 5.6% |
| QXM | 4/26/08 | 6.26 | 2.73 | - | 139.60 | 2.64 | -56.4% | -36.0% | -20.4% |
| MDP | 5/9/08 | 33.79 | 28.51 | 0.65 | 138.90 | 2.64 | -13.7% | -31.2% | 17.4% |
| OMPI | 5/9/08 | 7.11 | 6.75 | - | 138.90 | 2.64 | -5.1% | -31.2% | 26.1% |
| PPD | 5/9/08 | 43.45 | 40.06 | - | 138.90 | 2.64 | -7.8% | -31.2% | 23.4% |
| ELNK | 5/25/08 | 9.21 | 7.36 | - | 137.64 | 2.64 | -20.1% | -33.4% | 13.3% |
| FTAR.ob | 5/25/08 | 4.37 | 0.87 | 3.00 | 137.64 | 2.64 | -11.4% | -33.4% | 22.0% |
| CHKE | 5/31/08 | 27.25 | 20.76 | 1.50 | 140.35 | 2.64 | -18.3% | -32.2% | 13.9% |
| APKT | 7/5/08 | 4.62 | 10.14 | - | 126.31 | 2.49 | 119.5% | -26.9% | 146.4% |
| CSKI | 7/5/08 | 11.06 | 13.37 | - | 126.31 | 2.49 | 20.9% | -26.9% | 47.8% |
| VALU | 7/5/08 | 32.00 | 33.31 | 1.20 | 126.31 | 2.49 | 7.8% | -26.9% | 34.8% |
| QCOR | 7/26/08 | 4.84 | 5.67 | - | 125.48 | 2.49 | 17.1% | -19.9% | 37.0% |
| MSTR | 8/1/08 | 60.56 | 60.92 | - | 126.16 | 2.49 | 0.6% | -19.7% | 20.3% |
| Symbol | Original | Current | Dividend | S&P O | S&P D | Stock Chg | S&P Chg | Diff | |
| NVDA | 8/6/08 | 11.00 | 12.93 | - | 129.37 | 2.49 | 17.5% | -21.7% | 39.2% |
| SWIR | 8/6/08 | 12.41 | 7.18 | - | 129.37 | 2.49 | -42.1% | -21.7% | -20.4% |
| CF | 8/6/08 | 134.65 | 78.94 | 0.40 | 129.37 | 2.49 | -41.1% | -21.7% | -19.4% |
| SIGM | 8/6/08 | 15.93 | 16.18 | - | 129.37 | 2.49 | 1.6% | -21.7% | 23.3% |
| EGMI.OB | 9/6/08 | 0.69 | 1.65 | - | 124.42 | 2.49 | 139.1% | -18.6% | 157.7% |
| KHD | 9/13/08 | 20.68 | 9.52 | - | 126.09 | 2.49 | -54.0% | -19.7% | -34.3% |
| TTWO | 9/20/08 | 16.57 | 9.52 | - | 124.12 | 2.49 | -42.5% | -18.4% | -24.2% |
| SCMP | 9/26/08 | 8.29 | 6.61 | - | 120.85 | 1.80 | -20.3% | -16.7% | -3.5% |
| DTLK | 9/26/08 | 4.34 | 3.05 | - | 120.85 | 1.80 | -29.7% | -16.7% | -13.0% |
| TRA | 9/26/08 | 28.42 | 29.16 | 0.30 | 120.85 | 1.80 | 3.7% | -16.7% | 20.4% |
| MSB | 10/10/08 | 10.12 | 10.87 | 0.40 | 88.50 | 1.80 | 11.4% | 13.7% | -2.3% |
| UEPS | 10/10/08 | 14.58 | 16.86 | - | 88.50 | 1.80 | 15.6% | 13.7% | 2.0% |
| TSCM | 10/17/08 | 3.67 | 2.08 | 0.03 | 93.21 | 1.80 | -42.6% | 7.9% | -50.6% |
| EME | 11/1/08 | 17.77 | 24.12 | - | 96.83 | 1.80 | 35.7% | 3.9% | 31.8% |
