Sunday, March 18, 2018

MFI Diary Weekend Update 3/17/18

MFI Weekend Update 3/17/18

Good morning.  Happy St Patrick's Day everyone.  We will be on the road, heading home.

Wild week for me in the markets.  I had two stocks implode during earnings, which sadly was an instant replay for those two stocks from November earnings.  Yuck.  More on that later.

Welcome to the almost world-famous MFI Diary.  This is a diary I have been maintaining since February 2006 (damn, that is a long time) tracking my "adventures" in investing real money in the methods discussed in "The Little Book That Beats The Markets".  I also spend some time discussing my MFI (Magic Formula Investing) Index and various MFI tracking portfolios that I have created over time.

And as a free bonus, I also discuss how my non-MFI investments are doing (generally poorly) in 2nd half of my blog.

I did create a guide recently for new readers to my blog that point you to some key/interesting posts (ar as Artie Johnson used tosay, for the old timers out there, Very interesting). I encourage you to give it a whirl Guide To New Readers).  (PS - I continue to struggle to make this link work.  You can instead go to Blog archive on left margin of this blog and you will find a link in October 2017). Of course, I have to have a disclaimer - I am just a guy with a spreadsheet and not a stock advisor (very clear this week on 2 of Misc picks).  You should do your own due diligence before acting on anything you read here.

Onwards.

Last Week

It was a weird week.  Through Wednesday,  things were great.  Everything was working.  Then Thursday I had SELB (one of my Misc stocks) report.  While I thought earnings were fine, market obviously expected more and stock crashed 23% in a day.  Then midday, FERC (
MLPs Plunge On FERC Proposal To Bar 'Double Recovery') issued a tax ruling on Interstate MLP pipeline companies and I had a flash crash in firms like NS and PSXP.


So Thursday, between these two hammers, was my worst relatively day in a long time (I was 100 basis points worse than the market).  On Friday, many of the MLPs bounced back (sadly, I lacked knowledge/conviction to add to any of my positions on Thursday), but EXXI (another Misc holding) was absolutely crushed - down 25%.  The EXXI news was final straw for me and I sold my shares - that will surely mark market bottom for EXXI and it will now double.  EXXI now holds record for most money I have ever lost on a single stock.  A dubious record.  But, despite the EXXI crash and burn, I still beat the market on Friday as I had a number of stocks with good earnings (and SELB bounced back some along with MLPs).

Here is table showing my various portfolios for the year and the week:



 Component   YTD   Week Change 
 Overall  -0.3% -1.0%
 MFI Select  +6.0% -0.5%
 MFI Formula  +5.9% -1.7%
 MFI Combined  +5.9% -1.1%
 Miscellaneous  -9.3% -3.7%
 Dividend  -0.9% +0.6%
 Dividend Index  -2.8% +0.3%
 R3K Index  +3.2% -1.2%
 Blended Index  +0.7% -0.6%
 MFI Index  +11.8% -0.6%
 GARIX  +2.3% -0.5%


You can see Misc got dinged 3.7%.  But my dividend portfolio was actually up 0.6%.  MFI was running on par with R3K benchmark.  Sadly, I am now overall back in the red for 2018, trailing blended index by 1 percent.  But MFI continues to outperform at all levels.

In fact, check out my MFI Index table:


 Annual   Inception to Date 
 Year   Russell   MFI   Russell ITD   MFI ITD 
2006 11.40% 15.03% 11.40% 15.03%
2007 4.09% -6.69% 15.96% 7.34%
2008 -37.05% -37.97% -27.00% -33.42%
2009 32.51% 45.18% -3.27% -3.34%
2010 18.38% 22.77% 14.50% 18.67%
2011 -0.56% -10.47% 13.87% 6.25%
2012 16.43% 9.70% 32.57% 16.56%
2013 33.01% 51.70% 76.34% 76.82%
2014 12.26% 12.07% 97.95% 98.15%
2015 0.38% -8.95% 98.33% 89.37%
2016 12.50% 13.19% 110.62% 101.16%
2017 20.82% 4.74% 133.65% 105.95%
2018 3.16% 11.80% 141.03% 130.25%


As you can see, 2018 is shaping up well. The Index (a hypothetical basket of 50 stocks) is up a stunning 11.8% so far, trouncing the benchmark.  That means since 2006, the index is up 130%, which is starting to tighten up with Russell 3000 (up 141%).

