Friday, December 30, 2016

Out With The Old....

Out With The Old, In With The New

Well, 2016 is a wrap... at least as far as investing in concerned.  And with the passing of 2016, my 12/31/15 MFI Formula tranche is done.  I sold three of the stocks today (VIAB, PPC and GME).  I will sell the other two (BBY and ILG) Tuesday.

The tranche ended as a loser, up 9.3% versus 12.1% for the benchmark.  As always, I have published all my closed tranches for those with enquiring minds.


10/1/2014 Stocks  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 BAH  $23.52 $26.21 $0.50 13.5% -0.6%
 BKE  $45.55 $36.97 $3.68 -10.8% -0.6%
 CA  $27.87 $27.30 $1.00 1.5% -0.6%
 GME  $41.70 $41.21 $1.41 2.2% -0.6%
 NUS  $44.56 $41.28 $1.40 -4.2% -0.6%
 Totals  0.5% -0.6%
 12/31/14 Stocks   Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 CA  $30.83 $29.26 $1.00 -1.8% -0.3%
 CSCO  $28.36 $27.70 $0.82 0.6% -0.3%
 RGR  $34.81 $60.08 $1.10 75.7% -0.3%
 GME  $34.21 $28.71 $1.44 -11.9% -0.3%
 IQNT  $19.87 $17.78 $0.60 -7.5% -0.3%
 Totals  11.0% -0.3%
3/31/2015  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 HRB  $31.99 $26.33 $0.80 -15.2% -1.1%
 GME  $37.69 $32.12 $1.45 -10.9% -1.1%
 KING  $15.85 $18.00 $0.00 13.6% -1.1%
 NSU  $3.43 $3.24 $0.16 -0.8% -1.1%
 PPC  $22.65 $25.40 $0.00 12.1% -1.1%
 Totals  -0.2% -1.1%
7/1/2015  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 BKE  $46.45 $25.51 $1.96 -40.9% -0.3%
 CA  $29.34 $31.53 $1.01 10.9% -0.3%
 MSFT  $44.42 $49.29 $1.39 14.1% -0.3%
 QCOM  $62.95 $53.45 $1.97 -12.0% -0.3%
 VIAB  $64.75 $40.81 $1.60 -34.5% -0.3%
 Totals  -12.5% -0.3%
10/1/2015  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 BKE  $36.83 $24.03 $1.98 -29.4% 13.6%
 IQNT  $21.96 $16.14 $0.60 -23.8% 13.6%
 QCOM  $53.45 $68.50 $2.02 31.9% 13.6%
 CSCO  $26.37 $31.72 $0.94 23.9% 13.6%
 CA  $27.30 $33.08 $1.01 24.9% 13.6%
 Totals  5.5% 13.6%
 12/31/15 Stocks   Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 BBY  $30.31 $42.67 $1.57 46.0% 12.1%
 GME  $28.34 $25.45 $1.48 -5.0% 12.1%
 ILG  $15.89 $18.17 $0.48 17.4% 12.1%
 PPC  $22.22 $19.14 $2.75 -1.5% 12.1%
 VIAB  $40.93 $35.40 $1.20 -10.6% 12.1%
 Totals  9.3% 12.1%


This was a bad time to start a formula tranche, the 7 rejects were only up about 3%, with PVI and BKE both down more than 20%.

New Tranche

I started a new tranche today. As a reminder, this is purely done by formula and a random number generator.  Here were the options and my picks.


Number Ticker Market Cap Price Dividend Yield
1 HRB                 4,911         23.05              0.88 3.8%
2 BKE                 1,106         23.05              1.00 4.3%
3 CA              13,279         31.87              1.02 3.2%
4 CSCO            153,031         30.26              1.04 3.4%
5 GME                 2,600         25.46              1.48 5.8%
6 GILD              95,356         71.70              1.88 2.6%
7 HPQ              25,577         15.00              0.53 3.5%
8 PBI                 2,848         15.18              0.75 4.9%
9 RGR                 1,001         53.55              1.64 3.1%
10 SYNT                 1,665         19.62            14.00 71.4%
11 TGNA                 4,621         21.32              0.56 2.6%

Random # Stock
6 GILD
7 HPQ
11 TGNA
3 CA
10 SYNT

Here is how they look after 1/2 a day:


12/30/2016  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 GILD  $71.69 $71.61 $0.00 -0.1% -0.1%
 HPQ  $15.00 $14.84 $0.00 -1.1% -0.1%
 TGNA  $21.33 $21.39 $0.00 0.3% -0.1%
 CA  $31.99 $31.78 $0.00 -0.7% -0.1%
 SYNT  $19.79 $19.79 $0.00 0.0% -0.1%
 Totals  -0.3% -0.1%

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