| CTCM | 11/1/08 | 7.40 | 12.36 | - | 96.83 | 1.80 | 67.0% | 3.9% | 63.1% |
| PRGX | 11/1/08 | 4.24 | 3.80 | - | 96.83 | 1.80 | -10.4% | 3.9% | -14.3% |
| HLF | 11/7/08 | 20.17 | 34.41 | 0.40 | 93.86 | 1.80 | 72.6% | 7.2% | 65.4% |
| GHM | 11/7/08 | 13.60 | 13.68 | 0.02 | 93.86 | 1.80 | 0.7% | 7.2% | -6.5% |
| BIDZ | 11/22/08 | 2.39 | 4.36 | - | 79.52 | 1.80 | 82.4% | 26.5% | 55.9% |
| KBR | 11/22/08 | 10.45 | 21.19 | 0.10 | 79.52 | 1.80 | 103.7% | 26.5% | 77.2% |
| OPTV | 11/22/08 | 0.94 | 1.38 | - | 79.52 | 1.80 | 46.8% | 26.5% | 20.3% |
| IBAS | 11/22/08 | 1.21 | 1.95 | - | 79.52 | 1.80 | 61.2% | 26.5% | 34.6% |
| Vclk | 11/29/08 | 6.17 | 11.50 | - | 90.09 | 1.80 | 86.4% | 11.7% | 74.7% |
| DIVX | 12/8/08 | 4.37 | 5.83 | - | 87.93 | 1.80 | 33.4% | 14.4% | 19.0% |
| MAXY | 12/8/08 | 5.80 | 8.00 | - | 87.93 | 1.80 | 37.9% | 14.4% | 23.5% |
| ESIC | 12/13/08 | 1.13 | 1.74 | - | 88.99 | 1.80 | 54.0% | 13.1% | 40.9% |
| MSO | 12/27/08 | 2.80 | 3.44 | - | 87.16 | 1.08 | 22.9% | 14.6% | 8.3% |
| TRMS | 12/27/08 | 1.03 | 2.07 | - | 87.16 | 1.08 | 101.0% | 14.6% | 86.4% |
| WFR | 12/27/08 | 13.43 | 17.62 | - | 87.16 | 1.08 | 31.2% | 14.6% | 16.6% |
| AHCI | 1/3/09 | 1.15 | 2.49 | - | 92.96 | 1.08 | 116.5% | 7.5% | 109.1% |
| CKSW | 1/3/09 | 1.99 | 7.72 | - | 92.96 | 1.08 | 287.9% | 7.5% | 280.5% |
| COH | 2/14/09 | 13.97 | 29.59 | - | 82.76 | 1.08 | 111.8% | 20.7% | 91.1% |
| DELL | 2/21/09 | 8.41 | 13.38 | - | 77.42 | 1.08 | 59.1% | 29.0% | 30.1% |
| SOLR | 2/21/09 | 4.22 | 6.20 | - | 77.42 | 1.08 | 46.9% | 29.0% | 17.9% |
| DECK | 2/28/09 | 41.27 | 67.61 | - | 73.93 | 1.08 | 63.8% | 35.1% | 28.7% |
| FWLT | 2/28/09 | 15.04 | 23.10 | - | 73.93 | 1.08 | 53.6% | 35.1% | 18.5% |
| HCKT | 2/28/09 | 2.56 | 3.04 | - | 73.93 | 1.08 | 18.8% | 35.1% | -16.4% |
| MWW | 2/28/09 | 6.59 | 13.03 | - | 73.93 | 1.08 | 97.7% | 35.1% | 62.6% |
| PTIE | 2/28/09 | 4.53 | 4.40 | - | 73.93 | 1.08 | -2.9% | 35.1% | -38.0% |
| TRLG | 2/28/09 | 10.22 | 22.36 | - | 73.93 | 1.08 | 118.8% | 35.1% | 83.7% |
| qlti | 3/6/09 | 1.41 | 3.45 | - | 68.92 | 1.08 | 144.7% | 44.9% | 99.7% |
| exbd | 3/6/09 | 12.96 | 18.78 | 0.44 | 68.92 | 1.08 | 48.3% | 44.9% | 3.4% |
