Wow, what an end to the week. Would have been a bad day to be short. I saw a number of people on Tuesday night, when Cohn announced his resignation were predicting doom and gloom.
Welcome to the almost world-famous MFI Diary. This is a diary I have been maintaining since February 2006 (damn, that is a long time) tracking my "adventures" in investing real money in the methods discussed in "The Little Book That Beats The Markets". I also spend some time discussing my MFI (Magic Formula Investing) Index and various MFI tracking portfolios that I have created over time.
And as a free bonus, I also discuss how my non-MFI investments are doing (generally poorly) in 2nd half of my blog.
I did create a guide recently for new readers to my blog that point you to some key/interesting posts (ar as Artie Johnson used tosay, for the old timers out there, Very interesting). I encourage you to give it a whirl Guide To New Readers). (PS - I continue to struggle to make this link work. You can instead go to Blog archive on left margin of this blog and you will find a link in October 2017). Of course, I have to have a disclaimer - I am just a guy with a spreadsheet and not a stock advisor. You should do your own due diligence before acting on anything you read here.
Onwards.
Last Week
One of my best weeks in quite a while. But it wasn't just me. The Russell 3000 zoomed up an astounding 3.6 percentage points. Earnings continue to be strong. Employment is strong. Perhaps North Korea tensions may de-escalate. Lower tax rates should really start kicking in for businesses and individuals. I guess higher interest rates are the main worry.
Here is a great interview I read in Barron's. Ed Yardeni is a person I read regularly and is my canary in the coal mine regarding a market sell-off (and I am planning to get his book). [Ed Yardeni: Why Stocks Will Keep On Cooking].
Here is table of my performance last week and YTD.
Component | YTD | Week Change |
Overall | +0.7% | +2.9% |
MFI Select | +6.5% | +4.3% |
MFI Formula | +7.7% | +1.3% |
MFI Combined | +7.0% | +2.8% |
Miscellaneous | -5.6% | +5.1% |
Dividend | -1.4% | +1.8% |
Dividend Index | -3.1% | +0.8% |
R3K Index | +4.4% | +3.6% |
Blended Index | +1.3% | +2.5% |
MFI Index | +12.4% | +3.5% |
GARIX | +2.8% | +2.5% |
So I was up 2.9% for the week, which bested the blended index of 2.5%. I am now back in the black for 2018, which admittedly does feel good. My Misc portfolio finally outperformed a bit, up 5.1%. It still has a ways to go. The MFI Index was also stellar, up 3.5%. Woo-hoo!
MFI Select
As my 50 readers know, I have two portfolios of MFI stocks with real money. Select and Formula. I also track MFI through MFI Index, but that is hypothetical. And of course any investor will tell you that where the rubber meets the road is when you have real $ on the table.
I started MFI Select in August 2012. I had quit MFI for about a year and had studies why it had not worked well for me. My analysis showed that there is a great deal of variance (statistical term) between MFI stocks on the official list. I dug in to try and find some common characteristics between the "value traps" or "stinkers" on the official list. A lot of them tended to be biotechs. A disproportionate number were smaller cap stocks.
It isn't rocket science if you have read Greenblatt's book. If you really look at what he is assuming, it is that past income is a good predictor for future income (trailing 12 month income is a key number in both earnings yield and return on capital). So before buying an MFI stock, one should ask oneself, what is probability of past income recurring? For some of the real stinker stocks (think biotech), their income was some one-time royalty payment and that is often not recurring.
