Friday, January 09, 2009

Another Week

Don't look now, but I am now within 6% of the benchmark as my MFI portfolio has been making a torrid comeback. Still well below breakeven, but I am starting to feel mildly hopeful... a sure sign the floor will fall out tomorrow.

My mechanical portfolio is also doing "well"... everything is relative. It is a bit more than 8% better than the S&P benchmark while SDA's magic diligence portfolio is only 5.1% ahead... aha! It is really a function of smaller cap stocks doing better of late. Here is my portfolio.

Symbol Date Original Current Dividend S&P O S&P D Stock Chg S&P Chg Diff
DTPI 2/2/08 4.75 4.02 0.35 139.58 2.72 -8.0% -34.2% 26.2%
AIRV 2/13/08 5.08 5.54 - 136.37 2.00 9.1% -33.2% 42.3%
CITP 2/16/08 9.98 3.00 - 135.14 2.00 -69.9% -32.6% -37.3%
PRXI 2/16/08 4.29 1.18 - 135.14 2.00 -72.5% -32.6% -39.9%
CAST 2/23/08 5.06 2.60 - 135.62 2.00 -48.6% -32.8% -15.8%
GSB 3/12/08 2.08 0.90 - 131.36 2.00 -56.7% -30.7% -26.1%
IGC 3/12/08 3.70 1.05 - 131.36 2.00 -71.6% -30.7% -41.0%
LGTY 3/12/08 6.70 4.67 0.09 131.36 2.00 -29.0% -30.7% 1.7%
MRX 3/12/08 19.45 13.81 0.12 131.36 2.08 -28.4% -30.6% 2.2%
DEPO 3/22/08 2.74 1.79 - 132.08 2.08 -34.7% -31.0% -3.7%
NVTL 3/22/08 8.98 5.40 - 132.08 2.08 -39.9% -31.0% -8.9%
VRGY 3/22/08 17.42 10.42 - 132.08 2.08 -40.2% -31.0% -9.2%
DLX 4/6/08 19.58 14.07 0.75 136.89 2.08 -24.3% -33.4% 9.1%
NTRI 4/6/08 14.94 14.65 0.54 136.89 2.08 1.7% -33.4% 35.1%
IUSA 4/6/08 5.28 4.20 - 136.89 2.08 -20.5% -33.4% 12.9%
LRCX 4/11/08 41.08 23.50 - 133.38 2.08 -42.8% -31.7% -11.1%
SLXP 4/11/08 6.47 8.99 - 133.38 2.08 38.9% -31.7% 70.6%
CHRD 4/19/08 5.03 2.63 - 138.48 2.08 -47.7% -34.2% -13.5%
QXM 4/26/08 6.26 2.88 - 139.60 2.08 -54.0% -34.7% -19.3%
MDP 5/9/08 33.79 18.19 0.65 138.90 2.08 -44.3% -34.4% -9.9%
OMPI 5/9/08 7.11 7.30 - 138.90 2.08 2.7% -34.4% 37.0%
PPD 5/9/08 43.45 34.79 - 138.90 2.08 -19.9% -34.4% 14.4%
ELNK 5/25/08 9.21 7.11 - 137.64 2.08 -22.8% -33.8% 11.0%
FTAR.ob 5/25/08 4.37 3.50 - 137.64 2.08 -19.9% -33.8% 13.9%
CHKE 5/31/08 27.25 17.38 1.00 140.35 2.08 -32.6% -35.0% 2.5%
APKT 7/5/08 4.62 4.35 - 126.31 1.41 -5.8% -28.4% 22.5%
CSKI 7/5/08 11.06 15.58 - 126.31 1.41 40.9% -28.4% 69.2%
VALU 7/5/08 32.00 36.61 0.80 126.31 1.41 16.9% -28.4% 45.3%
QCOR 7/26/08 4.84 7.03 - 125.48 1.41 45.2% -27.9% 73.1%
MSTR 8/1/08 60.56 37.96 - 126.16 1.41 -37.3% -28.3% -9.1%
NVDA 8/8/08 11.00 7.93 - 129.37 1.41 -27.9% -30.0% 2.1%
SWIR 8/8/08 12.41 6.32 - 129.37 1.41 -49.1% -30.0% -19.0%
CF 8/8/08 134.65 53.91 - 129.37 1.41 -60.0% -30.0% -29.9%
SIGM 8/8/08 15.93 10.30 - 129.37 1.41 -35.3% -30.0% -5.3%
EGMI.OB 9/5/08 0.69 0.48 - 124.42 1.41 -30.4% -27.3% -3.2%
KHD 9/15/08 20.68 12.23 - 126.09 1.41 -40.9% -28.2% -12.6%
TTWO 9/22/08 16.57 7.86 - 124.12 1.41 -52.6% -27.1% -25.5%
SCMP 9/29/08 8.29 4.99 - 120.85 0.72 -39.8% -25.7% -14.1%
DTLK 9/29/08 4.34 3.32 - 120.85 0.72 -23.5% -25.7% 2.2%
TRA 9/29/08 28.42 18.06 0.10 120.85 0.72 -36.1% -25.7% -10.4%
MSB 10/10/08 10.12 11.79 - 88.50 0.72 16.5% 1.5% 15.0%
UEPS 10/10/08 14.58 12.95 - 88.50 0.72 -11.2% 1.5% -12.7%
TSCM 10/17/08 3.67 3.06 0.03 93.21 0.72 -15.9% -3.6% -12.3%
EME 10/31/08 17.77 20.02 - 96.83 0.72 12.7% -7.3% 19.9%
CTCM 10/31/08 7.40 5.04 - 96.83 0.72 -31.9% -7.3% -24.6%
PRGX 10/31/08 4.24 4.00 - 96.83 0.72 -5.7% -7.3% 1.6%
HLF 11/7/08 20.17 22.00 0.20 93.86 0.72 10.1% -4.3% 14.4%
GHM 11/7/08 13.60 11.82 0.02 93.86 0.72 -12.9% -4.3% -8.6%
BIDZ 11/21/08 2.39 4.08 - 79.52 0.72 70.7% 12.9% 57.8%
KBR 11/21/08 10.45 17.34 0.05 79.52 0.72 66.4% 12.9% 53.5%
OPTV 11/21/08 0.94 1.15 - 79.52 0.72 22.3% 12.9% 9.4%
IBAS 11/21/08 1.21 1.57 - 79.52 0.72 29.8% 12.9% 16.8%
Vclk 11/28/08 6.17 6.72 - 90.09 0.72 8.9% -0.3% 9.2%
DIVX 12/8/08 4.37 5.32 - 87.93 0.72 21.7% 2.1% 19.6%
MAXY 12/8/08 5.80 8.83 - 87.93 0.72 52.2% 2.1% 50.1%
ESIC 12/14/08 1.13 2.03 - 88.99 0.72 79.6% 0.9% 78.7%
MSO 12/29/08 2.80 3.51 - 87.16 - 25.4% 2.2% 23.1%
TRMS 12/29/08 1.03 1.31 - 87.16 - 27.2% 2.2% 25.0%
WFR 12/29/08 13.43 16.47 - 87.16 - 22.6% 2.2% 20.4%
AHCI 1/5/09 1.15 1.15 - 92.96 - 0.0% -4.2% 4.2%
CKSW 1/5/09 1.99 2.08 - 92.96 - 4.5% -4.2% 8.7%
