| FIX | 3/13/09 | 9.73 | 11.78 | 76.09 | 1.08 | 21.1% | 31.3% | -10.2% | |
| DBTK | 3/13/09 | 6.65 | 8.70 | - | 76.09 | 1.08 | 30.8% | 31.3% | -0.4% |
| LOOP | 3/13/09 | 5.77 | 8.00 | - | 76.09 | 1.08 | 38.6% | 31.3% | 7.4% |
| PRO | 3/27/09 | 4.29 | 7.86 | - | 81.61 | 0.52 | 83.2% | 21.7% | 61.5% |
| ACN | 4/9/09 | 27.71 | 35.07 | - | 85.81 | 0.52 | 26.6% | 15.8% | 10.8% |
| INFI | 4/16/09 | 5.83 | 8.08 | - | 87.08 | 0.52 | 38.6% | 14.1% | 24.5% |
| TSRA | 5/1/09 | 14.52 | 28.09 | - | 87.89 | 0.52 | 93.5% | 13.0% | 80.4% |
| RST | 5/1/09 | 29.83 | 26.91 | - | 87.89 | 0.52 | -9.8% | 13.0% | -22.8% |
| ULCM.pk | 5/1/09 | 2.18 | 1.80 | - | 87.89 | 0.52 | -17.4% | 13.0% | -30.4% |
| TYPE | 5/1/09 | 3.80 | 7.28 | - | 87.89 | 0.52 | 91.6% | 13.0% | 78.6% |
| CRAY | 5/1/09 | 3.98 | 8.12 | - | 87.89 | 0.52 | 104.0% | 13.0% | 91.0% |
| INT | 5/8/09 | 41.90 | 43.86 | - | 92.98 | 0.52 | 4.7% | 6.8% | -2.1% |
| IPHS | 5/15/09 | 15.03 | 18.79 | - | 88.71 | 0.52 | 25.0% | 12.0% | 13.0% |
| GNI | 5/29/09 | 86.75 | 90.99 | 1.80 | 92.53 | 0.52 | 7.0% | 7.3% | -0.4% |
| UTA | 5/29/09 | 7.90 | 13.97 | - | 92.53 | 0.52 | 76.8% | 7.3% | 69.5% |
| FRX | 6/5/09 | 23.66 | 25.83 | - | 94.55 | 0.52 | 9.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% |
| ONTY | 6/11/09 | 2.60 | 4.63 | - | 95.08 | 0.52 | 78.1% | 4.5% | 73.6% |
| VM | 6/11/09 | 4.24 | 4.91 | - | 95.08 | 0.52 | 15.8% | 4.5% | 11.3% |
| BPI | 6/19/09 | 16.74 | 18.16 | - | 92.04 | - | 8.5% | 7.4% | 1.1% |
| MTXX | 7/2/09 | 5.77 | 5.64 | - | 91.84 | - | -2.3% | 7.6% | -9.8% |
| JTX | 7/2/09 | 5.74 | 6.05 | - | 91.84 | - | 5.4% | 7.6% | -2.2% |
| GIGM | 7/24/09 | 4.98 | 4.88 | - | 98.06 | - | -2.0% | 0.8% | -2.8% |
| CBI | 7/31/09 | 13.95 | 13.95 | - | 98.81 | - | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| BR | 7/31/09 | 17.27 | 17.27 | - | 98.81 | - | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| LO | 7/31/09 | 73.72 | 73.72 | - | 98.81 | - | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Totals | 21.3% | -3.0% | 24.3% | ||||||
| 69.6% of stocks beat the S&P 500 Benchmark | Closed | -18.8% | -34.6% | 15.7% | |||||
| S&P C | 98.81 | Open | 39.3% | 11.1% | 28.2% | ||||
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