Good morning. Happy St Patrick's Day everyone. We will be on the road, heading home.
Wild week for me in the markets. I had two stocks implode during earnings, which sadly was an instant replay for those two stocks from November earnings. Yuck. More on that later.
Welcome to the almost world-famous MFI Diary. This is a diary I have been maintaining since February 2006 (damn, that is a long time) tracking my "adventures" in investing real money in the methods discussed in "The Little Book That Beats The Markets". I also spend some time discussing my MFI (Magic Formula Investing) Index and various MFI tracking portfolios that I have created over time.
And as a free bonus, I also discuss how my non-MFI investments are doing (generally poorly) in 2nd half of my blog.
I did create a guide recently for new readers to my blog that point you to some key/interesting posts (ar as Artie Johnson used tosay, for the old timers out there, Very interesting). I encourage you to give it a whirl Guide To New Readers). (PS - I continue to struggle to make this link work. You can instead go to Blog archive on left margin of this blog and you will find a link in October 2017). Of course, I have to have a disclaimer - I am just a guy with a spreadsheet and not a stock advisor (very clear this week on 2 of Misc picks). You should do your own due diligence before acting on anything you read here.
Onwards.
Last Week
It was a weird week. Through Wednesday, things were great. Everything was working. Then Thursday I had SELB (one of my Misc stocks) report. While I thought earnings were fine, market obviously expected more and stock crashed 23% in a day. Then midday, FERC (MLPs Plunge On FERC Proposal To Bar 'Double Recovery') issued a tax ruling on Interstate MLP pipeline companies and I had a flash crash in firms like NS and PSXP.
So Thursday, between these two hammers, was my worst relatively day in a long time (I was 100 basis points worse than the market). On Friday, many of the MLPs bounced back (sadly, I lacked knowledge/conviction to add to any of my positions on Thursday), but EXXI (another Misc holding) was absolutely crushed - down 25%. The EXXI news was final straw for me and I sold my shares - that will surely mark market bottom for EXXI and it will now double. EXXI now holds record for most money I have ever lost on a single stock. A dubious record. But, despite the EXXI crash and burn, I still beat the market on Friday as I had a number of stocks with good earnings (and SELB bounced back some along with MLPs).
Here is table showing my various portfolios for the year and the week:
Component | YTD | Week Change |
Overall | -0.3% | -1.0% |
MFI Select | +6.0% | -0.5% |
MFI Formula | +5.9% | -1.7% |
MFI Combined | +5.9% | -1.1% |
Miscellaneous | -9.3% | -3.7% |
Dividend | -0.9% | +0.6% |
Dividend Index | -2.8% | +0.3% |
R3K Index | +3.2% | -1.2% |
Blended Index | +0.7% | -0.6% |
MFI Index | +11.8% | -0.6% |
GARIX | +2.3% | -0.5% |
You can see Misc got dinged 3.7%. But my dividend portfolio was actually up 0.6%. MFI was running on par with R3K benchmark. Sadly, I am now overall back in the red for 2018, trailing blended index by 1 percent. But MFI continues to outperform at all levels.
In fact, check out my MFI Index table:
Annual | Inception to Date | |||
Year | Russell | MFI | Russell ITD | MFI ITD |
2006 | 11.40% | 15.03% | 11.40% | 15.03% |
2007 | 4.09% | -6.69% | 15.96% | 7.34% |
2008 | -37.05% | -37.97% | -27.00% | -33.42% |
2009 | 32.51% | 45.18% | -3.27% | -3.34% |
2010 | 18.38% | 22.77% | 14.50% | 18.67% |
2011 | -0.56% | -10.47% | 13.87% | 6.25% |
2012 | 16.43% | 9.70% | 32.57% | 16.56% |
2013 | 33.01% | 51.70% | 76.34% | 76.82% |
2014 | 12.26% | 12.07% | 97.95% | 98.15% |
2015 | 0.38% | -8.95% | 98.33% | 89.37% |
2016 | 12.50% | 13.19% | 110.62% | 101.16% |
2017 | 20.82% | 4.74% | 133.65% | 105.95% |
2018 | 3.16% | 11.80% | 141.03% | 130.25% |
As you can see, 2018 is shaping up well. The Index (a hypothetical basket of 50 stocks) is up a stunning 11.8% so far, trouncing the benchmark. That means since 2006, the index is up 130%, which is starting to tighten up with Russell 3000 (up 141%).
