It was a very good week for my stocks. Maybe even great. Up about 2% as Janet Yellen & Company continued their dovish policies. I do not know whether they help the economy, but they do prop up the stock market. Pushing on a string. Another Jelly Donut please!
I am now up about 11.5% for the year. I would have never expected that this year... of course the year is not done yet. It will be interesting to see how the markets react to presidential debate on Monday. October is traditionally a rocky month for the markets and with a real chance of Trump winning, with his anti free trade rhetoric, this could be even rockier than usual.
MFI Select
| Date | Differential | MFI Value | R3K Value |
| 12/1/2012 | -2.20% | 99,765 | 101,965 |
| 1/1/2013 | -1.78% | 102,798 | 104,575 |
| 2/1/2013 | -2.26% | 102,594 | 104,856 |
| 3/1/2013 | -2.23% | 102,881 | 105,114 |
| 4/1/2013 | -0.43% | 106,804 | 107,234 |
| 5/1/2013 | 2.00% | 110,423 | 108,423 |
| 6/1/2013 | 4.75% | 115,831 | 111,085 |
| 7/1/2013 | 4.29% | 114,888 | 110,597 |
| 8/1/2013 | 6.91% | 124,799 | 117,889 |
| 9/1/2013 | 10.46% | 124,536 | 114,079 |
| 10/1/2013 | 19.67% | 138,655 | 118,990 |
| 11/1/2013 | 19.75% | 143,514 | 123,764 |
| 12/1/2013 | 23.70% | 150,105 | 126,405 |
| 1/1/2014 | 26.63% | 157,138 | 130,503 |
| 2/1/2014 | 24.70% | 150,619 | 125,918 |
| 3/1/2014 | 25.66% | 158,116 | 132,458 |
| 4/1/2014 | 30.38% | 162,991 | 132,616 |
| 5/1/2014 | 29.65% | 162,428 | 132,779 |
| 6/1/2014 | 31.44% | 167,001 | 135,559 |
| 7/1/2014 | 39.23% | 177,971 | 138,740 |
| 8/1/2014 | 31.13% | 167,054 | 135,922 |
| 9/1/2014 | 35.90% | 177,792 | 141,892 |
| 10/1/2014 | 29.38% | 168,321 | 138,944 |
| 11/1/2014 | 26.14% | 168,810 | 142,666 |
| 12/1/2014 | 30.22% | 176,420 | 146,198 |
| 1/1/2015 | 28.17% | 174,306 | 146,140 |
| 2/1/2015 | 20.63% | 162,833 | 142,201 |
| 3/1/2015 | 25.15% | 175,476 | 150,324 |
| 4/1/2015 | 29.95% | 178,565 | 148,612 |
| 5/1/2015 | 37.31% | 186,655 | 149,348 |
| 6/1/2015 | 51.53% | 202,897 | 151,371 |
| 7/1/2015 | 62.69% | 211,437 | 148,743 |
| 8/1/2015 | 40.75% | 192,117 | 151,369 |
| 9/1/2015 | 36.41% | 178,603 | 142,195 |
| 10/1/2015 | 43.12% | 181,175 | 138,052 |
| 11/1/2015 | 69.02% | 217,959 | 148,936 |
| 12/1/2015 | 73.49% | 223,435 | 149,946 |
| 1/1/2016 | 63.33% | 209,514 | 146,186 |
| 2/1/2016 | 49.49% | 187,428 | 137,934 |
| 3/1/2016 | 56.48% | 194,415 | 137,934 |
| 4/1/2016 | 47.34% | 195,770 | 148,430 |
| 5/1/2016 | 46.38% | 194,301 | 147,923 |
| 6/1/2016 | 51.44% | 201,999 | 150,558 |
| 7/1/2016 | 50.41% | 201,092 | 150,680 |
| 8/1/2016 | 52.72% | 207,223 | 154,501 |
| 9/1/2016 | 67.04% | 222,481 | 155,446 |
| Current | 57.72% | 213,220 | 155,502 |
Not as much of a bump as I expected. I was just over $211,000 last week. So a 1% bump.
