Saturday, March 10, 2018

MFI Diary Weekend Update 3/10/18

MFI Diary Weekend Update 3/10/18

Wow, what an end to the week.  Would have been a bad day to be short.  I saw a number of people on Tuesday night, when Cohn announced his resignation were predicting doom and gloom.

Welcome to the almost world-famous MFI Diary.  This is a diary I have been maintaining since February 2006 (damn, that is a long time) tracking my "adventures" in investing real money in the methods discussed in "The Little Book That Beats The Markets".  I also spend some time discussing my MFI (Magic Formula Investing) Index and various MFI tracking portfolios that I have created over time.

And as a free bonus, I also discuss how my non-MFI investments are doing (generally poorly) in 2nd half of my blog.

I did create a guide recently for new readers to my blog that point you to some key/interesting posts (ar as Artie Johnson used tosay, for the old timers out there, Very interesting). I encourage you to give it a whirl Guide To New Readers).  (PS - I continue to struggle to make this link work.  You can instead go to Blog archive on left margin of this blog and you will find a link in October 2017). Of course, I have to have a disclaimer - I am just a guy with a spreadsheet and not a stock advisor.  You should do your own due diligence before acting on anything you read here.

Onwards.

Last Week

One of my best weeks in quite a while.  But it wasn't just me.  The Russell 3000 zoomed up an astounding 3.6 percentage points.  Earnings continue to be strong.  Employment is strong.  Perhaps North Korea tensions may de-escalate. Lower tax rates should really start kicking in for businesses and individuals. I guess higher interest rates are the main worry.


Here is a great interview I read in Barron's. Ed Yardeni is a person I read regularly and is my canary in the coal mine regarding a market sell-off (and I am planning to get his book). [Ed Yardeni: Why Stocks Will Keep On Cooking].

Here is table of my performance last week and YTD.


 Component   YTD   Week Change 
 Overall  +0.7% +2.9%
 MFI Select  +6.5% +4.3%
 MFI Formula  +7.7% +1.3%
 MFI Combined  +7.0% +2.8%
 Miscellaneous  -5.6% +5.1%
 Dividend  -1.4% +1.8%
 Dividend Index  -3.1% +0.8%
 R3K Index  +4.4% +3.6%
 Blended Index  +1.3% +2.5%
 MFI Index  +12.4% +3.5%
 GARIX  +2.8% +2.5%


So I was up 2.9% for the week, which bested the blended index of 2.5%.  I am now back in the black for 2018, which admittedly does feel good.  My Misc portfolio finally outperformed a bit, up 5.1%.  It still has a ways to go.  The MFI Index was also stellar, up 3.5%. Woo-hoo!

MFI Select

As my 50 readers know, I have two portfolios of MFI stocks with real money.  Select and Formula.  I also track MFI through MFI Index, but that is hypothetical.  And of course any investor will tell you that where the rubber meets the road is when you have real $ on the table.

I started MFI Select in August 2012.  I had quit MFI for about a year and had studies why it had not worked well for me.  My analysis showed that there is a great deal of variance (statistical term) between MFI stocks on the official list.  I dug in to try and find some common characteristics between the "value traps" or "stinkers" on the official list.  A lot of them tended to be biotechs. A disproportionate number were smaller cap stocks.

It isn't rocket science if you have read Greenblatt's book.  If you really look at what he is assuming, it is that past income is a good predictor for future income (trailing 12 month income is a key number in both earnings yield and return on capital).  So before buying an MFI stock, one should ask oneself, what is probability of past income recurring?  For some of the real stinker stocks (think biotech), their income was some one-time royalty payment and that is often not recurring.

