Not exactly a happy week in the markets. Somehow, I was just down 28 basis points. It felt much worse. Depressing headlines/quotes.
- Fed's Bullard: Only one rate hike needed through 2018
- Gundlach: Central banks don't understand their policies—and 'they're out of control'
- Fed lacks a vision on economy, 'overly data-dependent': El-Erian
- British lawmaker shot dead, EU referendum campaigns suspended
- German bond yield goes negative as Brexit fears swell
- In Search Of The Red Cross' $500 Million In Haiti Relief
Funerals Begin for Orlando Shooting Victims
Tough week in so many ways.
MFI Select
| 8/17/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| VDSI | $18.66 | $16.45 | $0.00 | -11.9% | -0.4% |
| SALE | $9.34 | $7.49 | $0.00 | -19.8% | -0.4% |
| CSCO | $28.95 | $28.95 | $0.68 | 2.3% | -0.4% |
| TGNA | $25.30 | $22.26 | $0.56 | -9.8% | -0.4% |
| HSII | $20.14 | $17.42 | $0.26 | -12.2% | -0.4% |
| Totals | -10.3% | -0.4% | |||
| 11/15/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| LCI | $34.01 | $25.52 | $ - | -25.0% | 1.9% |
| SAVE | $34.48 | $42.48 | $ - | 23.2% | 1.9% |
| PPC | $18.98 | $24.63 | $ 2.75 | 44.3% | 1.9% |
| VEC | $23.60 | $26.23 | $ - | 11.1% | 1.9% |
| VNCE | $3.99 | $5.52 | $ - | 38.3% | 1.9% |
| Totals | 18.4% | 1.9% | |||
| 2/1/2016 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| VEC | $19.64 | $26.23 | $ - | 33.6% | 8.4% |
| QCOM | $45.18 | $53.55 | $ 1.01 | 20.8% | 8.4% |
| PERI | $2.45 | $1.10 | $ - | -55.1% | 8.4% |
| DEPO | $15.34 | $19.38 | $ - | 26.3% | 8.4% |
| TDC | $24.02 | $27.67 | $ - | 15.2% | 8.4% |
| Totals | 8.2% | 8.4% | |||
| 5/6/2016 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| BRCD | $7.97 | $8.98 | $ 0.06 | 13.4% | 1.6% |
| CBI | $37.82 | $36.26 | $ - | -4.1% | 1.6% |
| HSII | $18.51 | $17.42 | $ - | -5.9% | 1.6% |
| RHI | $38.51 | $38.58 | $ 0.22 | 0.8% | 1.6% |
| UTHR | $107.99 | $102.11 | $ - | -5.4% | 1.6% |
| Totals | -0.3% | 1.6% | |||
| Category/Tranche | August | November | February | May | Total |
| Initial Investment | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 100,000 |
| Current Tranche | -10.3% | 18.4% | 8.2% | -0.3% | 5.9% |
| Previous Tranche | 11.2% | 69.4% | -14.3% | -25.2% | 54.1% |
| Tranche -2 | 41.4% | 14.2% | 8.5% | 18.3% | 20.6% |
| Tranche -3 | 14.1% | 43.7% | 78.3% | 33.0% | 0.0% |
| MFI Overall Gain | 60.9% | 229.3% | 79.2% | 17.3% | 96.7% |
| Current Balance | 40,233 | 82,330 | 44,804 | 29,320 | 196,687 |
| R3K Current Tranche | -0.4% | 1.9% | 8.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% |
| R3K Overall Gain | 58.1% | 60.7% | 44.4% | 33.0% | 49.1% |
| R3K Balance | 39,524 | 40,186 | 36,103 | 33,238 | 149,051 |
| Annualized IRR | 13.2% | 39.3% | 18.8% | 5.2% | 20.9% |
I am more than a little disappointed by the start of my May tranche. UTHR fell off the cliff past couple of weeks - seems like it was $117 yesterday. I kick myself over CBI (down 4%). I was split between CBI and AGX - I wanted one construction firm. AGX is up 22%. Doh! Actually I was down to AMAG and UTHR. AMAG is up 17%. Double Doh!
