Sunday, February 01, 2009

No New Stocks

It is interesting. In my mechanical portfolio which "buys" new stocks to the top 25 screen every weekend, we haven't had a new stock now since January 5th. That is the longest stretch since June (there was another stetch in August, but that was because I was on vacation). The portfolio continues to do "well", beating the S&P by 4.6%... though the Bank of Seely's would have done better as we're about 21% underwater.

Symbol Date Original Current Dividend S&P O S&P D Stock Chg S&P Chg Diff
DTPI 2/2/08 4.75 2.60 0.35 139.58 2.72 -37.9% -38.7% 0.8%
AIRV 2/13/08 5.08 5.09 - 136.37 2.00 0.2% -37.8% 38.0%
CITP 2/16/08 9.98 2.00 - 135.14 2.00 -80.0% -37.2% -42.7%
PRXI 2/16/08 4.29 1.13 - 135.14 2.00 -73.7% -37.2% -36.4%
CAST 2/23/08 5.06 2.71 - 135.62 2.00 -46.4% -37.4% -9.0%
GSB 3/12/08 2.08 0.80 - 131.36 2.00 -61.5% -35.4% -26.1%
IGC 3/12/08 3.70 0.99 - 131.36 2.00 -73.2% -35.4% -37.8%
LGTY 3/12/08 6.70 4.55 0.09 131.36 2.00 -30.7% -35.4% 4.7%
MRX 3/12/08 19.45 13.93 0.12 131.36 2.08 -27.8% -35.4% 7.6%
DEPO 3/22/08 2.74 2.16 - 132.08 2.08 -21.2% -35.7% 14.5%
NVTL 3/22/08 8.98 5.54 - 132.08 2.08 -38.3% -35.7% -2.6%
VRGY 3/22/08 17.42 8.31 - 132.08 2.08 -52.3% -35.7% -16.6%
DLX 4/6/08 19.58 11.53 0.75 136.89 2.08 -37.3% -38.0% 0.7%
NTRI 4/6/08 14.94 12.89 0.54 136.89 2.08 -10.1% -38.0% 27.9%
IUSA 4/6/08 5.28 3.69 - 136.89 2.08 -30.1% -38.0% 7.9%
LRCX 4/11/08 41.08 20.21 - 133.38 2.08 -50.8% -36.3% -14.5%
SLXP 4/11/08 6.47 8.00 - 133.38 2.08 23.6% -36.3% 60.0%
CHRD 4/19/08 5.03 2.35 - 138.48 2.08 -53.3% -38.7% -14.6%
QXM 4/26/08 6.26 2.10 - 139.60 2.08 -66.5% -39.2% -27.3%
MDP 5/9/08 33.79 15.97 0.65 138.90 2.08 -50.8% -38.9% -12.0%
OMPI 5/9/08 7.11 6.69 - 138.90 2.08 -5.9% -38.9% 33.0%
PPD 5/9/08 43.45 33.62 - 138.90 2.08 -22.6% -38.9% 16.2%
ELNK 5/25/08 9.21 7.53 - 137.64 2.08 -18.2% -38.3% 20.1%
FTAR.ob 5/25/08 4.37 2.30 - 137.64 2.08 -47.4% -38.3% -9.1%
CHKE 5/31/08 27.25 15.28 1.00 140.35 2.08 -40.3% -39.5% -0.8%
APKT 7/5/08 4.62 4.40 - 126.31 1.41 -4.8% -33.3% 28.5%
CSKI 7/5/08 11.06 14.03 - 126.31 1.41 26.9% -33.3% 60.2%
VALU 7/5/08 32.00 36.01 0.80 126.31 1.41 15.0% -33.3% 48.3%
QCOR 7/26/08 4.84 6.45 - 125.48 1.41 33.3% -32.9% 66.1%
MSTR 8/1/08 60.56 38.70 - 126.16 1.41 -36.1% -33.2% -2.9%
NVDA 8/8/08 11.00 7.95 - 129.37 1.41 -27.7% -34.9% 7.2%
SWIR 8/8/08 12.41 5.51 - 129.37 1.41 -55.6% -34.9% -20.7%
CF 8/8/08 134.65 47.00 - 129.37 1.41 -65.1% -34.9% -30.2%
SIGM 8/8/08 15.93 10.22 - 129.37 1.41 -35.8% -34.9% -1.0%
EGMI.OB 9/5/08 0.69 0.46 - 124.42 1.41 -33.5% -32.3% -1.2%
KHD 9/15/08 20.68 9.93 - 126.09 1.41 -52.0% -33.2% -18.8%
TTWO 9/22/08 16.57 7.02 - 124.12 1.41 -57.6% -32.1% -25.5%
SCMP 9/29/08 8.29 4.87 - 120.85 0.72 -41.3% -30.9% -10.4%
DTLK 9/29/08 4.34 3.45 - 120.85 0.72 -20.5% -30.9% 10.4%
TRA 9/29/08 28.42 20.48 0.10 120.85 0.72 -27.6% -30.9% 3.3%
MSB 10/10/08 10.12 8.51 0.55 88.50 0.72 -10.5% -5.6% -4.9%
UEPS 10/10/08 14.58 13.43 - 88.50 0.72 -7.9% -5.6% -2.3%
TSCM 10/17/08 3.67 2.73 0.03 93.21 0.72 -24.9% -10.4% -14.6%
EME 10/31/08 17.77 20.59 - 96.83 0.72 15.9% -13.7% 29.6%
CTCM 10/31/08 7.40 3.45 - 96.83 0.72 -53.4% -13.7% -39.7%
PRGX 10/31/08 4.24 3.13 - 96.83 0.72 -26.2% -13.7% -12.5%
HLF 11/7/08 20.17 20.51 0.20 93.86 0.72 2.7% -11.0% 13.7%
GHM 11/7/08 13.60 9.96 0.02 93.86 0.72 -26.6% -11.0% -15.6%
BIDZ 11/21/08 2.39 3.14 - 79.52 0.72 31.4% 5.1% 26.3%
KBR 11/21/08 10.45 14.16 0.05 79.52 0.72 36.0% 5.1% 30.9%
OPTV 11/21/08 0.94 1.20 - 79.52 0.72 27.7% 5.1% 22.6%
IBAS 11/21/08 1.21 0.92 - 79.52 0.72 -24.0% 5.1% -29.0%
Vclk 11/28/08 6.17 6.25 - 90.09 0.72 1.3% -7.3% 8.6%
DIVX 12/8/08 4.37 5.03 - 87.93 0.72 15.1% -5.0% 20.1%
MAXY 12/8/08 5.80 8.56 - 87.93 0.72 47.6% -5.0% 52.6%
ESIC 12/14/08 1.13 2.01 - 88.99 0.72 77.9% -6.1% 84.0%
MSO 12/29/08 2.80 2.34 - 87.16 - -16.4% -5.0% -11.5%
TRMS 12/29/08 1.03 1.03 - 87.16 - 0.0% -5.0% 5.0%
WFR 12/29/08 13.43 13.60 - 87.16 - 1.3% -5.0% 6.2%
AHCI 1/5/09 1.15 0.97 - 92.96 - -15.7% -10.9% -4.8%
CKSW 1/5/09 1.99 2.18 - 92.96 - 9.5% -10.9% 20.4%
