My MFI Select is 4 tranches of 5 stocks apiece.  I buy and hold the individual stocks for a year.  I then reinvest the proceeds into a new tranche (lather, rinse, repeat).  At the anniversary dates, I do often add more money (this year I am increasing stakes by about 30%).  Enough blabbering.  Here are the stocks and how they did during this rocket week:


 Stock   Last Week   Current   Dividend   Change 
 MSGN              24.25         25.30                       -   4.3%
 SIMO              45.72         47.28                       -   3.4%
 VIAB              34.09         32.72                       -   -4.0%
 CASA              21.95         26.90                       -   22.6%
 KLAC            113.01       121.15                       -   7.2%
 THO            120.45       126.95                       -   5.4%
 AGX              40.40         42.75                       -   5.8%
 WDC              88.25         99.55                       -   12.8%
 EVC                6.50            6.45                       -   -0.8%
 ICHR              25.30         28.99                       -   14.6%
 CELG              89.33         92.56                       -   3.6%
 RHI              57.98         60.51                       -   4.4%
 MD              54.87         57.58                       -   4.9%
 QCOM              64.74         63.03                       -   -2.6%
 GHC            575.90       599.80                       -   4.2%
 TGNA              22.81         22.80                       -   0.0%

CASA had earning during the week.  I have to admit I was a bit underwhelmed with them, but market was very excited.  MD is being rumoured to be going through first round of a sales process.  THO also had earnings. Market seemed to struggle with whether they were good or bad, but eventually gave thumbs up.  And WDC was upgraded.

Here are my four tranches:


5/6/2017  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 WSTC  $24.15 $23.50 $0.00 -2.7% 17.4%
 TGNA  $25.75 $22.80 $0.28 -10.4% 17.4%
 TIME  $15.05 $18.50 $0.08 23.5% 17.4%
 MSGN  $23.55 $25.30 $0.00 7.4% 17.4%
 QCOM  $54.93 $63.03 $2.28 18.9% 17.4%
 Totals  7.3% 17.4%
8/15/2017  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 GHC  $591.10 $599.80 $2.54 1.9% 14.3%
 ICHR  $19.80 $28.99 $0.00 46.4% 14.3%
 MD  $43.00 $57.58 $0.00 33.9% 14.3%
 SIMO  $43.05 $47.28 $0.60 11.2% 14.3%
 RHI  $44.15 $60.51 $0.76 38.8% 14.3%
 Totals  26.4% 14.3%
11/15/2017  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 MSGN  $16.67 $25.30 $0.00 51.8% 9.0%
 CELG  $100.60 $92.56 $0.00 -8.0% 9.0%
 EVC  $5.78 $6.45 $0.05 12.5% 9.0%
 SIMO  $46.88 $47.28 $0.30 1.5% 9.0%
 VIAB  $24.41 $32.72 $0.20 34.9% 9.0%
 Totals  18.5% 9.0%
2/1/2018  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 AGX  $43.55 $42.75 $0.00 -1.8% -0.7%
 CASA  $18.81 $26.90 $0.00 43.0% -0.7%
 KLAC  $109.80 $121.15 $0.59 10.9% -0.7%
 THO  $136.33 $126.95 $0.00 -6.9% -0.7%
 WDC  $87.74 $99.55 $0.00 13.5% -0.7%
 Totals  11.7% -0.7%

Hey, pretty good right?  If I were a hedge fund and just using this approach, I'd be living well.  Clock is ticking on the May tranche and two of its stocks (TIME and WSTC) are no longer in existence.  February is off the a great start, obviously with a large assist from CASA at 43%.

Here is table showing results back to August 2012:


 Category/Tranche   August   November   February   May   Total 
 Initial Investment         25,000             25,000           25,000        25,000         100,000
 Current Tranche  26.4% 18.5% 11.7% 7.3% 15.7%
 Previous Tranche  -0.1% 42.6% 74.9% 19.1% 35.1%
 Tranche -2  2.8% 8.0% 10.7% -25.2% -0.9%
 Tranche -3  11.2% 69.4% -14.3% 18.3% 21.2%
 Tranche -4  41.4% 14.2% 8.5% 33.0% 24.3%
 Tranche -5  14.1% 43.7% 78.3% 0.0% 34.0%
 MFI Overall Gain  133.1% 408.0% 258.7% 50.4% 212.5%
 Current Balance         58,264           127,012           89,663        37,596         312,534
 R3K Current Tranche  14.3% 9.0% -0.7% 17.4% 10.0%
 R3K Overall Gain  119.0% 123.5% 100.4% 87.4% 107.5%
 R3K Balance         54,746             55,864           50,093        46,843         207,547
 Annualized IRR  16.4% 35.7% 28.4% 8.8% 22.3%

