Wednesday, January 02, 2019

New MFI Formula Tranche 1/2/2019

New MFI Formula Tranche 1/2/2019

Out with the old.  In with the new.  I have started a new MFI Formula tranche today as I just hit the anniversary date of the old one.

I will provide tables below, but here are some statistics regarding the tranche from last year.  It ended up being down 4.0% versus -7.2% for the benchmark.

As my readers know, I pick the five stock via a formula and a random number generator.  So it is very easy to see how the stocks the the random number generator excluded performed.  They were down on par with the market at -7%.  CSCO and DIN were surprisingly good.  But CJREF and PBI were horrible.

Here is a listing of all my closed MFI Formula tranches.  You will find the one that just closed at the very bottom:


10/1/2014 Stocks  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 BAH  $23.52 $26.21 $0.50 13.5% -0.6%
 BKE  $45.55 $36.97 $3.68 -10.8% -0.6%
 CA  $27.87 $27.30 $1.00 1.5% -0.6%
 GME  $41.70 $41.21 $1.41 2.2% -0.6%
 NUS  $44.56 $41.28 $1.40 -4.2% -0.6%
 Totals  0.5% -0.6%
 12/31/14 Stocks   Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 CA  $30.83 $29.26 $1.00 -1.8% -0.3%
 CSCO  $28.36 $27.70 $0.82 0.6% -0.3%
 RGR  $34.81 $60.08 $1.10 75.7% -0.3%
 GME  $34.21 $28.71 $1.44 -11.9% -0.3%
 IQNT  $19.87 $17.78 $0.60 -7.5% -0.3%
 Totals  11.0% -0.3%
3/31/2015  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 HRB  $31.99 $26.33 $0.80 -15.2% -1.1%
 GME  $37.69 $32.12 $1.45 -10.9% -1.1%
 KING  $15.85 $18.00 $0.00 13.6% -1.1%
 NSU  $3.43 $3.24 $0.16 -0.8% -1.1%
 PPC  $22.65 $25.40 $0.00 12.1% -1.1%
 Totals  -0.2% -1.1%
7/1/2015  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 BKE  $46.45 $25.51 $1.96 -40.9% -0.3%
 CA  $29.34 $31.53 $1.01 10.9% -0.3%
 MSFT  $44.42 $49.29 $1.39 14.1% -0.3%
 QCOM  $62.95 $53.45 $1.97 -12.0% -0.3%
 VIAB  $64.75 $40.81 $1.60 -34.5% -0.3%
 Totals  -12.5% -0.3%
10/1/2015  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 BKE  $36.83 $24.03 $1.98 -29.4% 13.6%
 IQNT  $21.96 $16.14 $0.60 -23.8% 13.6%
 QCOM  $53.45 $68.50 $2.02 31.9% 13.6%
 CSCO  $26.37 $31.72 $0.94 23.9% 13.6%
 CA  $27.30 $33.08 $1.01 24.9% 13.6%
 Totals  5.5% 13.6%
 12/31/15 Stocks   Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 BBY  $30.31 $42.67 $1.57 46.0% 12.1%
 GME  $28.34 $25.45 $1.48 -5.0% 12.1%
 ILG  $15.89 $18.17 $0.48 17.4% 12.1%
 PPC  $22.22 $19.14 $2.75 -1.5% 12.1%
 VIAB  $40.93 $35.40 $1.20 -10.6% 12.1%
 Totals  9.3% 12.1%
 4/1/16 Stocks  Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
 CALM  $51.27 $37.55 $0.44 -25.9% 18.0%
 HPQ  $12.10 $17.88 $0.51 51.9% 18.0%
 TIME  $15.24 $19.35 $0.76 31.9% 18.0%
 ILG  $13.85 $20.96 $0.51 55.0% 18.0%
 XPER  $30.79 $33.95 $0.80 12.9% 18.0%
 Totals  25.2% 18.0%
7/1/2016  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 ILG  $16.76 $27.49 $0.54 67.2% 16.8%
 VIAB  $44.00 $33.57 $0.80 -21.9% 16.8%
 CPLA  $53.22 $85.60 $1.62 63.9% 16.8%
 HRB  $23.62 $30.91 $0.90 34.7% 16.8%
 PBI  $17.69 $15.10 $0.75 -10.4% 16.8%
 Totals  26.7% 16.8%
10/3/2016  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 CPLA  $58.15 $70.15 $1.64 23.5% 18.8%
 LDOS  $43.01 $59.22 $1.28 40.7% 18.8%
 GME  $27.70 $20.66 $1.51 -20.0% 18.8%
 PBI  $18.15 $14.01 $0.75 -18.7% 18.8%
 CSCO  $31.72 $33.63 $1.10 9.5% 18.8%
 Totals  7.0% 18.8%
12/30/2016  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 GILD  $71.69 $71.64 $2.08 2.8% 20.7%
 HPQ  $15.00 $21.01 $0.53 43.6% 20.7%
 TGNA  $21.33 $23.69 $0.35 12.7% 20.7%
 CA  $31.99 $33.28 $1.02 7.2% 20.7%
 SYNT  $19.79 $22.99 $0.00 16.2% 20.7%
 Totals  16.5% 20.7%
4/1/2017  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 BKE  $18.45 $22.00 $2.75 34.1% 11.0%
 CSCO  $33.76 $41.01 $1.16 24.9% 11.0%
 GILD  $67.50 $73.14 $2.13 11.5% 11.0%
 OMC  $85.53 $71.27 $2.25 -14.0% 11.0%
 SYNT  $16.76 $25.16 $0.00 50.1% 11.0%
 Totals  21.3% 11.0%
7/1/2017  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 CSCO  $30.98 $42.67 $1.24 41.7% 17.4%
 GME  $20.95 $15.47 $1.52 -18.9% 17.4%
 HPQ  $17.60 $23.37 $0.53 35.8% 17.4%
 RGR  $60.70 $56.70 $0.99 -5.0% 17.4%
 SYNT  $16.21 $37.77 $0.00 133.0% 17.4%
 Totals  37.3% 17.4%
10/1/2017  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 DIN  $43.14 $79.32 $2.86 90.5% 17.4%
 GILD  $82.85 $77.96 $2.23 -3.2% 17.4%
 GME  $20.50 $15.28 $1.52 -18.0% 17.4%
 HPQ  $20.22 $25.61 $0.53 29.3% 17.4%
 OMC  $74.80 $68.07 $2.35 -5.9% 17.4%
 Totals  18.5% 17.4%
1/2/2018  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 AMGN  $177.11 $192.47 $5.28 11.7% -7.2%
 GME  $18.06 $12.56 $1.52 -22.0% -7.2%
 GILD  $71.64 $62.01 $1.71 -11.1% -7.2%
 HRB  $26.34 $25.05 $0.99 -1.1% -7.2%
 OMC  $72.81 $72.74 $1.80 2.4% -7.2%
 Totals  -4.0% -7.2%


