Saturday, July 23, 2011

Top 200 July 22nd 2011

Another week has passed and it was certainly a good one for my portfolio. I had a decent Friday, largely driven by strong results from SNDK, which popped almost 10%. It does feel good to be getting a bit back on track. After my 5+ years, I am still trailing the Russell 3000 index, but I am gaining.

I am still in Dallas and tomorrow we fly back to Connecticut. We should have internet, tv, phones and even air-conditioning upstairs! The only thing we're missing is furniture.

I rarely talk politics here, but I am hoping that Congress and the President can get their act together on the debt ceiling debate. Our entire political system is built on compromise, so both sides need to relax their positions a bit and find something they can live with. We can't play "chicken" with our AAA rating... the long term costs will be enormous if there is any hint the US will not pay their debts.

Spiffy 50 vs Ed's Talking Stock

As some readers know, I created a "Spiffy 50" portfolio at the start of December and have been tracking it against Ed's Talking Stock porfolio. Ed comes across on his blog (Ed's Talking Stock) as very knowledgeable and discusses many macro economic trends, His investing though is extraordinarily haphazard and he buys and sells on gut instinct. To make things worse, he buys very volatile securities, with a penchant for 3x etfs. I shudder to think about it. He has really struggled. Here is my Spiffy 50 versus him:

stock Initial Shares Current Daily Change Y-day Current Value Total Change
afam 35.17 56.87 25.57 -1.08% 1,470 1,454 -27.30%
agx 8.43 237.25 11.23 -1.92% 2,716 2,664 33.21%
amed 28.49 70.20 26.50 0.45% 1,852 1,860 -6.98%
apol 35.35 56.58 51.93 1.26% 2,901 2,938 46.90%
azn 47.99 41.68 49.67 -1.60% 2,104 2,070 7.36%
cbst 21.20 94.34 35.72 1.08% 3,334 3,370 68.49%
ccme 15.87 126.02 1.60 0.00% 202 202 -89.92%
ceu 3.44 581.40 1.17 28.57% 529 680 -65.99%
chke 19.81 100.96 16.83 -0.94% 1,715 1,699 -13.02%
cmtl 30.70 65.15 28.59 -0.94% 1,880 1,863 -5.24%
cnxt 1.43 1,398.60 2.40 0.00% 3,357 3,357 67.83%
coco 4.24 471.70 4.63 0.00% 2,184 2,184 9.20%
csgs 19.02 105.15 18.57 -1.22% 1,977 1,953 -2.37%
dell 13.65 146.52 17.04 -0.41% 2,507 2,497 24.84%
dlx 22.02 90.83 24.81 0.12% 2,251 2,253 14.94%
eesc.ob 1.90 1,052.63 1.00 0.00% 1,053 1,053 -47.37%
eme 28.02 71.38 28.69 -0.49% 2,058 2,048 2.39%
frx 32.24 62.03 38.53 -0.54% 2,403 2,390 19.51%
gme 21.15 94.56 23.47 0.64% 2,205 2,219 10.97%
hrb 13.37 149.59 15.51 0.26% 2,314 2,320 18.25%
idcc 34.71 57.62 72.96 -1.76% 4,279 4,204 110.77%
ipxl 18.29 109.35 21.02 -0.28% 2,305 2,299 14.93%
ksw 3.43 583.09 3.91 -1.76% 2,321 2,280 16.03%
lnc 25.12 79.62 27.79 0.22% 2,208 2,213 11.23%
lo 81.74 24.47 112.29 -0.82% 2,770 2,747 40.56%
lps 31.13 64.25 20.13 -0.59% 1,301 1,293 -34.05%
mail 6.84 292.40 7.58 -1.94% 2,260 2,216 10.82%
mpaa 11.68 171.23 14.06 0.00% 2,408 2,408 20.38%
mrx 26.88 74.40 38.30 -0.21% 2,856 2,850 43.60%
msft 26.89 74.38 27.53 1.61% 2,015 2,048 3.57%
navg 50.17 39.86 49.03 -1.17% 1,978 1,955 -2.27%
nvmi 7.42 269.54 9.60 0.95% 2,563 2,588 29.38%
osk 30.50 65.57 30.09 -1.70% 2,007 1,973 -1.34%
ppd 65.17 30.69 66.50 0.00% 2,041 2,041 2.04%
prsc 17.48 114.42 12.23 -1.37% 1,419 1,399 -30.03%
pwer 10.40 192.31 7.37 -1.21% 1,435 1,417 -29.13%
rtn 48.33 41.38 46.74 -1.23% 1,958 1,934 -0.73%
scei 6.76 295.86 2.27 0.44% 669 672 -66.42%
sndk 48.00 41.67 45.57 9.62% 1,732 1,899 -5.06%
solr 7.87 254.13 15.18 0.00% 3,858 3,858 92.88%
supg 2.60 769.23 3.14 2.95% 2,346 2,415 20.77%
ter 12.43 160.90 14.69 3.16% 2,291 2,364 18.18%
tnav 6.86 291.55 21.40 0.38% 6,215 6,239 211.95%
tndm 14.71 135.96 16.64 -0.89% 2,283 2,262 13.12%
tsra 19.93 100.35 17.69 1.67% 1,746 1,775 -11.24%
uis 24.27 82.41 26.24 0.23% 2,157 2,162 8.12%
untd 6.86 291.55 6.25 -0.32% 1,828 1,822 -5.98%
usb 24.76 80.78 26.91 -0.37% 2,182 2,174 9.89%
veco 45.07 44.38 41.17 1.06% 1,808 1,827 -8.65%
vr 29.59 67.59 27.70 -0.61% 1,884 1,872 -3.95%
Totals