You can see in aggregate my 4 open tranches are up 15.7% versus Russell 3000 at 10.0%.  You can see the previous four tranches were up a very good 35.1%.  And you can see the series of all my tranches in right hand column: 15.7%, 35.1%, -0.9%, 21.2%, 24.3% and 34.0%.  That gives an annualized IRR (bottom right corner) of 22.3%.  Wish I had put 100% of my wealth in this back in 2012!

Here is a table (kind of like mutual funds do) that shows how a hypothetical $100,000 spread over the first four tranches and then lather, rinse repeat would have grown to:


 Date   Differential   MFI Value   R3K Value 
1/1/2013 -1.78%        102,798            104,575
4/1/2013 -0.43%        106,804            107,234
7/1/2013 4.29%        114,888            110,597
10/1/2013 19.67%        138,655            118,990
1/1/2014 26.63%        157,138            130,503
4/1/2014 30.38%        162,991            132,616
7/1/2014 39.23%        177,971            138,740
10/1/2014 29.38%        168,321            138,944
1/1/2015 28.17%        174,306            146,140
4/1/2015 29.95%        178,565            148,612
7/1/2015 62.69%        211,437            148,743
10/1/2015 43.12%        181,175            138,052
1/1/2016 63.33%        209,514            146,186
4/1/2016 47.34%        195,770            148,430
7/1/2016 50.41%        201,092            150,680
10/1/2016 42.98%        198,563            155,582
1/1/2017 45.60%        209,503            163,936
4/1/2017 55.70%        229,473            173,735
7/1/2017 60.28%        239,060            178,782
10/1/2017 75.60%        262,489            186,886
1/1/2018 92.19%        291,114            198,926
Current 104.99%        312,534            207,547

So in under 6 years the $100,000 has grown to 312,534.  The same $100,000 in R3K would be 207,547. Boom.

MFI Formula

While MFI Select allows me to have a very free hand in how I pick my MFI stocks, MFI Formula is very, errrrr, formulaic.  I actually wrote a post about it this week (upcoming April 1st MFI Formula tranche) so look in left margin at past posts and go read it to get a detailed example of how MFI Formula works.  Same tables now, less boom.


 Stock   Last Week   Current   Dividend   Change 
 GILD              78.69         80.72                       -   2.6%
 OMC              75.65         73.73                       -   -2.5%
 GME              15.93         15.85                       -   -0.5%
 SYNT              27.31         27.41                       -   0.4%
 CSCO              44.06         45.37                       -   3.0%
 HPQ              23.57         24.65                       -   4.6%
 AMGN            185.08       191.10                       -   3.3%
 HRB              24.69         27.69                       -   12.2%
 BKE              21.30         19.50                       -   -8.5%
 DIN              78.69         75.72                       -   -3.8%
 RGR              47.60         50.50                       -   6.1%

Nowhere close to as good a week.  HRB did have a very good earnings report, thus the pop.  BKE sold off, I suspect in sympathy to Toys R Us closing their doors - I think all retail was under duress.