| Date | Differential | MFI Value | R3K Value |
| 12/1/2012 | -2.20% | 99,765 | 101,965 |
| 1/1/2013 | -1.78% | 102,798 | 104,575 |
| 2/1/2013 | -2.26% | 102,594 | 104,856 |
| 3/1/2013 | -2.23% | 102,881 | 105,114 |
| 4/1/2013 | -0.43% | 106,804 | 107,234 |
| 5/1/2013 | 2.00% | 110,423 | 108,423 |
| 6/1/2013 | 4.75% | 115,831 | 111,085 |
| 7/1/2013 | 4.29% | 114,888 | 110,597 |
| 8/1/2013 | 6.91% | 124,799 | 117,889 |
| 9/1/2013 | 10.46% | 124,536 | 114,079 |
| 10/1/2013 | 19.67% | 138,655 | 118,990 |
| 11/1/2013 | 19.75% | 143,514 | 123,764 |
| 12/1/2013 | 23.70% | 150,105 | 126,405 |
| 1/1/2014 | 26.63% | 157,138 | 130,503 |
| 2/1/2014 | 24.70% | 150,619 | 125,918 |
| 3/1/2014 | 25.66% | 158,116 | 132,458 |
| 4/1/2014 | 30.38% | 162,991 | 132,616 |
| 5/1/2014 | 29.65% | 162,428 | 132,779 |
| 6/1/2014 | 31.44% | 167,001 | 135,559 |
| 7/1/2014 | 39.23% | 177,971 | 138,740 |
| 8/1/2014 | 31.13% | 167,054 | 135,922 |
| 9/1/2014 | 35.90% | 177,792 | 141,892 |
| 10/1/2014 | 29.38% | 168,321 | 138,944 |
| 11/1/2014 | 26.14% | 168,810 | 142,666 |
| 12/1/2014 | 30.22% | 176,420 | 146,198 |
| 1/1/2015 | 28.17% | 174,306 | 146,140 |
| 2/1/2015 | 20.63% | 162,833 | 142,201 |
| 3/1/2015 | 25.15% | 175,476 | 150,324 |
| 4/1/2015 | 29.95% | 178,565 | 148,612 |
| 5/1/2015 | 37.31% | 186,655 | 149,348 |
| 6/1/2015 | 51.53% | 202,897 | 151,371 |
| 7/1/2015 | 62.69% | 211,437 | 148,743 |
| 8/1/2015 | 40.75% | 192,117 | 151,369 |
| 9/1/2015 | 36.41% | 178,603 | 142,195 |
| 10/1/2015 | 43.12% | 181,175 | 138,052 |
| 11/1/2015 | 69.02% | 217,959 | 148,936 |
| 12/1/2015 | 73.49% | 223,435 | 149,946 |
| 1/1/2016 | 63.33% | 209,514 | 146,186 |
| 2/1/2016 | 49.49% | 187,428 | 137,934 |
| 3/1/2016 | 56.48% | 194,415 | 137,934 |
| 4/1/2016 | 47.34% | 195,770 | 148,430 |
| 5/1/2016 | 46.38% | 194,301 | 147,923 |
| 6/1/2016 | 51.44% | 201,999 | 150,558 |
| Current | 47.64% | 196,687 | 149,051 |
Not been a great June.
MFI Formula
| Date | Differential | Value | R3K Value |
| 10/1/2014 | 0.00% | 100,000 | 100,000 |
| 11/1/2014 | 1.63% | 102,288 | 100,658 |
| 12/1/2014 | 0.30% | 101,375 | 101,075 |
| 1/1/2015 | -0.33% | 100,664 | 100,995 |
| 2/1/2015 | 1.67% | 101,281 | 99,611 |
| 3/1/2015 | 3.62% | 106,073 | 102,454 |
| 4/1/2015 | 5.09% | 106,781 | 101,695 |
| 5/1/2015 | 5.78% | 107,859 | 102,077 |
| 6/1/2015 | 5.08% | 108,213 | 103,134 |
| 7/1/2015 | 4.82% | 106,423 | 101,604 |
| 8/1/2015 | 3.71% | 107,112 | 103,404 |
| 9/1/2015 | 4.38% | 101,523 | 97,139 |
| 10/1/2015 | 6.39% | 100,703 | 94,312 |
| 11/1/2015 | 2.93% | 104,835 | 101,907 |
| 12/1/2015 | -3.48% | 99,443 | 102,926 |
| 1/1/2016 | -3.36% | 96,830 | 100,012 |
| 2/1/2016 | -0.72% | 93,797 | 94,367 |
| 3/1/2016 | 4.07% | 98,588 | 94,367 |
| 4/1/2016 | 0.34% | 102,371 | 101,548 |
| 5/1/2016 | -1.91% | 99,774 | 101,200 |
| 6/1/2016 | -0.42% | 103,145 | 103,568 |
| Current | -0.42% | 101,818 | 102,235 |
Feels like I am treading water. Not drowning. Not going anywhere vey fast.
