Well, another tranche is done. For my Select Magic Portfolios, that is 16 tranches that have hit their one year anniversary since my Aug 2012 reboot.
As I mentioned earlier, this tranche was a slight loser (90 basis points as UTHR stumbled down the stretch (UTHR was 52% - they finished at 14%). So overall, up 19.1% - hard to complain. Besides tracking against the benchmark, I also like to track against the 5 stocks from a year ago and my rejects.
| Ticker | Start | End | Change |
| XPER | 30.46 | 31.90 | 4.7% |
| CBI | 38.23 | 29.30 | -23.4% |
| PSDV | 2.87 | 1.97 | -31.4% |
| KORS | 50.87 | 38.10 | -25.1% |
| DEPO | 15.51 | 11.35 | -26.8% |
| -20.4% |
Glad I sold those bad boys (though sadly I kept CBI).
Now the rejects were remarkable.
| Ticker | Start | End | Change |
| AAPL | 92.92 | 148.96 | 60.3% |
| LDOS | 35.00 | 54.47 | 55.6% |
| AGX | 33.83 | 69.20 | 104.6% |
| AMAG | 19.85 | 19.10 | -3.8% |
| IQNT | 15.85 | 22.90 | 44.5% |
| 52.2% |
Note that does not include some dividends as well. That would bump another point. Wish I had bought those good boys. In hindsight, AAPL was a screaming buy.
Here are the five stocks I bought:
| 5/6/2016 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| BRCD | $7.97 | $12.57 | $0.17 | 59.8% | 20.0% |
| CBI | $37.82 | $29.30 | $0.28 | -21.8% | 20.0% |
| HSII | $18.51 | $21.65 | $0.52 | 19.8% | 20.0% |
| RHI | $38.51 | $46.91 | $0.90 | 24.1% | 20.0% |
| UTHR | $107.99 | $122.84 | $0.00 | 13.8% | 20.0% |
| Totals | 19.1% | 20.0% |
Ditch CBI and it would have been very good!
All Closed Portfolios
When I hit an anniversary, I like to publish all closed portfolios.
| 8/15/12 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| DLB | $34.43 | $33.04 | $4.00 | 7.6% | 22.1% |
| KFY | $13.98 | $18.95 | $0.00 | 35.6% | 22.1% |
| MSFT | $30.19 | $31.92 | $0.92 | 8.8% | 22.1% |
| NSU | $3.62 | $3.33 | $0.12 | -4.6% | 22.1% |
| UIS | $19.96 | $24.52 | $0.00 | 22.8% | 22.1% |
| Totals | 14.1% | 22.1% | |||
| 11/15/12 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| AAPL | $537.62 | $527.28 | $8.75 | -0.3% | 36.7% |
| ABC | $40.21 | $69.23 | $0.86 | 74.3% | 36.7% |
| LPS | $23.89 | $34.26 | $0.40 | 45.1% | 36.7% |
| VIAB | $49.12 | $80.94 | $1.15 | 67.1% | 36.7% |
| WU | $12.77 | $16.40 | $0.50 | 32.3% | 36.7% |
| Totals | 43.7% | 36.7% | |||
| 2/1/13 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| AAPL | $450.60 | $500.66 | $8.75 | 13.1% | 21.1% |
| GA | $6.10 | $11.01 | $0.65 | 91.2% | 21.1% |
| STRZA | $16.06 | $27.98 | $0.00 | 74.2% | 21.1% |
| CA | $25.07 | $32.08 | $1.00 | 32.0% | 21.1% |
| NUS | $41.94 | $116.59 | $1.20 | 180.8% | 21.1% |
| Totals | 78.3% | 21.1% | |||
| 5/6/2013 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| KLIC | $11.40 | $14.44 | $0.00 | 26.7% | 18.9% |
| CYOU | $29.24 | $28.02 | $0.00 | -4.2% | 18.9% |
| RDA | $9.74 | $16.79 | $0.10 | 73.5% | 18.9% |
| NVDA | $13.85 | $18.43 | $0.32 | 35.4% | 18.9% |
| CF | $183.97 | $243.22 | $2.80 | 33.7% | 18.9% |
| Totals | 33.0% | 18.9% | |||
| 8/15/2013 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| CF | $187.26 | $247.43 | $4.50 | 34.5% | 19.4% |
| FLR | $66.06 | $73.03 | $0.53 | 11.4% | 19.4% |
| AGX | $15.60 | $36.71 | $0.75 | 140.1% | 19.4% |
| KLIC | $11.29 | $14.26 | $0.00 | 26.3% | 19.4% |
| RPXC | $15.92 | $15.09 | $0.00 | -5.2% | 19.4% |
| Totals | 41.4% | 19.4% | |||
| 11/15/13 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| AVG | $17.22 | $19.21 | $0.00 | 11.6% | 14.5% |
| ATVI | $17.71 | $20.10 | $0.20 | 14.6% | 14.5% |
| GA | $9.04 | $11.90 | $0.23 | 34.2% | 14.5% |
| RPXC | $17.04 | $13.91 | $0.00 | -18.4% | 14.5% |
| SYNA | $48.01 | $61.90 | $0.00 | 28.9% | 14.5% |
| Totals | 14.2% | 14.5% | |||
| 2/1/14 Stocks | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| ATVI | $17.13 | $20.90 | $0.20 | 23.1% | 12.9% |
| KLAC | $61.47 | $61.47 | $18.40 | 29.9% | 12.9% |
| RPXC | $16.22 | $12.35 | $0.00 | -23.9% | 12.9% |
| SNDK | $69.55 | $75.91 | $0.83 | 10.3% | 12.9% |
| WNR | $39.11 | $37.13 | $3.04 | 2.7% | 12.9% |
| Totals | 8.5% | 12.9% | |||
| 5/6/2014 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| AVG | $19.57 | $23.27 | $0.00 | 18.9% | 12.9% |
| CA | $29.54 | $31.41 | $1.00 | 9.7% | 12.9% |
| CSCO | $22.79 | $28.89 | $0.78 | 30.2% | 12.9% |
| NSR | $25.82 | $30.69 | $0.00 | 18.9% | 12.9% |
| RCII | $28.78 | $31.77 | $0.94 | 13.7% | 12.9% |
| Totals | 18.3% | 12.9% | |||
| 8/15/2014 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| CSCO | $24.40 | $28.95 | $0.80 | 21.9% | 8.8% |
| AGX | $36.71 | $40.69 | $0.70 | 12.7% | 8.8% |
| ITRN | $21.32 | $25.11 | $0.87 | 21.9% | 8.8% |
| BRCD | $9.34 | $10.15 | $0.15 | 10.3% | 8.8% |
| CBI | $58.25 | $51.70 | $0.21 | -10.9% | 8.8% |
| Totals | 11.2% | 8.8% | |||
| 11/15/2014 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| FLR | $64.80 | $47.46 | $0.84 | -25.5% | 0.8% |
| IPCM | $38.45 | $80.03 | $0.00 | 108.1% | 0.8% |
| VIAB | $72.29 | $50.69 | $1.46 | -27.9% | 0.8% |
| NHTC | $12.19 | $51.46 | $0.06 | 322.6% | 0.8% |
| AWRE | $4.40 | $3.07 | $0.00 | -30.2% | 0.8% |
| Totals | 69.4% | 0.8% | |||
| 2/1/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| VEC | $28.00 | $19.76 | $0.00 | -29.4% | -2.6% |
| QCOM | $62.73 | $45.34 | $1.86 | -24.8% | -2.6% |
| VIAB | $63.91 | $44.90 | $1.53 | -27.4% | -2.6% |
| UIS | $22.03 | $10.87 | $0.00 | -50.7% | -2.6% |
| NHTC | $12.44 | $19.95 | $0.05 | 60.8% | -2.6% |
| Totals | -14.3% | -2.6% | |||
| 5/6/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| CBI | $50.38 | $38.23 | $0.14 | -23.8% | -0.9% |
| PSDV | $4.12 | $2.87 | $0.00 | -30.4% | -0.9% |
| TSRA | $38.94 | $30.46 | $0.80 | -19.7% | -0.9% |
| KORS | $62.24 | $50.87 | $0.00 | -18.3% | -0.9% |
| DEPO | $23.50 | $15.51 | $0.00 | -34.0% | -0.9% |
| Totals | -25.2% | -0.9% | |||
| 8/17/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| VDSI | $18.66 | $17.45 | $0.00 | -6.5% | 5.3% |