My MFI Select is 4 tranches of 5 stocks apiece. I buy and hold the individual stocks for a year. I then reinvest the proceeds into a new tranche (lather, rinse, repeat). At the anniversary dates, I do often add more money (this year I am increasing stakes by about 30%). Enough blabbering. Here are the stocks and how they did during this rocket week:
Stock | Last Week | Current | Dividend | Change |
MSGN | 24.25 | 25.30 | - | 4.3% |
SIMO | 45.72 | 47.28 | - | 3.4% |
VIAB | 34.09 | 32.72 | - | -4.0% |
CASA | 21.95 | 26.90 | - | 22.6% |
KLAC | 113.01 | 121.15 | - | 7.2% |
THO | 120.45 | 126.95 | - | 5.4% |
AGX | 40.40 | 42.75 | - | 5.8% |
WDC | 88.25 | 99.55 | - | 12.8% |
EVC | 6.50 | 6.45 | - | -0.8% |
ICHR | 25.30 | 28.99 | - | 14.6% |
CELG | 89.33 | 92.56 | - | 3.6% |
RHI | 57.98 | 60.51 | - | 4.4% |
MD | 54.87 | 57.58 | - | 4.9% |
QCOM | 64.74 | 63.03 | - | -2.6% |
GHC | 575.90 | 599.80 | - | 4.2% |
TGNA | 22.81 | 22.80 | - | 0.0% |
CASA had earning during the week. I have to admit I was a bit underwhelmed with them, but market was very excited. MD is being rumoured to be going through first round of a sales process. THO also had earnings. Market seemed to struggle with whether they were good or bad, but eventually gave thumbs up. And WDC was upgraded.
Here are my four tranches:
5/6/2017 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
WSTC | $24.15 | $23.50 | $0.00 | -2.7% | 17.4% |
TGNA | $25.75 | $22.80 | $0.28 | -10.4% | 17.4% |
TIME | $15.05 | $18.50 | $0.08 | 23.5% | 17.4% |
MSGN | $23.55 | $25.30 | $0.00 | 7.4% | 17.4% |
QCOM | $54.93 | $63.03 | $2.28 | 18.9% | 17.4% |
Totals | 7.3% | 17.4% | |||
8/15/2017 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
GHC | $591.10 | $599.80 | $2.54 | 1.9% | 14.3% |
ICHR | $19.80 | $28.99 | $0.00 | 46.4% | 14.3% |
MD | $43.00 | $57.58 | $0.00 | 33.9% | 14.3% |
SIMO | $43.05 | $47.28 | $0.60 | 11.2% | 14.3% |
RHI | $44.15 | $60.51 | $0.76 | 38.8% | 14.3% |
Totals | 26.4% | 14.3% | |||
11/15/2017 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
MSGN | $16.67 | $25.30 | $0.00 | 51.8% | 9.0% |
CELG | $100.60 | $92.56 | $0.00 | -8.0% | 9.0% |
EVC | $5.78 | $6.45 | $0.05 | 12.5% | 9.0% |
SIMO | $46.88 | $47.28 | $0.30 | 1.5% | 9.0% |
VIAB | $24.41 | $32.72 | $0.20 | 34.9% | 9.0% |
Totals | 18.5% | 9.0% | |||
2/1/2018 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
AGX | $43.55 | $42.75 | $0.00 | -1.8% | -0.7% |
CASA | $18.81 | $26.90 | $0.00 | 43.0% | -0.7% |
KLAC | $109.80 | $121.15 | $0.59 | 10.9% | -0.7% |
THO | $136.33 | $126.95 | $0.00 | -6.9% | -0.7% |
WDC | $87.74 | $99.55 | $0.00 | 13.5% | -0.7% |
Totals | 11.7% | -0.7% |
Hey, pretty good right? If I were a hedge fund and just using this approach, I'd be living well. Clock is ticking on the May tranche and two of its stocks (TIME and WSTC) are no longer in existence. February is off the a great start, obviously with a large assist from CASA at 43%.
