Hello, hope everyone had a happy and healthy labor day. We just got back from a New Hampshire trip. It was nice, but traffic heavy returning. I think many people thinking about going to Cape Cod and Jersey Shore went to Vermont and New Hampshire due to closed beaches and tropical storm threats.
Last week was not all that hot for me. Really due to VEC, as in Wreck. VEC was my #3 holding and dropped over 20% on the week as they lost a key contract. drats.
I was down 90 basis points while the R3K was up about 70. That is probably my worst weekly differential since June. So it goes. Still beating benchmark solidly in 2016.
MFI Select
| Date | Differential | MFI Value | R3K Value |
| 12/1/2012 | -2.20% | 99,765 | 101,965 |
| 1/1/2013 | -1.78% | 102,798 | 104,575 |
| 2/1/2013 | -2.26% | 102,594 | 104,856 |
| 3/1/2013 | -2.23% | 102,881 | 105,114 |
| 4/1/2013 | -0.43% | 106,804 | 107,234 |
| 5/1/2013 | 2.00% | 110,423 | 108,423 |
| 6/1/2013 | 4.75% | 115,831 | 111,085 |
| 7/1/2013 | 4.29% | 114,888 | 110,597 |
| 8/1/2013 | 6.91% | 124,799 | 117,889 |
| 9/1/2013 | 10.46% | 124,536 | 114,079 |
| 10/1/2013 | 19.67% | 138,655 | 118,990 |
| 11/1/2013 | 19.75% | 143,514 | 123,764 |
| 12/1/2013 | 23.70% | 150,105 | 126,405 |
| 1/1/2014 | 26.63% | 157,138 | 130,503 |
| 2/1/2014 | 24.70% | 150,619 | 125,918 |
| 3/1/2014 | 25.66% | 158,116 | 132,458 |
| 4/1/2014 | 30.38% | 162,991 | 132,616 |
| 5/1/2014 | 29.65% | 162,428 | 132,779 |
| 6/1/2014 | 31.44% | 167,001 | 135,559 |
| 7/1/2014 | 39.23% | 177,971 | 138,740 |
| 8/1/2014 | 31.13% | 167,054 | 135,922 |
| 9/1/2014 | 35.90% | 177,792 | 141,892 |
| 10/1/2014 | 29.38% | 168,321 | 138,944 |
| 11/1/2014 | 26.14% | 168,810 | 142,666 |
| 12/1/2014 | 30.22% | 176,420 | 146,198 |
| 1/1/2015 | 28.17% | 174,306 | 146,140 |
| 2/1/2015 | 20.63% | 162,833 | 142,201 |
| 3/1/2015 | 25.15% | 175,476 | 150,324 |
| 4/1/2015 | 29.95% | 178,565 | 148,612 |
| 5/1/2015 | 37.31% | 186,655 | 149,348 |
| 6/1/2015 | 51.53% | 202,897 | 151,371 |
| 7/1/2015 | 62.69% | 211,437 | 148,743 |
| 8/1/2015 | 40.75% | 192,117 | 151,369 |
| 9/1/2015 | 36.41% | 178,603 | 142,195 |
| 10/1/2015 | 43.12% | 181,175 | 138,052 |
| 11/1/2015 | 69.02% | 217,959 | 148,936 |
| 12/1/2015 | 73.49% | 223,435 | 149,946 |
| 1/1/2016 | 63.33% | 209,514 | 146,186 |
| 2/1/2016 | 49.49% | 187,428 | 137,934 |
| 3/1/2016 | 56.48% | 194,415 | 137,934 |
| 4/1/2016 | 47.34% | 195,770 | 148,430 |
| 5/1/2016 | 46.38% | 194,301 | 147,923 |
| 6/1/2016 | 51.44% | 201,999 | 150,558 |
| 7/1/2016 | 50.41% | 201,092 | 150,680 |
| 8/1/2016 | 52.72% | 207,223 | 154,501 |
| 9/1/2016 | 67.04% | 222,481 | 155,446 |
| Current | 58.31% | 214,268 | 155,953 |
You can really see the drop in first few days of September, going from a 67 percentage point lead to 58. Still impressive, but I am a bit bummed.