Finally, here are my 5 "new" stocks.  Actually, Mr Random carried over GILD and OMC, so I used their closing prices from last year as starting prices for new tranche.  All other prices reflect what I paid today around 10:15.


1/2/2019  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 EGOV  $12.54 $12.61 $0.00 0.5% 0.8%
 GILD  $62.01 $62.65 $0.00 1.0% 0.8%
 IPG  $20.50 $20.44 $0.00 -0.3% 0.8%
 KLAC  $90.04 $91.35 $0.00 1.5% 0.8%
 OMC  $72.74 $72.91 $0.00 0.2% 0.8%
 Totals  0.6% 0.8%

I already owned all these stocks in other portfolios... that is pretty typical for MFI Formula as I think there were 15 or 16 names.  I did not exclude any names... though I considered GME (didn't get them anyway.  Here is table of stocks that were eligible.  I will place the "rejects" in a tracking portfolio to see how they do for the year:


Number Ticker Market Cap Price Dividend Yield
1 AMAT              31,594         32.74              0.80 2.44%
2 HRB                 5,214         25.37              0.99 3.90%
3 CJREF                    742           3.50              0.24 6.86%
4 DLX                 1,780         38.44              1.20 3.12%
5 GME                 1,290         12.62              1.52 12.04%
6 GILD              81,065         62.55              2.28 3.65%
7 HPQ              31,836         20.46              0.58 2.83%
8 IPG                 7,929         20.63              0.84 4.07%
9 KLAC              13,699         89.49              2.84 3.17%
10 LRCX              21,848      136.17              3.80 2.79%
11 EGOV                    818         12.48              0.32 2.56%
12 OMC              16,464         73.24              2.40 3.28%
13 STX              11,042         38.59              2.52 6.53%
14 TUP                 1,534         31.57              2.72 8.62%
15 VIAB              10,360         25.70              0.80 3.11%
16 WDC              10,684         36.97              2.00 5.41%

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