Here is table showing results back to August 2012:
Category/Tranche | August | November | February | May | Total |
Initial Investment | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 25,000 | 100,000 |
Current Tranche | 26.4% | 18.5% | 11.7% | 7.3% | 15.7% |
Previous Tranche | -0.1% | 42.6% | 74.9% | 19.1% | 35.1% |
Tranche -2 | 2.8% | 8.0% | 10.7% | -25.2% | -0.9% |
Tranche -3 | 11.2% | 69.4% | -14.3% | 18.3% | 21.2% |
Tranche -4 | 41.4% | 14.2% | 8.5% | 33.0% | 24.3% |
Tranche -5 | 14.1% | 43.7% | 78.3% | 0.0% | 34.0% |
MFI Overall Gain | 133.1% | 408.0% | 258.7% | 50.4% | 212.5% |
Current Balance | 58,264 | 127,012 | 89,663 | 37,596 | 312,534 |
R3K Current Tranche | 14.3% | 9.0% | -0.7% | 17.4% | 10.0% |
R3K Overall Gain | 119.0% | 123.5% | 100.4% | 87.4% | 107.5% |
R3K Balance | 54,746 | 55,864 | 50,093 | 46,843 | 207,547 |
Annualized IRR | 16.4% | 35.7% | 28.4% | 8.8% | 22.3% |
You can see in aggregate my 4 open tranches are up 15.7% versus Russell 3000 at 10.0%. You can see the previous four tranches were up a very good 35.1%. And you can see the series of all my tranches in right hand column: 15.7%, 35.1%, -0.9%, 21.2%, 24.3% and 34.0%. That gives an annualized IRR (bottom right corner) of 22.3%. Wish I had put 100% of my wealth in this back in 2012!
Here is a table (kind of like mutual funds do) that shows how a hypothetical $100,000 spread over the first four tranches and then lather, rinse repeat would have grown to:
Date | Differential | MFI Value | R3K Value |
1/1/2013 | -1.78% | 102,798 | 104,575 |
4/1/2013 | -0.43% | 106,804 | 107,234 |
7/1/2013 | 4.29% | 114,888 | 110,597 |
10/1/2013 | 19.67% | 138,655 | 118,990 |
1/1/2014 | 26.63% | 157,138 | 130,503 |
4/1/2014 | 30.38% | 162,991 | 132,616 |
7/1/2014 | 39.23% | 177,971 | 138,740 |
10/1/2014 | 29.38% | 168,321 | 138,944 |
1/1/2015 | 28.17% | 174,306 | 146,140 |
4/1/2015 | 29.95% | 178,565 | 148,612 |
7/1/2015 | 62.69% | 211,437 | 148,743 |
10/1/2015 | 43.12% | 181,175 | 138,052 |
1/1/2016 | 63.33% | 209,514 | 146,186 |
4/1/2016 | 47.34% | 195,770 | 148,430 |
7/1/2016 | 50.41% | 201,092 | 150,680 |
10/1/2016 | 42.98% | 198,563 | 155,582 |
1/1/2017 | 45.60% | 209,503 | 163,936 |
4/1/2017 | 55.70% | 229,473 | 173,735 |
7/1/2017 | 60.28% | 239,060 | 178,782 |
10/1/2017 | 75.60% | 262,489 | 186,886 |
1/1/2018 | 92.19% | 291,114 | 198,926 |
Current | 104.99% | 312,534 | 207,547 |
So in under 6 years the $100,000 has grown to 312,534. The same $100,000 in R3K would be 207,547. Boom.
MFI Formula
While MFI Select allows me to have a very free hand in how I pick my MFI stocks, MFI Formula is very, errrrr, formulaic. I actually wrote a post about it this week (upcoming April 1st MFI Formula tranche) so look in left margin at past posts and go read it to get a detailed example of how MFI Formula works. Same tables now, less boom.
