Got a new coffee maker yesterday. My Mr Coffee had been starting to leak, so I upgraded. Yet to make my first cup, I'll let you know (ZUTTO® Coffee Maker EC-DAC50 - Zojirushi).
Other news, I have joined a local YMCA and started playing full court basketball for first time in 20 years. While I am very sore and winded at the end, it is a sport I truly love. There is something about full court basketball - it is such a great team sport. You have to communicate, you have to help each other, you set screens and make assists - I was inspired by listening to the radio about how President Obama still plays basketball (The Audacity of Hoop: Basketball and the Age of Obama).
It was another solid week, helped by a great Friday. I gained 87 basis points and am now up 1.7% of the year.
MFI Select
| 5/6/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| CBI | $50.38 | $36.13 | $0.14 | -28.0% | -3.0% |
| PSDV | $4.12 | $2.91 | $0.00 | -29.4% | -3.0% |
| TSRA | $38.94 | $30.10 | $0.80 | -20.6% | -3.0% |
| KORS | $62.24 | $58.50 | $0.00 | -6.0% | -3.0% |
| DEPO | $23.50 | $16.22 | $0.00 | -31.0% | -3.0% |
| Totals | -23.0% | -3.0% | |||
| 8/17/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| VDSI | $18.66 | $15.09 | $0.00 | -19.1% | -3.6% |
| SALE | $9.34 | $8.20 | $0.00 | -12.2% | -3.6% |
| CSCO | $28.95 | $27.86 | $0.42 | -2.3% | -3.6% |
| TGNA | $25.30 | $24.71 | $0.42 | -0.7% | -3.6% |
| HSII | $20.14 | $22.69 | $0.26 | 13.9% | -3.6% |
| Totals | -4.1% | -3.6% | |||
| 11/15/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| LCI | $34.01 | $22.41 | - | -34.1% | -1.4% |
| SAVE | $34.48 | $47.71 | - | 38.4% | -1.4% |
| PPC | $18.98 | $24.55 | - | 29.3% | -1.4% |
| VEC | $23.60 | $20.53 | - | -13.0% | -1.4% |
| VNCE | $3.99 | $7.64 | - | 91.5% | -1.4% |
| Totals | 22.4% | -1.4% | |||
| 2/1/2016 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| VEC | $19.64 | $20.53 | - | 4.5% | 4.9% |
| QCOM | $45.18 | $52.22 | 0 | 16.7% | 4.9% |
| PERI | $2.45 | $2.40 | - | -2.2% | 4.9% |
| DEPO | $15.34 | $16.22 | - | 5.7% | 4.9% |
| TDC | $24.02 | $26.73 | - | 11.3% | 4.9% |
| Totals | 7.2% | 4.9% | |||
| Category/Tranche | August | November | February | May | Total |
| Initial Investment | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 100,000 |
| Current Tranche | -4.1% | 22.4% | 7.2% | -23.0% | 0.8% |
| Previous Tranche | 11.2% | 69.4% | -14.3% | 18.3% | 61.9% |
| Tranche -2 | 41.4% | 14.2% | 8.5% | 33.0% | 24.3% |
| Tranche -3 | 14.1% | 43.7% | 78.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| MFI Overall Gain | 72.0% | 240.5% | 77.6% | 21.1% | 102.8% |
| Current Balance | 43,008 | 85,125 | 44,406 | 30,276 | 202,816 |
| R3K Current Tranche | -3.6% | -1.4% | 4.9% | -3.0% | -0.8% |
| R3K Overall Gain | 53.0% | 55.6% | 39.7% | 30.2% | 44.6% |
| R3K Balance | 38,256 | 38,892 | 34,933 | 32,544 | 144,625 |
| Annualized IRR | 16.4% | 44.6% | 20.3% | 6.9% | 26.3% |
The May tranche continues to be terrible, not sure what can possibly fix that. But the November tranche is doing just great. And the February tranche is already up 7.2%. PERI reports this week, so hopefully that will take it up further.