| 11/15/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| LCI | $34.01 | $31.79 | $0.00 | -6.5% | 8.1% |
| SAVE | $34.48 | $39.81 | $0.00 | 15.5% | 8.1% |
| PPC | $18.98 | $23.54 | $2.75 | 38.5% | 8.1% |
| VEC | $23.60 | $26.39 | $0.00 | 11.8% | 8.1% |
| VNCE | $3.99 | $6.87 | $0.00 | 72.2% | 8.1% |
| Totals | 26.3% | 8.1% | |||
| 2/1/2016 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| VEC | $19.64 | $26.39 | $0.00 | 34.4% | 15.0% |
| QCOM | $45.18 | $63.35 | $1.54 | 43.6% | 15.0% |
| PERI | $2.45 | $1.27 | $0.00 | -48.2% | 15.0% |
| DEPO | $15.34 | $20.93 | $0.00 | 36.4% | 15.0% |
| TDC | $24.02 | $31.75 | $0.00 | 32.2% | 15.0% |
| Totals | 19.7% | 15.0% | |||
| 5/6/2016 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| BRCD | $7.97 | $9.02 | $0.06 | 13.9% | 7.9% |
| CBI | $37.82 | $29.73 | $0.00 | -21.4% | 7.9% |
| HSII | $18.51 | $18.85 | $0.13 | 2.5% | 7.9% |
| RHI | $38.51 | $38.50 | $0.22 | 0.5% | 7.9% |
| UTHR | $107.99 | $122.91 | $0.00 | 13.8% | 7.9% |
| Totals | 1.9% | 7.9% | |||
| 8/15/2016 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| CSCO | $31.20 | $31.83 | $0.00 | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| GNC | $19.79 | $20.74 | $0.00 | 4.8% | 0.1% |
| VLO | $54.73 | $54.83 | $0.00 | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| MSGN | $16.68 | $17.48 | $0.00 | 4.8% | 0.1% |
| GILD | $79.33 | $76.89 | $0.00 | -3.1% | 0.1% |
| Totals | 1.7% | 0.1% | |||
| Category/Tranche | August | November | February | May | Total |
| Initial Investment | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 100,000 |
| Current Tranche | 1.7% | 26.3% | 19.7% | 1.9% | 14.4% |
| Previous Tranche | 2.8% | 69.4% | -14.3% | -25.2% | 11.2% |
| Tranche -2 | 11.2% | 14.2% | 8.5% | 18.3% | 13.0% |
| Tranche -3 | 41.4% | 43.7% | 78.3% | 33.0% | 49.1% |
| Tranche -4 | 14.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 3.5% |
| MFI Overall Gain | 87.7% | 251.3% | 98.3% | 19.8% | 114.3% |
| Current Balance | 46,915 | 87,818 | 49,585 | 29,950 | 214,268 |
| R3K Current Tranche | 0.1% | 8.1% | 15.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% |
| R3K Overall Gain | 67.3% | 70.5% | 53.2% | 33.0% | 56.0% |
| R3K Balance | 41,779 | 42,627 | 38,310 | 33,238 | 155,953 |
| Annualized IRR | 16.8% | 39.1% | 21.0% | 5.6% | 22.3% |
Three of four tranches are still leading.
MFI Formula
| Date | Differential | Value | R3K Value |
| 10/1/2014 | 0.00% | 100,000 | 100,000 |
| 11/1/2014 | 1.63% | 102,288 | 100,658 |
| 12/1/2014 | 0.30% | 101,375 | 101,075 |
| 1/1/2015 | -0.33% | 100,664 | 100,995 |
| 2/1/2015 | 1.67% | 101,281 | 99,611 |
| 3/1/2015 | 3.62% | 106,073 | 102,454 |
| 4/1/2015 | 5.09% | 106,781 | 101,695 |
| 5/1/2015 | 5.78% | 107,859 | 102,077 |
| 6/1/2015 | 5.08% | 108,213 | 103,134 |
| 7/1/2015 | 4.82% | 106,423 | 101,604 |
| 8/1/2015 | 3.71% | 107,112 | 103,404 |
| 9/1/2015 | 4.38% | 101,523 | 97,139 |
| 10/1/2015 | 6.39% | 100,703 | 94,312 |
| 11/1/2015 | 2.93% | 104,835 | 101,907 |
| 12/1/2015 | -3.48% | 99,443 | 102,926 |
| 1/1/2016 | -3.36% | 96,830 | 100,012 |
| 2/1/2016 | -0.72% | 93,797 | 94,367 |
| 3/1/2016 | 4.07% | 98,588 | 94,367 |
| 4/1/2016 | 0.34% | 102,371 | 101,548 |
| 5/1/2016 | -1.91% | 99,774 | 101,200 |
| 6/1/2016 | -0.42% | 103,145 | 103,568 |
| 7/1/2016 | -0.19% | 103,022 | 103,216 |
| 8/1/2016 | 2.56% | 109,419 | 106,857 |
| 9/1/2016 | -0.34% | 106,704 | 107,048 |
| Current | -1.05% | 106,676 | 107,727 |
This table month by month shows this method continues to be a push. BKE had a tough week as apparently no one at all is shopping there, SSS was like -14%. Yech! Also, VIAB has dropped in a short time from $44 to under $40. That doesn't exactly help.