Stock | Last Week | Current | Dividend | Change |
GILD | 78.69 | 80.72 | - | 2.6% |
OMC | 75.65 | 73.73 | - | -2.5% |
GME | 15.93 | 15.85 | - | -0.5% |
SYNT | 27.31 | 27.41 | - | 0.4% |
CSCO | 44.06 | 45.37 | - | 3.0% |
HPQ | 23.57 | 24.65 | - | 4.6% |
AMGN | 185.08 | 191.10 | - | 3.3% |
HRB | 24.69 | 27.69 | - | 12.2% |
BKE | 21.30 | 19.50 | - | -8.5% |
DIN | 78.69 | 75.72 | - | -3.8% |
RGR | 47.60 | 50.50 | - | 6.1% |
Nowhere close to as good a week. HRB did have a very good earnings report, thus the pop. BKE sold off, I suspect in sympathy to Toys R Us closing their doors - I think all retail was under duress.
4/1/2017 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
BKE | $18.45 | $19.50 | $2.75 | 20.6% | 19.3% |
CSCO | $33.76 | $45.37 | $1.16 | 37.8% | 19.3% |
GILD | $67.50 | $80.72 | $1.56 | 21.9% | 19.3% |
OMC | $85.53 | $73.73 | $2.25 | -11.2% | 19.3% |
SYNT | $16.76 | $27.41 | $0.00 | 63.5% | 19.3% |
Totals | 26.5% | 19.3% | |||
7/1/2017 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
CSCO | $30.98 | $45.37 | $0.58 | 48.3% | 15.9% |
GME | $20.95 | $15.85 | $1.14 | -18.9% | 15.9% |
HPQ | $17.60 | $24.65 | $0.27 | 41.6% | 15.9% |
RGR | $60.70 | $50.50 | $0.44 | -16.1% | 15.9% |
SYNT | $16.21 | $27.41 | $0.00 | 69.1% | 15.9% |
Totals | 24.8% | 15.9% | |||
10/1/2017 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
DIN | $43.14 | $75.72 | $0.97 | 77.8% | 11.0% |
GILD | $82.85 | $80.72 | $0.52 | -1.9% | 11.0% |
GME | $20.50 | $15.85 | $0.76 | -19.0% | 11.0% |
HPQ | $20.22 | $24.65 | $0.13 | 22.6% | 11.0% |
OMC | $74.80 | $73.73 | $1.15 | 0.1% | 11.0% |
Totals | 15.9% | 11.0% | |||
1/2/2018 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
AMGN | $177.11 | $191.10 | $1.32 | 8.6% | 3.8% |
GME | $18.06 | $15.85 | $0.38 | -10.1% | 3.8% |
GILD | $71.64 | $80.72 | $0.00 | 12.7% | 3.8% |
HRB | $26.34 | $27.69 | $0.00 | 5.1% | 3.8% |
OMC | $72.81 | $73.73 | $0.60 | 2.1% | 3.8% |
Totals | 3.7% | 3.8% |
While not the stomp fest we are seeing for MFI Select, this is also a very solid group of 4 tranches. It is hard to beat the index. There is no shame here and that is why I continue to put more $ into this approach.
Category/Tranche | October | January | April | July | Total |
Initial Investment | 249,820 | 249,939 | 250,180 | 249,728 | 999,667 |
Current Tranche | 15.9% | 3.7% | 26.5% | 24.8% | 16.2% |
Previous Tranche | 7.0% | 16.5% | 25.2% | 26.7% | 19.5% |
Tranche -2 | 5.5% | 9.3% | -0.2% | -12.5% | 0.5% |
Tranche -3 | 0.5% | 11.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 2.9% |
MFI Overall Gain | 31.4% | 46.5% | 58.0% | 38.4% | 43.6% |
Current Balance | 328,355 | 366,235 | 395,262 | 345,639 | 1,435,490 |
R3K Current Tranche | 11.0% | 3.8% | 19.3% | 15.9% | 12.5% |
R3K Overall Gain | 48.9% | 40.0% | 39.3% | 35.0% | 40.8% |
R3K Balance | 371,990 | 349,931 | 348,454 | 337,064 | 1,407,439 |
Annualized IRR | 8.3% | 12.7% | 16.8% | 12.8% | 12.6% |
Annualized 12.6% isn't as good as select, but it is good enough to be ahead of benchmark. And Value stocks appear to be coming back into favor.