MFI Select

Now for some discussion of my 2 real life, real dollar MFI portfolios.  MFI Select was begun in 2012 and consists of 4 tranches of 5 stocks each.  I pick pretty much whatever stocks I want and then I buy and hold for a year.  Not trying to hit home runs, but really trying to avoid stocks that crash and burn.

Here are the 4 open tranches:


5/6/2017  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 WSTC  $24.15 $23.50 $0.00 -2.7% 16.1%
 TGNA  $25.75 $22.48 $0.28 -11.6% 16.1%
 TIME  $15.05 $18.50 $0.08 23.5% 16.1%
 MSGN  $23.55 $25.05 $0.00 6.4% 16.1%
 QCOM  $54.93 $60.62 $2.28 14.5% 16.1%
 Totals  6.0% 16.1%
8/15/2017  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 GHC  $591.10 $597.35 $2.54 1.5% 13.0%
 ICHR  $19.80 $27.64 $0.00 39.6% 13.0%
 MD  $43.00 $57.46 $0.00 33.6% 13.0%
 SIMO  $43.05 $46.78 $0.60 10.1% 13.0%
 RHI  $44.15 $59.44 $0.76 36.4% 13.0%
 Totals  24.2% 13.0%
11/15/2017  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 MSGN  $16.67 $25.05 $0.00 50.3% 7.8%
 CELG  $100.60 $89.61 $0.00 -10.9% 7.8%
 EVC  $5.78 $5.15 $0.10 -9.2% 7.8%
 SIMO  $46.88 $46.78 $0.30 0.4% 7.8%
 VIAB  $24.41 $31.65 $0.40 31.3% 7.8%
 Totals  12.4% 7.8%
2/1/2018  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 AGX  $43.55 $40.75 $0.00 -6.4% -1.8%
 CASA  $18.81 $31.55 $0.00 67.7% -1.8%
 KLAC  $109.80 $120.62 $0.59 10.4% -1.8%
 THO  $136.33 $125.89 $0.00 -7.7% -1.8%
 WDC  $87.74 $106.45 $0.00 21.3% -1.8%
 Totals  17.1% -1.8%


As you can see, 3 of the 4 tranches are leading the benchmark.  It has been a good run.  CASA has been unbelievable for my February tranche (not even two months old and is up 67%).  Here is a table summarizing my performance back to August 2012:



 Category/Tranche   August   November   February   May   Total 
 Initial Investment         25,000             25,000           25,000        25,000         100,000
 Current Tranche  24.2% 12.4% 17.1% 6.0% 15.0%
 Previous Tranche  -0.1% 42.6% 74.9% 19.1% 34.3%
 Tranche -2  2.8% 8.0% 10.7% -25.2% -0.9%
 Tranche -3  11.2% 69.4% -14.3% 18.3% 21.2%
 Tranche -4  41.4% 14.2% 8.5% 33.0% 24.3%
 Tranche -5  14.1% 43.7% 78.3% 0.0% 34.0%
 MFI Overall Gain  129.0% 381.7% 275.8% 48.5% 208.8%
 Current Balance         57,241           120,436           93,953        37,127         308,757
 R3K Current Tranche  13.0% 7.8% -1.8% 16.1% 8.8%
 R3K Overall Gain  116.5% 120.9% 98.1% 85.3% 105.2%
 R3K Balance         54,124             55,227           49,520        46,313         205,184
 Annualized IRR  16.0% 34.2% 29.5% 8.5% 22.0%


At bottom right you see my annualized IRR is 22%.  That is certainly satisfactory.  Second row shows my current 4 open tranches up an aggregate of 15.0%, while 4th row from bottom shows benchmark R3K (Russell 3000) is up 8.8%.  Finally, my MFI overall gain is 208.8%, which means $100,000 at the start would be 308,757 assuming no additional funds added.

