Wow, pinch me but my portfolio is actually doing very very well so far in 2019. I am up 17.7% and that includes a income oriented portion of my portfolio that has bonds and preferred names.
The Russell is up 16.25% and my dividend index is up 11.9%, so blended is up 14.9%. And I am 14% cash (I actually have more cash in real life - more like 27%, but in what I call my active investing account I am 14%).
But what has caught my eye (and thus the headline), is that my MFI tranches are steadily starting to outperform. Here are my 4 active MFI Formula tranches:
| 7/2/2018 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| CJREF | $3.90 | $5.59 | $0.31 | 51.3% | 6.9% |
| GILD | $70.80 | $66.31 | $1.77 | -3.8% | 6.9% |
| IPG | $22.80 | $21.87 | $0.66 | -1.2% | 6.9% |
| KLAC | $102.03 | $122.91 | $2.25 | 22.7% | 6.9% |
| TUP | $40.09 | $26.76 | $1.63 | -29.2% | 6.9% |
| Totals | 8.0% | 6.9% | |||
| 10/2/2018 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| CJREF | $3.36 | $5.59 | $0.12 | 70.0% | -0.3% |
| GILD | $78.13 | $66.31 | $1.20 | -13.6% | -0.3% |
| IPG | $22.80 | $21.87 | $0.45 | -2.1% | -0.3% |
| PETS | $31.56 | $23.43 | $0.54 | -24.0% | -0.3% |
| VIAB | $32.21 | $29.85 | $0.40 | -6.1% | -0.3% |
| Totals | 4.8% | -0.3% | |||
| 1/2/2019 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| EGOV | $12.54 | $17.05 | $0.08 | 36.6% | 17.7% |
| GILD | $62.01 | $66.31 | $0.63 | 8.0% | 17.7% |
| IPG | $20.50 | $21.87 | $0.24 | 7.8% | 17.7% |
| KLAC | $90.04 | $122.91 | $0.75 | 37.3% | 17.7% |
| OMC | $72.74 | $75.66 | $0.65 | 4.9% | 17.7% |
| Totals | 18.9% | 17.7% | |||
| 4/1/2019 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| VIAB | $28.90 | $29.85 | $0.00 | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| DLX | $44.50 | $46.03 | $0.00 | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| HRB | $24.31 | $25.23 | $0.00 | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| GILD | $66.00 | $66.31 | $0.00 | 0.5% | 1.0% |
| KLAC | $122.10 | $122.91 | $0.00 | 0.7% | 1.0% |
| Totals | 2.3% | 1.0% |
Yes, you see correctly. All four are leading their benchmark. And I now officially have no stinkers (stocks down by 30% or more), though TUP is borderline.
Even my MFI Select, which has been in a bit of slump, is rebounding.
| 5/2/2018 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| CAAP | $12.19 | $7.46 | $0.00 | -38.8% | 11.0% |
| TGNA | $10.51 | $16.04 | $0.28 | 55.3% | 11.0% |
| DISCA | $23.85 | $30.19 | $0.00 | 26.6% | 11.0% |
| FTSI | $19.39 | $10.80 | $0.00 | -44.3% | 11.0% |
| ICHR | $21.96 | $24.55 | $0.00 | 11.8% | 11.0% |
| Totals | 2.1% | 11.0% | |||
| 8/15/2018 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| AGX | $39.45 | $50.00 | $0.50 | 28.0% | 2.1% |
| AMCX | $60.97 | $59.64 | $0.00 | -2.2% | 2.1% |
| CJREF | $3.08 | $5.59 | $0.12 | 85.6% | 2.1% |
| GME | $15.50 | $9.76 | $1.14 | -29.7% | 2.1% |
| SGH | $31.12 | $21.01 | $0.00 | -32.5% | 2.1% |
| Totals | 9.8% | 2.1% | |||
| 11/15/2018 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| AGX | $43.15 | $50.00 | $0.25 | 16.5% | 8.3% |
| DXC | $62.00 | $64.57 | $0.38 | 4.8% | 8.3% |
| MU | $38.49 | $42.28 | $0.00 | 9.8% | 8.3% |
| SGH | $29.67 | $21.01 | $0.00 | -29.2% | 8.3% |
| WDC | $44.92 | $50.83 | $1.00 | 15.4% | 8.3% |
| Totals | 3.5% | 8.3% | |||
| 2/1/2019 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| AGX | $42.18 | $50.00 | $0.00 | 18.5% | 7.2% |
| BBY | $58.84 | $73.98 | $0.50 | 26.6% | 7.2% |
| HPQ | $22.07 | $19.94 | $0.16 | -8.9% | 7.2% |
| MU | $38.22 | $42.28 | $0.00 | 10.6% | 7.2% |
| RTN | $166.65 | $181.46 | $0.94 | 9.5% | 7.2% |
| VIAB | $29.40 | $29.85 | $0.20 | 2.2% | 7.2% |
| WDC | $44.99 | $50.83 | $0.50 | 14.1% | 7.2% |
| Totals | 10.4% | 7.2% |
I am winning 2 and losing two and it is virtually a push in aggregate. And when I start a new one in May, that should swing in my favor. I am planning an another big $ increase in my May tranche and 7 stocks again. As I have stated, my goal is to move MFI to be 65% of my total portfolio. It is currently just 44%, so there is work to be done.
