Tuesday, May 29, 2012

May 27th 2011 Portfolio

We have heard this tune before, another one of my monthly tracking portfolios gets stomped by the Russell 3000.  For those of you keeping score at home, this is the 17th straight portfolio to "lose" and all 11 open portfolios are losing as well.  I hate to break it to everyone, but MFI isn't working.


Stock  Initial Price   End Price  Percent Change  Mkt Cap 
CRAY                6.23           10.70 71.7%           224
RLRN              10.67           16.62 55.8%           312
AGX                9.76           14.44 48.0%           134
POZN                5.07             6.94 36.9%           153
USNA              29.40           39.91 35.7%           471
CNU                4.82             6.38 32.4%           275
PRX              33.62           40.88 21.6%         1,215
MSFT              24.10           29.06 20.6%     207,993
PDLI                5.97             6.48 8.5%           909
CMTL              26.89           28.70 6.7%           737
VPHM              18.86           20.12 6.7%         1,442
RTN              48.19           49.67 3.1%       17,666
CSCO              16.22           16.33 0.7%       89,391
ARO              19.08           19.19 0.6%         1,595
PPD              66.27           66.50 0.3%           648
HRB              15.24           15.19 -0.3%         4,853
MRX              37.20           36.93 -0.7%         2,203
PETS              12.03           11.88 -1.2%           280
PRSC              13.29           13.02 -2.0%           171
TER              15.63           14.79 -5.4%         2,860
DLX              24.41           22.88 -6.3%         1,297
KLIC              11.59           10.82 -6.6%           834
LPS              25.51           23.22 -9.0%         2,253
RIGL                8.29             7.51 -9.4%           461
USMO              14.54           12.68 -12.8%           344
LRCX              45.96           38.37 -16.5%         5,675
APOL              40.22           33.12 -17.7%         5,641
ESI              70.87           57.90 -18.3%         1,991
TSRA              17.07           13.93 -18.4%           889
DELL              15.79           12.46 -21.1%       30,004
STRA            115.73           89.40 -22.8%         1,492
OSK              27.79           20.85 -25.0%         2,476
SNDK              46.04           33.73 -26.7%       10,879
LTXC                9.18             6.72 -26.8%           454
AFAM              30.48           21.88 -28.2%           288
GNI              87.68           62.89 -28.3%           152
UNTD                5.48             3.81 -30.5%           516
NVMI              10.18             7.00 -31.2%           259
CHKE              18.17           11.70 -35.6%           158
CPLA              48.64           31.27 -35.7%           760
DEPO                8.63             5.49 -36.4%           459
VECO              55.07           33.31 -39.5%         2,207
IDCC              41.91           25.14 -40.0%         1,950
UIS              27.70           16.41 -40.8%         1,182
ASTX                3.26             1.81 -44.5%           191
PWER                8.13             3.83 -52.9%           839
TNAV              16.03             6.11 -61.9%           668
GTAT              11.53             4.30 -62.7%         1,457
AMED              31.11           10.93 -64.9%           913
CECO              21.85             7.03 -67.8%         1,687

The average MFI this month was down 12.0% versus a modest 0.4% drop for the Russell 3K.

here is a summary of all portfolios:


Average of Percent Change  
Date Total IWV
1/6/2006 16.0% 10.9%
2/17/2006 21.2% 14.6%
3/29/2006 13.0% 9.6%
4/7/2006 10.3% 12.1%
5/12/2006 20.4% 18.6%
5/31/2006 29.2% 23.3%
6/30/2006 22.4% 20.0%
7/31/2006 19.7% 17.3%
8/31/2006 13.0% 13.3%
9/28/2006 12.7% 14.6%
10/27/2006 10.3% 12.0%
11/29/2006 -0.3% 4.8%
12/28/2006 -6.9% 3.4%
1/26/2007 -10.2% -6.6%
2/27/2007 -3.7% -1.0%
3/26/2007 -9.8% -5.5%
4/27/2007 -10.9% -5.0%
5/29/2007 -11.5% -6.3%
7/3/2007 -30.0% -15.6%
7/30/2007 -19.9% -11.5%
8/30/2007 -12.5% -8.7%
9/27/2007 -19.0% -18.2%
11/2/2007 -40.4% -34.3%
11/28/2007 -40.1% -38.3%
12/28/2007 -36.3% -40.0%
1/25/2008 -36.4% -35.9%
2/26/2008 -51.7% -41.5%
3/24/2008 -40.9% -36.8%
4/25/2008 -25.6% -31.0%
5/28/2008 -22.2% -33.6%
7/2/2008 -11.7% -25.3%
7/29/2008 -10.5% -20.9%
8/29/2008 -13.8% -17.9%
9/26/2008 -4.3% -10.0%
10/31/2008 18.7% 13.9%
11/26/2008 50.9% 27.7%
12/26/2008 48.9% 32.3%
1/23/2009 59.3% 36.4%
2/27/2009 92.8% 55.6%
3/27/2009 85.8% 48.1%
4/24/2009 69.7% 45.8%
5/29/2009 31.8% 22.8%
6/29/2009 21.3% 24.0%
7/29/2009 19.5% 15.9%
8/28/2009 7.4% 8.8%
9/25/2009 12.6% 12.4%
10/30/2009 22.7% 18.3%
11/27/2009 24.3% 13.6%
12/31/2009 23.7% 18.1%
1/22/2010 19.0% 20.6%
2/26/2010 18.6% 23.6%
3/25/2010 10.0% 15.4%
4/23/2010 7.1% 11.4%
5/28/2010 19.3% 25.4%
6/29/2010 16.7% 25.7%
7/29/2010 5.4% 20.1%
9/2/2010 7.3% 10.1%
9/24/2010 -4.3% 0.3%
10/29/2010 -2.9% 10.4%
11/26/2010 -8.5% 1.4%
1/3/2011 -11.4% 0.1%
1/28/2011 -7.6% 4.9%
2/25/2011 -5.5% 5.0%
3/24/2011 -4.4% 7.4%
4/21/2011 -16.0% 3.2%
5/27/2011 -12.0% -0.4%
6/24/2011 -9.7% 4.4%
7/29/2011 -9.1% 3.0%
8/26/2011 4.2% 13.6%
9/30/2011 12.9% 18.3%
10/28/2011 -4.7% 3.6%
11/25/2011 9.6% 15.0%
12/29/2011 1.6% 5.3%
1/27/2012 -6.5% 0.3%
2/24/2012 -8.8% -3.6%
3/23/2012 -11.4% -5.6%
4/27/2012 -6.6% -6.1%
Grand Total 3.9% 4.6%

Here is what you would have with a $100,000 stake over the first 12 monthly portfolios starting in 2006:


Category Value
Total        106,146
Total New        100,829
Total Dividend        216,321
Total Russell 3K        117,685