- 0.13% 110,134 110,279 10.90%








Ed starting 12/3/10



-11.64%

Top 200 List

As faithful readers know, I have my own spreadsheet that allows me to calculate the MFI statistics and then rank the stocks myself. I use FINVIZ to get all stocks greater than $50m of market cap. I then pull out everything that is in either financial or utility sectors. Finally, I exclude all stocks with less than 500 shares traded.

My list differs in several ways from the official magicformulainvesting lists. First, I do not throw out stocks. They seem to exclude some foreign stocks (like some Chinese and Israeli stocks) but I am not sure how they decide which to include and which to exclude, as some do show up. Second, I rank mine by score and show the yields (per Yahoo, which are not always right). If anyone knows a better way to get more accurate yields, that would be great. Finally, we often differ by a day... which can make a difference depending on what happened to stock price and whether finanical statements were posted in Compustat.

Ticker Rank Date Stock Price Market Cap Earnings Yield ROIC Yahoo Yield
TRMS 1 7/23 2.53 56 241% 1498% 0.0%
TTHI 2 7/23 2.49 58 40% 2811% 0.0%
STV 3 7/23 5.15 304 37% 2097% 0.0%
LMLP 4 7/23 3.44 100 24% 11136% 0.0%
POZN 5 7/23 4.81 144 22% 7128% 0.0%
XNY 6 7/23 3.06 177 142% 357% 0.0%
PDLI 7 7/23 6.35 1,174 20% 489977% 12.5%
DEPO 8 7/23 8.54 476 20% 8922% 0.0%
VECO 9 7/23 41.17 1,751 31% 403% 0.0%
AGX 10 7/23 11.23 154 18% 1051% 0.0%
SUPG 11 7/23 3.14 192 22% 396% 0.0%
TSRA 12 7/23 17.69 907 26% 266% 0.0%
ESI 13 7/23 92.30 2,558 22% 295% 0.0%
MSN 14 7/23 1.90 52 145% 164% 0.0%
SCEI 15 7/23 2.27 58 1337% 159% 0.0%
APOL 16 7/23 51.93 7,288 21% 257% 0.0%
SOLR 17 7/23 15.18 1,941 16% 505% 0.0%
CRAY 18 7/23 6.37 222 31% 175% 0.0%
MNDO 19 7/23 2.70 51 15% 698% 11.9%
AFAM 20 7/23 25.57 239 26% 165% 0.0%
TRIT 21 7/23 7.61 62 26% 156% 0.0%
ACAD 22 7/23 1.67 84 14% 2450% 0.0%
BPI 23 7/23 30.50 1,787 16% 372% 0.0%
PRSC 24 7/23 12.23 163 19% 216% 0.0%
UIS 25 7/23 26.24 1,124 24% 160% 0.0%
GA 26 7/23 7.32 1,715 15% 576% 2.5%
BSQR 27 7/23 6.24 73 14% 654% 0.0%
LPS 28 7/23 20.13 1,774 19% 197% 2.0%