| Date | Differential | MFI Value | R3K Value |
| 12/1/2012 | -2.20% | 99,765 | 101,965 |
| 1/1/2013 | -1.78% | 102,798 | 104,575 |
| 2/1/2013 | -2.26% | 102,594 | 104,856 |
| 3/1/2013 | -2.23% | 102,881 | 105,114 |
| 4/1/2013 | -0.43% | 106,804 | 107,234 |
| 5/1/2013 | 2.00% | 110,423 | 108,423 |
| 6/1/2013 | 4.75% | 115,831 | 111,085 |
| 7/1/2013 | 4.29% | 114,888 | 110,597 |
| 8/1/2013 | 6.91% | 124,799 | 117,889 |
| 9/1/2013 | 10.46% | 124,536 | 114,079 |
| 10/1/2013 | 19.67% | 138,655 | 118,990 |
| 11/1/2013 | 19.75% | 143,514 | 123,764 |
| 12/1/2013 | 23.70% | 150,105 | 126,405 |
| 1/1/2014 | 26.63% | 157,138 | 130,503 |
| 2/1/2014 | 24.70% | 150,619 | 125,918 |
| 3/1/2014 | 25.66% | 158,116 | 132,458 |
| 4/1/2014 | 30.38% | 162,991 | 132,616 |
| 5/1/2014 | 29.65% | 162,428 | 132,779 |
| 6/1/2014 | 31.44% | 167,001 | 135,559 |
| 7/1/2014 | 39.23% | 177,971 | 138,740 |
| 8/1/2014 | 31.13% | 167,054 | 135,922 |
| 9/1/2014 | 35.90% | 177,792 | 141,892 |
| 10/1/2014 | 29.38% | 168,321 | 138,944 |
| 11/1/2014 | 26.14% | 168,810 | 142,666 |
| 12/1/2014 | 30.22% | 176,420 | 146,198 |
| 1/1/2015 | 28.17% | 174,306 | 146,140 |
| 2/1/2015 | 20.63% | 162,833 | 142,201 |
| 3/1/2015 | 25.15% | 175,476 | 150,324 |
| 4/1/2015 | 29.95% | 178,565 | 148,612 |
| 5/1/2015 | 37.31% | 186,655 | 149,348 |
| 6/1/2015 | 51.53% | 202,897 | 151,371 |
| 7/1/2015 | 62.69% | 211,437 | 148,743 |
| 8/1/2015 | 40.75% | 192,117 | 151,369 |
| 9/1/2015 | 36.41% | 178,603 | 142,195 |
| 10/1/2015 | 43.12% | 181,175 | 138,052 |
| 11/1/2015 | 69.02% | 217,959 | 148,936 |
| 12/1/2015 | 73.49% | 223,435 | 149,946 |
| 1/1/2016 | 63.33% | 209,514 | 146,186 |
| 2/1/2016 | 49.49% | 187,428 | 137,934 |
| 3/1/2016 | 56.48% | 194,415 | 137,934 |
| Current | 58.19% | 202,816 | 144,625 |
Looking at this table, you can see I am down in 2016 (209,514 to 202,816). A lot of that was the NHTC sell off. Still, a 58% lead over benchmark is solid.
MFI Formula
| 3/31/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| HRB | $31.99 | $28.17 | $0.80 | -9.4% | -3.1% |
| GME | $37.69 | $30.75 | $1.45 | -14.6% | -3.1% |
| KING | $15.85 | $18.00 | $0.00 | 13.6% | -3.1% |
| NSU | $3.43 | $3.48 | $0.12 | 5.0% | -3.1% |
| PPC | $22.65 | $24.55 | $0.00 | 8.4% | -3.1% |
| Totals | 0.6% | -3.1% | |||
| 7/1/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| BKE | $46.45 | $33.01 | $1.71 | -25.3% | -3.0% |
| CA | $29.34 | $30.54 | $0.75 | 6.6% | -3.0% |
| MSFT | $44.42 | $53.07 | $1.03 | 21.8% | -3.0% |
| QCOM | $62.95 | $52.22 | $1.44 | -14.8% | -3.0% |
| VIAB | $64.75 | $39.29 | $0.80 | -38.1% | -3.0% |
| Totals | -9.9% | -3.0% | |||
| 10/1/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| BKE | $36.83 | $33.01 | $1.48 | -6.4% | 4.1% |
| IQNT | $21.96 | $16.98 | $0.30 | -21.3% | 4.1% |
| QCOM | $53.45 | $52.22 | $0.96 | -0.5% | 4.1% |
| CSCO | $26.37 | $27.86 | $0.42 | 7.2% | 4.1% |
| CA | $27.30 | $30.54 | $0.50 | 13.7% | 4.1% |
| Totals | -1.4% | 4.1% | |||
| 12/31/15 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| BBY | $30.31 | $34.12 | $0.00 | 12.6% | -1.5% |
| GME | $28.34 | $30.75 | $0.37 | 9.8% | -1.5% |
| IILG | $15.89 | $14.10 | $0.12 | -10.5% | -1.5% |
| PPC | $22.22 | $24.55 | $0.00 | 10.5% | -1.5% |
| VIAB | $40.93 | $39.29 | $0.00 | -4.0% | -1.5% |
| Totals | 3.7% | -1.5% |
Just two weeks left of 3/31 tranche. Just barely in the black. But at least has a decent lead. The December tranche is motoring along pretty nicely so far.
