Saturday, January 22, 2011

Weekly Update and Look at Talking Ed

My "secret" contest against Ed (Ed's Talking Stock) is not even fun any more. He is really doing poorly and it is real money for him. I am going to continue though as my illustration that purely trading is not a great strategy. Here is his current portfolio (but don't blink as it changes at the blink of an eye):

BIDU: -0.56 to $105.10 (-0.53%)–bought at $99.00
ERX: 0.87 to $63.47 (1.39%)–bought at $65.6899
F: 0.17 to $17.95 (0.96%)–bought at $18.05
INTC: -0.13 to $20.82 (-0.62%)–bought at $18.52
JUBAX: NA to $10.83 (NA%)–bought at $10.17
SOXL: -1.00 to $57.05 (-1.72%)–bought at $60.83
YCL: 0.41 to $32.38 (1.28%)–bought at $32.87

Then here is my Spiffy 50 Portfolio:

stock Initial Shares Current Daily Change Y-day Current Value Total Change
afam 35.17 56.87 34.82 -4.89% 2,082 1,980 -1.00%
agx 8.43 237.25 9.48 -0.32% 2,256 2,249 12.46%
amed 28.49 70.20 31.38 1.19% 2,177 2,203 10.14%
apol 35.35 56.58 42.35 -2.04% 2,446 2,396 19.80%
azn 47.99 41.68 48.10 2.58% 1,954 2,005 0.23%
cbst 21.20 94.34 22.21 4.76% 2,000 2,095 4.76%
ccme 15.87 126.02 19.65 0.00% 2,476 2,476 23.82%
ceu 3.44 581.40 2.44 6.09% 1,337 1,419 -29.07%
chke 19.81 100.96 18.14 -0.22% 1,835 1,831 -8.43%
cmtl 30.70 65.15 26.78 1.09% 1,726 1,745 -11.95%
cnxt 1.43 1,398.60 2.04 0.00% 2,853 2,853 42.66%
coco 4.24 471.70 5.04 -0.93% 2,400 2,377 18.87%
csgs 19.02 105.15 18.49 -0.43% 1,953 1,944 -2.79%
dell 13.65 146.52 13.47 -0.96% 1,993 1,974 -1.32%
dlx 22.02 90.83 23.59 -1.05% 2,165 2,143 7.13%
eesc.ob 1.90 1,052.63 1.71 0.00% 1,800 1,800 -10.00%
eme 28.02 71.38 29.65 -0.17% 2,120 2,116 5.82%
frx 32.24 62.03 31.66 -1.03% 1,984 1,964 -1.80%
gme 21.15 94.56 20.90 -0.52% 1,987 1,976 -1.18%
hrb 13.37 149.59 13.78 4.31% 1,976 2,061 4.19%
idcc 34.71 57.62 46.98 -1.22% 2,740 2,707 35.35%
ipxl 18.29 109.35 22.00 -0.59% 2,420 2,406 20.28%
ksw 3.43 583.09 3.74 -0.58% 2,192 2,180 11.03%
lnc 25.12 79.62 29.01 0.59% 2,296 2,310 15.68%
lo 81.74 24.47 74.20 -0.16% 1,818 1,816 -9.22%
lps 31.13 64.25 32.25 -0.80% 2,089 2,072 3.92%
mail 6.84 292.40 7.52 0.27% 2,193 2,199 9.94%
mpaa 11.68 171.23 14.84 2.13% 2,488 2,541 27.05%
mrx 26.88 74.40 25.15 -0.98% 1,890 1,871 -6.21%
msft 26.89 74.38 28.02 -1.17% 2,109 2,084 4.20%
navg 50.17 39.86 49.18 -0.73% 1,975 1,961 -1.97%
nvmi 7.42 269.54 9.07 -0.22% 2,450 2,445 22.24%
osk 30.50 65.57 36.09 -0.61% 2,381 2,367 18.33%
ppd 65.17 30.69 60.32 -2.11% 1,891 1,851 -7.44%
prsc 17.48 114.42 16.01 -1.36% 1,857 1,832 -8.41%
pwer 10.40 192.31 10.74 -2.54% 2,119 2,065 3.27%
rtn 48.33 41.38 52.15 -0.42% 2,167 2,158 8.68%
scei 6.76 295.86 6.43 0.78% 1,888 1,902 -4.88%
sndk 48.00 41.67 49.97 0.04% 2,081 2,082 4.10%
solr 7.87 254.13 11.68 4.19% 2,849 2,968 48.41%
supg 2.60 769.23 2.95 3.15% 2,200 2,269 13.46%
ter 12.43 160.90 13.75 -0.79% 2,230 2,212 10.62%
tnav 6.86 291.55 7.33 -1.74% 2,175 2,137 6.85%
tndm 14.71 135.96 15.45 0.68% 2,086 2,101 5.03%
tsra 19.93 100.35 21.26 -1.80% 2,173 2,133 6.67%
uis 24.27 82.41 27.10 0.07% 2,232 2,233 11.66%
untd 6.86 291.55 6.98 -0.85% 2,052 2,035 1.75%
usb 24.76 80.78 26.96 0.97% 2,157 2,178 9.09%
veco 45.07 44.38 44.51 -3.18% 2,040 1,975 -1.24%
vr 29.59 67.59 30.35 -0.75% 2,067 2,051 3.31%
Totals

- -0.07% 106,827 106,749 6.88%








Ed starting 12/3/10



-5.86%
MFI Index





9.70%
Russell 3000




6.54%


It is doing about "average".

New Mechanical Stocks

Three new stocks added this weekend to my mechanical portfolios. CMTL hit the top 30 screen (it is looking like a great buy to me... note I own it). Then RIGL and DVOX hit the top 50 screen.I doubt I will be a buyer of either, though I will be selling my PDLI tomorrow.

Quick Table of Results

Here is a quick table by year of my results. It continues to be a bit of a struggle. China increasing their interest rates isn't helping.

MFI Performance

ITD Annual
2006 10.74% 10.74%
2007 -6.57% -15.63%
2008 -41.60% -37.50%
2009 0.71% 72.47%
2010 10.90% 10.12%
2011 11.57% 0.61%



IWV Performance

ITD Annual
2006 11.23% 11.23%
2007 4.65% -5.91%
2008 -30.54% -33.63%
2009 -13.95% 23.87%
2010 1.65% 18.14%
2011 3.33% 1.65%



MFI Index Performance

ITD Annual
2006 8.30% 8.30%
2007 -6.88% -14.02%
2008 -35.98% -31.26%
2009 -11.07% 38.92%
2010 9.19% 22.77%
2011 11.49% 2.10%

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