Saturday, March 26, 2016

Easter Weekend Update From Pittsburgh

Weekend Update

In Pittsburgh this weekend visiting campuses with my family. Kind of a crummy week for me in the markets. I was down 2.5% and am now down 0.9% for the year. And it won't get better on Monday as GME announced poor guidance at the COB on Thursday (GameStop shares stumble after company predicts lower profit in 2016).

It does get frustrating, sometimes I wonder if my effort is worth it.  I feel like my portfolio is "better than average", yet it seems to  do pretty average at the end of the day.

MFI Select

This portfolio is now down 8% for 2016.  Part of it was NHTC struggling early in the year, but since March 1st, one can see I am not exactly roaring upwards,  even though R3K is up.

 Date   Differential   MFI Value   R3K Value 
12/1/2012 -2.20%          99,765            101,965
1/1/2013 -1.78%        102,798            104,575
2/1/2013 -2.26%        102,594            104,856
3/1/2013 -2.23%        102,881            105,114
4/1/2013 -0.43%        106,804            107,234
5/1/2013 2.00%        110,423            108,423
6/1/2013 4.75%        115,831            111,085
7/1/2013 4.29%        114,888            110,597
8/1/2013 6.91%        124,799            117,889
9/1/2013 10.46%        124,536            114,079
10/1/2013 19.67%        138,655            118,990
11/1/2013 19.75%        143,514            123,764
12/1/2013 23.70%        150,105            126,405
1/1/2014 26.63%        157,138            130,503
2/1/2014 24.70%        150,619            125,918
3/1/2014 25.66%        158,116            132,458
4/1/2014 30.38%        162,991            132,616
5/1/2014 29.65%        162,428            132,779
6/1/2014 31.44%        167,001            135,559
7/1/2014 39.23%        177,971            138,740
8/1/2014 31.13%        167,054            135,922
9/1/2014 35.90%        177,792            141,892
10/1/2014 29.38%        168,321            138,944
11/1/2014 26.14%        168,810            142,666
12/1/2014 30.22%        176,420            146,198
1/1/2015 28.17%        174,306            146,140
2/1/2015 20.63%        162,833            142,201
3/1/2015 25.15%        175,476            150,324
4/1/2015 29.95%        178,565            148,612
5/1/2015 37.31%        186,655            149,348
6/1/2015 51.53%        202,897            151,371
7/1/2015 62.69%        211,437            148,743
8/1/2015 40.75%        192,117            151,369
9/1/2015 36.41%        178,603            142,195
10/1/2015 43.12%        181,175            138,052
11/1/2015 69.02%        217,959            148,936
12/1/2015 73.49%        223,435            149,946
1/1/2016 63.33%        209,514            146,186
2/1/2016 49.49%        187,428            137,934
3/1/2016 56.48%        194,415            137,934
Current 47.22%        192,016            144,794


5/6/2015  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 CBI  $50.38 $37.20 $0.14 -25.9% -2.9%
 PSDV  $4.12 $2.71 $0.00 -34.3% -2.9%
 TSRA  $38.94 $30.39 $0.80 -19.9% -2.9%
 KORS  $62.24 $55.53 $0.00 -10.8% -2.9%
 DEPO  $23.50 $13.31 $0.00 -43.4% -2.9%
 Totals  -26.8% -2.9%
8/17/2015  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 VDSI  $18.66 $14.91 $0.00 -20.1% -3.4%
 SALE  $9.34 $7.64 $0.00 -18.2% -3.4%
 CSCO  $28.95 $27.96 $0.42 -2.0% -3.4%
 TGNA  $25.30 $23.37 $0.42 -6.0% -3.4%
 HSII  $20.14 $23.40 $0.26 17.5% -3.4%
 Totals  -5.8% -3.4%
11/15/2015  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 LCI  $34.01 $18.31               -   -46.2% -1.2%
 SAVE  $34.48 $47.28               -   37.1% -1.2%
 PPC  $18.98 $24.09               -   26.9% -1.2%
 VEC  $23.60 $21.75               -   -7.8% -1.2%
 VNCE  $3.99 $6.31               -   58.1% -1.2%
 Totals  13.6% -1.2%
2/1/2016  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 VEC  $19.64 $21.75               -   10.8% 5.0%
 QCOM  $45.18 $50.86                0 13.6% 5.0%
 PERI  $2.45 $2.15               -   -12.2% 5.0%
 DEPO  $15.34 $13.31               -   -13.2% 5.0%
 TDC  $24.02 $25.85               -   7.6% 5.0%
 Totals  1.3% 5.0%

My February picks are starting to peter out a bit.  All things Biotech/drugs are under duress.

