Friday, March 20, 2009

Mechanical Portfolio Update

I was asked how I select my mechanical portfolio. It is quite simple. I have been pulling the top 25 (now top 30) stocks every weekend for years. A stock makes the mechanical portfolio if it is in the top 25 screen for the first time in more than a year. I then track the stock against the S&P 500 and sell it after a year. So far, the approach is losing money (as are all other long investing approaches) but is about 8 points better than the S&P. Here is a listing of all the stocks and their performance:

Symbol Date Original Current Dividend S&P O S&P D Stock Chg S&P Chg Diff
DTPI 2/2/08 4.75 2.60 0.35 139.58 2.72 -37.9% -38.7% 0.8%
AIRV 2/13/08 5.08 5.57 - 136.37 2.72 9.6% -37.3% 47.0%
CITP 2/16/08 9.98 2.21 - 135.14 2.72 -77.9% -36.7% -41.1%
PRXI 2/16/08 4.29 1.00 - 135.14 2.72 -76.7% -36.7% -39.9%
CAST 2/23/08 5.06 2.83 - 135.62 2.72 -44.1% -40.9% -3.2%
GSB 3/12/08 2.08 0.52 - 131.36 2.72 -75.0% -45.5% -29.5%
IGC 3/12/08 3.70 0.44 - 131.36 2.72 -88.1% -45.5% -42.6%
LGTY 3/12/08 6.70 4.78 0.09 131.36 2.72 -27.3% -45.5% 18.1%
MRX 3/12/08 19.45 10.26 0.12 131.36 2.08 -46.6% -46.0% -0.7%
DEPO 3/22/08 2.74 2.26 - 132.08 2.08 -17.5% -40.4% 22.8%
NVTL 3/22/08 8.98 5.95 - 132.08 2.08 -33.7% -40.4% 6.6%
VRGY 3/22/08 17.42 6.92 - 132.08 2.08 -60.3% -40.4% -19.9%
DLX 4/6/08 19.58 8.89 1.00 136.89 2.08 -49.5% -42.4% -7.0%
NTRI 4/6/08 14.94 13.29 0.70 136.89 2.08 -6.4% -42.4% 36.1%
IUSA 4/6/08 5.28 3.13 - 136.89 2.08 -40.7% -42.4% 1.7%
LRCX 4/11/08 41.08 23.24 - 133.38 2.08 -43.4% -40.9% -2.5%
SLXP 4/11/08 6.47 9.20 - 133.38 2.08 42.2% -40.9% 83.1%
CHRD 4/19/08 5.03 2.47 - 138.48 2.08 -50.9% -43.1% -7.8%
QXM 4/26/08 6.26 2.15 - 139.60 2.08 -65.7% -43.6% -22.1%
MDP 5/9/08 33.79 15.64 0.65 138.90 2.08 -51.8% -43.3% -8.5%
OMPI 5/9/08 7.11 5.36 - 138.90 2.08 -24.6% -43.3% 18.7%
PPD 5/9/08 43.45 30.78 - 138.90 2.08 -29.2% -43.3% 14.1%
ELNK 5/25/08 9.21 6.43 - 137.64 2.08 -30.2% -42.8% 12.6%
FTAR.ob 5/25/08 4.37 2.68 1.00 137.64 2.08 -15.8% -42.8% 27.0%
CHKE 5/31/08 27.25 15.73 1.00 140.35 2.08 -38.6% -43.9% 5.3%
APKT 7/5/08 4.62 5.55 - 126.31 1.41 20.1% -38.2% 58.3%
CSKI 7/5/08 11.06 12.69 - 126.31 1.41 14.7% -38.2% 52.9%
VALU 7/5/08 32.00 27.99 1.20 126.31 1.41 -8.8% -38.2% 29.4%
QCOR 7/26/08 4.84 4.41 - 125.48 1.41 -8.9% -37.7% 28.9%
MSTR 8/1/08 60.56 34.60 - 126.16 1.41 -42.9% -38.1% -4.8%
NVDA 8/8/08 11.00 9.53 - 129.37 1.41 -13.4% -39.6% 26.3%
SWIR 8/8/08 12.41 2.89 - 129.37 1.41 -76.7% -39.6% -37.1%
CF 8/8/08 134.65 67.68 0.10 129.37 1.41 -49.7% -39.6% -10.0%
