Tuesday, January 27, 2009

Hanging Tough

My mechanical portfolio which simply takes new stocks (in the past year) to the top 25 screen is still beating the MD approach. We're up 5.4% over the S&P 500 while SDA is up about 2.7%. Haven't had any new names for a few weeks. Here is how we stand:

Symbol Date Original Current Dividend S&P O S&P D Stock Chg S&P Chg Diff
DTPI 2/2/08 4.75 2.85 0.35 139.58 2.72 -32.6% -37.5% 4.9%
AIRV 2/13/08 5.08 5.22 - 136.37 2.00 2.8% -36.5% 39.3%
CITP 2/16/08 9.98 2.06 - 135.14 2.00 -79.4% -36.0% -43.4%
PRXI 2/16/08 4.29 1.02 - 135.14 2.00 -76.2% -36.0% -40.3%
CAST 2/23/08 5.06 2.74 - 135.62 2.00 -45.9% -36.2% -9.7%
GSB 3/12/08 2.08 0.80 - 131.36 2.00 -61.4% -34.1% -27.2%
IGC 3/12/08 3.70 1.00 - 131.36 2.00 -73.0% -34.1% -38.8%
LGTY 3/12/08 6.70 4.50 0.09 131.36 2.00 -31.5% -34.1% 2.6%
MRX 3/12/08 19.45 14.73 0.12 131.36 2.08 -23.7% -34.1% 10.4%
DEPO 3/22/08 2.74 2.01 - 132.08 2.08 -26.6% -34.4% 7.8%
NVTL 3/22/08 8.98 5.72 - 132.08 2.08 -36.3% -34.4% -1.9%
VRGY 3/22/08 17.42 8.57 - 132.08 2.08 -50.8% -34.4% -16.4%
DLX 4/6/08 19.58 11.82 0.75 136.89 2.08 -35.8% -36.7% 0.9%
NTRI 4/6/08 14.94 14.15 0.54 136.89 2.08 -1.7% -36.7% 35.1%
IUSA 4/6/08 5.28 4.42 - 136.89 2.08 -16.3% -36.7% 20.4%
LRCX 4/11/08 41.08 22.42 - 133.38 2.08 -45.4% -35.1% -10.4%
SLXP 4/11/08 6.47 7.98 - 133.38 2.08 23.3% -35.1% 58.4%
CHRD 4/19/08 5.03 2.60 - 138.48 2.08 -48.3% -37.5% -10.8%
QXM 4/26/08 6.26 2.14 - 139.60 2.08 -65.8% -38.0% -27.9%
MDP 5/9/08 33.79 16.98 0.65 138.90 2.08 -47.8% -37.6% -10.2%
OMPI 5/9/08 7.11 7.04 - 138.90 2.08 -1.0% -37.6% 36.7%
PPD 5/9/08 43.45 32.28 - 138.90 2.08 -25.7% -37.6% 11.9%
ELNK 5/25/08 9.21 7.38 - 137.64 2.08 -19.9% -37.1% 17.2%
FTAR.ob 5/25/08 4.37 3.28 - 137.64 2.08 -24.9% -37.1% 12.1%
CHKE 5/31/08 27.25 16.17 1.00 140.35 2.08 -37.0% -38.3% 1.3%
APKT 7/5/08 4.62 4.54 - 126.31 1.41 -1.7% -32.0% 30.2%
CSKI 7/5/08 11.06 12.88 - 126.31 1.41 16.5% -32.0% 48.4%
VALU 7/5/08 32.00 39.98 0.80 126.31 1.41 27.4% -32.0% 59.4%
QCOR 7/26/08 4.84 6.59 - 125.48 1.41 36.2% -31.5% 67.7%
MSTR 8/1/08 60.56 39.18 - 126.16 1.41 -35.3% -31.9% -3.4%
NVDA 8/8/08 11.00 8.44 - 129.37 1.41 -23.3% -33.6% 10.3%
SWIR 8/8/08 12.41 5.58 - 129.37 1.41 -55.0% -33.6% -21.5%
CF 8/8/08 134.65 46.31 - 129.37 1.41 -65.6% -33.6% -32.0%
SIGM 8/8/08 15.93 11.48 - 129.37 1.41 -27.9% -33.6% 5.6%