Date | Differential | Value | R3K Value |
10/1/2014 | 0.00% | 100,000 | 100,000 |
1/1/2015 | -0.33% | 100,664 | 100,995 |
4/1/2015 | 5.09% | 106,781 | 101,695 |
7/1/2015 | 4.82% | 106,423 | 101,604 |
10/1/2015 | 6.39% | 100,703 | 94,312 |
1/1/2016 | -3.36% | 96,830 | 100,012 |
4/1/2016 | 0.34% | 102,371 | 101,548 |
7/1/2016 | -0.19% | 103,022 | 103,216 |
10/1/2016 | -0.85% | 106,377 | 107,230 |
1/1/2017 | 1.57% | 113,406 | 111,832 |
4/1/2017 | -1.86% | 116,227 | 118,091 |
7/1/2017 | -2.40% | 119,144 | 121,545 |
10/1/2017 | -2.56% | 124,448 | 127,007 |
1/1/2018 | -3.63% | 131,460 | 135,086 |
Current | 2.81% | 143,549 | 140,743 |
I definitely gave back some ground this week. But for those who read Greenblatt's book know it isn't necessarily a straight line to success. Many one steps back and then two steps forward. You certainly see that in differential column here. Heck, sometimes 3 steps back and one leap forward.
Dividend Investing
Ok. For those of you wanting to read about magic formula investing, c'est fini. Now I will discuss my other two legs of my investing tricycle: Dividends and Misc. My Dividend portfolio is my largest chunk of cash... 41% of total. This is because I am retired and need/want a regular income stream.
So this portfolio is not so much about increasing value of my portfolio as increasing income stream. I guess it is human nature to want portfolio to go up, as that generally implies healthy securities. But I am reinvesting some of my dividends (like SBRA, OIBAX, NS and O), so cheaper prices may actually be good pour moi (yes, I took high school french).
I did see JQC reduced their dividend this week. NS did so a few weeks earlier, so it is definitely (unfortunately) not always up. I should note also that I have an array of securities here including mutual funds, closed end funds, preferred stocks, convertible-preferred stocks and stocks. So I compare my results to an index of 50 income securities put out in Barron's article in December (I will list them as well).
I will say that I have been achieving my goal of increasing dividends. Here is a chart showing projected dividend income by year - note the spikes in 2017 and 2018 as I retire and reallocate:
Indexed to assume $25000 in 2010 |
Pretty impressive, right? Note this is indexed to $25,000 in 2010, amounts are for illustration for privacy. I now expect this graph to taper off as I do not plan to be actively increasing allocation to income... but it should still grow if I am doing things right. Also, this is ALL income, not just from my dividend portfolio. So dividends from MFI Formula (for example) are in this graph.
Here are my dividend holdings. While I am tempted (all the time) to sell some of these, I try to resist as I am trying for a mix across various security types. It is hard as I suspect that a preferred stock, like RLJ, will lose value over a rising interest rate environment. But I want to focus on income and diversity. Not trying to get rich here (yes, always tempting), but just keep the lights on. So I know/expect in rising rate environment for many of these securities to be challenged.