MFI Select
Now for some discussion of my 2 real life, real dollar MFI portfolios. MFI Select was begun in 2012 and consists of 4 tranches of 5 stocks each. I pick pretty much whatever stocks I want and then I buy and hold for a year. Not trying to hit home runs, but really trying to avoid stocks that crash and burn.
Here are the 4 open tranches:
5/6/2017 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
WSTC | $24.15 | $23.50 | $0.00 | -2.7% | 16.1% |
TGNA | $25.75 | $22.48 | $0.28 | -11.6% | 16.1% |
TIME | $15.05 | $18.50 | $0.08 | 23.5% | 16.1% |
MSGN | $23.55 | $25.05 | $0.00 | 6.4% | 16.1% |
QCOM | $54.93 | $60.62 | $2.28 | 14.5% | 16.1% |
Totals | 6.0% | 16.1% | |||
8/15/2017 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
GHC | $591.10 | $597.35 | $2.54 | 1.5% | 13.0% |
ICHR | $19.80 | $27.64 | $0.00 | 39.6% | 13.0% |
MD | $43.00 | $57.46 | $0.00 | 33.6% | 13.0% |
SIMO | $43.05 | $46.78 | $0.60 | 10.1% | 13.0% |
RHI | $44.15 | $59.44 | $0.76 | 36.4% | 13.0% |
Totals | 24.2% | 13.0% | |||
11/15/2017 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
MSGN | $16.67 | $25.05 | $0.00 | 50.3% | 7.8% |
CELG | $100.60 | $89.61 | $0.00 | -10.9% | 7.8% |
EVC | $5.78 | $5.15 | $0.10 | -9.2% | 7.8% |
SIMO | $46.88 | $46.78 | $0.30 | 0.4% | 7.8% |
VIAB | $24.41 | $31.65 | $0.40 | 31.3% | 7.8% |
Totals | 12.4% | 7.8% | |||
2/1/2018 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
AGX | $43.55 | $40.75 | $0.00 | -6.4% | -1.8% |
CASA | $18.81 | $31.55 | $0.00 | 67.7% | -1.8% |
KLAC | $109.80 | $120.62 | $0.59 | 10.4% | -1.8% |
THO | $136.33 | $125.89 | $0.00 | -7.7% | -1.8% |
WDC | $87.74 | $106.45 | $0.00 | 21.3% | -1.8% |
Totals | 17.1% | -1.8% |
As you can see, 3 of the 4 tranches are leading the benchmark. It has been a good run. CASA has been unbelievable for my February tranche (not even two months old and is up 67%). Here is a table summarizing my performance back to August 2012:
Category/Tranche | August | November | February | May | Total |
Initial Investment | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 100,000 |
Current Tranche | 24.2% | 12.4% | 17.1% | 6.0% | 15.0% |
Previous Tranche | -0.1% | 42.6% | 74.9% | 19.1% | 34.3% |
Tranche -2 | 2.8% | 8.0% | 10.7% | -25.2% | -0.9% |
Tranche -3 | 11.2% | 69.4% | -14.3% | 18.3% | 21.2% |
Tranche -4 | 41.4% | 14.2% | 8.5% | 33.0% | 24.3% |
Tranche -5 | 14.1% | 43.7% | 78.3% | 0.0% | 34.0% |
MFI Overall Gain | 129.0% | 381.7% | 275.8% | 48.5% | 208.8% |
Current Balance | 57,241 | 120,436 | 93,953 | 37,127 | 308,757 |
R3K Current Tranche | 13.0% | 7.8% | -1.8% | 16.1% | 8.8% |
R3K Overall Gain | 116.5% | 120.9% | 98.1% | 85.3% | 105.2% |
R3K Balance | 54,124 | 55,227 | 49,520 | 46,313 | 205,184 |
Annualized IRR | 16.0% | 34.2% | 29.5% | 8.5% | 22.0% |
At bottom right you see my annualized IRR is 22%. That is certainly satisfactory. Second row shows my current 4 open tranches up an aggregate of 15.0%, while 4th row from bottom shows benchmark R3K (Russell 3000) is up 8.8%. Finally, my MFI overall gain is 208.8%, which means $100,000 at the start would be 308,757 assuming no additional funds added.
Here is a table showing how that $100,000 would have grown to $308,757 quarter by quarter:
Date | Differential | MFI Value | R3K Value |
1/1/2013 | -1.78% | 102,798 | 104,575 |
4/1/2013 | -0.43% | 106,804 | 107,234 |
7/1/2013 | 4.29% | 114,888 | 110,597 |
10/1/2013 | 19.67% | 138,655 | 118,990 |
1/1/2014 | 26.63% | 157,138 | 130,503 |
4/1/2014 | 30.38% | 162,991 | 132,616 |
7/1/2014 | 39.23% | 177,971 | 138,740 |
10/1/2014 | 29.38% | 168,321 | 138,944 |
1/1/2015 | 28.17% | 174,306 | 146,140 |
4/1/2015 | 29.95% | 178,565 | 148,612 |
7/1/2015 | 62.69% | 211,437 | 148,743 |
10/1/2015 | 43.12% | 181,175 | 138,052 |
1/1/2016 | 63.33% | 209,514 | 146,186 |
4/1/2016 | 47.34% | 195,770 | 148,430 |
7/1/2016 | 50.41% | 201,092 | 150,680 |
10/1/2016 | 42.98% | 198,563 | 155,582 |
1/1/2017 | 45.60% | 209,503 | 163,936 |
4/1/2017 | 55.70% | 229,473 | 173,735 |
7/1/2017 | 60.28% | 239,060 | 178,782 |
10/1/2017 | 75.60% | 262,489 | 186,886 |
1/1/2018 | 92.19% | 291,114 | 198,926 |
Current | 103.57% | 308,757 | 205,184 |
Took the lead early and have been extending regularly.
Finally, here is how the stocks fared this past week:
Stock | Last Week | Current | Dividend | Change |
MSGN | 25.30 | 25.05 | - | -1.0% |
SIMO | 47.28 | 46.78 | - | -1.1% |
VIAB | 32.72 | 31.65 | - | -3.3% |
CASA | 26.90 | 31.55 | - | 17.3% |
KLAC | 121.15 | 120.62 | - | -0.4% |
THO | 126.95 | 125.89 | - | -0.8% |
AGX | 42.75 | 40.75 | - | -4.7% |
WDC | 99.55 | 106.45 | - | 6.9% |
EVC | 6.45 | 5.15 | 0.05 | -19.4% |
ICHR | 28.99 | 27.64 | - | -4.7% |
CELG | 92.56 | 89.61 | - | -3.2% |
RHI | 60.51 | 59.44 | - | -1.8% |
MD | 57.58 | 57.46 | - | -0.2% |
QCOM | 63.03 | 60.62 | - | -3.8% |
GHC | 599.80 | 597.35 | - | -0.4% |
TGNA | 22.80 | 22.48 | - | -1.4% |
Obviously CASA continues to be great. EVC got crushed on earnings this week. QCOM was caught in Broadcom saga and Trump blocking purchase, There may still be some hope as another party lead by former CEO is putting together financing.
MFI Formula
This is my second real money MFI portfolio. It was begun in October 2014 and is the polar opposite of Select. All my stocks are picked via a formula and a random number generator that I created and thoroughly backtested. It is working pretty well so far, although not quite the start I had with MFI Select. Same tables:
Four open tranches:
4/1/2017 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
BKE | $18.45 | $19.50 | $2.75 | 20.6% | 18.0% |
CSCO | $33.76 | $45.01 | $1.16 | 36.8% | 18.0% |
GILD | $67.50 | $79.74 | $2.13 | 21.3% | 18.0% |
OMC | $85.53 | $73.98 | $2.25 | -10.9% | 18.0% |
SYNT | $16.76 | $27.10 | $0.00 | 61.7% | 18.0% |
Totals | 25.9% | 18.0% | |||
7/1/2017 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
CSCO | $30.98 | $45.01 | $0.58 | 47.2% | 14.6% |
GME | $20.95 | $15.42 | $1.14 | -21.0% | 14.6% |
HPQ | $17.60 | $23.51 | $0.40 | 35.8% | 14.6% |
RGR | $60.70 | $50.45 | $0.67 | -15.8% | 14.6% |
SYNT | $16.21 | $27.10 | $0.00 | 67.2% | 14.6% |
Totals | 22.7% | 14.6% | |||
10/1/2017 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
DIN | $43.14 | $65.80 | $1.60 | 56.2% | 9.7% |
GILD | $82.85 | $79.74 | $1.09 | -2.4% | 9.7% |
GME | $20.50 | $15.42 | $0.76 | -21.1% | 9.7% |
HPQ | $20.22 | $23.51 | $0.27 | 17.6% | 9.7% |
OMC | $74.80 | $73.98 | $1.15 | 0.4% | 9.7% |
Totals | 10.1% | 9.7% | |||
1/2/2018 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
AMGN | $177.11 | $188.24 | $1.32 | 7.0% | 2.6% |
GME | $18.06 | $15.42 | $0.38 | -12.5% | 2.6% |
GILD | $71.64 | $79.74 | $0.57 | 12.1% | 2.6% |
HRB | $26.34 | $27.05 | $0.24 | 3.6% | 2.6% |
OMC | $72.81 | $73.98 | $0.60 | 2.4% | 2.6% |
Totals | 2.5% | 2.6% |
The most recent is losing by a whisker, the other three are leading.
Category/Tranche | October | January | April | July | Total |
Initial Investment | 249,820 | 249,939 | 250,180 | 249,728 | 999,667 |
Current Tranche | 10.1% | 2.5% | 25.9% | 22.7% | 13.9% |
Previous Tranche | 7.0% | 16.5% | 25.2% | 26.7% | 19.5% |
Tranche -2 | 5.5% | 9.3% | -0.2% | -12.5% | 0.5% |
Tranche -3 | 0.5% | 11.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.9% |
MFI Overall Gain | 24.9% | 44.9% | 57.2% | 36.1% | 40.8% |
Current Balance | 312,051 | 362,177 | 393,243 | 339,792 | 1,407,264 |
R3K Current Tranche | 9.7% | 2.6% | 18.0% | 14.6% | 11.2% |
R3K Overall Gain | 47.2% | 38.4% | 37.7% | 33.4% | 39.2% |
R3K Balance | 367,748 | 345,924 | 344,510 | 333,234 | 1,391,416 |
Annualized IRR | 6.6% | 12.2% | 16.5% | 12.0% | 11.8% |
Overall Annual IRR is 11.8%. Current tranches are leading 13.9% to 11.2%. And $1,000,000 at the start would have grown to 1,407,264. Here is table showing that growth:
Date | Differential | Value | R3K Value |
10/1/2014 | 0.00% | 100,000 | 100,000 |
1/1/2015 | -0.33% | 100,664 | 100,995 |
4/1/2015 | 5.09% | 106,781 | 101,695 |
7/1/2015 | 4.82% | 106,423 | 101,604 |
10/1/2015 | 6.39% | 100,703 | 94,312 |
1/1/2016 | -3.36% | 96,830 | 100,012 |
4/1/2016 | 0.34% | 102,371 | 101,548 |
7/1/2016 | -0.19% | 103,022 | 103,216 |
10/1/2016 | -0.85% | 106,377 | 107,230 |
1/1/2017 | 1.57% | 113,406 | 111,832 |
4/1/2017 | -1.86% | 116,227 | 118,091 |
7/1/2017 | -2.40% | 119,144 | 121,545 |
10/1/2017 | -2.56% | 124,448 | 127,007 |
1/1/2018 | -3.63% | 131,460 | 135,086 |
Current | 1.59% | 140,726 | 139,141 |
So I am leading by about 1.6 percentage points. Regular readers will remember that I was 6 points ahead a couple weeks ago. It just doesn't always go up in a straight line. Beating the benchmark is hard folks - ask all the hedge fund and mutual funds that underperform.
Here are stocks in past week:
Stock | Last Week | Current | Dividend | Change |
GILD | 80.72 | 79.74 | 0.57 | -0.5% |
OMC | 73.73 | 73.98 | - | 0.3% |
GME | 15.85 | 15.42 | - | -2.7% |
SYNT | 27.41 | 27.10 | - | -1.1% |
CSCO | 45.37 | 45.01 | - | -0.8% |
HPQ | 24.65 | 23.51 | 0.14 | -4.1% |
AMGN | 191.10 | 188.24 | - | -1.5% |
HRB | 27.69 | 27.05 | 0.24 | -1.4% |
BKE | 19.50 | 19.50 | - | 0.0% |
DIN | 75.72 | 65.80 | 0.63 | -12.3% |
RGR | 50.50 | 50.45 | 0.24 | 0.4% |
DIN had definitely gone a bit too far too fast. But kind of a rugged week here. I thought BKE was better as they had decent earnings - but it seems they sold off first.
Dividend Portfolio
For those here to read about MFI, the party is over. You can close your browser. I will now drone on about my portfolio of income holdings and my miscellaneous stocks. My income holdings, aka Dividend Portfolio is my largest wheel of my three wheeled investment tricycle. Its purpose is to provide me and my wife with a steadily (hopefully) increasing stream of income. So I am generally not as focused on valuation as income stream. That being said, I have had 2 holdings reduce their dividend in 2018: JQC and NS.
In a rising interest rate environment, it is fair to expect the value of this portfolio to struggle as rising interest rates are a headwind for relatively fixed income securities. This week though, interest rates actually dropped (TLT, a treasury ETF, went up 1.6%). So perhaps not a surprise that my dividend portfolio rose (0.6%) this week, although I did get the FERC fat thumb drop on Thursday.
Here is my portfolio:
In a rising interest rate environment, it is fair to expect the value of this portfolio to struggle as rising interest rates are a headwind for relatively fixed income securities. This week though, interest rates actually dropped (TLT, a treasury ETF, went up 1.6%). So perhaps not a surprise that my dividend portfolio rose (0.6%) this week, although I did get the FERC fat thumb drop on Thursday.
Here is my portfolio:
Dividend Stocks | Start | Current | Divvy | Overall Pct Gain | Weekly Pct Gain | 12/30/17 Price | Yield | 2018 |
OIBAX | 5.91 | 6.05 | 0.23 | 6.2% | 0.2% | 5.96 | 3.8% | 1.5% |
TK | 7.43 | 8.64 | 0.08 | 17.2% | 3.3% | 9.32 | 2.5% | -7.3% |
KCLI | 48.89 | 42.75 | 0.60 | -11.3% | -3.4% | 45.25 | 2.5% | -5.5% |
KNOP | 21.30 | 20.25 | 0.52 | -2.5% | 0.7% | 20.75 | 10.3% | -2.4% |
GLOP-PB | 25.36 | 25.40 | 0.33 | 1.5% | 0.8% | 25.36 | 5.2% | 0.2% |
CPLP | 3.53 | 3.29 | 0.16 | -2.4% | 3.1% | 3.36 | 9.7% | -2.1% |
TGP | 18.28 | 19.00 | 0.14 | 4.7% | 0.8% | 20.15 | 2.9% | -5.7% |
NS | 37.37 | 21.95 | 1.83 | -36.4% | 8.6% | 29.95 | 10.9% | -26.7% |
LADR | 13.01 | 14.99 | 0.93 | 22.4% | -1.6% | 13.63 | 8.4% | 10.0% |
JQC | 8.18 | 7.96 | 0.76 | 6.6% | -1.2% | 8.22 | 6.2% | -3.2% |
PSXP | 47.39 | 50.13 | 1.71 | 9.4% | -1.3% | 52.35 | 5.4% | -4.2% |
FDEU | 18.40 | 18.29 | 1.06 | 5.2% | -0.9% | 18.83 | 7.9% | -2.9% |
ISBC | 13.25 | 14.31 | 0.24 | 9.9% | -0.2% | 13.88 | 2.5% | 3.1% |
EVG | 14.46 | 13.67 | 0.48 | -2.1% | 0.0% | 14.35 | 6.7% | -4.7% |
RILY | 15.58 | 19.40 | 0.21 | 25.9% | 1.3% | 18.10 | 3.3% | 7.2% |
RLJ-PA | 28.45 | 25.85 | 0.98 | -5.7% | 0.4% | 27.01 | 7.6% | -4.3% |
NRZ | 16.56 | 17.22 | 1.17 | 11.0% | 2.3% | 17.88 | 11.6% | -3.7% |
SBRA | 22.15 | 17.90 | 0.62 | -16.4% | -0.9% | 18.77 | 10.1% | -4.6% |
DSL | 19.47 | 20.11 | 2.29 | 15.1% | 0.9% | 20.19 | 9.0% | -0.4% |
OCSI | 8.68 | 7.81 | 0.57 | -3.4% | -0.9% | 8.40 | 9.7% | -7.0% |
TGONF | 11.04 | 12.90 | 1.96 | 34.7% | -0.8% | 13.30 | 5.5% | -3.0% |
AMID | 13.25 | 11.00 | 0.41 | -13.9% | -7.9% | 13.35 | 15.0% | -17.6% |
TOO | 2.33 | 2.54 | 0.01 | 9.2% | 0.4% | 2.36 | 1.6% | 7.6% |
O | 25.93 | 51.47 | 21.31 | 180.7% | 1.2% | 57.02 | 5.1% | -9.7% |
Totals | 3.8% | 0.5% | 6.1% | -0.9% |
So you can see it has a 6.1% yield overall. MLPs NS (-26.7%) and AMID (-17.6%) are my big losers. NS went up 8.9% though this week as the FERC ruling does not impact them. AMID was down 7.9% and is getting (my view/technical term, stupidly cheap). These are listed pretty much in descending order of size.
Here is my self proclaimed Barron's dividend index that I created to benchmark. It was up 0.2%:
Ticker | 12/30/2017 | Current | Dividend | YTD Change | Weekly Change | Yield |
AMLP | 10.79 | 9.89 | 0.21 | -6.4% | -3.1% | 8.51% |
NML | 9.38 | 8.50 | 0.17 | -7.6% | -0.7% | 7.76% |
EPD | 26.51 | 25.40 | 0.42 | -2.6% | -1.7% | 6.62% |
ETP | 17.92 | 16.97 | 0.57 | -2.1% | -4.6% | 13.05% |
FDD | 13.73 | 13.89 | - | 1.1% | -0.7% | 2.75% |
VGK | 59.15 | 59.16 | - | 0.0% | -0.5% | 2.70% |
DDAIF | 84.57 | 85.10 | - | 0.6% | 1.8% | 4.07% |
NVS | 83.96 | 82.06 | 2.75 | 1.0% | -0.8% | 3.63% |
NOBL | 64.04 | 64.29 | - | 0.4% | -0.8% | 1.73% |
VYM | 85.63 | 85.75 | - | 0.1% | -1.3% | 2.80% |
MRK | 56.27 | 55.67 | 0.48 | -0.2% | 1.0% | 3.41% |
PEP | 119.92 | 111.64 | 0.81 | -6.2% | -0.8% | 2.88% |
VNQ | 82.98 | 76.57 | - | -7.7% | 1.3% | 4.59% |
RQI | 12.65 | 12.20 | 0.24 | -1.7% | 4.8% | 3.19% |
TCO | 65.43 | 57.38 | 0.63 | -11.3% | 0.3% | 4.41% |
SLG | 100.93 | 98.94 | - | -2.0% | -0.7% | 3.17% |
T | 38.88 | 37.00 | 0.49 | -3.6% | -0.1% | 5.32% |
VZ | 52.93 | 48.56 | 0.56 | -7.2% | -0.9% | 4.81% |
CHL | 50.54 | 46.22 | - | -8.5% | -0.3% | 3.98% |
DTEGY | 17.66 | 16.45 | - | -6.9% | 1.2% | 4.15% |
DSU | 11.70 | 11.62 | 0.21 | 1.1% | 0.1% | 3.54% |
HIO | 5.07 | 4.88 | 0.06 | -2.6% | -0.8% | 3.47% |
MUB | 110.74 | 108.51 | 0.63 | -1.4% | 0.2% | 2.29% |
PRHYX | 6.76 | 6.63 | 0.06 | -1.0% | -0.3% | 5.40% |
NEA | 13.75 | 12.93 | 0.18 | -4.7% | -0.5% | 5.54% |
JNK | 36.72 | 35.97 | 0.50 | -0.7% | -0.3% | 5.64% |
VWITX | 14.13 | 13.87 | 0.09 | -1.2% | 0.0% | 0.00% |
PHMIX | 9.09 | 8.95 | 0.10 | -0.5% | 0.0% | 2.80% |
UTG | 30.94 | 28.59 | 0.48 | -6.0% | 1.3% | 4.20% |
XLU | 52.65 | 50.27 | 0.42 | -3.7% | 1.8% | 3.41% |
DUK | 84.11 | 77.59 | 0.89 | -6.7% | 1.9% | 4.54% |
EIX | 63.24 | 65.15 | - | 3.0% | 9.7% | 3.43% |
PFF | 38.07 | 37.67 | 0.54 | 0.4% | 0.3% | 5.60% |
JPC | 10.34 | 9.84 | 0.20 | -2.9% | -0.7% | 3.96% |
WFC-PL | 1,309.99 | 1,296.76 | - | -1.0% | 0.5% | 5.80% |
TIP | 114.08 | 112.19 | 0.63 | -1.1% | 0.2% | 2.32% |
SHY | 83.85 | 83.41 | 0.24 | -0.2% | 0.0% | 1.07% |
TLT | 126.86 | 119.81 | 0.77 | -5.0% | 1.6% | 2.58% |
Totals | - | - | - | -2.8% | 0.2% | 4.19% |
The tale of the week is pretty much in this table.TLT, UTG, XLU and DUK (utilities and treasuries) were all up 1.3% or more. But MLPs like AMLP, EPD and ETP were all down 2% and more due mainly to FERC ruling.
My dividend portfolio also has a subset of 10 small banks. I thought these might pop a bit this week with Senate voting to roll back Dodd-Frank. But they were basically flat - though up a decent 4.6% in 2018.
