June 27th 2014 Tracking Portfolio

Tracking Portfolio

As my readers know, I have been creating a tracking portfolio using the official top 50 MFI stocks every month since 2006.  Another one has hit the one year anniversary and sadly it was a loser, up 2.5% versus 9.2% for the index. Here are the 50 stocks sorted in descending order:

Stock	Initial Price	End Price	Percent Change	52 week low	Mkt Cap
EBIX	15.42	35.60	130.9%	12.12	600
USNA	71.91	128.09	78.1%	63.22	1,005
DEPO	11.93	20.86	74.9%	9.85	689
CRUS	22.13	37.75	70.6%	16.80	1,371
AAPL	88.87	130.28	46.6%	88.93	545,485
CNVR	23.58	34.44	46.1%	22.21	1,579
CHE	87.39	124.19	42.1%	87.26	1,536
SAIC	37.82	53.00	40.1%	37.90	1,898
BRCD	9.00	12.37	37.4%	8.89	3,971
NOC	119.79	159.18	32.9%	118.23	26,134
TTWO	20.63	27.37	32.7%	19.25	2,094
PETS	12.69	16.69	31.5%	12.07	269
IILG	20.08	26.02	29.6%	18.83	1,183
DNB	101.79	127.93	25.7%	101.77	3,820
IQNT	14.37	17.63	22.7%	10.06	485
CSCO	23.90	29.31	22.6%	22.49	125,956
BAH	20.73	25.35	22.3%	20.65	3,206
AGX	29.99	35.78	19.3%	28.62	438
MSFT	39.89	46.86	17.5%	39.86	338,164
SYNT	40.45	47.51	17.5%	38.75	3,378
DLX	55.01	63.83	16.0%	51.46	2,807
SPOK	15.42	17.35	12.5%	12.93	334
CA	27.76	30.45	9.7%	25.25	12,587
RTN	95.25	103.26	8.4%	89.17	30,481
MBUU	19.82	20.97	5.8%	16.16	219
TIME	21.50	22.51	4.7%	19.00	2,381
QCOR	89.83	93.60	4.2%	81.28	5,498
MYGN	33.16	33.95	2.4%	31.56	2,777
BKE	41.84	42.58	1.8%	40.54	2,170
KING	14.71	14.74	0.2%	10.68	5,147
NSR	28.02	27.32	-2.5%	20.32	1,721
CPLA	55.97	53.27	-4.8%	50.48	705
SWHC	15.88	14.71	-7.4%	9.03	872
RGR	59.32	53.74	-9.4%	33.60	1,176
COH	39.30	35.37	-10.0%	32.72	11,299
UIS	23.47	20.54	-12.5%	18.72	1,200
STRA	54.64	45.83	-16.1%	43.95	592
BCOR	18.97	15.86	-16.4%	12.61	801
HLF	64.83	52.03	-19.7%	27.60	6,567
PDLI	8.73	6.68	-23.5%	6.38	1,626
ONE	3.76	2.84	-24.5%	2.15	178
NUS	71.65	50.60	-29.4%	38.12	4,357
LQDT	15.38	9.92	-35.5%	7.32	496
SPRT	2.30	1.44	-37.4%	1.35	123
APOL	26.80	16.58	-38.1%	16.05	3,005
LFVN	1.32	0.67	-49.4%	0.60	137
PTIE	4.95	1.97	-60.2%	1.61	226
PFMT	9.49	3.04	-68.0%	2.33	460
WTW	20.83	5.48	-73.7%	5.40	1,176
ESI	17.22	4.37	-74.6%	1.93	402

Too many really bad stocks in this barrel. Here is a listing of all the portfolios I have tracked:

Date	MFI	R3K	Lead
1/6/2006	16.0%	10.9%	1
2/17/2006	21.2%	14.6%	1
3/29/2006	13.0%	9.6%	1
4/7/2006	10.3%	12.1%	0
5/12/2006	20.4%	18.6%	1
5/31/2006	29.2%	23.3%	1
6/30/2006	22.4%	20.0%	1
7/31/2006	19.7%	17.3%	1
8/31/2006	13.0%	13.3%	0
9/28/2006	12.7%	14.6%	0
10/27/2006	10.3%	12.0%	0
11/29/2006	-0.3%	4.8%	0
12/28/2006	-6.9%	3.4%	0
1/26/2007	-10.2%	-6.6%	0
2/27/2007	-3.7%	-1.0%	0
3/26/2007	-9.8%	-5.5%	0
4/27/2007	-10.9%	-5.0%	0
5/29/2007	-11.5%	-6.3%	0
7/3/2007	-30.0%	-15.6%	0
7/30/2007	-19.9%	-11.5%	0
8/30/2007	-12.5%	-8.7%	0
9/27/2007	-19.0%	-18.2%	0
11/2/2007	-40.4%	-34.3%	0
11/28/2007	-40.1%	-38.3%	0
12/28/2007	-36.3%	-40.0%	1
1/25/2008	-36.4%	-35.9%	0
2/26/2008	-51.7%	-41.5%	0
3/24/2008	-40.9%	-36.8%	0
4/25/2008	-25.6%	-31.0%	1
5/28/2008	-22.2%	-33.6%	1
7/2/2008	-11.7%	-25.3%	1
7/29/2008	-10.5%	-20.9%	1
8/29/2008	-13.8%	-17.9%	1
9/26/2008	-4.3%	-10.0%	1
10/31/2008	18.7%	13.9%	1
11/26/2008	50.9%	27.7%	1
12/26/2008	48.9%	32.3%	1
1/23/2009	59.3%	36.4%	1
2/27/2009	92.8%	55.6%	1
3/27/2009	85.8%	48.1%	1
4/24/2009	69.7%	45.8%	1
5/29/2009	31.8%	22.8%	1
6/29/2009	21.3%	24.0%	0
7/29/2009	19.5%	15.9%	1
8/28/2009	7.4%	8.8%	0
9/25/2009	12.6%	12.4%	1
10/30/2009	22.7%	18.3%	1
11/27/2009	24.3%	13.6%	1
12/31/2009	23.7%	18.1%	1
1/22/2010	19.0%	20.6%	0
2/26/2010	18.6%	23.6%	0
3/25/2010	10.0%	15.4%	0
4/23/2010	7.1%	11.4%	0
5/28/2010	19.3%	25.4%	0
6/29/2010	16.7%	25.7%	0
7/29/2010	5.4%	20.1%	0
9/2/2010	7.3%	10.1%	0
9/24/2010	-4.3%	0.3%	0
10/29/2010	-2.9%	10.4%	0
11/26/2010	-8.5%	1.4%	0
1/3/2011	-11.4%	0.1%	0
1/28/2011	-7.6%	4.9%	0
2/25/2011	-5.5%	5.0%	0
3/24/2011	-4.4%	7.4%	0
4/21/2011	-16.0%	3.2%	0
5/27/2011	-12.0%	-0.4%	0
6/24/2011	-9.5%	5.0%	0
7/29/2011	-4.3%	8.1%	0
8/26/2011	12.0%	21.6%	0
9/30/2011	23.5%	29.6%	0
10/28/2011	0.4%	11.5%	0
11/25/2011	13.9%	24.0%	0
12/29/2011	9.9%	15.9%	0
1/27/2012	7.4%	16.6%	0
2/24/2012	7.8%	13.3%	0
3/23/2012	9.1%	15.2%	0
4/27/2012	10.5%	15.3%	0
5/25/2012	26.5%	27.5%	0
6/22/2012	26.1%	24.6%	1
7/27/2012	30.4%	25.7%	1
8/24/2012	26.0%	19.8%	1
9/28/2012	39.3%	22.1%	1
10/26/2012	48.3%	28.9%	1
11/23/2012	45.7%	32.1%	1
12/31/2012	52.3%	33.0%	1
1/25/2013	39.5%	22.0%	1
2/22/2013	46.5%	26.4%	1
3/28/2013	40.1%	21.2%	1
4/26/2013	35.0%	20.5%	1
5/24/2013	20.4%	19.2%	1
6/28/2013	26.9%	24.1%	1
7/29/2013	17.8%	19.0%	0
8/30/2013	17.5%	24.6%	0
9/27/2013	12.9%	17.7%	0
10/25/2013	11.8%	15.4%	0
11/29/2013	12.3%	15.6%	0
12/31/2013	12.7%	11.9%	1
1/31/2014	14.2%	13.0%	1
2/28/2014	15.4%	13.9%	1
3/28/2014	6.1%	12.3%	0
4/25/2014	8.6%	15.8%	0
5/30/2014	5.9%	11.7%	0
6/27/2014	2.5%	9.2%	0
7/25/2014	6.0%	8.7%	0
8/29/2014	2.1%	6.8%	0
9/26/2014	8.9%	8.4%	1
10/31/2014	11.3%	6.2%	1
11/28/2014	6.3%	3.7%	1
12/31/2014	5.7%	3.7%	1
1/30/2015	8.7%	6.6%	1
2/27/2015	2.8%	0.9%	1
3/27/2015	4.3%	2.4%	1
4/24/2015	-1.2%	-0.3%	0
5/29/2015	1.9%	0.1%	1
Average	9.6%	9.2%	0

You can see this is the 4th straight to lose. And the next two are trailing as well.

Subsets

I do keep three subsets of the 50 stocks: (1) dividend stocks over 2.6%, (2) new stocks to the tracking in past year and (3) dogs, which are stocks that were down a lot in prior year and still on list.  Here is how you would have done in each portfolio with $100,000 invested in first year:

Category	Value
Total	193,407
Total Russell 3K	199,379
New	206,203
Dogs	275,156
Dividend	390,759

The new stocks did very well this time. Up 31% (STRZA and ETM). Dividend stocks were solid, up 11.5%. Dogs were dogs.