Tuesday, February 05, 2019

Next Tranche

Next Tranche

Now that my February MFI Select tranche is bought and running, I thought I'd take a quick glance at next tranche to have upcoming anniversary.

My 4/1/18 MFI Formula tranche is on deck.


4/3/2018  Start   Current   Dividend   Pct Gain   R3K Gain 
 AMGN  $166.46 $188.31 $3.96 15.5% 6.8%
 VIAB  $29.20 $30.33 $0.60 5.9% 6.8%
 GILD  $72.71 $67.68 $1.14 -5.4% 6.8%
 TUP  $47.32 $27.90 $2.04 -36.7% 6.8%
 EGOV  $13.29 $17.17 $0.24 31.0% 6.8%
 Totals  2.1% 6.8%


I guess the good news is that unlike the tranche (2/1/18) that I just retired at -27.5%, this one is in the green.  It is losing by 4.7 points to the benchmark.  I often harp on the point that to be successful, we need to avoid the stinker stocks that drop by 30% or more.  My MFI Formula has been very successful in that regard.  Only 2 of 70 stock years have dropped 30% or more (VIAB and BKE, both in 2015, a difficult year for MFI).  Sadly, TUP is on the cusp of being number three due to their 27% sell off in January when they slashed their dividend.  We will see if they can bounce back and save this tranche from a loss.

Upcoming Tranche

Obviously way to early to pick my names, but if picking today, here are the stocks that would qualify:


Ticker Market Cap Price Dividend Yield
HRB                 4,855         23.86              0.80 4.16%
BKE                    858         17.83              1.00 5.62%
CJREF                    908           4.23              0.56 13.16%
GME                 1,162         11.76              1.53 12.98%
HPQ              35,184         22.74              0.58 2.56%
IPG                 8,725         22.88              0.84 3.67%
KLAC              16,200      107.11              2.82 2.63%
OMC              17,498         78.34              2.40 3.06%
STX              12,985         45.18              2.53 5.60%
TGNA                 2,425         11.52              0.28 2.42%
VIAB              11,871         30.24              0.80 2.66%

The CJREF yield Yahoo provides is wrong, but it would still qualify.  A lot of familiar names/faces.  That is a recurring theme with MFI Formula.  Sometimes that is good, but sometimes (like when TUP or GME crash) it isn't so much fun.

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