4/1/2017  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 BKE  $18.45 $19.50 $2.75 20.6% 19.3%
 CSCO  $33.76 $45.37 $1.16 37.8% 19.3%
 GILD  $67.50 $80.72 $1.56 21.9% 19.3%
 OMC  $85.53 $73.73 $2.25 -11.2% 19.3%
 SYNT  $16.76 $27.41 $0.00 63.5% 19.3%
 Totals  26.5% 19.3%
7/1/2017  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 CSCO  $30.98 $45.37 $0.58 48.3% 15.9%
 GME  $20.95 $15.85 $1.14 -18.9% 15.9%
 HPQ  $17.60 $24.65 $0.27 41.6% 15.9%
 RGR  $60.70 $50.50 $0.44 -16.1% 15.9%
 SYNT  $16.21 $27.41 $0.00 69.1% 15.9%
 Totals  24.8% 15.9%
10/1/2017  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 DIN  $43.14 $75.72 $0.97 77.8% 11.0%
 GILD  $82.85 $80.72 $0.52 -1.9% 11.0%
 GME  $20.50 $15.85 $0.76 -19.0% 11.0%
 HPQ  $20.22 $24.65 $0.13 22.6% 11.0%
 OMC  $74.80 $73.73 $1.15 0.1% 11.0%
 Totals  15.9% 11.0%
1/2/2018  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 AMGN  $177.11 $191.10 $1.32 8.6% 3.8%
 GME  $18.06 $15.85 $0.38 -10.1% 3.8%
 GILD  $71.64 $80.72 $0.00 12.7% 3.8%
 HRB  $26.34 $27.69 $0.00 5.1% 3.8%
 OMC  $72.81 $73.73 $0.60 2.1% 3.8%
 Totals  3.7% 3.8%

While not the stomp fest we are seeing for MFI Select, this is also a very solid group of 4 tranches.  It is hard to beat the index.  There is no shame here and that is why I continue to put more $ into this approach.


 Category/Tranche   October   January   April   July   Total 
 Initial Investment      249,820        249,939     250,180      249,728         999,667
 Current Tranche  15.9% 3.7% 26.5% 24.8% 16.2%
 Previous Tranche  7.0% 16.5% 25.2% 26.7% 19.5%
 Tranche -2  5.5% 9.3% -0.2% -12.5% 0.5%
 Tranche -3  0.5% 11.0% 0.0% 0.0% 2.9%
 MFI Overall Gain  31.4% 46.5% 58.0% 38.4% 43.6%
 Current Balance      328,355        366,235     395,262      345,639      1,435,490
 R3K Current Tranche  11.0% 3.8% 19.3% 15.9% 12.5%
 R3K Overall Gain  48.9% 40.0% 39.3% 35.0% 40.8%
 R3K Balance      371,990        349,931     348,454      337,064      1,407,439
 Annualized IRR  8.3% 12.7% 16.8% 12.8% 12.6%

Annualized 12.6% isn't as good as select, but it is good enough to be ahead of benchmark.  And Value stocks appear to be coming back into favor.


 Date   Differential   Value   R3K Value 
10/1/2014 0.00%        100,000            100,000
1/1/2015 -0.33%        100,664            100,995
4/1/2015 5.09%        106,781            101,695
7/1/2015 4.82%        106,423            101,604
10/1/2015 6.39%        100,703              94,312
1/1/2016 -3.36%          96,830            100,012
4/1/2016 0.34%        102,371            101,548
7/1/2016 -0.19%        103,022            103,216
10/1/2016 -0.85%        106,377            107,230
1/1/2017 1.57%        113,406            111,832
4/1/2017 -1.86%        116,227            118,091
7/1/2017 -2.40%        119,144            121,545
10/1/2017 -2.56%        124,448            127,007
1/1/2018 -3.63%        131,460            135,086
Current 2.81%        143,549            140,743

I definitely gave back some ground this week.  But for those who read Greenblatt's book know it isn't necessarily a straight line to success.  Many one steps back and then two steps forward.  You certainly see that in differential column here.  Heck, sometimes 3 steps back and one leap forward.

Dividend Investing

Ok.  For those of you wanting to read about magic formula investing, c'est fini.  Now I will discuss my other two legs of my investing tricycle: Dividends and Misc.  My Dividend portfolio is my largest chunk of cash... 41% of total.  This is because I am retired and need/want a regular income stream.  

So this portfolio is not so much about increasing value of my portfolio as increasing income stream. I guess it is human nature to want portfolio to go up, as that generally implies healthy securities.  But I am reinvesting some of my dividends (like SBRA, OIBAX, NS and O), so cheaper prices may actually be good pour moi (yes, I took high school french).

