Wednesday, March 22, 2017

Falling (not so) Slowly

Falling (Not So) Slowly

Not sure if people reading this have ever seen "Once".  A great song is Falling Slowly, which won the Oscar for best original song several years ago.  I have not seen the movie, but I really like the musical.  Here is a youtube clip of the song:





Sadly, I am not talking about love - I am talking about MFI.  And recently, it too is falling, albeit not that slowly.  Check out my 4 most recent tranches of my tracking portfolios:


11/25/2016 -1.0% 5.9%
12/30/2016 -3.1% 4.5%
1/27/2017 -2.6% 2.1%
2/24/2017 -3.4% -1.1%





The second column is how the 50 stocks are faring and the third column is how the benchmark has done.  The keen-eyed reader will note that the four most recent tranches for MFI are all negative. And they are all losing (fairly badly) to the benchmark.

It is a struggle.  Perhaps some wine and listening to my You Tube video will help?  

I know I am feeling a lot better about being up 2.6% (between my two MFI approaches) so far in 2017. That makes me almost giddy.  Here are the 50 stocks from 12/31/16:


Stock  Initial Price   End Price  Percent Change  Mkt Cap 
LFVN                8.15             4.89 -40.0%            115
DHX                6.25             4.18 -33.2%            313
AGTC                9.35             6.65 -28.9%            169
FPRX              50.11           36.14 -27.9%         1,425
ICON                9.34             6.91 -26.0%            525
CXRX                2.12             1.58 -25.7%            108
IRMD              11.10             8.37 -24.6%            119
AWRE                6.10             4.74 -22.4%            138
BPT              22.95           17.95 -21.8%            508
SSNI              13.31           10.55 -20.7%            691
SCMP              13.55           10.78 -20.5%            621
BBSI              63.85           52.20 -18.2%            464
PBI              14.98           12.40 -17.2%         2,820
SYNT              19.79           16.73 -15.5%         1,664
AGX              70.55           63.38 -10.2%         1,078
IDCC              91.04           84.40 -7.3%         3,132
VEC              23.85           22.15 -7.1%            256
ESRX              68.79           64.13 -6.8%       43,302
USNA              61.20           57.55 -6.0%         1,490
UIS              14.95           14.15 -5.4%            749
GILD              71.06           67.79 -4.6%       94,668
TRNC              13.87           13.28 -4.3%            505
GME              24.88           23.91 -3.9%         2,592
UTHR            143.43         140.01 -2.4%         6,520
PDLI                2.12             2.09 -1.4%            351
NSR              33.40           33.03 -1.1%         1,823
SWHC              21.08           21.08 0.0%         1,186
DLX              71.33           71.34 0.0%         3,479
CA              31.52           32.00 1.5%       13,126
RGR              52.26           53.15 1.7%         1,000
HRB              22.77           23.28 2.2%         4,862
AVID                4.40             4.51 2.5%            179
MSGN              21.50           22.33 3.8%         1,614
MPAA              26.92           27.96 3.9%            532
MCFT              14.58           15.17 4.0%            272
MCK            140.19         146.45 4.5%       31,742
MBUU              19.08           20.69 8.4%            338
AMCX              52.34           57.56 10.0%         3,702
RPXC              10.80           11.98 10.9%            531
TDC              27.17           30.20 11.2%         3,524
NHTC              24.47           27.44 12.1%            280
GHC            510.69         578.15 13.2%         2,874
CSCO              29.96           34.10 13.8%     151,825
ACHI                2.25             2.57 14.2%            240
MYGN              16.67           19.06 14.3%         1,140
HPQ              14.73           17.21 16.9%       25,406
TGNA              21.27           25.27 18.8%         4,586
VIAB              34.94           42.41 21.4%       13,928
AAPL            115.32         141.12 22.4%     618,035
MDCA                6.55             8.90 35.9%            345

You'll note that 11 of the 12 worst stocks (top of the list) are all under $1b market cap and the one that isn't is a bio tech.  Coincidence? I think not.

I am not going to tell you how to pick your stocks.  But I highly advise you study some of the backtesting I do (a bunch in mid December 2016).

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