Happy Valentine's Day gentle readers of my blog. I know it is mid week, but magic formula stocks are doing so, so well right now and I am finally back home... so thought I'd pump out a quick blog post.
A couple of interesting trends and then I will post tables to discuss. First, my MFI Index is absolutely killing it so far in 2018. The 50 stocks were up 2.7% today and are now up 6.7% for the year (Russell 3000 is up 77 basis points).
Second, my MFI Formula portfolio has actually edged ahead of the index as well inception to date (back to October 2014). So I have made up a 3.63% hole since the start of the year.
Third, income securities are really struggling. My Barron's dividend index that I created back in December is down 3% so far in 2018 and was up just 0.3% today even though overall stock market was up a ton. That helps explain why my dividend portfolio is struggling to some extent.
MFI Index
Here are stocks in MFI Index so far. The closing prices generally have year to date dividends added on top (though I am a week or two behind):
| Stock | Start | 31-Dec | Current | YTD Change |
| AMAG | 13.25 | 13.25 | 13.90 | 4.9% |
| AMCX | 54.08 | 54.08 | 52.54 | -2.8% |
| ABC | 91.82 | 91.82 | 96.40 | 5.0% |
| AMGN | 173.90 | 173.90 | 179.52 | 3.2% |
| AGX | 45.00 | 45.00 | 40.15 | -10.8% |
| BIVV | 53.92 | 53.92 | 103.52 | 92.0% |
| HRB | 26.22 | 26.22 | 26.94 | 2.7% |
| BPT | 20.10 | 20.10 | 20.75 | 3.2% |
| ABCD | 5.68 | 5.68 | 7.57 | 33.3% |
| CPLA | 77.40 | 77.40 | 80.40 | 3.9% |
| CASA | 17.76 | 17.76 | 17.97 | 1.2% |
| CSCO | 38.30 | 38.30 | 42.38 | 10.7% |
| CNCE | 25.87 | 25.87 | 21.33 | -17.5% |
| CJREF | 9.21 | 9.21 | 6.60 | -28.3% |
| DLX | 76.84 | 76.84 | 71.18 | -7.4% |
| DIN | 50.73 | 50.73 | 53.98 | 6.4% |
| DISCA | 22.38 | 22.38 | 23.83 | 6.5% |
| EGRX | 53.42 | 53.42 | 61.68 | 15.5% |
| EVC | 7.15 | 7.15 | 6.70 | -6.3% |
| ESRX | 74.64 | 74.64 | 74.93 | 0.4% |
| GME | 17.95 | 17.95 | 16.22 | -9.6% |
| GILD | 71.64 | 71.64 | 81.82 | 14.2% |
| HSII | 24.55 | 24.55 | 25.20 | 2.6% |
| HPQ | 21.01 | 21.01 | 21.29 | 1.3% |
| INVA | 14.19 | 14.19 | 16.69 | 17.6% |
| IDCC | 76.15 | 76.15 | 80.00 | 5.1% |
| IPG | 20.16 | 20.16 | 24.49 | 21.5% |
| KLAC | 105.07 | 105.07 | 107.47 | 2.3% |
| LEE | 2.35 | 2.35 | 2.40 | 2.1% |
| MCFT | 22.22 | 22.22 | 25.16 | 13.2% |
| MPAA | 24.99 | 24.99 | 24.59 | -1.6% |
| MSGN | 20.25 | 20.25 | 24.40 | 20.5% |
| NHTC | 15.19 | 15.19 | 16.47 | 8.4% |
| NLS | 13.35 | 13.35 | 12.05 | -9.7% |
| EGOV | 16.60 | 16.60 | 13.80 | -16.9% |
| OMC | 72.83 | 72.83 | 82.78 | 13.7% |
| PTN | 0.86 | 0.86 | 0.99 | 15.3% |
| PDLI | 2.74 | 2.74 | 2.48 | -9.5% |
| PCOA | 575.00 | 575.00 | 551.61 | -4.1% |
| PBI | 11.18 | 11.18 | 12.32 | 10.2% |
| SRNE | 3.80 | 3.80 | 8.25 | 117.1% |
| SP | 37.10 | 37.10 | 37.35 | 0.7% |
| SYNT | 22.99 | 22.99 | 21.91 | -4.7% |
| TGNA | 14.08 | 14.08 | 14.04 | -0.3% |
| MEET | 2.82 | 2.82 | 2.73 | -3.2% |
| TVTY | 36.55 | 36.55 | 38.05 | 4.1% |
| TRNC | 17.59 | 17.59 | 20.40 | 16.0% |
| UTHR | 147.95 | 147.95 | 136.92 | -7.5% |
| VEC | 30.85 | 30.85 | 28.00 | -9.2% |
| VIAB | 30.81 | 30.81 | 33.93 | 10.1% |
| Total | 21,371 | 6.7% |
Wow, some big winners for 45 days in.