Here is a table showing how that $100,000 would have grown to $308,757 quarter by quarter:

 Date   Differential   MFI Value   R3K Value 
1/1/2013 -1.78%        102,798            104,575
4/1/2013 -0.43%        106,804            107,234
7/1/2013 4.29%        114,888            110,597
10/1/2013 19.67%        138,655            118,990
1/1/2014 26.63%        157,138            130,503
4/1/2014 30.38%        162,991            132,616
7/1/2014 39.23%        177,971            138,740
10/1/2014 29.38%        168,321            138,944
1/1/2015 28.17%        174,306            146,140
4/1/2015 29.95%        178,565            148,612
7/1/2015 62.69%        211,437            148,743
10/1/2015 43.12%        181,175            138,052
1/1/2016 63.33%        209,514            146,186
4/1/2016 47.34%        195,770            148,430
7/1/2016 50.41%        201,092            150,680
10/1/2016 42.98%        198,563            155,582
1/1/2017 45.60%        209,503            163,936
4/1/2017 55.70%        229,473            173,735
7/1/2017 60.28%        239,060            178,782
10/1/2017 75.60%        262,489            186,886
1/1/2018 92.19%        291,114            198,926
Current 103.57%        308,757            205,184

Took the lead early and have been extending regularly.

Finally, here is how the stocks fared this past week:


 Stock   Last Week   Current   Dividend   Change 
 MSGN              25.30         25.05                       -   -1.0%
 SIMO              47.28         46.78                       -   -1.1%
 VIAB              32.72         31.65                       -   -3.3%
 CASA              26.90         31.55                       -   17.3%
 KLAC            121.15       120.62                       -   -0.4%
 THO            126.95       125.89                       -   -0.8%
 AGX              42.75         40.75                       -   -4.7%
 WDC              99.55       106.45                       -   6.9%
 EVC                6.45            5.15                  0.05 -19.4%
 ICHR              28.99         27.64                       -   -4.7%
 CELG              92.56         89.61                       -   -3.2%
 RHI              60.51         59.44                       -   -1.8%
 MD              57.58         57.46                       -   -0.2%
 QCOM              63.03         60.62                       -   -3.8%
 GHC            599.80       597.35                       -   -0.4%
 TGNA              22.80         22.48                       -   -1.4%

Obviously CASA continues to be great.  EVC got crushed on earnings this week.  QCOM was caught in Broadcom saga and Trump blocking purchase,  There may still be some hope as another party lead by former CEO is putting together financing.


MFI Formula

This is my second real money MFI portfolio.  It was begun in October 2014 and is the polar opposite of Select.  All my stocks are picked via a formula and a random number generator that I created and thoroughly backtested.  It is working pretty well so far, although not quite the start I had with MFI Select.  Same tables:

Four open tranches:


4/1/2017  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 BKE  $18.45 $19.50 $2.75 20.6% 18.0%
 CSCO  $33.76 $45.01 $1.16 36.8% 18.0%
 GILD  $67.50 $79.74 $2.13 21.3% 18.0%
 OMC  $85.53 $73.98 $2.25 -10.9% 18.0%
 SYNT  $16.76 $27.10 $0.00 61.7% 18.0%
 Totals  25.9% 18.0%
7/1/2017  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 CSCO  $30.98 $45.01 $0.58 47.2% 14.6%
 GME  $20.95 $15.42 $1.14 -21.0% 14.6%
 HPQ  $17.60 $23.51 $0.40 35.8% 14.6%
 RGR  $60.70 $50.45 $0.67 -15.8% 14.6%
 SYNT  $16.21 $27.10 $0.00 67.2% 14.6%
 Totals  22.7% 14.6%
10/1/2017  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 DIN  $43.14 $65.80 $1.60 56.2% 9.7%
 GILD  $82.85 $79.74 $1.09 -2.4% 9.7%
 GME  $20.50 $15.42 $0.76 -21.1% 9.7%
 HPQ  $20.22 $23.51 $0.27 17.6% 9.7%
 OMC  $74.80 $73.98 $1.15 0.4% 9.7%
 Totals  10.1% 9.7%
1/2/2018  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 AMGN  $177.11 $188.24 $1.32 7.0% 2.6%
 GME  $18.06 $15.42 $0.38 -12.5% 2.6%
 GILD  $71.64 $79.74 $0.57 12.1% 2.6%
 HRB  $26.34 $27.05 $0.24 3.6% 2.6%
 OMC  $72.81 $73.98 $0.60 2.4% 2.6%
 Totals  2.5% 2.6%

The most recent is losing by a whisker, the other three are leading.

 Category/Tranche   October   January   April   July   Total 
 Initial Investment      249,820        249,939     250,180      249,728         999,667
 Current Tranche  10.1% 2.5% 25.9% 22.7% 13.9%
 Previous Tranche  7.0% 16.5% 25.2% 26.7% 19.5%
 Tranche -2  5.5% 9.3% -0.2% -12.5% 0.5%
 Tranche -3  0.5% 11.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.9%
 MFI Overall Gain  24.9% 44.9% 57.2% 36.1% 40.8%
 Current Balance      312,051        362,177     393,243      339,792      1,407,264
 R3K Current Tranche  9.7% 2.6% 18.0% 14.6% 11.2%
 R3K Overall Gain  47.2% 38.4% 37.7% 33.4% 39.2%
 R3K Balance      367,748        345,924     344,510      333,234      1,391,416
 Annualized IRR  6.6% 12.2% 16.5% 12.0% 11.8%

Overall Annual IRR is 11.8%.  Current tranches are leading 13.9% to 11.2%.  And $1,000,000 at the start would have grown to 1,407,264.  Here is table showing that growth:


 Date   Differential   Value   R3K Value 
10/1/2014 0.00%        100,000            100,000
1/1/2015 -0.33%        100,664            100,995
4/1/2015 5.09%        106,781            101,695
7/1/2015 4.82%        106,423            101,604
10/1/2015 6.39%        100,703              94,312
1/1/2016 -3.36%          96,830            100,012
4/1/2016 0.34%        102,371            101,548
7/1/2016 -0.19%        103,022            103,216
10/1/2016 -0.85%        106,377            107,230
1/1/2017 1.57%        113,406            111,832
4/1/2017 -1.86%        116,227            118,091
7/1/2017 -2.40%        119,144            121,545
10/1/2017 -2.56%        124,448            127,007
1/1/2018 -3.63%        131,460            135,086
Current 1.59%        140,726            139,141

So I am leading by about 1.6 percentage points.  Regular readers will remember that I was 6 points ahead a couple weeks ago.  It just doesn't always go up in a straight line.  Beating the benchmark is hard folks - ask all the hedge fund and mutual funds that underperform.

Here are stocks in past week:


 Stock   Last Week   Current   Dividend   Change 
 GILD              80.72         79.74                  0.57 -0.5%
 OMC              73.73         73.98                       -   0.3%
 GME              15.85         15.42                       -   -2.7%
 SYNT              27.41         27.10                       -   -1.1%
 CSCO              45.37         45.01                       -   -0.8%
 HPQ              24.65         23.51                  0.14 -4.1%
 AMGN            191.10       188.24                       -   -1.5%
 HRB              27.69         27.05                  0.24 -1.4%
 BKE              19.50         19.50                       -   0.0%
 DIN              75.72         65.80                  0.63 -12.3%
 RGR              50.50         50.45                  0.24 0.4%

DIN had definitely gone a bit too far too fast.  But kind of a rugged week here.  I thought BKE was better as they had decent earnings - but it seems they sold off first.

Dividend Portfolio

For those here to read about MFI, the party is over.  You can close your browser.  I will now drone on about my portfolio of income holdings and my miscellaneous stocks.  My income holdings, aka Dividend Portfolio is my largest wheel of my three wheeled investment tricycle. Its purpose is to provide me and my wife with a steadily (hopefully) increasing stream of income.  So I am generally not as focused on valuation as income stream.  That being said, I have had 2 holdings reduce their dividend in 2018: JQC and NS.

In a rising interest rate environment,  it is fair to expect the value of this portfolio to struggle as rising interest rates are a headwind for  relatively fixed income securities.  This week though, interest rates actually dropped (TLT, a treasury ETF, went up 1.6%).  So perhaps not a surprise that my dividend portfolio rose (0.6%) this week, although I did get the FERC fat thumb drop on Thursday.

Here is my portfolio:


 Dividend Stocks  Start  Current   Divvy   Overall Pct Gain   Weekly Pct Gain   12/30/17 Price   Yield   2018 
 OIBAX      5.91         6.05      0.23 6.2% 0.2%           5.96 3.8% 1.5%
 TK      7.43         8.64      0.08 17.2% 3.3%           9.32 2.5% -7.3%
 KCLI    48.89       42.75      0.60 -11.3% -3.4%        45.25 2.5% -5.5%
 KNOP    21.30       20.25      0.52 -2.5% 0.7%        20.75 10.3% -2.4%
 GLOP-PB    25.36       25.40      0.33 1.5% 0.8%        25.36 5.2% 0.2%
 CPLP      3.53         3.29      0.16 -2.4% 3.1%           3.36 9.7% -2.1%
 TGP    18.28       19.00      0.14 4.7% 0.8%        20.15 2.9% -5.7%
 NS    37.37       21.95      1.83 -36.4% 8.6%        29.95 10.9% -26.7%
 LADR    13.01       14.99      0.93 22.4% -1.6%        13.63 8.4% 10.0%
 JQC      8.18         7.96      0.76 6.6% -1.2%           8.22 6.2% -3.2%
 PSXP    47.39       50.13      1.71 9.4% -1.3%        52.35 5.4% -4.2%
 FDEU    18.40       18.29      1.06 5.2% -0.9%        18.83 7.9% -2.9%
 ISBC    13.25       14.31      0.24 9.9% -0.2%        13.88 2.5% 3.1%
 EVG    14.46       13.67      0.48 -2.1% 0.0%        14.35 6.7% -4.7%
 RILY    15.58       19.40      0.21 25.9% 1.3%        18.10 3.3% 7.2%
 RLJ-PA    28.45       25.85      0.98 -5.7% 0.4%        27.01 7.6% -4.3%
 NRZ    16.56       17.22      1.17 11.0% 2.3%        17.88 11.6% -3.7%
 SBRA    22.15       17.90      0.62 -16.4% -0.9%        18.77 10.1% -4.6%
 DSL    19.47       20.11      2.29 15.1% 0.9%        20.19 9.0% -0.4%
 OCSI      8.68         7.81      0.57 -3.4% -0.9%           8.40 9.7% -7.0%
 TGONF    11.04       12.90      1.96 34.7% -0.8%        13.30 5.5% -3.0%
 AMID    13.25       11.00      0.41 -13.9% -7.9%        13.35 15.0% -17.6%
 TOO      2.33         2.54      0.01 9.2% 0.4%           2.36 1.6% 7.6%
 O    25.93       51.47    21.31 180.7% 1.2%        57.02 5.1% -9.7%
 Totals  3.8% 0.5% 6.1% -0.9%

So you can see it has a 6.1% yield overall.  MLPs NS (-26.7%) and AMID (-17.6%) are my big losers.  NS went up 8.9% though this week as the FERC ruling does not impact them.  AMID was down 7.9% and is getting (my view/technical term, stupidly cheap).  These are listed pretty much in descending order of size.

Here is my self proclaimed Barron's dividend index that I created to benchmark.  It was up 0.2%:


 Ticker  12/30/2017  Current   Dividend   YTD Change   Weekly Change   Yield 
 AMLP                10.79             9.89               0.21 -6.4% -3.1% 8.51%
 NML                  9.38             8.50               0.17 -7.6% -0.7% 7.76%
 EPD                26.51          25.40               0.42 -2.6% -1.7% 6.62%
 ETP                17.92          16.97               0.57 -2.1% -4.6% 13.05%
 FDD                13.73          13.89                    -   1.1% -0.7% 2.75%
 VGK                59.15          59.16                    -   0.0% -0.5% 2.70%
 DDAIF                84.57          85.10                    -   0.6% 1.8% 4.07%
 NVS                83.96          82.06               2.75 1.0% -0.8% 3.63%
 NOBL                64.04          64.29                    -   0.4% -0.8% 1.73%
 VYM                85.63          85.75                    -   0.1% -1.3% 2.80%
 MRK                56.27          55.67               0.48 -0.2% 1.0% 3.41%
 PEP              119.92        111.64               0.81 -6.2% -0.8% 2.88%
 VNQ                82.98          76.57                    -   -7.7% 1.3% 4.59%
 RQI                12.65          12.20               0.24 -1.7% 4.8% 3.19%
 TCO                65.43          57.38               0.63 -11.3% 0.3% 4.41%
 SLG              100.93          98.94                    -   -2.0% -0.7% 3.17%
 T                38.88          37.00               0.49 -3.6% -0.1% 5.32%
 VZ                52.93          48.56               0.56 -7.2% -0.9% 4.81%
 CHL                50.54          46.22                    -   -8.5% -0.3% 3.98%
 DTEGY                17.66          16.45                    -   -6.9% 1.2% 4.15%
 DSU                11.70          11.62               0.21 1.1% 0.1% 3.54%
 HIO                  5.07             4.88               0.06 -2.6% -0.8% 3.47%
 MUB              110.74        108.51               0.63 -1.4% 0.2% 2.29%
 PRHYX                  6.76             6.63               0.06 -1.0% -0.3% 5.40%
 NEA                13.75          12.93               0.18 -4.7% -0.5% 5.54%
 JNK                36.72          35.97               0.50 -0.7% -0.3% 5.64%
 VWITX                14.13          13.87               0.09 -1.2% 0.0% 0.00%
 PHMIX                  9.09             8.95               0.10 -0.5% 0.0% 2.80%
 UTG                30.94          28.59               0.48 -6.0% 1.3% 4.20%
 XLU                52.65          50.27               0.42 -3.7% 1.8% 3.41%
 DUK                84.11          77.59               0.89 -6.7% 1.9% 4.54%
 EIX                63.24          65.15                    -   3.0% 9.7% 3.43%
 PFF                38.07          37.67               0.54 0.4% 0.3% 5.60%
 JPC                10.34             9.84               0.20 -2.9% -0.7% 3.96%
 WFC-PL          1,309.99    1,296.76                    -   -1.0% 0.5% 5.80%
 TIP              114.08        112.19               0.63 -1.1% 0.2% 2.32%
 SHY                83.85          83.41               0.24 -0.2% 0.0% 1.07%
 TLT              126.86        119.81               0.77 -5.0% 1.6% 2.58%
 Totals                       -                    -                      -   -2.8% 0.2% 4.19%