| Initial Investment | 249,820 | 249,939 | 250,180 | 249,728 | 999,667 |
| Current Tranche | -1.4% | 3.7% | 0.6% | -9.9% | -1.8% |
| Previous Tranche | 0.5% | 11.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.0% |
| Tranche -2 | 0.0% | - | - | - | 0.0% |
| MFI Overall Gain | -1.0% | 15.1% | 0.6% | -9.9% | 1.2% |
| Current Balance | 247,341 | 287,666 | 251,633 | 224,926 | 1,011,566 |
| R3K Current Tranche | 4.1% | -1.5% | -3.1% | -3.0% | -0.9% |
| R3K Overall Gain | 3.5% | -1.7% | -3.1% | -3.0% | -0.9% |
| R3K Balance | 258,597 | 245,592 | 242,517 | 242,175 | 988,881 |
| Annualized IRR | -0.7% | 12.4% | 0.6% | -13.8% | 1.1% |
| Date | Differential | Value | R3K Value |
| 10/1/2014 | 0.00% | 100,000 | 100,000 |
| 11/1/2014 | 1.63% | 102,288 | 100,658 |
| 12/1/2014 | 0.30% | 101,375 | 101,075 |
| 1/1/2015 | -0.33% | 100,664 | 100,995 |
| 2/1/2015 | 1.67% | 101,281 | 99,611 |
| 3/1/2015 | 3.62% | 106,073 | 102,454 |
| 4/1/2015 | 5.09% | 106,781 | 101,695 |
| 5/1/2015 | 5.78% | 107,859 | 102,077 |
| 6/1/2015 | 5.08% | 108,213 | 103,134 |
| 7/1/2015 | 4.82% | 106,423 | 101,604 |
| 8/1/2015 | 3.71% | 107,112 | 103,404 |
| 9/1/2015 | 4.38% | 101,523 | 97,139 |
| 10/1/2015 | 6.39% | 100,703 | 94,312 |
| 11/1/2015 | 2.93% | 104,835 | 101,907 |
| 12/1/2015 | -3.48% | 99,443 | 102,926 |
| 1/1/2016 | -3.36% | 96,830 | 100,193 |
| 2/1/2016 | -0.72% | 93,797 | 94,319 |
| 3/1/2016 | 4.07% | 98,588 | 94,319 |
| Current | 2.06% | 101,157 | 98,888 |
Good to see This approach is up since start of 2016 (96,830 to 101,157). That is a solid move in today's environment.
MFI Micro
Only one tranche still open here. It is doing very well.
| 12/15/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| MGIC | $5.38 | $6.96 | $0.00 | 29.4% | -1.2% |
| BSQR | $6.00 | $6.19 | $0.00 | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| SPCB | $4.52 | $4.77 | $0.00 | 5.5% | -1.2% |
| WLDN | $8.64 | $9.49 | $0.00 | 9.8% | -1.2% |
| MNDO | $2.58 | $2.13 | $0.27 | -7.1% | -1.2% |
| Totals | - | 8.2% | -1.2% |
I think WLDN is very promising, they expect to increase EBIDTA by 40% in 2016. Actually, I just saw I forgot MGIC dividend. Here is revised table:
| 12/15/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| MGIC | $5.38 | $6.96 | $0.09 | 31.0% | -1.2% |
| BSQR | $6.00 | $6.19 | $0.00 | 3.2% | -1.2% |
| SPCB | $4.52 | $4.77 | $0.00 | 5.5% | -1.2% |
| WLDN | $8.64 | $9.49 | $0.00 | 9.8% | -1.2% |
| MNDO | $2.58 | $2.13 | $0.27 | -7.1% | -1.2% |
| Totals | - | 8.5% | -1.2% |
Dividends Stocks and Warrants
| Div and Warrants | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | Pct Gain Last Week | Year End 2015 |
| BAC-WTA | $4.90 | $4.01 | $0.00 | -18.1% | -15.1% | -3.6% |
| AOD | $7.65 | $7.36 | $1.23 | 12.4% | 10.7% | 15.3% |
| JQC | $7.81 | $7.81 | $0.20 | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| CSQ | $9.03 | $9.27 | $1.64 | 20.9% | 19.2% | 27.3% |
| NTC | $12.06 | $12.87 | $1.40 | 18.3% | 17.8% | 16.1% |
| TGONF | $10.24 | $9.28 | $1.36 | 3.9% | -0.8% | 8.3% |
| HIG-WT | $21.24 | $37.55 | $0.00 | 76.8% | 72.3% | 72.9% |
| O | $22.83 | $59.63 | $18.15 | 240.8% | 234.3% | 205.7% |
| OIBAX | $5.05 | $5.62 | $2.18 | 54.5% | 53.3% | 51.9% |
| SJT | $8.79 | $4.94 | $0.18 | -41.7% | -34.8% | -51.6% |
| REXI | $5.59 | $6.09 | $0.07 | 10.1% | -2.1% | -2.8% |
| Totals | 4.4% | 3.7% | 6.2% |
Gained a bit on last week, still down in 2016. BAC is largest holding and has struggled. But It is a long term play and I feel good about it. REXI has been on a tear of late, I am still very bullish about REXI.
I am happy I sold my FSC at about $6.50 and bought the JQC. FSC is now under $5.
Other Stocks
GNW is my other sizable holding. I did buy a large stake at around $2.40 and it is now $2.80. This stock has been a loser over the years for me, but I did but such a big stake at $2.40 (buy share count) that if we just get back to $3.50 I will have profited from GNW.
Have a great weekend everybody.
Posts
No comments:
Post a Comment