May Select is my smallest $ tranche (not helped by relatively poor results), so I plan to bump it about 60%. That seems big, but will just move MFI to 47%.
Speaking Of May
Still time to decide my 7 picks, but here are some of the names I am leaning towards.
| Stock |
| MO |
| HRB |
| DLX |
| EAF |
| HPQ |
| MAN |
| STX |
| TPR |
| OMC |
I may throw AMCX, CBS and DXC into the mix as well.
Almost (Very) Interesting
I have commented in the past regarding how stocks that pay dividends AND are part of official list appear to out-perform. For my MFI Formula approach, that is just a given that stocks in there pay a dividend as that is part of my filtering process.
But my MFI Select has always been just that, "select", so I pick some stocks that pay dividends and some that don't.
If you bothered to go through the open MFI Select stocks in tables I listed above, you'd find 7 names that don't pay a dividend:
CAAP, FTSI, DISCA, AMCX, SBH, MU and ICHR. In aggregate, these seven names are at -9.8%. The rest pay a dividend and in aggregate they are +18.3%. Luck?
Okay, here are all my picks (going back to August 2012) that didn't pay a dividend:
| Symbol | Gain |
| DLB | 8% |
| KFY | 36% |
| UIS | 23% |
| STRZA | 74% |
| KLIC | 27% |
| CYOU | -4% |
| RDA | 73% |
| KLIC | 26% |
| RPXC | -5% |
| AVG | 12% |
| RPXC | -18% |
| SYNA | 29% |
| RPXC | -20% |
| AVG | 19% |
| NSR | 19% |
| IPCM | 108% |
| AWRE | -30% |
| VEC | -29% |
| UIS | -51% |
| PSDV | -30% |
| KORS | -18% |
| DEPO | -34% |
| VDSI | -7% |
| SALE | 26% |
| LCI | -29% |
| SAVE | 55% |
| VEC | -6% |
| VNCE | 3% |
| VEC | 15% |
| PERI | -24% |
| DEPO | 18% |
| TDC | 22% |
| UTHR | 14% |
| MSGN | 22% |
| MPAA | -4% |
| ATHM | 165% |
| AKRX | 69% |
| YY | 224% |
| MSGN | -12% |
| ICHR | 15% |
| MD | 12% |
| MSGN | 56% |
| CELG | -31% |
| CASA | -38% |
| CAAP | -39% |
| DISCA | 27% |
| FTSI | -44% |
| ICHR | 12% |
| AMCX | -2% |
| SGH | -32% |
| MU | 10% |
| SGH | -29% |
| MU | 11% |
On average: up 13% (have some nice wins in there, like YY and ATHM).
| Symbol | Purchase Date | Gain |
| MSFT | 08/15/12 | 9% |
| NSU | 08/15/12 | -5% |
| AAPL | 11/15/12 | 0% |
| ABC | 11/15/12 | 74% |
| LPS | 11/15/12 | 45% |
| VIAB | 11/15/12 | 67% |
| WU | 11/15/12 | 32% |
| AAPL | 02/01/13 | 13% |
| GA | 02/01/13 | 91% |
| CA | 02/01/13 | 32% |
| NUS | 02/01/13 | 181% |
| NVDA | 05/06/13 | 35% |
| CF | 05/06/13 | 34% |
| CF | 08/15/13 | 35% |
| FLR | 08/15/13 | 11% |
| AGX | 08/15/13 | 140% |
| ATVI | 11/15/13 | 15% |
| GA | 11/15/13 | 34% |
| ATVI | 02/01/14 | 27% |
| KLAC | 02/01/14 | 30% |
| SNDK | 02/01/14 | 9% |
| WNR | 02/01/14 | 2% |
| CA | 05/06/14 | 10% |
| CSCO | 05/06/14 | 30% |
| RCII | 05/06/14 | 14% |
| CSCO | 08/15/14 | 30% |
| AGX | 08/15/14 | 13% |
| ITRN | 08/15/14 | 24% |
| BRCD | 08/15/14 | 10% |
| CBI | 08/15/14 | -11% |
| FLR | 11/15/14 | -25% |
| VIAB | 11/15/14 | -28% |
| NHTC | 11/15/14 | 323% |