EGMI.OB 9/5/08 0.69 0.42 - 124.42 1.41 -39.1% -30.9% -8.2%
KHD 9/15/08 20.68 10.66 - 126.09 1.41 -48.5% -31.8% -16.6%
TTWO 9/22/08 16.57 7.39 - 124.12 1.41 -55.4% -30.8% -24.6%
SCMP 9/29/08 8.29 5.05 - 120.85 0.72 -39.1% -29.5% -9.6%
DTLK 9/29/08 4.34 3.50 - 120.85 0.72 -19.4% -29.5% 10.1%
TRA 9/29/08 28.42 19.48 0.10 120.85 0.72 -31.1% -29.5% -1.6%
MSB 10/10/08 10.12 9.09 0.55 88.50 0.72 -4.7% -3.7% -1.1%
UEPS 10/10/08 14.58 12.34 - 88.50 0.72 -15.4% -3.7% -11.7%
TSCM 10/17/08 3.67 2.90 0.03 93.21 0.72 -20.3% -8.5% -11.8%
EME 10/31/08 17.77 21.38 - 96.83 0.72 20.3% -12.0% 32.3%
CTCM 10/31/08 7.40 4.12 - 96.83 0.72 -44.3% -12.0% -32.4%
PRGX 10/31/08 4.24 3.24 - 96.83 0.72 -23.6% -12.0% -11.6%
HLF 11/7/08 20.17 20.53 0.20 93.86 0.72 2.8% -9.2% 12.0%
GHM 11/7/08 13.60 9.33 0.02 93.86 0.72 -31.3% -9.2% -22.1%
BIDZ 11/21/08 2.39 3.09 - 79.52 0.72 29.3% 7.2% 22.1%
KBR 11/21/08 10.45 15.19 0.05 79.52 0.72 45.8% 7.2% 38.6%
OPTV 11/21/08 0.94 1.20 - 79.52 0.72 27.7% 7.2% 20.5%
IBAS 11/21/08 1.21 1.00 - 79.52 0.72 -17.4% 7.2% -24.6%
Vclk 11/28/08 6.17 6.21 - 90.09 0.72 0.6% -5.4% 6.0%
DIVX 12/8/08 4.37 5.37 - 87.93 0.72 22.9% -3.0% 25.9%
MAXY 12/8/08 5.80 8.70 - 87.93 0.72 50.0% -3.0% 53.0%
ESIC 12/14/08 1.13 2.03 - 88.99 0.72 79.6% -4.2% 83.8%
MSO 12/29/08 2.80 2.43 - 87.16 - -13.2% -3.0% -10.2%
TRMS 12/29/08 1.03 1.01 - 87.16 - -1.9% -3.0% 1.1%
WFR 12/29/08 13.43 14.10 - 87.16 - 5.0% -3.0% 8.0%
AHCI 1/5/09 1.15 1.10 - 92.96 - -4.3% -9.1% 4.7%
CKSW 1/5/09 1.99 2.11 - 92.96 - 6.0% -9.1% 15.1%
















Totals -18.5% -24.0% 5.5%
60.7% of stocks beat the S&P 500 Benchmark




S&P C

84.53






My actual $ portfolio is faring "okay". We have gained a lot of ground on breakeven and the benchmarks since November, but let us just say that we're not exactly popping the champagne corks yet.

My big winners of late have been my "yield" plays in LINE, OKS and NRGY. They are all up 30 to 50% and I am holding and starting to enjoy the life of dividends... if only they were enough for me to retire!

My most recent purchase was HIG at $13.50. It promptly dropped $2, but is now about $14.50. They are a bit speculative, but I think they are a well-run company and will get back to their glory days and move up nicely (100$?) by the end of 2009.

Good luck! Should be a fun Super Bowl.

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