Saturday, March 28, 2009

Quick Update

Thought I'd give a quick update on my monthly tracking portfolios. I have had two close (end of February and end of March) since my last update... it has been slightly busy at work. The tracking news is pretty dreary. The february 26th 2008 portfolio was a train wreck. Down a whopping 51.7%. I have to imagine that will be the worst one we'll ever post. As a reminder, I have been creating a tracking portfolio every month since January 2006 that tracks the top 50 stocks > 100m for a year and compares them to the Russell 3000.

March 24 2008 was not much better, down 41% and also beaten by the benchmark. On average the closed portfolios are down 6.9% (so you'd be down more than 15% before considering the 12 open portfolios) and the open portfolios are down an average of 19.3%. Yikes. But February 27 2009 is up 16% thus far... break out the champagne! Or should I say sell, sell, sell!

Compared to the -6.9% drop for closed portfolios, the R3000 is down 4.6% on average. The open R3000 is down 21.4%, so we're pulling ahead a bit in the open portfolios.

For the two that just closed, the bad news stocks are frankly too long to list (though I list them all below). AIRV, EGY, CSGS, USMO and HIRE are some of the few stocks in the green. Below I list the 100 stocks for the two months and the summary of all the portfolios.

Cheers!

AFCE $8.14 $3.92 -51.8%
ACN $35.79 $28.0 -21.8%
AIRV $5.0 $5.52 10.4%
AEO $22.57 $8.91 -60.5%
AVCI $7.31 $2.88 -60.6%
BBSI $16.39 $8.14 -50.3%
BVF $12.14 $10.79 -11.1%
GIB $11.08 $7.05 -36.4%
CITP $10.15 $2.0 -80.3%
CSGS $11.79 $13.32 13.0%
CHCG.OB $2.79 $.55 -80.3%
CAST $5.40 $2.65 -50.9%
CJR $20.93 $9.58 -54.2%
CUTR $12.67 $5.75 -54.6%
DTPI $5.69 $2.13 -62.6%
FTD $14.29 $14.68 2.7%
RAIL $41.51 $14.52 -65.0%
GHM $18.68 $7.61 -59.3%
HLYS $5.39 $1.30 -75.9%
HSII $33.55 $14.0 -58.3%
HBMFF.PK$19.90 $4.41 -77.8%
ICFI $26.08 $22.55 -13.5%
IAR $6.92 $.08 -98.8%
IVAC $12.41 $3.97 -68.0%
JTX $20.29 $3.19 -84.3%
KG $11.03 $6.13 -44.4%
KFY $17.84 $8.30 -53.5%
LCAV $14.10 $2.07 -85.3%
LGTY $10.56 $4.78 -54.7%
MMS $37.17 $34.13 -8.2%
MDP $45.07 $11.28 -75.0%
MSTR $70.49 $33.80 -52.0%
NOOF $4.78 $1.32 -72.4%
NVTL $11.39 $5.75 -49.5%
PACR $16.11 $1.76 -89.1%
PMTI $14.05 $6.36 -54.7%
PRXI $5.10 $.57 -88.8%
PBH $7.92 $4.49 -43.3%
RECN $17.13 $13.02 -24.0%
SLXP $6.80 $6.49 -4.6%
SCSS $5.08 $.20 -96.1%
SIMG $4.77 $2.11 -55.8%
TZOO $10.44 $5.50 -47.3%
TRID $5.52 $1.41 -74.5%
USMO $9.83 $10.32 5.0%
EGY $4.41 $5.22 18.4%
VRGY $19.94 $6.49 -67.5%
VPHM $9.23 $4.08 -55.8%
WON $1.89 $.05 -97.3%
IUSA $7.84 $2.61 -66.7%
AIRV $5.32 $5.80 9.0%
AEO $17.93 $12.83 -28.4%
BBSI $17.35 $9.94 -42.7%
BVSN.OB $27.0 $11.50 -57.4%
CITP $9.33 $2.49 -73.3%
CSGS $11.43 $13.90 21.6%
CAST $5.06 $3.10 -38.7%
CJR $18.41 $11.24 -38.9%
CUTR $14.02 $6.56 -53.2%
DLX $18.90 $10.68 -43.5%
DEPO $3.0 $2.68 -10.7%
DTPI $5.53 $2.55 -53.9%
ELNK $7.93 $6.82 -14.0%
ENDP $23.46 $17.90 -23.7%
FTD $13.78 $14.68 6.5%
RAIL $35.37 $19.25 -45.6%
GHM $17.46 $10.28 -41.1%
HLYS $4.81 $1.63 -66.1%
HSII $33.78 $17.87 -47.1%
HIRE $10.58 $19.75 86.7%
HBMFF.PK$16.12 $5.05 -68.7%
ICFI $20.15 $24.26 20.4%
IAR $5.29 $.08 -98.4%
IVAC $13.46 $5.73 -57.4%
JTX $11.77 $4.63 -60.7%
KG $9.09 $7.05 -22.4%
KFY $17.78 $9.58 -46.1%
LCAV $12.90 $3.20 -75.2%
LNCR $28.12 $22.29 -20.7%
MHP $37.91 $25.05 -33.9%
MRX $19.68 $13.06 -33.6%
MDP $39.20 $18.63 -52.5%
NOOF $4.69 $1.37 -70.8%
NVTL $9.98 $6.03 -39.6%
OMPI $9.35 $6.06 -35.2%
PACR $15.53 $3.62 -76.7%
PMTI $15.78 $6.59 -58.2%
PCR $36.82 $13.85 -62.4%
PRXI $5.79 $.75 -87.0%
SCSS $3.93 $.46 -88.3%
SIMG $4.92 $2.62 -46.7%
BID $29.23 $10.20 -65.1%
TSRA $15.02 $12.80 -14.8%
TZOO $11.64 $6.45 -44.6%
TRID $5.46 $1.52 -72.2%
TBI $14.24 $9.05 -36.4%
UNTD $10.67 $4.71 -55.9%
EGY $4.96 $5.67 14.3%
VRGY $18.11 $8.30 -54.2%
IUSA $6.64 $3.53 -46.8%