SNDK 29 7/23 45.57 11,113 15% 341% 0.0%
HRB 30 7/23 15.51 4,748 16% 262% 3.9%
CPLA 31 7/23 46.60 759 17% 220% 0.0%
CBST 32 7/23 35.72 2,162 17% 202% 0.0%
VPHM 33 7/23 19.71 1,892 15% 288% 0.0%
DJCO 34 7/23 72.50 100 33% 120% 0.0%
PWER 35 7/23 7.37 1,039 38% 112% 0.0%
OSK 36 7/23 30.09 2,762 25% 127% 0.0%
KLIC 37 7/23 10.30 753 31% 115% 0.0%
RIMG 38 7/23 15.43 147 44% 109% 1.3%
NVMI 39 7/23 9.60 259 14% 340% 0.0%
USMO 40 7/23 15.71 351 17% 177% 12.8%
PRX 41 7/23 34.46 1,223 15% 208% 0.0%
RIMM 42 7/23 27.91 14,639 37% 104% 0.0%
GAME 43 7/23 ######## ######## 0% 617% 0.0%
SPRD 44 7/23 15.15 836 14% 312% 0.3%
AMED 45 7/23 26.50 765 21% 121% 0.0%
MBND 46 7/23 3.21 34 15% 205% 0.0%
DELL 47 7/23 17.04 32,768 15% 219% 0.0%
MSFT 48 7/23 27.53 234,583 14% 333% 2.3%
GNI 49 7/23 105.26 158 13% 435% 12.1%
UEPS 50 7/23 8.31 379 20% 123% 0.0%
CECO 51 7/23 24.42 1,874 23% 108% 0.0%
NOK 52 7/23 5.86 21,758 20% 119% 8.9%
CREG 53 7/23 1.98 109 19% 120% 0.0%
IPXL 54 7/23 21.02 1,409 19% 119% 0.0%
RTN 55 7/23 46.74 16,864 17% 139% 6.6%
MPAA 56 7/23 14.06 177 14% 202% 0.0%
ARO 57 7/23 18.09 1,510 25% 100% 0.0%
LRCX 58 7/23 44.26 5,545 19% 114% 0.0%
CNGL 59 7/23 1.84 74 110% 81% 0.0%
CHKE 60 7/23 16.83 143 12% 356% 6.8%
WSTG 61 7/23 13.30 62 15% 155% 6.0%
GME 62 7/23 23.47 3,373 21% 105% 0.0%
AZN 63 7/23 49.67 69,737 18% 122% 5.1%
TER 64 7/23 14.69 3,409 16% 140% 0.0%
LIWA 65 7/23 8.71 264 34% 84% 0.0%
LAS 66 7/23 6.54 193 38% 82% 0.0%
CMTL 67 7/23 28.59 926 21% 100% 3.5%
DLX 68 7/23 24.81 1,286 13% 223% 19.4%
CSKI 69 7/23 3.17 54 605% 75% 0.0%
CBPO 70 7/23 9.93 255 25% 89% 0.0%
UNTD 71 7/23 6.25 549 14% 177% 6.4%
LTXC 72 7/23 8.36 421 18% 110% 0.0%
MEDW 73 7/23 11.23 92 11% 688% 0.0%
CSCO 74 7/23 16.46 91,139 13% 217% 0.7%
USNA 75 7/23 31.27 507 15% 125% 0.0%
PETS 76 7/23 11.28 246 15% 122% 34.6%
GEDU 77 7/23 4.80 125 50% 72% 0.0%
NOC 78 7/23 65.27 19,379 16% 106% 12.6%
MDP 79 7/23 29.36 1,351 15% 123% 3.3%
CHOP 80 7/23 4.31 212 80% 67% 0.0%
LO 81 7/23 112.29 16,275 11% 735% 4.7%
EGY 82 7/23 7.20 419 27% 71% 0.0%
MDCO 83 7/23 15.88 859 12% 279% 0.0%
MNTA 84 7/23 19.40 976 14% 130% 0.0%
MFW 85 7/23 25.92 505 13% 160% 0.0%
KLAC 86 7/23 44.11 7,557 16% 101% 1.7%
