Jim Jubak is one of the financial reporters that I read. He had a thought-provoking article yesterday suggesting that Christmas (and retail in general) will likely be better than people are currently thinking (5 stocks for your holiday shopping). He goes on to list his five retail picks (COH, AAPL, FDO, BBY and SKS).That got me thinking whether I need a retail stock in my portfolio. I do have CHKE, which is certainly a 1st derivative of retail. But do I need something direct? Per the lists, the best candidates are ARO, BKE, GPS, JCG amd KIRK. Here are my calcs for my fab five:
| Category | ARO | GPS | KIRK | bke | JCG |
| Operating Income After Depreciation | 411.45 | 1,958.00 | 54.15 | 198.32 | 278.21 |
| Minority Interest - Income Account | - | - | - | - | - |
| Income for Calculation | 411.45 | 1,958.00 | 54.15 | 198.32 | 278.21 |
| Diluted Shares Outstanding | 94.589 | 651.000 | 20.636 | 47.059 | 65.917 |
| Share Price | 24.18 | 19.13 | 13.11 | 29.25 | 31.23 |
| Market Cap Calc | 2,287.16 | 12,453.63 | 270.54 | 1,376.48 | 2,058.59 |
| Preferred Capital | - | - | - | - | - |
| Debt in Current Liabilities | - | - | - | - | 49.23 |
| Long-Term Debt | - | - | - | - | - |
| Cash and Short-Term Investments | 297.47 | 1,721.00 | 65.69 | 123.46 | 340.49 |
| Excess Cash | 297.47 | 1,721.00 | 65.69 | 123.46 | 340.49 |
| Enterprise Value | 1,989.70 | 10,732.63 | 204.85 | 1,253.01 | 1,767.33 |
| Property Plant and Equipment - Net | 273.21 | 2,565.00 | 39.66 | 168.05 | 188.48 |
| Receivables | - | - | 3.48 | 9.08 | - |
| Inventories | 215.46 | 1,632.00 | 43.41 | 108.68 | 219.53 |
| Other Current Assests | 72.19 | 700.00 | 10.62 | 20.29 | 37.08 |
| Working Cash | - | - | - | - | - |
| Accounts Payable | 140.95 | 1,141.00 | 18.42 | 38.61 | 131.31 |
| Current Liabilities - Other | 114.16 | 872.00 | 21.88 | 33.92 | 90.16 |
| Invested Capital | 305.74 | 2,884.00 | 56.87 | 233.55 | 223.61 |
| Earnings Yield | 21% | 18% | 26% | 16% | 16% |
| ROIC | 135% | 68% | 95% | 85% | 124% |
I guess if I had to pick just one, I'd go with ARO if it was based purely on the numbers. If I were to stick with looking for dividends, BKE with its 2.9% yield would have to be the pick.
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