| 11/15/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| LCI | $34.01 | $29.91 | $0.00 | -12.1% | 7.5% |
| SAVE | $34.48 | $39.72 | $0.00 | 15.2% | 7.5% |
| PPC | $18.98 | $20.96 | $2.75 | 24.9% | 7.5% |
| VEC | $23.60 | $28.69 | $0.00 | 21.6% | 7.5% |
| VNCE | $3.99 | $6.11 | $0.00 | 53.1% | 7.5% |
| Totals | 20.6% | 7.5% | |||
| 2/1/2016 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| VEC | $19.64 | $28.69 | $0.00 | 46.1% | 14.4% |
| QCOM | $45.18 | $62.75 | $1.54 | 42.3% | 14.4% |
| PERI | $2.45 | $1.27 | $0.00 | -48.2% | 14.4% |
| DEPO | $15.34 | $24.51 | $0.00 | 59.8% | 14.4% |
| TDC | $24.02 | $30.72 | $0.00 | 27.9% | 14.4% |
| Totals | 25.6% | 14.4% | |||
| 5/6/2016 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| BRCD | $7.97 | $9.14 | $0.11 | 16.1% | 7.2% |
| CBI | $37.82 | $26.66 | $0.00 | -29.5% | 7.2% |
| HSII | $18.51 | $18.19 | $0.13 | -1.0% | 7.2% |
| RHI | $38.51 | $37.69 | $0.44 | -1.0% | 7.2% |
| UTHR | $107.99 | $127.21 | $0.00 | 17.8% | 7.2% |
| Totals | 0.5% | 7.2% | |||
| 8/15/2016 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| CSCO | $31.20 | $31.34 | $0.00 | 0.4% | -0.4% |
| GNC | $19.79 | $20.15 | $0.19 | 2.8% | -0.4% |
| VLO | $54.73 | $55.67 | $0.00 | 1.7% | -0.4% |
| MSGN | $16.68 | $18.44 | $0.00 | 10.6% | -0.4% |
| GILD | $79.33 | $81.37 | $0.47 | 3.2% | -0.4% |
| Totals | 3.7% | -0.4% |
The august tranche continues to look solid. CBI is crushing May. February was 4 great picks and one dud (PERI, down 48%). November has seen LCI really pull back. Their CFO resgned this week, so that always makes a market jittery.
MFI Formula
| Date | Differential | Value | R3K Value |
| 10/1/2014 | 0.00% | 100,000 | 100,000 |
| 11/1/2014 | 1.63% | 102,288 | 100,658 |
| 12/1/2014 | 0.30% | 101,375 | 101,075 |
| 1/1/2015 | -0.33% | 100,664 | 100,995 |
| 2/1/2015 | 1.67% | 101,281 | 99,611 |
| 3/1/2015 | 3.62% | 106,073 | 102,454 |
| 4/1/2015 | 5.09% | 106,781 | 101,695 |
| 5/1/2015 | 5.78% | 107,859 | 102,077 |
| 6/1/2015 | 5.08% | 108,213 | 103,134 |
| 7/1/2015 | 4.82% | 106,423 | 101,604 |
| 8/1/2015 | 3.71% | 107,112 | 103,404 |
| 9/1/2015 | 4.38% | 101,523 | 97,139 |
| 10/1/2015 | 6.39% | 100,703 | 94,312 |
| 11/1/2015 | 2.93% | 104,835 | 101,907 |
| 12/1/2015 | -3.48% | 99,443 | 102,926 |
| 1/1/2016 | -3.36% | 96,830 | 100,012 |
| 2/1/2016 | -0.72% | 93,797 | 94,367 |
| 3/1/2016 | 4.07% | 98,588 | 94,367 |
| 4/1/2016 | 0.34% | 102,371 | 101,548 |
| 5/1/2016 | -1.91% | 99,774 | 101,200 |
| 6/1/2016 | -0.42% | 103,145 | 103,568 |
| 7/1/2016 | -0.19% | 103,022 | 103,216 |
| 8/1/2016 | 2.56% | 109,419 | 106,857 |
| 9/1/2016 | -0.34% | 106,704 | 107,048 |
| Current | -1.92% | 105,203 | 107,123 |
We were 103,600 a week ago, so a bit more than a percentage point. Still continue to trail. This will be final week of 9/30/15 tranche.