OMPI 87 7/23 10.61 196 13% 133% 0.0%
EDS 88 7/23 4.83 159 340% 63% 0.0%
AMAT 89 7/23 13.15 17,529 16% 93% 2.2%
CEL 90 7/23 26.68 2,654 16% 93% 13.7%
LHCG 91 7/23 22.15 406 18% 85% 0.0%
LINC 92 7/23 18.96 425 26% 69% 4.0%
CNTF 93 7/23 4.25 225 412% 62% 0.0%
CYD 94 7/23 20.16 751 223% 62% 7.3%
EME 95 7/23 28.69 1,968 15% 103% 0.0%
MRX 96 7/23 38.30 2,504 10% 856% 0.7%
TNH 97 7/23 156.29 2,891 11% 350% 6.5%
ELNK 98 7/23 7.64 838 20% 74% 5.5%
NSR 99 7/23 26.46 1,992 12% 149% 0.0%
MKSI 100 7/23 26.76 1,416 24% 67% 0.6%
CA 101 7/23 22.77 11,408 11% 307% 0.8%
ADI 102 7/23 37.06 11,474 12% 143% 2.5%
AHCI 103 7/23 2.49 109 18% 76% 0.0%
NEP 104 7/23 3.32 104 134% 59% 0.0%
GTIV 105 7/23 18.80 579 13% 126% 0.0%
RIGL 106 7/23 9.88 516 10% 744% 0.0%
NVLS 107 7/23 33.05 2,713 17% 78% 0.0%
DM 108 7/23 8.96 272 12% 183% 0.0%
HPQ 109 7/23 36.70 80,153 14% 99% 2.5%
STRA 110 7/23 144.10 1,844 12% 181% 2.2%
CYOU 111 7/23 45.96 2,447 10% 400% 0.0%
CSGS 112 7/23 18.57 616 14% 102% 0.0%
CEPH 113 7/23 80.21 6,404 14% 99% 0.0%
HITK 114 7/23 30.27 392 20% 68% 0.0%
AIXG 115 7/23 28.06 2,855 16% 76% 3.0%
MCZ 116 7/23 1.31 92 18% 70% 0.0%
KIRK 117 7/23 11.20 231 26% 59% 0.0%
COOL 118 7/23 2.61 106 12% 127% 0.0%
SAI 119 7/23 16.57 5,766 15% 81% 0.0%
DNB 120 7/23 74.46 3,723 10% 874% 1.9%
GD 121 7/23 70.80 26,647 14% 82% 2.5%
SYNA 122 7/23 24.84 878 12% 112% 0.0%
UG 123 7/23 14.70 68 11% 183% 4.7%
HRS 124 7/23 43.36 5,463 15% 74% 2.3%
MED 125 7/23 21.25 310 13% 98% 0.0%
LLTC 126 7/23 31.27 7,295 11% 160% 3.1%
MRVL 127 7/23 15.33 10,074 11% 155% 0.0%
NATH 128 7/23 19.10 99 11% 133% 0.0%
MHP 129 7/23 43.92 13,598 10% 268% 2.2%
GPS 130 7/23 19.66 11,560 18% 64% 2.2%
WU 131 7/23 19.37 12,631 10% 711% 1.4%
CUB 132 7/23 51.37 1,373 10% 208% 0.5%
CNH 133 7/23 37.29 8,987 37% 53% 0.0%
MANT 134 7/23 43.60 1,597 13% 86% 0.0%
DLB 135 7/23 44.86 5,085 10% 229% 0.0%
INTC 136 7/23 23.13 125,850 14% 76% 3.0%
RLRN 137 7/23 13.33 391 10% 583% 17.8%
LMT 138 7/23 79.60 28,067 13% 88% 3.6%
GILD 139 7/23 43.21 35,080 11% 160% 0.0%
MCRL 140 7/23 10.15 640 14% 75% 1.4%
LPH 141 7/23 1.81 185 57% 50% 0.0%
CATO 142 7/23 29.65 858 15% 67% 2.7%
CNU 143 7/23 6.31 395 11% 127% 0.0%
