Tuesday, February 19, 2019

Despicable Stocks

Despicable Stocks

I just ran my MFI Formula Screen against top 50  over $200m.  This then filters that list so you only get stocks with a dividend yield > 2.4% and market cap greater than $800m.  Here is filtered list:


Ticker Market Cap Price Dividend Yield
MO              91,485         48.74              3.00 6.16%
BBY              16,369         60.18              0.80 2.99%
HRB                 4,953         24.10              0.99 4.11%
BKE                    866         17.66              1.00 5.66%
CJREF                    954           4.50              0.24 5.33%
GME                 1,168         11.43              1.52 13.30%
HPQ              36,323         23.28              0.58 2.48%
KLAC              16,376      108.19              3.00 2.77%
STX              12,878         45.71              2.52 5.51%
VGR                 1,676         11.88              1.56 13.15%
VIAB              11,750         29.15              0.80 2.74%


I gotta tell you.  When I look at these 11 names, I am very unexcited.  If I were bringing my biases to the table, there are not many names here I'd buy.

MO - just seems tobacco is out.  Vaping is growing.  Weed is growing.  These firms have a lot of debt.  I don't know.

BBY - retail just in continuously under fire.

HRB - one of better looking names to me.  I guess fear is that new tax laws are "simpler" so fewer will use HRB.  Also, definitely subject to disruption.

BKE - see BBY.

CJREF - TV broadcasting.  Looks ok but this is another area under direct attack with rise of you Tube, Netflix etc.

GME - probably worse retail than BKE and BBY.  Seems dividend cut is imminent.

HPQ - maybe one of better options.

KLAC - a lot of people think we're in down cycle for semi manufacturers. But again, looks like one of better options to me.

STX - ok with this, I guess Tech is my investment of choice.

VGR - see MO, but perhaps even more at risk.  I could see a dividend cut here.

VIAB - under attack like CJREF (do kids still watch Nickelodeon?).  But, still a top 5 on this list for me.

So 6 names here I'd be cautiously optimistic about.  One or two I just really would not want to buy for fear of dividend cut.

We will see how things change by 4/1.

3 comments:

Unknown said...

If stocks like KLAC appear on the MFI list: never hesitate to buy. They are market leader (80% share) in their domain.

Unknown said...

Kraft Heinz: another +5% dividend yield company slashing its dividend. Result: -20%

Unknown said...

I like KLAC for their low exposure to China. I'm very very short BBY puts. BBY is a great MN company and I pray for their sucess. However, I just don't see how they can suceed against the behemoths. Be happy if I am wrong eh?