I did see JQC reduced their dividend this week.  NS did so a few weeks earlier, so it is definitely (unfortunately) not always up.  I should note also that I have an array of securities here including mutual funds, closed end funds, preferred stocks, convertible-preferred stocks and stocks.  So I compare my results to an index of 50 income securities put out in Barron's article in December (I will list them as well).

I will say that I have been achieving my goal of increasing dividends.  Here is a chart showing projected dividend income by year - note the spikes in 2017 and 2018 as I retire and reallocate:


Indexed to assume $25000 in 2010

Pretty impressive, right?  Note this is indexed to $25,000 in 2010, amounts are for illustration for privacy.  I now expect this graph to taper off as I do not plan to be actively increasing allocation to income... but it should still grow if I am doing things right.  Also, this is ALL income, not just from my dividend portfolio.  So dividends from MFI Formula (for example) are in this graph.

Here are my dividend holdings.  While I am tempted (all the time) to sell some of these, I try to resist as I am trying for a mix across various security types.  It is hard as I suspect that a preferred stock, like RLJ, will lose value over a rising interest rate environment.  But I want to focus on income and diversity.  Not trying to get rich here (yes, always tempting), but just keep the lights on.  So I know/expect in rising rate environment for many of these securities to be challenged.


 Dividend Stocks  Start  Current   Divvy   Overall Pct Gain   Weekly Pct Gain   12/30/17 Price   Yield   2018 
 OIBAX      5.91         6.04      0.23 6.0% -0.2%           5.96 3.9% 1.3%
 TK      7.43         8.36      0.08 13.5% 6.1%           9.32 2.6% -10.3%
 KCLI    48.89       44.25      0.60 -8.3% 0.6%        45.25 2.4% -2.2%
 KNOP    21.30       20.10      0.52 -3.2% 0.5%        20.75 10.3% -3.1%
 GLOP-PB    25.36       25.19           -   -0.7% -0.2%        25.36 8.1% -0.7%
 CPLP      3.53         3.19      0.16 -5.3% 1.3%           3.36 10.0% -5.1%
 TGP    18.28       18.85      0.14 3.9% 1.1%        20.15 3.0% -6.5%
 NS    37.37       20.22      1.83 -41.0% -2.8%        29.95 11.9% -32.5%
 LADR    13.01       15.23      0.93 24.3% 1.5%        13.63 8.3% 11.7%
 JQC      8.18         8.06      0.72 7.3% 0.6%           8.22 6.1% -1.9%
 PSXP    47.39       50.80      1.71 10.8% 3.4%        52.35 5.3% -3.0%
 FDEU    18.40       18.45      1.06 6.0% 2.4%        18.83 7.9% -2.0%
 ISBC    13.25       14.34      0.24 10.1% 3.2%        13.88 2.5% 3.3%
 EVG    14.46       13.67      0.48 -2.1% 0.6%        14.35 6.7% -4.7%
 RILY    15.58       19.15      0.21 24.3% 0.5%        18.10 3.3% 5.8%
 RLJ-PA    28.45       25.74      0.98 -6.1% -0.9%        27.01 7.6% -4.7%
 NRZ    16.56       16.84      1.17 8.7% 2.9%        17.88 11.9% -5.8%
 SBRA    22.15       18.07      0.62 -15.6% 5.7%        18.77 10.0% -3.7%
 DSL    19.47       19.93      2.14 13.4% 1.1%        20.19 9.0% -1.3%
 OCSI      8.68         7.88      0.38 -4.8% 2.1%           8.40 9.6% -6.2%
 TGONF    11.04       13.00      1.96 35.6% -1.5%        13.30 5.5% -2.3%
 AMID    13.25       11.95      0.41 -6.7% 2.1%        13.35 13.8% -10.5%
 TOO      2.33         2.53      0.01 8.8% 0.0%           2.36 1.6% 7.2%
 O    25.82       50.87    21.40 179.9% 2.3%        57.02 5.2% -10.8%
 Totals  3.2% 1.6% 6.3% -1.4%

Looking at some individual names here (they are essentially in descending order of value).

KCLI - bit frustrating here.  Lightly traded life insurer trading at like 60% of book value.  Will require patience as not sure what catalyst will be.