COCO 144 7/23 4.63 392 31% 52% 0.0%
PWRD 145 7/23 20.02 1,058 15% 67% 0.0%
LXK 146 7/23 29.74 2,373 25% 53% 0.0%
MO 147 7/23 26.36 54,723 10% 289% 5.7%
YONG 148 7/23 4.97 244 31% 50% 0.0%
CMLS 149 7/23 3.60 150 11% 140% 0.0%
MY 150 7/23 5.48 685 35% 48% 0.0%
SBGI 151 7/23 11.16 902 12% 83% 2.2%
ASMI 152 7/23 32.29 2,071 20% 54% 1.8%
DV 153 7/23 65.99 4,637 11% 111% 0.4%
PTNR 154 7/23 14.76 2,321 14% 71% 58.4%
BLC 155 7/23 7.49 774 12% 84% 0.0%
IILG 156 7/23 13.55 787 10% 200% 0.0%
CMFO 157 7/23 2.99 87 53% 46% 0.0%
KFY 158 7/23 22.51 1,062 10% 194% 0.0%
SPU 159 7/23 3.04 81 112% 44% 0.0%
GMAN 160 7/23 19.23 371 11% 97% 0.0%
DRCO 161 7/23 13.12 133 16% 59% 0.0%
WSTL 162 7/23 3.04 213 15% 60% 0.0%
GPIC 163 7/23 7.79 64 22% 49% 0.0%
TNAV 164 7/23 21.40 967 9% 772% 0.0%
DGIT 165 7/23 30.58 859 11% 103% 0.0%
CGA 166 7/23 5.24 140 47% 44% 0.0%
HHS 167 7/23 8.52 547 13% 68% 3.6%
CLCT 168 7/23 15.68 123 9% 788% 8.2%
HGSH 169 7/23 2.50 113 24% 47% 0.0%
BCDS 170 7/23 6.75 120 46% 44% 0.0%
BTM 171 7/23 26.06 5,124 25% 47% 6.2%
PBI 172 7/23 22.41 4,576 11% 104% 28.1%
LNCR 173 7/23 26.28 2,496 12% 76% 3.0%
ABC 174 7/23 40.52 11,336 10% 152% 1.0%
RGR 175 7/23 23.76 451 11% 86% 8.1%
BKE 176 7/23 46.19 2,183 11% 104% 7.2%
LEA 177 7/23 52.48 5,681 14% 62% 1.0%
ASEI 178 7/23 81.00 754 11% 90% 1.9%
TVL 179 7/23 4.43 250 13% 66% 0.0%
ERIC 180 7/23 13.18 42,585 12% 75% 2.7%
TXN 181 7/23 31.78 37,945 12% 69% 1.6%
CVVT 182 7/23 3.32 118 55% 42% 0.0%
DISH 183 7/23 32.01 14,368 12% 71% 0.0%
MSPD 184 7/23 7.62 245 11% 100% 0.0%
FCX 185 7/23 55.67 53,221 19% 48% 1.6%
BBY 186 7/23 29.56 11,741 19% 48% 2.0%
CHRM 187 7/23 11.51 471 12% 69% 0.0%
LLL 188 7/23 82.90 9,078 14% 61% 2.7%
GRMN 189 7/23 32.72 6,371 12% 68% 0.0%
AOL 190 7/23 19.43 2,096 16% 52% 0.0%
GSIT 191 7/23 6.85 210 15% 55% 0.0%
VCI 192 7/23 31.60 1,654 11% 92% 0.0%
AMGN 193 7/23 55.22 51,962 12% 73% 0.0%
MCK 194 7/23 82.31 21,401 10% 147% 0.9%
AAPL 195 7/23 393.30 368,841 9% 452% 0.0%
AEIS 196 7/23 12.44 549 21% 45% 0.0%
CHE 197 7/23 65.31 1,409 9% 180% 0.8%
ROST 198 7/23 78.16 9,127 11% 81% 1.0%
EXPR 199 7/23 23.72 2,105 10% 112% 0.0%
TRLG 200 7/23 30.85 774 12% 67% 0.0%


