Wednesday, August 22, 2018

MFI Index Continues To Rock In 2018

MFI Index Continues To Rock In 2018

Regular readers know I have created an MFI Index.  This is a grouping of 50 MFI stocks that I reconstitute once a year.  I have been tracking my MFI Index since 2006.

While in total, the MFI Index has trailed the Russell 3000 (the benchmark I use), it is doing great so far in 2018.  It is up a staggering 17.5%.  That is more than double the results of the benchmark.

Here is a table showing all 50 stocks in my index and how they've done in 2018.  Note that cumulative dividends are just added to current price:


 Index   Stock   Start   Current   YTD Change   Shares 
        1.00    AMAG        13.25             24.75 86.8%            3.43
        2.00    AMCX        54.08             62.97 16.4%         11.14
        3.00    ABC        91.82             88.75 -3.3%            8.29
        4.00    AMGN      173.90           199.95 15.0%         11.85
        5.00    AGX        45.00             40.70 -9.6%         14.47
        6.00   BIVV        53.92           105.00 94.7%         39.31
        7.00    HRB        26.22             27.22 3.8%         11.72
        8.00    BPT        20.10             33.43 66.3%            7.79
        9.00    ABCD          5.68             13.62 139.8%            7.81
      10.00    CPLA        77.40           104.86 35.5%         13.29
      11.00    CASA        17.76             13.10 -26.2%         23.28
      12.00    CSCO        38.30             46.73 22.0%            6.62
      13.00    CNCE        25.87             15.81 -38.9%         19.90
      14.00    CJREF          9.21                3.53 -61.7%         10.93
      15.00    DLX        76.84             60.74 -21.0%            7.64
      16.00    DIN        50.73             80.74 59.2%         12.87
      17.00    DISCA        22.38             29.55 32.0%            3.57
      18.00    EGRX        53.42             80.42 50.5%         20.04
      19.00    EVC          7.15                5.45 -23.8%            0.74
      20.00    ESRX        74.64             87.85 17.7%       111.37
      21.00    GME        17.95             17.21 -4.1%         30.48
      22.00    GILD        71.64             74.46 3.9%         52.83
      23.00    HSII        24.55             43.89 78.8%         20.31
      24.00    HPQ        21.01             24.76 17.8%            7.36
      25.00    INVA        14.19             14.08 -0.8%         23.12
      26.00    IDCC        76.15             83.15 9.2%         20.18
      27.00    IPG        20.16             23.19 15.0%            8.99
      28.00    KLAC      105.07           114.63 9.1%         26.34
      29.00    LEE          2.35                2.90 23.4%            9.01
      30.00    MCFT        22.22             25.77 16.0%         17.35
      31.00    MPAA        24.99             26.30 5.2%         10.76
      32.00    MSGN        20.25             25.25 24.7%         15.05
      33.00    NHTC        15.19             26.16 72.2%            9.92
      34.00    NLS        13.35             14.80 10.9%            9.88
      35.00    EGOV        16.60             17.41 4.9%       101.94
      36.00    OMC        72.83             70.80 -2.8%         21.05
      37.00    PTN          0.86                0.92 6.6%         16.34
      38.00    PDLI          2.74                2.33 -15.0%         17.47
      39.00    PCOA      575.00           689.00 19.8%            4.20
      40.00    PBI        11.18                8.75 -21.8%            7.22
      41.00    SRNE          3.80                5.55 46.1%         32.80
      42.00    SP        37.10             40.80 10.0%            6.00
      43.00    SYNT        22.99             40.60 76.6%         13.66
      44.00    TGNA        14.08             11.50 -18.3%         41.81
      45.00    MEET          2.82                4.15 47.2%         30.61
      46.00    TVTY        36.55             32.75 -10.4%            2.30
      47.00    TRNC        17.59             16.73 -4.9%         21.57
      48.00    UTHR      147.95           128.11 -13.4%         17.27
      49.00    VEC        30.85             33.34 8.1%            8.77
      50.00    VIAB        30.81             32.34 5.0%         78.79
 Total      21,371 17.5%


I think a big reason for success so far is very few stinker stocks (those down 30% or more).  Only 2: CJREF and CNCE.  Over time, it has been more in the 12 to 16% range (so 6 to 8 out of 50).  ABCD is the biggest winner. BIVV has been bought.  PCOA and ESRX are also in process of being bought/going away.

Here is table showing MFI Index versus Russell 3000 (R3K) year by year back to 2006:


 Annual   Inception to Date 
 Year   Russell   MFI   Russell ITD   MFI ITD 
2006 11.4% 15.0% 11.4% 15.0%
2007 4.1% -6.7% 16.0% 7.3%
2008 -37.0% -38.0% -27.0% -33.4%
2009 32.5% 45.2% -3.3% -3.3%
2010 18.4% 22.8% 14.5% 18.7%
2011 -0.6% -10.5% 13.9% 6.2%
2012 16.4% 9.7% 32.6% 16.6%
2013 33.0% 51.7% 76.3% 76.8%
2014 12.3% 12.1% 98.0% 98.1%
2015 0.4% -8.9% 98.7% 80.4%
2016 12.5% 13.2% 123.5% 104.2%
2017 20.8% 4.7% 170.1% 113.9%
2018 8.5% 17.5% 193.1% 151.3%

1 comment:

Liteblue said...

thru 12 years and the magic formula is underperforming the S@p? what joke. all to sell a book I guess