Well, under a month to go for my April 1st, 2018 MFI formula tranche. As a reminder to my gentle readers, I have 4 real $ "MFI Formula" tranches, which I buy and hold for a year. This approach is a subset/filtering of the official MFI approach. It has worked reasonably well since I started in October 2014 (reasonably well meaning I am beating the market).
Here are the 5 stocks in the tranche:
| 4/3/2018 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| AMGN | $166.46 | $191.16 | $5.28 | 18.0% | 9.8% |
| VIAB | $29.20 | $29.45 | $0.60 | 2.9% | 9.8% |
| GILD | $72.71 | $66.01 | $1.71 | -6.9% | 9.8% |
| TUP | $47.32 | $29.36 | $2.04 | -33.6% | 9.8% |
| EGOV | $13.29 | $17.05 | $0.24 | 30.1% | 9.8% |
| Totals | 2.1% | 9.8% |
So while my MFI Formula approach is beating the benchmark, you can see this specific tranche is not. Obviously, TUP, aka "company that recently sliced dividend by 50%" is the albatross. We will see where we stand in a month.
As people may remember, I use a random number generator to pick the five stocks from the filtered list. Sadly, Mr Random was not so kind to me. The 8 stocks I didn't pick are up 12% (lead by NTRI at +60% and TGNA up 37%).
Upcoming Tranche
Always exciting to see what names might be in the random number hopper next month. I ran my filters on the initial top 50 list:
| Ticker | Market Cap | Price | Dividend | Yield |
| ACOR | 717 | 15.08 | - | 0.00% |
| AEIS | 1,952 | 51.15 | - | 0.00% |
| ALSN | 6,191 | 48.94 | 0.60 | 1.23% |
| AMAT | 36,609 | 38.56 | 0.80 | 2.07% |
| AGX | 725 | 46.57 | 1.00 | 2.15% |
| AKG | 153 | 0.68 | - | 0.00% |
| HRB | 4,961 | 24.14 | 0.99 | 4.10% |
| BPT | 575 | 26.86 | 0.80 | 18.86% |
| BKE | 958 | 19.55 | 1.00 | 5.12% |
| CELG | 60,189 | 85.96 | - | 0.00% |
| CTRA | 608 | 61.41 | - | 0.00% |
| DHX | 144 | 2.69 | - | 0.00% |
| DXC | 18,163 | 67.27 | 0.75 | 1.11% |
| FTSI | 1,127 | 10.30 | - | 0.00% |
| GME | 1,201 | 11.75 | 1.52 | 12.94% |
| GILD | 84,625 | 66.01 | 2.28 | 3.45% |
| EAF | 4,134 | 14.23 | 0.32 | 2.25% |
| HSII | 820 | 43.27 | 0.52 | 1.20% |
| HPQ | 29,949 | 19.60 | 0.58 | 2.95% |
| IDT | 145 | 6.11 | 0.18 | 2.95% |
| IMMR | 274 | 8.90 | - | 0.00% |
| INVA | 1,736 | 15.33 | - | 0.00% |
| KLAC | 17,525 | 115.78 | 3.00 | 2.59% |
| LRCX | 28,431 | 176.75 | 3.80 | 2.15% |
| LGORF | 917 | 1.75 | - | 0.00% |
| LEE | 182 | 3.15 | - | 0.00% |
| LTRPA | 1,121 | 14.94 | - | 0.00% |
| TUSK | 1,051 | 23.48 | 0.38 | 1.60% |
| MCFT | 460 | 24.55 | - | 0.00% |
| MD | 2,881 | 32.81 | - | 0.00% |
| MSB | 386 | 29.42 | 3.00 | 10.20% |
| MSGN | 1,811 | 24.19 | - | 0.00% |
| NHTC | 148 | 13.02 | 0.58 | 4.45% |
| NKTR | 6,607 | 38.13 | - | 0.00% |
| EGOV | 1,118 | 17.05 | 0.32 | 1.88% |
| OMC | 17,231 | 76.72 | 2.40 | 3.13% |
| PETS | 483 | 23.38 | 1.06 | 4.53% |
| STX | 13,059 | 46.35 | 2.52 | 5.44% |
| SIGA | 531 | 6.61 | - | 0.00% |
| SGH | 647 | 28.38 | - | 0.00% |
| STRL | 398 | 14.70 | - | 0.00% |
| SYX | 799 | 21.42 | 0.44 | 2.05% |
| TVTY | 863 | 21.02 | - | 0.00% |
| HEAR | 215 | 15.08 | - | 0.00% |
| UIS | 697 | 13.66 | - | 0.00% |
| UTHR | 5,961 | 126.84 | - | 0.00% |
| USNA | 2,374 | 98.09 | - | 0.00% |
| VEC | 319 | 28.32 | - | 0.00% |
| VIAB | 11,871 | 29.45 | 0.80 | 2.72% |
| WTW | 1,466 | 21.94 | - | 0.00% |
Here are the names post the filter:
| Ticker | Market Cap | Price | Dividend | Yield |
| HRB | 4,961 | 24.14 | 0.99 | 4.10% |
| BKE | 958 | 19.55 | 1.00 | 5.12% |
| GME | 1,201 | 11.75 | 1.52 | 12.94% |
| GILD | 84,625 | 66.01 | 2.28 | 3.45% |
| HPQ | 29,949 | 19.60 | 0.58 | 2.95% |
| KLAC | 17,525 | 115.78 | 3.00 | 2.59% |
| OMC | 17,231 | 76.72 | 2.40 | 3.13% |
| STX | 13,059 | 46.35 | 2.52 | 5.44% |
| VIAB | 11,871 | 29.45 | 0.80 | 2.72% |
I'd have to go back and check, but 9 stocks has to be one of the lowest totals I have seen recently. I do allow myself to wean out one name... I'll probably regret the choice, but GME just seems to toxic to hold until they cut their divvy. I don't want a TUP part 2.
I will definitely be adding funds in the quarter as I move a larger and larger asset allocation to MFI. But I think I'll stay with 5 names (as opposed to MFI Select which I am broadening to 7).
Hmmm, looking at these stocks... I think SYX should be included. I include special dividends and my recollection is they paid one in December. So up to 10!
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