| QCOM | 02/02/15 | -25% |
| VIAB | 02/02/15 | -27% |
| NHTC | 02/02/15 | 61% |
| CBI | 05/06/15 | -24% |
| TSRA | 05/06/15 | -20% |
| CSCO | 08/17/15 | 11% |
| TGNA | 08/17/15 | -13% |
| HSII | 08/17/15 | -3% |
| PPC | 11/15/15 | 17% |
| QCOM | 02/01/16 | 23% |
| BRCD | 05/06/16 | 60% |
| CBI | 05/06/16 | -22% |
| HSII | 05/06/16 | 20% |
| RHI | 05/06/16 | 24% |
| CSCO | 08/16/16 | 6% |
| GNC | 08/16/16 | -49% |
| VLO | 08/16/16 | 27% |
| GILD | 08/16/16 | -6% |
| AMGN | 11/15/16 | 19% |
| RHI | 11/15/16 | 26% |
| CA | 11/15/16 | 6% |
| KLAC | 02/01/17 | 32% |
| WNC | 02/01/17 | 48% |
| RGR | 02/01/17 | 3% |
| WSTC | 05/06/17 | -3% |
| TGNA | 05/06/17 | -22% |
| TIME | 05/06/17 | 23% |
| QCOM | 05/06/17 | -4% |
| SIMO | 08/15/17 | 39% |
| RHI | 08/15/17 | 79% |
| SIMO | 11/15/17 | -22% |
| VIAB | 11/15/17 | 34% |
| AGX | 02/01/18 | -1% |
| KLAC | 02/01/18 | 0% |
| THO | 02/01/18 | -51% |
| WDC | 02/01/18 | -46% |
| TGNA | 05/01/18 | 55% |
| AGX | 08/14/18 | 28% |
| CJREF | 08/14/18 | 86% |
| GME | 08/14/18 | -30% |
| AGX | 11/15/18 | 16% |
| DXC | 11/15/18 | 5% |
| WDC | 11/15/18 | 15% |
| AGX | 02/01/19 | 19% |
| BBY | 02/01/19 | 27% |
| HPQ | 02/01/19 | -9% |
| RTN | 02/01/19 | 9% |
| VIAB | 02/01/19 | 2% |
| WDC | 02/01/19 | 14% |
On average? Up 21%. Some crazy names in there in I have just bought and held.
| Symbol | Purchase Date | Purchase | Sold | Gain | Current | Extended Gain |
| NVDA | 05/06/13 | $13.85 | $18.43 | 35% | $191.54 | 1283% |
| MSFT | 08/15/12 | $30.19 | $31.92 | 9% | $120.33 | 299% |
| AGX | 08/15/13 | $15.60 | $36.71 | 140% | $50.00 | 221% |
| AAPL | 02/01/13 | $450.60 | $500.66 | 13% | $1,392.65 | 209% |
| ATVI | 02/01/14 | $17.16 | $21.53 | 27% | $47.17 | 175% |
| ATVI | 11/15/13 | $17.71 | $20.10 | 15% | $47.17 | 166% |
| AAPL | 11/15/12 | $537.62 | $527.28 | 0% | $1,392.65 | 159% |
| CSCO | 05/06/14 | $22.79 | $28.89 | 30% | $55.60 | 144% |
| CSCO | 08/15/14 | $24.40 | $30.95 | 30% | $55.60 | 128% |
| KLAC | 02/01/14 | $61.35 | $61.24 | 30% | $139.41 | 127% |
| HSII | 05/06/16 | $18.51 | $21.65 | 20% | $41.97 | 127% |
| HSII | 08/17/15 | $20.14 | $19.19 | -3% | $41.97 | 108% |
| GA | 02/01/13 | $6.10 | $11.01 | 91% | $11.90 | 95% |
| CSCO | 08/17/15 | $28.95 | $31.20 | 11% | $55.60 | 92% |
| ABC | 11/15/12 | $40.21 | $69.23 | 74% | $74.18 | 84% |
| CSCO | 08/16/16 | $31.20 | $31.84 | 6% | $55.60 | 78% |
| CA | 02/01/13 | $25.07 | $32.08 | 32% | $44.27 | 77% |
| ITRN | 08/15/14 | $21.32 | $25.63 | 24% | $36.69 | 72% |
| RHI | 05/06/16 | $38.51 | $46.91 | 24% | $65.60 | 70% |
| VLO | 08/16/16 | $54.73 | $66.79 | 27% | $88.43 | 62% |
| BRCD | 05/06/16 | $7.97 | $12.57 | 60% | $12.75 | 60% |
| RHI | 11/15/16 | $43.23 | $53.51 | 26% | $65.60 | 52% |
| WU | 11/15/12 | $12.77 | $16.40 | 32% | $19.17 | 50% |
| CA | 05/06/14 | $29.54 | $31.41 | 10% | $44.27 | 50% |
| RHI | 08/15/17 | $44.15 | $77.87 | 79% | $65.60 | 49% |