Dividend Stocks | Start | Current | Divvy | Overall Pct Gain | Weekly Pct Gain | 12/30/17 Price | Yield | 2018 |
OIBAX | 5.91 | 6.04 | 0.23 | 6.0% | -0.2% | 5.96 | 3.9% | 1.3% |
TK | 7.43 | 8.36 | 0.08 | 13.5% | 6.1% | 9.32 | 2.6% | -10.3% |
KCLI | 48.89 | 44.25 | 0.60 | -8.3% | 0.6% | 45.25 | 2.4% | -2.2% |
KNOP | 21.30 | 20.10 | 0.52 | -3.2% | 0.5% | 20.75 | 10.3% | -3.1% |
GLOP-PB | 25.36 | 25.19 | - | -0.7% | -0.2% | 25.36 | 8.1% | -0.7% |
CPLP | 3.53 | 3.19 | 0.16 | -5.3% | 1.3% | 3.36 | 10.0% | -5.1% |
TGP | 18.28 | 18.85 | 0.14 | 3.9% | 1.1% | 20.15 | 3.0% | -6.5% |
NS | 37.37 | 20.22 | 1.83 | -41.0% | -2.8% | 29.95 | 11.9% | -32.5% |
LADR | 13.01 | 15.23 | 0.93 | 24.3% | 1.5% | 13.63 | 8.3% | 11.7% |
JQC | 8.18 | 8.06 | 0.72 | 7.3% | 0.6% | 8.22 | 6.1% | -1.9% |
PSXP | 47.39 | 50.80 | 1.71 | 10.8% | 3.4% | 52.35 | 5.3% | -3.0% |
FDEU | 18.40 | 18.45 | 1.06 | 6.0% | 2.4% | 18.83 | 7.9% | -2.0% |
ISBC | 13.25 | 14.34 | 0.24 | 10.1% | 3.2% | 13.88 | 2.5% | 3.3% |
EVG | 14.46 | 13.67 | 0.48 | -2.1% | 0.6% | 14.35 | 6.7% | -4.7% |
RILY | 15.58 | 19.15 | 0.21 | 24.3% | 0.5% | 18.10 | 3.3% | 5.8% |
RLJ-PA | 28.45 | 25.74 | 0.98 | -6.1% | -0.9% | 27.01 | 7.6% | -4.7% |
NRZ | 16.56 | 16.84 | 1.17 | 8.7% | 2.9% | 17.88 | 11.9% | -5.8% |
SBRA | 22.15 | 18.07 | 0.62 | -15.6% | 5.7% | 18.77 | 10.0% | -3.7% |
DSL | 19.47 | 19.93 | 2.14 | 13.4% | 1.1% | 20.19 | 9.0% | -1.3% |
OCSI | 8.68 | 7.88 | 0.38 | -4.8% | 2.1% | 8.40 | 9.6% | -6.2% |
TGONF | 11.04 | 13.00 | 1.96 | 35.6% | -1.5% | 13.30 | 5.5% | -2.3% |
AMID | 13.25 | 11.95 | 0.41 | -6.7% | 2.1% | 13.35 | 13.8% | -10.5% |
TOO | 2.33 | 2.53 | 0.01 | 8.8% | 0.0% | 2.36 | 1.6% | 7.2% |
O | 25.82 | 50.87 | 21.40 | 179.9% | 2.3% | 57.02 | 5.2% | -10.8% |
Totals | 3.2% | 1.6% | 6.3% | -1.4% |
Looking at some individual names here (they are essentially in descending order of value).
KCLI - bit frustrating here. Lightly traded life insurer trading at like 60% of book value. Will require patience as not sure what catalyst will be.
GLOP-PB - really like this preferred (actually very tempted to sell RLJ preferred and go all in on GLOP). It has a floating feature where after 5 years the yield varies with LIBOR. So it is kind of inflation-sensitive.
TGP - this has a low yield right now (just 3%), but the stock has tremendous earnings visibility (new ships already chartered), so income (and dividends) should start ramping up in next 12 months.
NS - super frustrating as they have/are merging with general partner, NSH and have slashed dividend. This seems to be a trend in MLP space and is an overhang. I feel like the medicine has been taken here, so I don't see any more significant downside.
ISBC - largest of my regional bank holdings. not sexy, but should be steady. I expect tax reform and higher yields to really help this space, so it is a big play for me. I also expect some consolidation.
RILY - this may be the one I am most tempted to sell. I have had a good run, but it is not a big dividend stock and upside appreciation seems limited. I may move to AXS (a p/c insurer). But I want AXS to pull back a bit. And I only want to make material changes on the quarters. Also, I'd like to wait until RILY gains are LT CG.
