July 29th 2010 Tracking Portfolio

This weekend another tracking portfolio hit it's one year anniversary. As regular readers know, I have been creating a tracking portfolio of the official 50 stocks greater than $100m once a month since January 2006. I then "hold" that portfolio for a year and then compare the results versus the Russell 3000 benchmark. I look at results in two ways. (1) I look at the average return of all the portfolios and (2) I look at the money you'd have if you invested $100,000 evenly over the first 12 months.

The July 29th 2010 portfolio was a real stinker. The huge drop of TNAV the final week didn't help. It was up just 5.4% versus over 20% for the Russell 3000. Six Chinese RTOs down an average of 50% really hurt as well.

Stock	Initial Price	End Price	Percent Change	52 week low	Mkt Cap
SOLR	6.25	13.77	120.3%	6.36	899
TTT	5.91	10.05	70.1%	6.60	248
CNU	3.81	6.34	66.4%	3.25	229
SNTA	3.10	4.77	53.9%	2.57	126
ENDP	23.92	36.59	53.0%	24.17	2,786
AHCI	2.51	3.83	52.6%	1.86	113
ZLCS	1.53	2.28	49.0%	1.01	136
TNDM	10.53	15.52	47.4%	9.87	348
LO	71.65	104.84	46.3%	72.40	11,522
MRX	25.11	36.60	45.8%	24.66	1,475
MD	46.34	66.44	43.4%	44.83	2,180
GXDX	17.72	25.00	41.1%	N/A	310
PPD	48.92	66.50	35.9%	N/A	486
AGX	8.32	11.23	35.0%	7.40	113
SNTS	2.45	3.17	29.4%	2.09	143
USMO	12.89	16.66	29.2%	12.29	325
IMMU	3.19	4.06	27.3%	2.81	240
IPXL	16.55	20.63	24.7%	14.70	1,034
GME	19.74	23.11	17.1%	17.70	3,017
GRMN	27.87	32.21	15.6%	26.11	5,685
FWLT	23.00	26.23	14.0%	20.92	2,932
TNAV	8.91	9.77	9.7%	4.65	103
JCOM	23.57	25.61	8.7%	21.00	1,044
APOL	47.07	50.76	7.8%	33.75	6,944
UNTD	6.03	5.99	-0.7%	4.75	556
HRB	14.79	14.59	-1.4%	10.13	4,995
RTN	45.13	44.45	-1.5%	42.65	17,660
SNDK	43.65	41.98	-3.8%	33.03	10,039
AMED	25.52	24.49	-4.0%	22.82	726
VALU	11.55	11.07	-4.2%	10.17	141
LHCG	22.85	21.13	-7.5%	19.61	414
CSGS	19.61	17.66	-9.9%	17.22	667
TSRA	17.22	15.47	-10.2%	14.96	864
AFAM	26.36	22.82	-13.4%	23.77	241
PRSC	13.94	11.91	-14.6%	11.25	180
DRWI	6.03	5.02	-16.7%	4.85	222
CBPO	12.57	9.90	-21.2%	6.85	295
UIS	26.95	20.47	-24.0%	20.59	1,145
CHOP	5.58	4.05	-27.3%	2.82	234
OSK	34.32	24.50	-28.6%	24.06	3,078
PETS	15.31	10.78	-29.6%	10.68	363
LIWA	8.62	6.05	-29.8%	5.19	214
UTA	6.19	3.96	-36.0%	3.25	105
KIRK	16.73	10.64	-36.4%	10.61	331
ARO	28.34	16.61	-41.4%	16.82	2,650
UEPS	14.38	7.85	-45.4%	7.29	653
COCO	9.31	4.13	-55.7%	3.76	820
JGBO	8.90	3.08	-65.4%	-	102
CSKI	10.78	3.03	-71.9%	1.90	181
CEU	3.91	0.98	-74.9%	-	124

Here are all the portfolios I have ever run:

Average of Percent Change
Date	Total	IWV
1/6/2006	16.0%	10.9%
2/17/2006	21.2%	14.6%
3/29/2006	13.0%	9.6%
4/7/2006	10.3%	12.1%
5/12/2006	20.4%	18.6%
5/31/2006	29.2%	23.3%
6/30/2006	22.4%	20.0%
7/31/2006	19.7%	17.3%
8/31/2006	13.0%	13.3%
9/28/2006	12.7%	14.6%
10/27/2006	10.3%	12.0%
11/29/2006	-0.3%	4.8%
12/28/2006	-6.9%	3.4%
1/26/2007	-10.2%	-6.6%
2/27/2007	-3.7%	-1.0%
3/26/2007	-9.8%	-5.5%
4/27/2007	-10.9%	-5.0%
5/29/2007	-11.5%	-6.3%
7/3/2007	-30.0%	-15.6%
7/30/2007	-19.9%	-11.5%
8/30/2007	-12.5%	-8.7%
9/27/2007	-19.0%	-18.2%
11/2/2007	-40.4%	-34.3%
11/28/2007	-40.1%	-38.3%
12/28/2007	-36.3%	-40.0%
1/25/2008	-36.4%	-35.9%
2/26/2008	-51.7%	-41.5%
3/24/2008	-40.9%	-36.8%
4/25/2008	-25.6%	-31.0%
5/28/2008	-22.2%	-33.6%
7/2/2008	-11.7%	-25.3%
7/29/2008	-10.5%	-20.9%
8/29/2008	-13.8%	-17.9%
9/26/2008	-4.3%	-10.0%
10/31/2008	18.7%	13.9%
11/26/2008	50.9%	27.7%
12/26/2008	48.9%	32.3%
1/23/2009	59.3%	36.4%
2/27/2009	92.8%	55.6%
3/27/2009	85.8%	48.1%
4/24/2009	69.7%	45.8%
5/29/2009	31.8%	22.8%
6/29/2009	21.3%	24.0%
7/29/2009	19.5%	15.9%
8/28/2009	7.4%	8.8%
9/25/2009	12.6%	12.4%
10/30/2009	22.7%	18.3%
11/27/2009	24.3%	13.6%
12/31/2009	23.7%	18.1%
1/22/2010	19.0%	20.6%
2/26/2010	18.6%	23.6%
3/25/2010	10.0%	15.4%
4/23/2010	7.1%	11.4%
5/28/2010	19.3%	25.4%
6/29/2010	16.7%	25.7%
7/29/2010	5.4%	20.1%
9/2/2010	21.6%	21.2%
9/24/2010	16.9%	15.0%
10/29/2010	6.0%	10.9%
11/26/2010	8.1%	9.7%
1/3/2011	0.8%	2.2%
1/28/2011	-2.8%	2.0%
2/25/2011	-2.9%	-1.9%
3/24/2011	-3.5%	-1.3%
4/21/2011	-5.7%	-3.7%
5/27/2011	-4.2%	-3.5%
6/24/2011	-0.1%	1.2%
7/29/2011	-0.6%	-0.2%
Grand Total	6.3%	4.8%

Here is what $100,000 would have you at:

Category	Value
Total	118,509
Total New	113,514
Total Dividend	218,079
Total Russell 3K	113,449

Note that new is a subset of the total list, only using stocks new to the list in past 12 months. Dividend are stocks with a yield greater than 2.6% per Yahoo finance.

New Portfolio

I also set up my new tracking portfolio for the upcoming year. Here are a list a stocks that will be "new" for the upcoming year:

7/29/2011	EGY	6.66	380
7/29/2011	NOC	60.51	16,821
7/29/2011	MNTA	17.66	897
7/29/2011	MDP	29.85	1,359
7/29/2011	MANT	40.8	1,498
7/29/2011	ADI	34.4	10,307

Then here are the "dividend" stocks. ADI looks interesting.

Date	Stock	Initial Price	Mkt Cap
7/29/2011	UNTD	5.97	526
7/29/2011	USMO	16.51	365
7/29/2011	STRA	121.65	1,461
7/29/2011	RTN	44.73	15,861
7/29/2011	PETS	10.97	233
7/29/2011	NOC	60.51	16,821
7/29/2011	MDP	29.85	1,359
7/29/2011	LO	106.22	14,765
7/29/2011	GNI	104.80	157
7/29/2011	DLX	23.54	1,210
7/29/2011	CMTL	26.95	703
7/29/2011	CHKE	15.86	135
7/29/2011	HRB	14.96	4,568
7/29/2011	ADI	34.40	10,307