Totals -20.9% -25.5% 4.6%
55.4% of stocks beat the S&P 500 Benchmark




S&P C

82.83






Random Number Generator? As people may know, I have created a new monthly tracking portfolio of the 50 top stocks over 100m since January 2006. Here is a simplistic way of looking at how they have done. A "1" means they beat or are beating the Russell 3000, a "0" means they did not. What I find interesting (as a mathematician) is that the pattern doesn't seem random, until recently.

1/6/2006 1
2/17/2006 1
3/29/2006 1
4/7/2006 0
5/12/2006 1
5/31/2006 1
6/30/2006 1
7/31/2006 1
8/31/2006 0
9/28/2006 0
10/27/2006 0
11/29/2006 0
12/28/2006 0
1/26/2007 0
2/27/2007 0
3/26/2007 0
4/27/2007 0
5/29/2007 0
7/3/2007 0
7/30/2007 0
8/30/2007 0
9/27/2007 0
11/2/2007 0
11/28/2007 0
12/28/2007 1
1/25/2008 0
2/26/2008 0
3/24/2008 0
4/25/2008 1
5/28/2008 1
7/2/2008 1
7/29/2008 1
8/29/2008 0
9/26/2008 0
10/31/2008 0
11/26/2008 1
12/26/2008 0
1/23/2009 1

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