| LPS | 11/15/12 | $23.89 | $34.26 | 45% | $35.00 | 47% |
| KLAC | 02/01/17 | $85.11 | $109.80 | 32% | $123.34 | 45% |
| CA | 11/15/16 | $31.11 | $32.31 | 6% | $45.00 | 45% |
| BRCD | 08/15/14 | $9.34 | $10.09 | 10% | $12.75 | 37% |
| AGX | 08/15/14 | $36.71 | $40.69 | 13% | $50.00 | 36% |
| AMGN | 11/15/16 | $145.14 | $170.13 | 19% | $193.89 | 34% |
| GA | 11/15/13 | $9.04 | $11.90 | 34% | $11.90 | 32% |
| QCOM | 02/01/16 | $45.18 | $53.43 | 23% | $56.33 | 25% |
| VIAB | 11/15/17 | $24.41 | $31.79 | 34% | $30.24 | 24% |
| TIME | 05/06/17 | $15.05 | $18.50 | 23% | $18.50 | 23% |
| NUS | 02/01/13 | $41.94 | $116.59 | 181% | $50.76 | 21% |
| PPC | 11/15/15 | $18.98 | $19.46 | 17% | $22.36 | 18% |
| CF | 05/06/13 | $183.97 | $243.15 | 34% | $211.25 | 15% |
| AGX | 02/01/18 | $43.55 | $42.29 | -1% | $50.00 | 15% |
| TSRA | 05/06/15 | $38.94 | $30.46 | -20% | $44.65 | 15% |
| CF | 08/15/13 | $187.26 | $247.43 | 35% | $211.25 | 13% |
| KLAC | 02/01/18 | $109.80 | $106.57 | 0% | $123.34 | 12% |
| SNDK | 02/01/14 | $70.20 | $75.78 | 9% | $76.18 | 9% |
| RGR | 02/01/17 | $52.75 | $52.95 | 3% | $54.19 | 3% |
| QCOM | 05/06/17 | $54.93 | $50.32 | -4% | $56.33 | 3% |
| NHTC | 11/15/14 | $12.19 | $51.46 | 323% | $12.42 | 2% |
| NHTC | 02/02/15 | $12.44 | $19.95 | 61% | $12.42 | 0% |
| WSTC | 05/06/17 | $24.15 | $23.50 | -3% | $23.50 | -3% |
| SIMO | 08/15/17 | $43.05 | $58.54 | 39% | $40.56 | -6% |
| TGNA | 08/17/15 | $25.30 | $21.37 | -13% | $23.04 | -9% |
| WNR | 02/01/14 | $39.80 | $37.71 | 2% | $36.18 | -9% |
| QCOM | 02/02/15 | $62.73 | $45.34 | -25% | $56.33 | -10% |
| TGNA | 05/06/17 | $25.75 | $19.83 | -22% | $23.04 | -11% |
| SIMO | 11/15/17 | $46.88 | $35.15 | -22% | $40.56 | -13% |
| GILD | 08/16/16 | $79.33 | $72.81 | -6% | $67.40 | -15% |
| WNC | 02/01/17 | $17.65 | $25.83 | 48% | $14.72 | -17% |
| RCII | 05/06/14 | $28.78 | $31.77 | 14% | $20.63 | -28% |
| FLR | 11/15/14 | $64.80 | $47.46 | -25% | $40.87 | -37% |
| FLR | 08/15/13 | $66.06 | $73.03 | 11% | $40.87 | -38% |
| VIAB | 11/15/12 | $49.12 | $80.94 | 67% | $29.85 | -39% |
| WDC | 02/01/18 | $87.74 | $44.99 | -46% | $50.69 | -42% |
| THO | 02/01/18 | $136.33 | $65.11 | -51% | $65.77 | -52% |
| VIAB | 02/02/15 | $63.91 | $44.90 | -27% | $30.24 | -53% |
| CBI | 05/06/16 | $37.82 | $29.30 | -22% | $16.39 | -57% |
| VIAB | 11/15/14 | $72.29 | $50.69 | -28% | $30.24 | -58% |
| CBI | 05/06/15 | $50.38 | $38.23 | -24% | $16.39 | -67% |
| CBI | 08/15/14 | $58.25 | $51.70 | -11% | $16.39 | -72% |
| GNC | 08/16/16 | $19.79 | $9.62 | -49% | $2.60 | -87% |
I was too lazy to include dividends. But they would have added quite a bit. For instance the CSCO 5/14 pick is up 144% in total (22.90 to 55.60). Dividends would add another $5.20 taking the 144% to 167%.
GNC, CBI, VIAB and THO have been the big stinkers. ay-yi-yi.
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