Friday, October 13, 2006

Friday the 13th

Got a few things happening in my portfolio.
  1. It was a great week. My portfolio is now up about 4%. I closed the day at my all-time high.
  2. I sold PCU. That drops me back to 30 MFI stocks.
  3. PTSC released their earnings after the market closed. I was unimpressed.
I am already having seller's remorse on the PCU sale. I can't complain, I sold at its highest price since May (49.85). I made 33% in my MFI portfolio n PCU and actually had a double for the year+ that I held it. That being said, Cramer has become bullish on copper suddenly:

Copper has been shooting up, and the companies are in a "miraculously good situation," Cramer told another caller inquiring about Southern Copper (PCU - news - Cramer's Take). "I like copper because it's in short supply," he said.

I was surprised when PTSC waited until after market to release their long delayed earnings. I read the release (Patriot Scientific Files Form 10-KSB for Fiscal Year 2006) and frankly it made my head hurt a bit as they seemed to intentionally not state things clearly. Here are my key takeaways:
  • They said their annual income for year ending May 31st was $28.7m. Nowhere did I see their quarterly income. The prior 3 quarters had income of 24.886, (1.275) and 4.442m. Using basic subtraction, they made about 700K in the quarter.
  • They said from June 1st through Oct 3rd they had joint revenue of $32.7m. I think PTSC only gets 50% of that. So that is about $16.3m in revenues in past 4 months. If you figure they bring 40% to the bottom line, that is about $4m or $1m a month.
For a company worth $400m, that doesn't exactly get me excited. I am glad I sold my side car holding in PTSC earlier this week. I may just break the MFI rule and sell the rest on Monday. I'll see what happenes. I am not impressed with their transparency.

The sale of PCU takes me back to 30 MFI stocks. I was uneasy being over 30. Of course, had I known PTSC was going to be so lukewarm, I might have held PCU and sold the PTSC.

Enough rambling! Here is my list of stocks:

Current Portfolio
Stock Cost Current Gain
MTEX $13.11 $19.10 46.9%
UST $39.36 $55.75 46.0%
TRLG $17.02 $22.25 30.7%
ANF $61.13 $76.24 25.3%
BBSI $19.18 $23.99 25.1%
PNCL $6.68 $8.01 19.9%
MSTR $94.36 $110.01 16.6%
TGIS $10.34 $11.82 16.2%
PGI $7.71 $8.90 15.4%
MGLN $38.34 $42.32 10.4%
ELX $17.85 $19.37 8.5%
BLDR $16.10 $16.90 5.0%
ISNS $13.17 $13.80 4.8%
VPHM $11.80 $12.36 4.7%
CHKE $37.55 $37.64 3.4%
ASEI $45.85 $46.99 2.5%
KG $17.31 $17.46 0.9%
FTO $28.76 $28.90 0.7%
PACR $32.53 $30.88 -4.1%
RAIL $58.18 $52.60 -9.5%
TBL $34.50 $29.62 -14.1%
PTEN $26.72 $22.66 -14.8%
DLX $26.36 $21.75 -15.0%
PONR $30.98 $26.26 -15.2%
PTSCE $1.31 $1.10 -16.0%
FDG $34.03 $24.95 -22.0%
HW $33.04 $25.30 -23.4%
EZEN $2.84 $1.91 -32.6%
ORCT $11.83 $7.92 -33.1%
OVTI $27.79 $15.09 -45.7%




Current Gain/Loss ($) $64
Current Gain/Loss (%) 0.0%
Sold Gain/Loss ($) $12,865
Sold Gain/Loss (%) 32.0%
Total Gain/Loss ($) $12,929
Benchmark Gain/Loss ($) $18,704
Annual IRR 9.6%
Total Gain/Loss (%) 4.1%

Then finally, here is my graph. The IWV is starting to get nervous. Have a great weekend everyone!

No comments: