It ended up down 11.5%, which to date is the worst single month performer that I have tracked. The benchmark Russell 3000 was down 6.3%. Past portfolios have had standard deviations around 40%. This may have been the highest yet at 47.7%. That is huge. So while the average stock went down 11.5%, one standard deviation takes you from -59.2% to + 36.2%. It is all about picking the right stocks and avoiding the wrong stocks… not my forte of late.
There were a few outsized winners:
FDG: +188%, perhaps the best ever in my tracking
WDC: +104%
BPT: +64%
EGY: +58%
TGB: +51%
But some big time losers as well:
SCSS: -85%, definitely the worst I have had
WON: -80%, needs to change the name
CHCG: -72%, I feel the pain
PNCL: -64%, they certainly had a roller coaster two years on the list
TZOO, JTX, KG, & MTEX: all down more than 50% - there were certainly a bunch of potholes on May’s list in 2008.
Here are all of them:
| ALOY $11.42 $8.51 -25.5% |
| AEO $26.46 $18.61 -29.7% |
| AMAT $19.03 $19.54 2.7% |
| AVCI $6.83 $5.43 -20.5% |
| AXCA $18.58 $23.34 25.6% |
| BPT $58.42 $95.76 63.9% |
| BBSI $24.47 $12.64 -48.3% |
| CHCG.OB $5.74 $1.63 -71.6% |
| CRYP $23.16 $16.96 -26.8% |
| FTD $16.66 $14.69 -11.8% |
| FDG $27.43 $78.96 187.9% |
| FTO $38.37 $30.29 -21.1% |
| GNI $100.83 $118.40 17.4% |
| HURC $47.0 $35.83 -23.8% |
| IVAC $20.05 $11.72 -41.5% |
| JAKK $25.83 $23.23 -10.1% |
| JTX $28.08 $13.61 -51.5% |
| KSWS $28.01 $15.61 -44.3% |
| KG $21.49 $10.21 -52.5% |
| KFY $25.20 $16.59 -34.2% |
| LRCX $53.26 $40.35 -24.2% |
| LXK $52.46 $36.54 -30.3% |
| MTEX $14.90 $6.43 -56.8% |
| NOOF $8.03 $4.85 -39.6% |
| NXG $3.16 $3.06 -3.2% |
| NUE $63.54 $75.0 18.0% |
| OVTI $15.08 $17.12 13.5% |
| PDII $10.55 $8.41 -20.3% |
| PWEI $35.01 $33.50 -4.3% |
| PACR $25.87 $21.88 -15.4% |
| PALM $8.59 $6.01 -30.0% |
| PNCL $17.98 $6.55 -63.6% |
| PPD $64.96 $40.52 -37.6% |
| PBH $12.86 $10.19 -20.8% |
| DGX $47.93 $50.43 5.2% |
| SCSS $17.88 $2.67 -85.1% |
| PCU $82.78 $108.64 31.2% |
| SUPX $31.93 $25.60 -19.8% |
| TGB $3.37 $4.90 45.4% |
| TCK $39.69 $50.22 26.5% |
| TZOO $26.05 $10.64 -59.2% |
| USNA $41.33 $25.84 -37.5% |
| UTMD $31.32 $30.25 -3.4% |
| EGY $4.98 $7.89 58.4% |
| VALU $42.64 $41.11 -3.6% |
| VGR $18.18 $17.46 -4.0% |
| WDC $17.98 $36.74 104.3% |
| WON $7.99 $1.63 -79.6% |
Then here is how all the closed portfolios have performed:
| Date | Total | IWV |
| 1/6/2006 | 16.0% | 10.9% |
| 2/17/2006 | 21.2% | 14.6% |
| 3/29/2006 | 13.0% | 9.6% |
| 4/7/2006 | 10.3% | 12.1% |
| 5/12/2006 | 20.4% | 18.6% |
| 5/31/2006 | 29.2% | 23.3% |
| 6/30/2006 | 22.4% | 20.0% |
| 7/31/2006 | 19.7% | 17.3% |
| 8/31/2006 | 13.0% | 13.3% |
| 9/28/2006 | 12.7% | 14.6% |
| 10/27/2006 | 10.3% | 12.0% |
| 11/29/2006 | -0.3% | 4.8% |
| 12/28/2006 | -6.9% | 3.4% |
| 1/26/2007 | -10.2% | -6.6% |
| 2/27/2007 | -3.7% | -1.0% |
| 3/26/2007 | -9.8% | -5.5% |
| 4/27/2007 | -10.9% | -5.0% |
| 5/29/2007 | -11.5% | -6.3% |
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