It is interesting. In my mechanical portfolio which "buys" new stocks to the top 25 screen every weekend, we haven't had a new stock now since January 5th. That is the longest stretch since June (there was another stetch in August, but that was because I was on vacation). The portfolio continues to do "well", beating the S&P by 4.6%... though the Bank of Seely's would have done better as we're about 21% underwater.
Symbol | Date | Original | Current | Dividend | S&P O | S&P D | Stock Chg | S&P Chg | Diff |
DTPI | 2/2/08 | 4.75 | 2.60 | 0.35 | 139.58 | 2.72 | -37.9% | -38.7% | 0.8% |
AIRV | 2/13/08 | 5.08 | 5.09 | - | 136.37 | 2.00 | 0.2% | -37.8% | 38.0% |
CITP | 2/16/08 | 9.98 | 2.00 | - | 135.14 | 2.00 | -80.0% | -37.2% | -42.7% |
PRXI | 2/16/08 | 4.29 | 1.13 | - | 135.14 | 2.00 | -73.7% | -37.2% | -36.4% |
CAST | 2/23/08 | 5.06 | 2.71 | - | 135.62 | 2.00 | -46.4% | -37.4% | -9.0% |
GSB | 3/12/08 | 2.08 | 0.80 | - | 131.36 | 2.00 | -61.5% | -35.4% | -26.1% |
IGC | 3/12/08 | 3.70 | 0.99 | - | 131.36 | 2.00 | -73.2% | -35.4% | -37.8% |
LGTY | 3/12/08 | 6.70 | 4.55 | 0.09 | 131.36 | 2.00 | -30.7% | -35.4% | 4.7% |
MRX | 3/12/08 | 19.45 | 13.93 | 0.12 | 131.36 | 2.08 | -27.8% | -35.4% | 7.6% |
DEPO | 3/22/08 | 2.74 | 2.16 | - | 132.08 | 2.08 | -21.2% | -35.7% | 14.5% |
NVTL | 3/22/08 | 8.98 | 5.54 | - | 132.08 | 2.08 | -38.3% | -35.7% | -2.6% |
VRGY | 3/22/08 | 17.42 | 8.31 | - | 132.08 | 2.08 | -52.3% | -35.7% | -16.6% |
DLX | 4/6/08 | 19.58 | 11.53 | 0.75 | 136.89 | 2.08 | -37.3% | -38.0% | 0.7% |
NTRI | 4/6/08 | 14.94 | 12.89 | 0.54 | 136.89 | 2.08 | -10.1% | -38.0% | 27.9% |
IUSA | 4/6/08 | 5.28 | 3.69 | - | 136.89 | 2.08 | -30.1% | -38.0% | 7.9% |
LRCX | 4/11/08 | 41.08 | 20.21 | - | 133.38 | 2.08 | -50.8% | -36.3% | -14.5% |
SLXP | 4/11/08 | 6.47 | 8.00 | - | 133.38 | 2.08 | 23.6% | -36.3% | 60.0% |
CHRD | 4/19/08 | 5.03 | 2.35 | - | 138.48 | 2.08 | -53.3% | -38.7% | -14.6% |
QXM | 4/26/08 | 6.26 | 2.10 | - | 139.60 | 2.08 | -66.5% | -39.2% | -27.3% |
MDP | 5/9/08 | 33.79 | 15.97 | 0.65 | 138.90 | 2.08 | -50.8% | -38.9% | -12.0% |
OMPI | 5/9/08 | 7.11 | 6.69 | - | 138.90 | 2.08 | -5.9% | -38.9% | 33.0% |
PPD | 5/9/08 | 43.45 | 33.62 | - | 138.90 | 2.08 | -22.6% | -38.9% | 16.2% |
ELNK | 5/25/08 | 9.21 | 7.53 | - | 137.64 | 2.08 | -18.2% | -38.3% | 20.1% |
FTAR.ob | 5/25/08 | 4.37 | 2.30 | - | 137.64 | 2.08 | -47.4% | -38.3% | -9.1% |
CHKE | 5/31/08 | 27.25 | 15.28 | 1.00 | 140.35 | 2.08 | -40.3% | -39.5% | -0.8% |
APKT | 7/5/08 | 4.62 | 4.40 | - | 126.31 | 1.41 | -4.8% | -33.3% | 28.5% |
CSKI | 7/5/08 | 11.06 | 14.03 | - | 126.31 | 1.41 | 26.9% | -33.3% | 60.2% |
VALU | 7/5/08 | 32.00 | 36.01 | 0.80 | 126.31 | 1.41 | 15.0% | -33.3% | 48.3% |
QCOR | 7/26/08 | 4.84 | 6.45 | - | 125.48 | 1.41 | 33.3% | -32.9% | 66.1% |
MSTR | 8/1/08 | 60.56 | 38.70 | - | 126.16 | 1.41 | -36.1% | -33.2% | -2.9% |
NVDA | 8/8/08 | 11.00 | 7.95 | - | 129.37 | 1.41 | -27.7% | -34.9% | 7.2% |
SWIR | 8/8/08 | 12.41 | 5.51 | - | 129.37 | 1.41 | -55.6% | -34.9% | -20.7% |
CF | 8/8/08 | 134.65 | 47.00 | - | 129.37 | 1.41 | -65.1% | -34.9% | -30.2% |
SIGM | 8/8/08 | 15.93 | 10.22 | - | 129.37 | 1.41 | -35.8% | -34.9% | -1.0% |
EGMI.OB | 9/5/08 | 0.69 | 0.46 | - | 124.42 | 1.41 | -33.5% | -32.3% | -1.2% |
KHD | 9/15/08 | 20.68 | 9.93 | - | 126.09 | 1.41 | -52.0% | -33.2% | -18.8% |