While I have focused on the differences, at the end we match very closely. Generally all the official top 50 stocks are in my top 100.

Ticker Mkt Cap Date My Ranking
ACAD 87.23 21-Jul 22
ARO 1,431.27 21-Jul 57
AFAM 242.06 21-Jul 20
AMED 776.76 21-Jul 45
APOL 7,064.82 21-Jul 16
AGX 155.74 21-Jul 10
BSQR 65.78 21-Jul 27
HRB 4,724.01 21-Jul 30
CPLA 734.90 21-Jul 31
CECO 1,869.25 21-Jul 51
CHKE 144.52 21-Jul 60
CMTL 752.81 21-Jul 67
CRAY 230.44 21-Jul 18
DELL 32,491.89 21-Jul 47
DLX 1,273.57 21-Jul 68
DEPO 453.37 21-Jul 8
SOLR 1,907.87 21-Jul 17
GME 3,295.12 21-Jul 62
GNI 158.25 21-Jul 49
ESI 2,375.32 21-Jul 13
IPXL 1,371.87 21-Jul 54
KLIC 696.59 21-Jul 37
LMLP 98.73 21-Jul 4
LTXC 404.14 21-Jul 72
LRCX 5,350.96 21-Jul 58
LPS 1,748.47 21-Jul 28
MSFT 226,947.72 21-Jul 48
MPAA 169.62 21-Jul 56
NVMI 241.32 21-Jul 39
OSK 2,788.33 21-Jul 36
PDLI 892.30 21-Jul 7
PRX 1,252.22 21-Jul 41
PETS 238.10 21-Jul 76
PWER 772.61 21-Jul 35
POZN 141.45 21-Jul 5
PRSC 160.72 21-Jul 24
RTN 16,779.67 21-Jul 55
SNDK 9,906.96 21-Jul 29
SCEI 53.04 21-Jul 15
SUPG 184.12 21-Jul 11
TER 2,637.96 21-Jul 64
TSRA 888.83 21-Jul 12
TTHI 56.54 21-Jul 2
TRMS 58.22 21-Jul 1
USMO 346.04 21-Jul 40
UIS 1,128.36 21-Jul 25
UNTD 552.50 21-Jul 71
VECO 1,659.71 21-Jul 9
VPHM 1,472.07 21-Jul 33
WSTG 63.05 21-Jul 61


New Computer

A bit off-topic, but I did get a new computer this week, a Thinkpad x220. I have not fired it up yet as I have been traveling and decided to take my Dell XPS on a final road trip. As Dell in one of my stocks, it was bad of me to go with the Lenovo. But it does have an Intel chip, and I will be buying a Cisco Linksys router for my new home. Oh, and of course I have Windows!

1 comment:

southof8 said...

thanks for shining a light on ed's ytd performance. I've often questioned his results but never had the data crunched to confirm my hunches.

good luck with the move.