MFI Formula By Quarter
Then I mentioned that my MFI Formula tranche had passed the index (which will no doubt be a jinx):
| Date | Differential | Value | R3K Value |
| 10/1/2014 | 0.00% | 100,000 | 100,000 |
| 1/1/2015 | -0.33% | 100,664 | 100,995 |
| 4/1/2015 | 5.09% | 106,781 | 101,695 |
| 7/1/2015 | 4.82% | 106,423 | 101,604 |
| 10/1/2015 | 6.39% | 100,703 | 94,312 |
| 1/1/2016 | -3.36% | 96,830 | 100,012 |
| 4/1/2016 | 0.34% | 102,371 | 101,548 |
| 7/1/2016 | -0.19% | 103,022 | 103,216 |
| 10/1/2016 | -0.85% | 106,377 | 107,230 |
| 1/1/2017 | 1.57% | 113,406 | 111,832 |
| 4/1/2017 | -1.86% | 116,227 | 118,091 |
| 7/1/2017 | -2.40% | 119,144 | 121,545 |
| 10/1/2017 | -2.56% | 124,448 | 127,007 |
| 1/1/2018 | -3.63% | 131,460 | 135,086 |
| Current | 0.25% | 136,191 | 135,937 |
And CSCO is in two of my four tranches and had good earnings this evening.
Dividend Index
Finally, here is my dividend Index I measure my dividend portfolio against. The struggle has been real:
| Ticker | 12/30/2017 | Current | Dividend | YTD Change |
| AMLP | 10.79 | 10.84 | 0.21 | 2.4% |
| NML | 9.38 | 9.32 | 0.11 | 0.5% |
| EPD | 26.51 | 27.09 | 0.42 | 3.8% |
| ETP | 17.92 | 19.01 | 0.57 | 9.2% |
| FDD | 13.73 | 14.07 | - | 2.5% |
| VGK | 59.15 | 59.68 | - | 0.9% |
| DDAIF | 84.57 | 89.73 | - | 6.1% |
| NVS | 83.96 | 85.52 | - | 1.9% |
| NOBL | 64.04 | 63.40 | - | -1.0% |
| VYM | 85.63 | 84.96 | - | -0.8% |
| MRK | 56.27 | 54.90 | - | -2.4% |
| PEP | 119.92 | 109.11 | - | -9.0% |
| VNQ | 82.98 | 74.16 | - | -10.6% |
| RQI | 12.65 | 10.67 | 0.16 | -14.4% |
| TCO | 65.43 | 59.34 | - | -9.3% |
| SLG | 100.93 | 93.79 | - | -7.1% |
| T | 38.88 | 36.41 | 0.49 | -5.1% |
| VZ | 52.93 | 49.51 | 0.56 | -5.4% |
| CHL | 50.54 | 47.44 | - | -6.1% |
| DTEGY | 17.66 | 16.36 | - | -7.4% |
| DSU | 11.70 | 11.43 | 0.14 | -1.1% |
| HIO | 5.07 | 4.88 | 0.03 | -3.2% |
| MUB | 110.74 | 108.38 | 0.42 | -1.8% |
| PRHYX | 6.76 | 6.64 | 0.03 | -1.3% |
| NEA | 13.75 | 13.14 | 0.12 | -3.6% |
| JNK | 36.72 | 35.88 | 0.33 | -1.4% |
| VWITX | 14.13 | 13.91 | 0.06 | -1.1% |
| PHMIX | 9.09 | 8.98 | 0.06 | -0.5% |
| UTG | 30.94 | 28.20 | 0.32 | -7.8% |
| XLU | 52.65 | 48.60 | - | -7.7% |
| DUK | 84.11 | 75.48 | - | -10.3% |
| EIX | 63.24 | 59.24 | - | -6.3% |
| PFF | 38.07 | 36.86 | 0.36 | -2.2% |
| JPC | 10.34 | 9.60 | 0.13 | -5.9% |
| WFC-PL | 1,309.99 | 1,265.00 | - | -3.4% |
| TIP | 114.08 | 111.56 | 0.42 | -1.8% |
| SHY | 83.85 | 83.45 | 0.16 | -0.3% |
| TLT | 126.86 | 117.67 | 0.51 | -6.8% |
| Totals | - | - | - | -3.1% |
REITs and utilities getting clocks cleaned. Even haven of safety, TLT is down 6.8%. Not a good time to be bond-like.
Sadly, my dividend portfolio is also down 3.1%. (Misc is down 8.7%). But my MFI portfolios are strong (up 2.2%).
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