GLOP-PB - really like this preferred (actually very tempted to sell RLJ preferred and go all in on GLOP).  It has a floating feature where after 5 years the yield varies with LIBOR.  So it is kind of inflation-sensitive.

TGP - this has a low yield right now (just 3%), but the stock has tremendous earnings visibility (new  ships already chartered), so income (and dividends) should start ramping up in next 12 months.

NS - super frustrating as they have/are merging with general partner, NSH and have slashed dividend. This seems to be a trend in MLP space and is an overhang.  I feel like the medicine has been taken here, so I don't see any more significant downside.

ISBC - largest of my regional bank holdings. not sexy, but should be steady.  I expect tax reform and higher yields to really help this space, so it is a big play for me.  I also expect some consolidation.

RILY - this may be the one I am most tempted to sell.  I have had a good run, but it is not a big dividend stock and upside appreciation seems limited.  I may move to AXS (a p/c insurer). But I want AXS to pull back a bit.  And I only want to make material changes on the quarters. Also, I'd like to wait until RILY gains are LT CG.

TGONF - kind of like KCLI, a sleepy European fund trading way under NAV.  Every now and then they have a tender offer to reduce share count and increase NAV even further.

Here is dividend index:


 Ticker  12/30/2017  Current   Dividend   YTD Change   Weekly Change   Yield 
 AMLP                10.79          10.21               0.21 -3.5% 0.6%         8.25%
 NML                  9.38             8.56               0.11 -7.6% -0.3% 7.71%
 EPD                26.51          25.84               0.42 -0.9% 2.9% 6.51%
 ETP                17.92          17.79               0.57 2.4% -1.1% 12.45%
 FDD                13.73          13.98                    -   1.8% 1.1% 2.73%
 VGK                59.15          59.47                    -   0.5% 2.4% 2.69%
 DDAIF                84.57          83.59                    -   -1.2% -0.4% 4.15%
 NVS                83.96          82.76               2.75 1.8% -0.3% 3.60%
 NOBL                64.04          64.83                    -   1.2% 3.6% 1.72%
 VYM                85.63          86.89                    -   1.5% 3.0% 2.76%
 MRK                56.27          55.14                    -   -2.0% 1.4% 3.42%
 PEP              119.92        112.54               0.81 -5.5% 3.2% 2.87%
 VNQ                82.98          75.58                    -   -8.9% 3.0% 4.65%
 RQI                12.65          11.64               0.16 -6.7% 2.9% 3.35%
 TCO                65.43          57.20                    -   -12.6% -4.5% 4.37%
 SLG              100.93          99.61                    -   -1.3% 1.8% 3.15%
 T                38.88          37.05               0.49 -3.4% 1.9% 5.32%
 VZ                52.93          49.01               0.56 -6.3% 1.6% 4.75%
 CHL                50.54          46.35                    -   -8.3% 0.1% 3.98%
 DTEGY                17.66          16.25                    -   -8.0% 1.7% 4.21%
 DSU                11.70          11.61               0.14 0.4% 1.3% 2.95%
 HIO                  5.07             4.92               0.06 -1.8% 0.8% 3.44%
 MUB              110.74        108.33               0.63 -1.6% 0.0% 2.29%
 PRHYX                  6.76             6.65               0.06 -0.7% 0.2% 5.40%
 NEA                13.75          13.00               0.12 -4.6% 0.2% 5.56%
 JNK                36.72          36.09               0.50 -0.4% 0.3% 5.62%
 VWITX                14.13          13.87               0.09 -1.2% -0.1% 0.00%
 PHMIX                  9.09             8.95               0.10 -0.5% -0.2% 2.80%
 UTG                30.94          28.22               0.32 -7.8% 1.1% 4.20%
 XLU                52.65          49.39                    -   -6.2% 0.9% 3.55%
 DUK                84.11          76.13               0.89 -8.4% 1.0% 4.63%
 EIX                63.24          59.38                    -   -6.1% -0.4% 3.76%
 PFF                38.07          37.56               0.54 0.1% 0.8% 5.62%
 JPC                10.34             9.91               0.13 -2.9% 1.4% 3.29%
 WFC-PL          1,309.99    1,289.76                    -   -1.5% 1.3% 5.80%
 TIP              114.08        112.01               0.63 -1.3% -0.1% 2.33%
 SHY                83.85          83.39               0.24 -0.3% 0.0% 1.07%
 TLT              126.86        117.91               0.77 -6.5% -0.4% 2.62%
 Totals                       -                    -                      -   -3.1% 0.9% 4.15%