TTWO | 9/22/08 | 16.57 | 7.02 | - | 124.12 | 1.41 | -57.6% | -32.1% | -25.5% |
SCMP | 9/29/08 | 8.29 | 4.87 | - | 120.85 | 0.72 | -41.3% | -30.9% | -10.4% |
DTLK | 9/29/08 | 4.34 | 3.45 | - | 120.85 | 0.72 | -20.5% | -30.9% | 10.4% |
TRA | 9/29/08 | 28.42 | 20.48 | 0.10 | 120.85 | 0.72 | -27.6% | -30.9% | 3.3% |
MSB | 10/10/08 | 10.12 | 8.51 | 0.55 | 88.50 | 0.72 | -10.5% | -5.6% | -4.9% |
UEPS | 10/10/08 | 14.58 | 13.43 | - | 88.50 | 0.72 | -7.9% | -5.6% | -2.3% |
TSCM | 10/17/08 | 3.67 | 2.73 | 0.03 | 93.21 | 0.72 | -24.9% | -10.4% | -14.6% |
EME | 10/31/08 | 17.77 | 20.59 | - | 96.83 | 0.72 | 15.9% | -13.7% | 29.6% |
CTCM | 10/31/08 | 7.40 | 3.45 | - | 96.83 | 0.72 | -53.4% | -13.7% | -39.7% |
PRGX | 10/31/08 | 4.24 | 3.13 | - | 96.83 | 0.72 | -26.2% | -13.7% | -12.5% |
HLF | 11/7/08 | 20.17 | 20.51 | 0.20 | 93.86 | 0.72 | 2.7% | -11.0% | 13.7% |
GHM | 11/7/08 | 13.60 | 9.96 | 0.02 | 93.86 | 0.72 | -26.6% | -11.0% | -15.6% |
BIDZ | 11/21/08 | 2.39 | 3.14 | - | 79.52 | 0.72 | 31.4% | 5.1% | 26.3% |
KBR | 11/21/08 | 10.45 | 14.16 | 0.05 | 79.52 | 0.72 | 36.0% | 5.1% | 30.9% |
OPTV | 11/21/08 | 0.94 | 1.20 | - | 79.52 | 0.72 | 27.7% | 5.1% | 22.6% |
IBAS | 11/21/08 | 1.21 | 0.92 | - | 79.52 | 0.72 | -24.0% | 5.1% | -29.0% |
Vclk | 11/28/08 | 6.17 | 6.25 | - | 90.09 | 0.72 | 1.3% | -7.3% | 8.6% |
DIVX | 12/8/08 | 4.37 | 5.03 | - | 87.93 | 0.72 | 15.1% | -5.0% | 20.1% |
MAXY | 12/8/08 | 5.80 | 8.56 | - | 87.93 | 0.72 | 47.6% | -5.0% | 52.6% |
ESIC | 12/14/08 | 1.13 | 2.01 | - | 88.99 | 0.72 | 77.9% | -6.1% | 84.0% |
MSO | 12/29/08 | 2.80 | 2.34 | - | 87.16 | - | -16.4% | -5.0% | -11.5% |
TRMS | 12/29/08 | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | 87.16 | - | 0.0% | -5.0% | 5.0% |
WFR | 12/29/08 | 13.43 | 13.60 | - | 87.16 | - | 1.3% | -5.0% | 6.2% |
AHCI | 1/5/09 | 1.15 | 0.97 | - | 92.96 | - | -15.7% | -10.9% | -4.8% |
CKSW | 1/5/09 | 1.99 | 2.18 | - | 92.96 | - | 9.5% | -10.9% | 20.4% |
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| Totals | -20.9% | -25.5% | 4.6% |
55.4% of stocks beat the S&P 500 Benchmark |
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S&P C |
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| 82.83 |
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Random Number Generator? As people may know, I have created a new monthly tracking portfolio of the 50 top stocks over 100m since January 2006. Here is a simplistic way of looking at how they have done. A "1" means they beat or are beating the Russell 3000, a "0" means they did not. What I find interesting (as a mathematician) is that the pattern doesn't seem random, until recently.
1/6/2006 | 1 |
2/17/2006 | 1 |
3/29/2006 | 1 |
4/7/2006 | 0 |
5/12/2006 | 1 |
5/31/2006 | 1 |
6/30/2006 | 1 |
7/31/2006 | 1 |
8/31/2006 | 0 |
9/28/2006 | 0 |
10/27/2006 | 0 |
11/29/2006 | 0 |
12/28/2006 | 0 |
1/26/2007 | 0 |
2/27/2007 | 0 |
3/26/2007 | 0 |
4/27/2007 | 0 |
5/29/2007 | 0 |
7/3/2007 | 0 |
7/30/2007 | 0 |
8/30/2007 | 0 |
9/27/2007 | 0 |
11/2/2007 | 0 |
11/28/2007 | 0 |
12/28/2007 | 1 |
1/25/2008 | 0 |
2/26/2008 | 0 |
3/24/2008 | 0 |
4/25/2008 | 1 |
5/28/2008 | 1 |
7/2/2008 | 1 |
7/29/2008 | 1 |
8/29/2008 | 0 |
9/26/2008 | 0 |
10/31/2008 | 0 |
11/26/2008 | 1 |
12/26/2008 | 0 |
1/23/2009 | 1 |
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