| 10/1/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| BKE | $36.83 | $24.72 | $1.98 | -27.5% | 14.1% |
| IQNT | $21.96 | $16.28 | $0.60 | -23.1% | 14.1% |
| QCOM | $53.45 | $63.35 | $2.02 | 22.3% | 14.1% |
| CSCO | $26.37 | $31.83 | $0.94 | 24.3% | 14.1% |
| CA | $27.30 | $34.19 | $1.01 | 28.9% | 14.1% |
| Totals | 5.0% | 14.1% | |||
| 12/31/15 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| BBY | $30.31 | $38.75 | $1.01 | 31.2% | 8.0% |
| GME | $28.34 | $28.39 | $0.74 | 2.8% | 8.0% |
| IILG | $15.89 | $17.37 | $0.24 | 10.8% | 8.0% |
| PPC | $22.22 | $23.54 | $2.75 | 18.3% | 8.0% |
| VIAB | $40.93 | $39.90 | $0.80 | -0.6% | 8.0% |
| Totals | 12.5% | 8.0% | |||
| 4/1/16 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| CALM | $51.27 | $43.78 | $0.44 | -13.8% | 7.7% |
| HPQ | $12.10 | $14.49 | $0.13 | 20.7% | 7.7% |
| TIME | $15.24 | $14.22 | $0.38 | -4.2% | 7.7% |
| IILG | $13.85 | $17.37 | $0.12 | 26.2% | 7.7% |
| TSRA | $30.79 | $33.79 | $0.40 | 11.1% | 7.7% |
| Totals | 8.0% | 7.7% | |||
| 7/1/2016 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| IILG | $16.76 | $17.37 | $0.00 | 3.6% | 3.6% |
| VIAB | $44.00 | $39.90 | $0.00 | -9.3% | 3.6% |
| CPLA | $53.22 | $59.65 | $0.39 | 12.8% | 3.6% |
| HRB | $23.62 | $21.65 | $0.00 | -8.3% | 3.6% |
| PBI | $17.69 | $18.91 | $0.19 | 8.0% | 3.6% |
| Totals | 1.4% | 3.6% |
Dividend Stocks
| Div and Warrants | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | Pct Gain Last Week | June 1 2016 |
| BAC-WTA | $4.90 | $4.90 | $0.00 | 0.0% | -8.2% | -20.6% |
| AOD | $7.64 | $7.71 | $1.51 | 20.7% | 21.2% | 17.1% |
| JQC | $7.82 | $8.41 | $0.45 | 13.2% | 13.4% | 8.4% |
| CSQ | $9.07 | $10.57 | $1.97 | 38.3% | 38.5% | 30.5% |
| DSL | $18.42 | $19.46 | $0.44 | 8.1% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| TGONF | $10.24 | $10.88 | $1.69 | 22.8% | 23.8% | 12.5% |
| HIG-WT | $21.24 | $36.90 | $0.00 | 73.8% | 73.8% | 75.7% |
| O | $23.70 | $66.27 | $18.95 | 259.5% | 256.4% | 249.0% |
| OIBAX | $5.06 | $5.94 | $2.25 | 61.8% | 62.2% | 58.1% |
| SJT | $8.75 | $5.74 | $0.23 | -31.7% | -26.0% | -14.4% |
| GLDI | $10.68 | $10.46 | $0.45 | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Totals | 15.4% | 14.5% | 9.0% |
You can see BAC really popped. I am now at beak-even. Hard to believe in June this security was around $3.20 and is now $4.90.
Other Stocks
WLDN is now a double. It has been just a perfect stock. EMG has become a sizable play for me, I think they may sell themselves. I have been buying at $3.75, I think a sale could/should be $2 higher. I still own some PN, but have taken most of my profits.
Have a great day.
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