Totals -11.8% -19.9% 8.2%
64.3% of stocks beat the S&P 500 Benchmark





Then my Chinese portfolio is actually in the green, something I haven't seen much of lately. Get ready for this... it is up 4% while the Russell 3000 is down almost 30%! Sadly, some of the really outperfoming Chinese stocks I do not own in real life. But I think it illustrates that some of these stocks can really pop.

Stocks in the news:

MTW announced they will "only" make $1.35 to $1.60 in 2009. Granted that is way down from the $3.20 in 2008... but the stock price is down from $45 to $8. Not sure if the $1.35 to $1.60 considers an "Obama dividend".

KBR announced they would meet expectations in 2009 (

KBR says earnings should meet analyst outlook
). That was pretty good news and the stock went up this week. Of course they'll make $1.75 in 2009 and are a $17 stock. Hmmm.

2 comments:

MagicDiligence said...

Way to go Marsh! Small caps have been on a roll. Not sure I could stomach the crazy volatility (or manage to buy all of those positions) but your portfolio is definitely on the right train at the time.

Steve
MagicDiligence.com

Marsh_Gerda said...

Steve, it is interesting. I know you have not been a fan of MSO, WFR and EME for various reasons. But they have all done pretty well in my list, I expect because for them to hit the top 25, they REALLY have to be cheap.

MG