The tale of the week is pretty much in this table.TLT, UTG, XLU and DUK (utilities and treasuries) were all up 1.3% or more.  But MLPs like AMLP, EPD and ETP were all down 2% and more due mainly to FERC ruling.

My dividend portfolio also has a subset of 10 small banks.  I thought these might pop a bit this week with Senate voting to roll back Dodd-Frank.  But they were basically flat - though up a decent 4.6% in 2018.


 Bank   Start   Current   Dividends   Change   2018 Change   Yield 
 ACBI          16.99          18.25                 -   7.4% 3.7% 0.0%
 ASB          25.69          26.80            0.15 4.9% 5.5% 2.2%
 FBIZ          23.69          25.74            0.14 9.3% 16.4% 2.2%
 FULT          18.81          19.25            0.11 3.0% 7.5% 2.3%
 FNB          14.47          14.41            0.12 0.4% 4.3% 3.3%
 MSBI          32.96          32.17            0.22 -1.7% -1.0% 2.8%
 NRIM          37.47          36.05            0.45 -2.6% 6.5% 2.7%
 PACW          48.30          52.96            0.50 10.7% 5.1% 3.8%
 SONA          17.13          16.28            0.08 -4.5% 1.6% 2.0%
 WNEB          10.88          10.55            0.04 -2.7% -3.2% 1.5%
 Total  2.4% 4.6% 2.3%

Miscellaneous

Bit of a puke week.  SELB, MTG and EXXI all sucked.  I ended up selling my GCAP and EXXI.  That is probably a buy signal.

The MTG crash (-16%) was due to Arch, a very large mortgage insurer, striking a deal with Freddie Mac. Super frustrating, but I believe overdone.  EXXI was off over 30% (yikes) as people bailed on poor earnings.  I think people expected poor earnings, but I didn't like the fact that they restated their held oil reserves.  SELB was down 11%, earnings seemed ok to me - really just an update on things going according to plan.  I guess people expected more.  They actually bounced back a bunch on Friday.

I did have one success.  When I sold my GCAP I started a sizable position in SSW.  The next day the announced a merger with GCI and stock popped 14%.  WLFC also had very good earnings, but stock did nothing.  I may add to my position.  Their tangible book value is almost $42 per share and they trade under $29.  And they are earning $2 a share per year. ???

I also own a basket of miners.  They continue to really suck.


 Miner   Start   Current   Change   2018 Change 
 TORXF            9.90             7.25 -26.8% -23.7%
 SAND            4.48             4.46 -0.4% -10.6%
 NSU            2.38             2.36 -0.8% -3.3%
 KLDX            2.41             1.44 -40.2% -44.8%
 KL          14.49          14.68 1.3% -4.4%
 GSS            0.87             0.63 -27.3% -29.2%
 FSM            4.24             4.72 11.3% -9.6%
 EXK            2.14             2.39 11.7% 0.0%
 BTG            2.61             2.91 11.5% -6.1%
 EGO            1.18             1.07 -9.3% -25.2%
 Total  -6.9% -15.7%

Think that is enough.  Hopefully some bounce back next week!


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