| 10/1/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| BKE | $36.83 | $25.00 | $1.98 | -26.7% | 13.4% |
| IQNT | $21.96 | $16.35 | $0.60 | -22.8% | 13.4% |
| QCOM | $53.45 | $62.75 | $2.02 | 21.2% | 13.4% |
| CSCO | $26.37 | $31.34 | $0.94 | 22.4% | 13.4% |
| CA | $27.30 | $32.63 | $1.01 | 23.2% | 13.4% |
| Totals | 3.5% | 13.4% | |||
| 12/31/15 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| BBY | $30.31 | $37.99 | $1.29 | 29.6% | 7.4% |
| GME | $28.34 | $28.19 | $1.11 | 3.4% | 7.4% |
| IILG | $15.89 | $16.89 | $0.36 | 8.6% | 7.4% |
| PPC | $22.22 | $20.96 | $2.75 | 6.7% | 7.4% |
| VIAB | $40.93 | $35.50 | $0.80 | -11.3% | 7.4% |
| Totals | 7.4% | 7.4% | |||
| 4/1/16 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| CALM | $51.27 | $42.17 | $0.44 | -16.9% | 7.1% |
| HPQ | $12.10 | $15.09 | $0.25 | 26.7% | 7.1% |
| TIME | $15.24 | $15.03 | $0.38 | 1.1% | 7.1% |
| IILG | $13.85 | $16.89 | $0.24 | 23.6% | 7.1% |
| TSRA | $30.79 | $37.77 | $0.40 | 24.0% | 7.1% |
| Totals | 11.7% | 7.1% | |||
| 7/1/2016 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| IILG | $16.76 | $16.89 | $0.12 | 1.5% | 3.0% |
| VIAB | $44.00 | $35.50 | $0.00 | -19.3% | 3.0% |
| CPLA | $53.22 | $58.59 | $0.39 | 10.8% | 3.0% |
| HRB | $23.62 | $23.09 | $0.22 | -1.3% | 3.0% |
| PBI | $17.69 | $17.77 | $0.19 | 1.5% | 3.0% |
| Totals | -1.4% | 3.0% |
Looking at the four open tranches... kind of treading water or worse.
| Category/Tranche | October | January | April | July | Total |
| Initial Investment | 249,820 | 249,939 | 250,180 | 249,728 | 999,667 |
| Current Tranche | 3.5% | 7.4% | 11.7% | -1.4% | 5.3% |
| Previous Tranche | 0.5% | 11.0% | -0.2% | -12.5% | -0.1% |
| Tranche -2 | 0.0% | - | - | - | 0.0% |
| MFI Overall Gain | 3.9% | 19.2% | 11.4% | -13.7% | 5.2% |
| Current Balance | 259,630 | 297,979 | 278,810 | 215,612 | 1,052,032 |
| R3K Current Tranche | 13.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 7.7% |
| R3K Overall Gain | 12.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 7.2% |
| R3K Balance | 281,852 | 267,820 | 265,105 | 256,449 | 1,071,226 |
| Annualized IRR | 2.0% | 10.7% | 7.6% | -11.2% | 3.2% |
This table shows the treading water or worse... current tranches in aggregate up 5.3% versus 7.7% for R3K. In aggregate, the January tranches have done the best, 10.7% IRR.
Dividends/Warrants
| Div and Warrants | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | Pct Gain Last Week | June 1 2016 |
| BAC-WTA | $4.90 | $4.67 | $0.00 | -4.7% | -6.5% | -20.6% |
| AOD | $7.64 | $7.61 | $1.57 | 20.1% | 18.7% | 17.1% |
| JQC | $7.82 | $8.33 | $0.50 | 12.9% | 12.6% | 8.4% |
| CSQ | $9.08 | $10.31 | $2.03 | 36.0% | 35.9% | 30.5% |
| DSL | $18.42 | $18.98 | $0.59 | 6.3% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| TGONF | $10.24 | $10.75 | $1.69 | 21.5% | 22.9% | 12.5% |
| HIG-WT | $21.24 | $36.90 | $0.00 | 73.8% | 73.8% | 75.7% |
| O | $23.83 | $68.05 | $18.89 | 264.8% | 249.8% | 249.0% |
| OIBAX | $5.06 | $5.95 | $2.27 | 62.4% | 61.3% | 58.1% |
| SJT | $8.75 | $5.96 | $0.23 | -29.2% | -36.4% | -14.4% |
| GLDI | $10.68 | $10.51 | $0.52 | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Totals | 14.3% | 12.3% | 9.0% |
Well, here is where I made some money! At 12.3% last week, now 14.3%. THis approach is up almost 17% for the year. Sweet.
Other Stocks
SBRA also had a very good week, as I mentioned it will join dividend portfolio in 2017. WLDN also popped, up 12% for the week. I did very well on a few weekly/speculative trades: NUGT (+12%) and SRPT (sold too early but made 5%). Now I just need someone to buy EMG!
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