| 7/1/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| BKE | $46.45 | $25.88 | $1.96 | -40.1% | 0.2% |
| CA | $29.34 | $32.71 | $1.01 | 14.9% | 0.2% |
| MSFT | $44.42 | $50.13 | $1.39 | 16.0% | 0.2% |
| QCOM | $62.95 | $52.97 | $1.97 | -12.7% | 0.2% |
| VIAB | $64.75 | $42.44 | $1.60 | -32.0% | 0.2% |
| Totals | -10.8% | 0.2% | |||
| 10/1/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| BKE | $36.83 | $25.77 | $1.73 | -25.3% | 7.6% |
| IQNT | $21.96 | $17.28 | $0.45 | -19.3% | 7.6% |
| QCOM | $53.45 | $53.55 | $1.49 | 3.0% | 7.6% |
| CSCO | $26.37 | $28.95 | $0.68 | 12.4% | 7.6% |
| CA | $27.30 | $32.71 | $0.76 | 22.6% | 7.6% |
| Totals | -1.3% | 7.6% | |||
| 12/31/15 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| BBY | $30.31 | $30.30 | $1.01 | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| GME | $28.34 | $26.15 | $0.74 | -5.1% | 1.8% |
| IILG | $15.89 | $14.97 | $0.24 | -4.3% | 1.8% |
| PPC | $22.22 | $24.63 | $2.75 | 23.2% | 1.8% |
| VIAB | $40.93 | $44.42 | $0.80 | 10.5% | 1.8% |
| Totals | 5.5% | 1.8% | |||
| 4/1/16 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| CALM | $51.27 | $40.81 | $0.44 | -19.6% | 1.5% |
| HPQ | $12.10 | $13.12 | $0.13 | 9.4% | 1.5% |
| TIME | $15.24 | $16.71 | $0.19 | 10.9% | 1.5% |
| IILG | $13.85 | $14.97 | $0.12 | 8.9% | 1.5% |
| TSRA | $30.79 | $30.92 | $0.20 | 1.1% | 1.5% |
| Totals | 2.2% | 1.5% |
It would seem that if rates are raised just once through 2018 - that would be good (at least relatively) for this approach.
Dividends and Warrants
How depressing. I do not even want to think about BAC. Maybe one of my worst calls ever. This is my second largest holding overall (actually used to be #1) and it just keeps going down.
| Div and Warrants | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | Pct Gain Last Week | June 1 2016 |
| BAC-WTA | $4.90 | $3.47 | $0.00 | -29.2% | -20.6% | -20.6% |
| AOD | $7.64 | $7.39 | $1.37 | 14.6% | 17.1% | 17.1% |
| JQC | $7.82 | $8.09 | $0.35 | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% |
| CSQ | $9.05 | $9.93 | $1.83 | 30.0% | 30.5% | 30.5% |
| DSL | $18.41 | $18.18 | $0.00 | -1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| TGONF | $10.24 | $10.09 | $1.52 | 13.4% | 12.5% | 12.5% |
| HIG-WT | $21.24 | $36.82 | $0.00 | 73.4% | 75.7% | 75.7% |
| O | $23.44 | $64.12 | $18.46 | 252.3% | 249.0% | 249.0% |
| OIBAX | $5.05 | $5.74 | $2.22 | 57.5% | 58.1% | 58.1% |
| SJT | $8.75 | $7.45 | $0.19 | -12.8% | -14.4% | -14.4% |
| GLDI | $10.68 | $10.81 | $0.00 | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Totals | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% |
Hmmm - DSL paid a dividend. Will need to double check I have everything.
| Div and Warrants | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | Pct Gain Last Week | June 1 2016 |
| BAC-WTA | $4.90 | $3.47 | $0.00 | -29.2% | -20.6% | -20.6% |
| AOD | $7.64 | $7.39 | $1.37 | 14.6% | 17.1% | 17.1% |
| JQC | $7.82 | $8.09 | $0.35 | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% |
| CSQ | $9.05 | $9.93 | $1.83 | 30.0% | 30.5% | 30.5% |
| DSL | $18.41 | $18.18 | $0.15 | -0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| TGONF | $10.24 | $10.09 | $1.52 | 13.4% | 12.5% | 12.5% |
| HIG-WT | $21.24 | $36.82 | $0.00 | 73.4% | 75.7% | 75.7% |
| O | $23.44 | $64.12 | $18.46 | 252.3% | 249.0% | 249.0% |
| OIBAX | $5.05 | $5.74 | $2.22 | 57.5% | 58.1% | 58.1% |
| SJT | $8.75 | $7.45 | $0.19 | -12.8% | -14.4% | -14.4% |
| GLDI | $10.68 | $10.81 | $0.00 | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Totals | 6.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% |
Better.
Other Picks
My other sizable picks are VIAB, LNG and AR. They are all hanging in there. AR is up nicely. LNG is down a bit and VIAB is flat.
Have a great fathers day weekend everyone.
Posts
No comments:
Post a Comment