MFI Formula

 Date   Differential   Value   R3K Value 
10/1/2014 0.00%        100,000            100,000
11/1/2014 1.63%        102,288            100,658
12/1/2014 0.30%        101,375            101,075
1/1/2015 -0.33%        100,664            100,995
2/1/2015 1.67%        101,281              99,611
3/1/2015 3.62%        106,073            102,454
4/1/2015 5.09%        106,781            101,695
5/1/2015 5.78%        107,859            102,077
6/1/2015 5.08%        108,213            103,134
7/1/2015 4.82%        106,423            101,604
8/1/2015 3.71%        107,112            103,404
9/1/2015 4.38%        101,523              97,139
10/1/2015 6.39%        100,703              94,312
11/1/2015 2.93%        104,835            101,907
12/1/2015 -3.48%          99,443            102,926
1/1/2016 -3.36%          96,830            100,193
2/1/2016 -0.72%          93,797              94,319
3/1/2016 4.07%          98,588              94,319
Current 0.30%          99,506              99,003

talk about "frustrating" and is it "worth the effort"? Totally flat with benchmark and in actual dollars down a bit.

3/31/2015  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 HRB  $31.99 $26.61 $0.80 -14.3% -3.0%
 GME  $37.69 $30.27 $1.45 -15.8% -3.0%
 KING  $15.85 $18.00 $0.00 13.6% -3.0%
 NSU  $3.43 $3.33 $0.12 0.6% -3.0%
 PPC  $22.65 $24.09 $0.00 6.4% -3.0%
 Totals  -1.9% -3.0%
7/1/2015  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 BKE  $46.45 $33.21 $1.71 -24.8% -2.9%
 CA  $29.34 $30.73 $0.75 7.3% -2.9%
 MSFT  $44.42 $54.21 $1.03 24.4% -2.9%
 QCOM  $62.95 $50.86 $1.44 -16.9% -2.9%
 VIAB  $64.75 $39.68 $0.80 -37.5% -2.9%
 Totals  -9.5% -2.9%
10/1/2015  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 BKE  $36.83 $33.21 $1.48 -5.8% 4.2%
 IQNT  $21.96 $15.24 $0.30 -29.2% 4.2%
 QCOM  $53.45 $50.86 $0.96 -3.0% 4.2%
 CSCO  $26.37 $27.96 $0.42 7.6% 4.2%
 CA  $27.30 $30.73 $0.50 14.4% 4.2%
 Totals  -3.2% 4.2%
 12/31/15 Stocks   Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 BBY  $30.31 $31.29 $0.28 4.2% -1.4%
 GME  $28.34 $30.27 $0.37 8.1% -1.4%
 IILG  $15.89 $13.93 $0.12 -11.6% -1.4%
 PPC  $22.22 $24.09 $0.00 8.4% -1.4%
 VIAB  $40.93 $39.68 $0.00 -3.0% -1.4%
 Totals  1.2% -1.4%

If GME drops 6 to 10% this upcoming week (the last week for 3/3/1 tranche) that tranche may "lose", after looking like a winner.

MFI Micro

12/15/2015  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 MGIC  $5.38 $6.85 $0.09 29.0% -1.1%
 BSQR  $6.00 $5.72 $0.00 -4.7% -1.1%
 SPCB  $4.52 $3.97 $0.00 -12.2% -1.1%
 WLDN  $8.64 $8.63 $0.00 -0.1% -1.1%
 MNDO  $2.58 $2.11 $0.27 -7.8% -1.1%
 Totals               -   0.8% -1.1%
Also a struggle/push here.  Sense the frustration?

Dividend Stocks

 Div and Warrants   Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   Pct Gain Last Week   Year End 2015 
 BAC-WTA  $4.90 $3.88 $0.00 -20.8% -16.7% -3.6%
 AOD  $7.65 $7.33 $1.29 12.7% 14.2% 15.3%
 JQC  $7.81 $7.80 $0.20 2.4% 4.4% 0.9%
 CSQ  $9.03 $9.35 $1.63 21.6% 22.7% 27.3%
 NTC  $12.06 $13.09 $1.40 20.1% 19.1% 16.1%
 TGONF  $10.24 $9.61 $1.36 7.1% 4.2% 8.3%
 HIG-WT  $21.24 $38.31 $0.00 80.4% 82.5% 72.9%
 O  $23.07 $61.46 $18.03 244.6% 243.7% 205.7%
 OIBAX  $5.05 $5.66 $2.18 55.3% 55.9% 51.9%
 SJT  $8.76 $5.17 $0.18 -38.9% -38.9% -51.6%
 REXI  $5.59 $5.60 $0.07 1.3% 15.4% -2.8%
 Totals  4.1% 6.6% 6.2%

You can clearly see the down 2.5% for the week here. REXI got stomped, not sure why.

Oh well, I am off to enjoy Easter weekend, looks like a beautiful day.

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