TGONF - kind of like KCLI, a sleepy European fund trading way under NAV. Every now and then they have a tender offer to reduce share count and increase NAV even further.
Here is dividend index:
Ticker | 12/30/2017 | Current | Dividend | YTD Change | Weekly Change | Yield |
AMLP | 10.79 | 10.21 | 0.21 | -3.5% | 0.6% | 8.25% |
NML | 9.38 | 8.56 | 0.11 | -7.6% | -0.3% | 7.71% |
EPD | 26.51 | 25.84 | 0.42 | -0.9% | 2.9% | 6.51% |
ETP | 17.92 | 17.79 | 0.57 | 2.4% | -1.1% | 12.45% |
FDD | 13.73 | 13.98 | - | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.73% |
VGK | 59.15 | 59.47 | - | 0.5% | 2.4% | 2.69% |
DDAIF | 84.57 | 83.59 | - | -1.2% | -0.4% | 4.15% |
NVS | 83.96 | 82.76 | 2.75 | 1.8% | -0.3% | 3.60% |
NOBL | 64.04 | 64.83 | - | 1.2% | 3.6% | 1.72% |
VYM | 85.63 | 86.89 | - | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.76% |
MRK | 56.27 | 55.14 | - | -2.0% | 1.4% | 3.42% |
PEP | 119.92 | 112.54 | 0.81 | -5.5% | 3.2% | 2.87% |
VNQ | 82.98 | 75.58 | - | -8.9% | 3.0% | 4.65% |
RQI | 12.65 | 11.64 | 0.16 | -6.7% | 2.9% | 3.35% |
TCO | 65.43 | 57.20 | - | -12.6% | -4.5% | 4.37% |
SLG | 100.93 | 99.61 | - | -1.3% | 1.8% | 3.15% |
T | 38.88 | 37.05 | 0.49 | -3.4% | 1.9% | 5.32% |
VZ | 52.93 | 49.01 | 0.56 | -6.3% | 1.6% | 4.75% |
CHL | 50.54 | 46.35 | - | -8.3% | 0.1% | 3.98% |
DTEGY | 17.66 | 16.25 | - | -8.0% | 1.7% | 4.21% |
DSU | 11.70 | 11.61 | 0.14 | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.95% |
HIO | 5.07 | 4.92 | 0.06 | -1.8% | 0.8% | 3.44% |
MUB | 110.74 | 108.33 | 0.63 | -1.6% | 0.0% | 2.29% |
PRHYX | 6.76 | 6.65 | 0.06 | -0.7% | 0.2% | 5.40% |
NEA | 13.75 | 13.00 | 0.12 | -4.6% | 0.2% | 5.56% |
JNK | 36.72 | 36.09 | 0.50 | -0.4% | 0.3% | 5.62% |
VWITX | 14.13 | 13.87 | 0.09 | -1.2% | -0.1% | 0.00% |
PHMIX | 9.09 | 8.95 | 0.10 | -0.5% | -0.2% | 2.80% |
UTG | 30.94 | 28.22 | 0.32 | -7.8% | 1.1% | 4.20% |
XLU | 52.65 | 49.39 | - | -6.2% | 0.9% | 3.55% |
DUK | 84.11 | 76.13 | 0.89 | -8.4% | 1.0% | 4.63% |
EIX | 63.24 | 59.38 | - | -6.1% | -0.4% | 3.76% |
PFF | 38.07 | 37.56 | 0.54 | 0.1% | 0.8% | 5.62% |
JPC | 10.34 | 9.91 | 0.13 | -2.9% | 1.4% | 3.29% |
WFC-PL | 1,309.99 | 1,289.76 | - | -1.5% | 1.3% | 5.80% |
TIP | 114.08 | 112.01 | 0.63 | -1.3% | -0.1% | 2.33% |
SHY | 83.85 | 83.39 | 0.24 | -0.3% | 0.0% | 1.07% |
TLT | 126.86 | 117.91 | 0.77 | -6.5% | -0.4% | 2.62% |
Totals | - | - | - | -3.1% | 0.9% | 4.15% |
Down 3.1% on the year. This is a challenging group. Warren Buffett (I am sure) would say why would you even consider these? TCO was telling of retail selloff this week as they own malls. You can see pressure utilities are under (like DUK) and ever "safe" treasuries (TLT). I do really like tracking this index as it really gives some macro views. I will restate that the dividend column is estimated... I am too lazy to update 50 dividends a week for this index.