Down 3.1% on the year.  This is a challenging group.  Warren Buffett (I am sure) would say why would you even consider these?  TCO was telling of retail selloff this week as they own malls.  You can see pressure utilities are under (like DUK) and ever "safe" treasuries (TLT).  I do really like tracking this index as it really gives some macro views.  I will restate that the dividend column is estimated... I am too lazy to update 50 dividends a week for this index.

Then I also own a tranche of small banks (bought at start of December)... generally smaller that the ISBC above but for the same reasons:


 Bank   Start   Current   Dividends   Change   2018 Change   Yield 
 ACBI          16.99          18.10                 -   6.5% 2.8% 0.0%
 ASB          25.69          26.50            0.15 3.8% 4.3% 2.4%
 FBIZ          23.69          24.84            0.14 5.5% 12.3% 2.3%
 FULT          18.81          19.45            0.11 4.0% 8.7% 2.3%
 FNB          14.47          14.76            0.12 2.8% 6.8% 3.3%
 MSBI          32.96          32.49            0.22 -0.7% 0.0% 3.0%
 NRIM          37.47          35.65            0.45 -3.6% 5.3% 2.7%
 PACW          48.30          54.12            0.50 13.1% 7.4% 3.7%
 SONA          17.13          16.33            0.08 -4.2% 1.9% 2.0%
 WNEB          10.88          10.65            0.04 -1.7% -2.3% 1.6%
 Total  2.5% 4.7% 2.3%

After after a slow start, they are up 4.7% this year.  Nothing magical about these names, I wanted a basket as I have no way of knowing which are "better" in this space.

Miscellaneous

Hey, finally a good week here.  Up 5%.  Hopefully more to follow.  It might have been great except for crappy earnings by GCAP this week.  That was not a smart buy by me.  I bought as a pick-axe play of Crypto, but that is clearly not playing out as reading their transcript illuminated.  I started to sell some this week, but still have more to sell.

But EXXI, SELB and FUNC were all up over 10%.  FUNC is another small bank (very small in fact) that announced they are reinstating their dividend. Woo-hoo!  Oh even OMER was up 13%.  Just another 70% and I am there!

When I finish selling GCAP. I am not sure what I will do: (1) keep the cash, (2) move to add dividend stocks like AXS or add to a Misc position.  You'll have to stay tuned to find out.

Finally, my miners are also part of Misc.  They continue to struggle though I did read a bullish article by Macrotourist that gives gold a glimmer (get it) of hope.

I think that is it (c'est tout). Love that HS French.  Thanks for reading.


 Miner   Start   Current   Change   2018 Change 
 TORXF            9.90             7.12 -28.1% -25.1%
 SAND            4.48             4.62 3.1% -7.4%
 NSU            2.38             2.35 -1.3% -3.7%
 KLDX            2.41             1.41 -41.5% -46.0%
 KL          14.49          15.57 7.5% 1.4%
 GSS            0.87             0.66 -24.2% -26.2%
 FSM            4.24             4.71 11.1% -9.8%
 EXK            2.14             2.46 15.0% 2.9%
 BTG            2.61             2.90 11.1% -6.5%
 EGO            1.18             1.11 -5.9% -22.4%
 Total  -5.3% -14.3%

1 comment:

Marsh_Gerda said...

Really good article on KNOP in SA today. I encourage people looking for a 10% yield that seems pretty well covered in an industry that is growing with relatively few competitors to read.

A 10% Yield On Qualified Dividends, With Strong Coverage, Record Earnings, And No K-1