SIGM 8/8/08 15.93 12.77 - 129.37 1.41 -19.8% -39.6% 19.8%
EGMI.OB 9/5/08 0.69 0.56 - 124.42 1.41 -18.8% -37.2% 18.4%
KHD 9/15/08 20.68 7.94 - 126.09 1.41 -61.6% -38.0% -23.6%
TTWO 9/22/08 16.57 8.57 - 124.12 1.41 -48.3% -37.1% -11.2%
SCMP 9/29/08 8.29 5.66 - 120.85 0.72 -31.7% -35.9% 4.2%
DTLK 9/29/08 4.34 2.65 - 120.85 0.72 -38.9% -35.9% -3.0%
TRA 9/29/08 28.42 26.60 0.10 120.85 0.72 -6.1% -35.9% 29.9%
MSB 10/10/08 10.12 6.71 0.52 88.50 0.72 -28.6% -12.5% -16.1%
UEPS 10/10/08 14.58 13.79 - 88.50 0.72 -5.4% -12.5% 7.1%
TSCM 10/17/08 3.67 1.97 0.03 93.21 0.72 -45.6% -16.9% -28.7%
EME 10/31/08 17.77 14.78 - 96.83 0.72 -16.8% -20.0% 3.2%
CTCM 10/31/08 7.40 4.10 - 96.83 0.72 -44.6% -20.0% -24.6%
PRGX 10/31/08 4.24 2.97 - 96.83 0.72 -30.0% -20.0% -9.9%
HLF 11/7/08 20.17 13.51 0.40 93.86 0.72 -31.0% -17.5% -13.5%
GHM 11/7/08 13.60 9.04 0.02 93.86 0.72 -33.4% -17.5% -15.9%
BIDZ 11/21/08 2.39 3.37 - 79.52 0.72 41.0% -2.6% 43.6%
KBR 11/21/08 10.45 13.83 0.10 79.52 0.72 33.3% -2.6% 35.9%
OPTV 11/21/08 0.94 1.40 - 79.52 0.72 48.9% -2.6% 51.6%
IBAS 11/21/08 1.21 0.81 - 79.52 0.72 -33.1% -2.6% -30.4%
Vclk 11/28/08 6.17 7.20 - 90.09 0.72 16.7% -14.1% 30.7%
DIVX 12/8/08 4.37 4.85 - 87.93 0.72 11.0% -11.9% 22.9%
MAXY 12/8/08 5.80 6.86 - 87.93 0.72 18.3% -11.9% 30.2%
ESIC 12/14/08 1.13 2.08 - 88.99 0.72 84.1% -13.0% 97.1%
MSO 12/29/08 2.80 2.12 - 87.16 - -24.3% -12.0% -12.3%
TRMS 12/29/08 1.03 1.46 - 87.16 - 41.7% -12.0% 53.7%
WFR 12/29/08 13.43 14.88 - 87.16 - 10.8% -12.0% 22.8%
AHCI 1/5/09 1.15 1.20 - 92.96 - 4.3% -17.5% 21.8%
CKSW 1/5/09 1.99 2.85 - 92.96 - 43.2% -17.5% 60.7%
COH 2/16/09 13.97 15.03 - 82.76 - 7.6% -7.3% 14.9%
DELL 2/23/09 8.41 9.88 - 77.42 - 17.5% -0.9% 18.4%
SOLR 2/23/09 4.22 4.22 - 77.42 - 0.0% -0.9% 0.9%
DECK 3/2/09 41.27 48.23 - 73.93 - 16.9% 3.8% 13.1%
FWLT 3/2/09 15.04 18.26 - 73.93 - 21.4% 3.8% 17.6%
HCKT 3/2/09 2.56 1.78 - 73.93 - -30.5% 3.8% -34.2%
MWW 3/2/09 6.59 7.34 - 73.93 - 11.4% 3.8% 7.6%
PTIE 3/2/09 4.53 4.15 - 73.93 - -8.4% 3.8% -12.1%
TRLG 3/2/09 10.22 10.60 - 73.93 - 3.7% 3.8% 0.0%
qlti 3/9/09 1.41 1.65 - 68.92 - 17.0% 11.3% 5.7%
exbd 3/9/09 12.96 13.94 0.44 68.92 - 11.0% 11.3% -0.3%
FIX 3/16/09 9.73 10.01
76.09 - 2.9% 0.8% 2.1%
DBTK 3/16/09 6.65 5.56 - 76.09 - -16.4% 0.8% -17.2%
LOOP 3/16/09 5.77 5.60 - 76.09 - -2.9% 0.8% -3.8%
















Totals -16.8% -24.7% 7.9%
61.4% of stocks beat the S&P 500 Benchmark
Closed -48.0% -41.2% -6.8%
S&P C

76.71





1 comment:

sanjeevbhadresa said...

Thank you for the explanation!