Then I also own a tranche of small banks (bought at start of December)... generally smaller that the ISBC above but for the same reasons:
Bank | Start | Current | Dividends | Change | 2018 Change | Yield |
ACBI | 16.99 | 18.10 | - | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
ASB | 25.69 | 26.50 | 0.15 | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
FBIZ | 23.69 | 24.84 | 0.14 | 5.5% | 12.3% | 2.3% |
FULT | 18.81 | 19.45 | 0.11 | 4.0% | 8.7% | 2.3% |
FNB | 14.47 | 14.76 | 0.12 | 2.8% | 6.8% | 3.3% |
MSBI | 32.96 | 32.49 | 0.22 | -0.7% | 0.0% | 3.0% |
NRIM | 37.47 | 35.65 | 0.45 | -3.6% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
PACW | 48.30 | 54.12 | 0.50 | 13.1% | 7.4% | 3.7% |
SONA | 17.13 | 16.33 | 0.08 | -4.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% |
WNEB | 10.88 | 10.65 | 0.04 | -1.7% | -2.3% | 1.6% |
Total | 2.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
After after a slow start, they are up 4.7% this year. Nothing magical about these names, I wanted a basket as I have no way of knowing which are "better" in this space.
Miscellaneous
Hey, finally a good week here. Up 5%. Hopefully more to follow. It might have been great except for crappy earnings by GCAP this week. That was not a smart buy by me. I bought as a pick-axe play of Crypto, but that is clearly not playing out as reading their transcript illuminated. I started to sell some this week, but still have more to sell.
But EXXI, SELB and FUNC were all up over 10%. FUNC is another small bank (very small in fact) that announced they are reinstating their dividend. Woo-hoo! Oh even OMER was up 13%. Just another 70% and I am there!
When I finish selling GCAP. I am not sure what I will do: (1) keep the cash, (2) move to add dividend stocks like AXS or add to a Misc position. You'll have to stay tuned to find out.
Finally, my miners are also part of Misc. They continue to struggle though I did read a bullish article by Macrotourist that gives gold a glimmer (get it) of hope.
I think that is it (c'est tout). Love that HS French. Thanks for reading.
Miner | Start | Current | Change | 2018 Change |
TORXF | 9.90 | 7.12 | -28.1% | -25.1% |
SAND | 4.48 | 4.62 | 3.1% | -7.4% |
NSU | 2.38 | 2.35 | -1.3% | -3.7% |
KLDX | 2.41 | 1.41 | -41.5% | -46.0% |
KL | 14.49 | 15.57 | 7.5% | 1.4% |
GSS | 0.87 | 0.66 | -24.2% | -26.2% |
FSM | 4.24 | 4.71 | 11.1% | -9.8% |
EXK | 2.14 | 2.46 | 15.0% | 2.9% |
BTG | 2.61 | 2.90 | 11.1% | -6.5% |
EGO | 1.18 | 1.11 | -5.9% | -22.4% |
Total | -5.3% | -14.3% |
1 comment:
Really good article on KNOP in SA today. I encourage people looking for a 10% yield that seems pretty well covered in an industry that is growing with relatively few competitors to read.
A 10% Yield On Qualified Dividends, With Strong Coverage, Record Earnings, And No K-1
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