Date Total IWV
1/6/2006 16.0% 10.9%
2/17/2006 21.2% 14.6%
3/29/2006 13.0% 9.6%
4/7/2006 10.3% 12.1%
5/12/2006 20.4% 18.6%
5/31/2006 29.2% 23.3%
6/30/2006 22.4% 20.0%
7/31/2006 19.7% 17.3%
8/31/2006 13.0% 13.3%
9/28/2006 12.7% 14.6%
10/27/2006 10.3% 12.0%
11/29/2006 -0.3% 4.8%
12/28/2006 -6.9% 3.4%
1/26/2007 -10.2% -6.6%
2/27/2007 -3.7% -1.0%
3/26/2007 -9.8% -5.5%
4/27/2007 -10.9% -5.0%
5/29/2007 -11.5% -6.3%
7/3/2007 -30.0% -15.6%
7/30/2007 -19.9% -11.5%
8/30/2007 -12.5% -8.7%
9/27/2007 -19.0% -18.2%
11/2/2007 -40.4% -34.3%
11/28/2007 -40.1% -38.3%
12/28/2007 -36.3% -40.0%
1/25/2008 -36.4% -35.9%
2/26/2008 -51.7% -39.2%
3/24/2008 -40.9% -37.4%
4/25/2008 -33.6% -40.2%
5/28/2008 -34.4% -40.4%
7/2/2008 -29.8% -34.7%
7/29/2008 -34.0% -35.0%
8/29/2008 -38.5% -36.3%
9/26/2008 -33.4% -32.5%
10/31/2008 -14.5% -14.6%
11/26/2008 -4.9% -6.3%
12/26/2008 -5.7% -5.5%
1/23/2009 -0.2% -1.2%
2/27/2009 16.3% 11.1%
3/27/2009 0.0% 0.0%
Grand Total -11.0% -9.9%
Closed -6.9% -4.6%

2 comments:

Homer315 said...

Marsh, for the grand total returns, are you just taking the arithmetic mean of all the monthly tracking portfolios, or using some sort of IRR?

Marsh_Gerda said...

No need to be fancy. The grand totals are the averages of portfolios held for one year. So if you like you can think of them as annualized IRR (internal Rate of returns) as they all have the same duration.

MG