Bank | Start | Current | Dividends | Change | 2018 Change | Yield |
ACBI | 16.99 | 18.25 | - | 7.4% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
ASB | 25.69 | 26.80 | 0.15 | 4.9% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
FBIZ | 23.69 | 25.74 | 0.14 | 9.3% | 16.4% | 2.2% |
FULT | 18.81 | 19.25 | 0.11 | 3.0% | 7.5% | 2.3% |
FNB | 14.47 | 14.41 | 0.12 | 0.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% |
MSBI | 32.96 | 32.17 | 0.22 | -1.7% | -1.0% | 2.8% |
NRIM | 37.47 | 36.05 | 0.45 | -2.6% | 6.5% | 2.7% |
PACW | 48.30 | 52.96 | 0.50 | 10.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
SONA | 17.13 | 16.28 | 0.08 | -4.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% |
WNEB | 10.88 | 10.55 | 0.04 | -2.7% | -3.2% | 1.5% |
Total | 2.4% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
Miscellaneous
Bit of a puke week. SELB, MTG and EXXI all sucked. I ended up selling my GCAP and EXXI. That is probably a buy signal.
The MTG crash (-16%) was due to Arch, a very large mortgage insurer, striking a deal with Freddie Mac. Super frustrating, but I believe overdone. EXXI was off over 30% (yikes) as people bailed on poor earnings. I think people expected poor earnings, but I didn't like the fact that they restated their held oil reserves. SELB was down 11%, earnings seemed ok to me - really just an update on things going according to plan. I guess people expected more. They actually bounced back a bunch on Friday.
I did have one success. When I sold my GCAP I started a sizable position in SSW. The next day the announced a merger with GCI and stock popped 14%. WLFC also had very good earnings, but stock did nothing. I may add to my position. Their tangible book value is almost $42 per share and they trade under $29. And they are earning $2 a share per year. ???
I also own a basket of miners. They continue to really suck.
Miner | Start | Current | Change | 2018 Change |
TORXF | 9.90 | 7.25 | -26.8% | -23.7% |
SAND | 4.48 | 4.46 | -0.4% | -10.6% |
NSU | 2.38 | 2.36 | -0.8% | -3.3% |
KLDX | 2.41 | 1.44 | -40.2% | -44.8% |
KL | 14.49 | 14.68 | 1.3% | -4.4% |
GSS | 0.87 | 0.63 | -27.3% | -29.2% |
FSM | 4.24 | 4.72 | 11.3% | -9.6% |
EXK | 2.14 | 2.39 | 11.7% | 0.0% |
BTG | 2.61 | 2.91 | 11.5% | -6.1% |
EGO | 1.18 | 1.07 | -9.3% | -25.2% |
Total | -6.9% | -15.7% |
Think that is enough. Hopefully some bounce back next week!
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