| SALE | $9.34 | $11.75 | $0.00 | 25.8% | 5.3% |
| CSCO | $28.95 | $31.20 | $0.94 | 11.0% | 5.3% |
| TGNA | $25.30 | $21.37 | $0.56 | -13.3% | 5.3% |
| HSII | $20.14 | $19.19 | $0.39 | -2.8% | 5.3% |
| Totals | 2.8% | 5.3% | |||
| 11/15/2015 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| LCI | $34.01 | $24.25 | $0.00 | -28.7% | 8.1% |
| SAVE | $34.48 | $53.39 | $0.00 | 54.9% | 8.1% |
| PPC | $18.98 | $19.46 | $2.75 | 17.0% | 8.1% |
| VEC | $23.60 | $22.25 | $0.00 | -5.7% | 8.1% |
| VNCE | $3.99 | $4.10 | $0.00 | 2.8% | 8.1% |
| Totals | 8.0% | 8.1% | |||
| 2/1/2016 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| VEC | $19.64 | $22.54 | $0.00 | 14.8% | 21.4% |
| QCOM | $45.18 | $53.43 | $2.07 | 22.9% | 21.4% |
| PERI | $2.45 | $1.86 | $0.00 | -24.1% | 21.4% |
| DEPO | $15.34 | $18.09 | $0.00 | 17.9% | 21.4% |
| TDC | $24.02 | $29.36 | $0.00 | 22.2% | 21.4% |
| Totals | 10.7% | 21.4% | |||
| 5/6/2016 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| BRCD | $7.97 | $12.57 | $0.17 | 59.8% | 20.0% |
| CBI | $37.82 | $29.30 | $0.28 | -21.8% | 20.0% |
| HSII | $18.51 | $21.65 | $0.52 | 19.8% | 20.0% |
| RHI | $38.51 | $46.91 | $0.90 | 24.1% | 20.0% |
| UTHR | $107.99 | $122.84 | $0.00 | 13.8% | 20.0% |
| Totals | 19.1% | 20.0% |
Ahh, sweet memories.
Now, when I make this switch, I often re-check my formulas. I found a mistake in the comparison between MFI and benchmark. I had not given the August 2016 benchmark credit (up about 11%). Whoops. So I have fixed. Here is the month by month comparison (I fixed 5/1 as well).
| Date | Differential | MFI Value | R3K Value |
| 12/1/2012 | -2.20% | 99,765 | 101,965 |
| 1/1/2013 | -1.78% | 102,798 | 104,575 |
| 2/1/2013 | -2.26% | 102,594 | 104,856 |
| 3/1/2013 | -2.23% | 102,881 | 105,114 |
| 4/1/2013 | -0.43% | 106,804 | 107,234 |
| 5/1/2013 | 2.00% | 110,423 | 108,423 |
| 6/1/2013 | 4.75% | 115,831 | 111,085 |
| 7/1/2013 | 4.29% | 114,888 | 110,597 |
| 8/1/2013 | 6.91% | 124,799 | 117,889 |
| 9/1/2013 | 10.46% | 124,536 | 114,079 |
| 10/1/2013 | 19.67% | 138,655 | 118,990 |
| 11/1/2013 | 19.75% | 143,514 | 123,764 |
| 12/1/2013 | 23.70% | 150,105 | 126,405 |
| 1/1/2014 | 26.63% | 157,138 | 130,503 |
| 2/1/2014 | 24.70% | 150,619 | 125,918 |
| 3/1/2014 | 25.66% | 158,116 | 132,458 |
| 4/1/2014 | 30.38% | 162,991 | 132,616 |
| 5/1/2014 | 29.65% | 162,428 | 132,779 |
| 6/1/2014 | 31.44% | 167,001 | 135,559 |
| 7/1/2014 | 39.23% | 177,971 | 138,740 |
| 8/1/2014 | 31.13% | 167,054 | 135,922 |
| 9/1/2014 | 35.90% | 177,792 | 141,892 |
| 10/1/2014 | 29.38% | 168,321 | 138,944 |
| 11/1/2014 | 26.14% | 168,810 | 142,666 |
| 12/1/2014 | 30.22% | 176,420 | 146,198 |
| 1/1/2015 | 28.17% | 174,306 | 146,140 |
| 2/1/2015 | 20.63% | 162,833 | 142,201 |
| 3/1/2015 | 25.15% | 175,476 | 150,324 |
| 4/1/2015 | 29.95% | 178,565 | 148,612 |
| 5/1/2015 | 37.31% | 186,655 | 149,348 |
| 6/1/2015 | 51.53% | 202,897 | 151,371 |
| 7/1/2015 | 62.69% | 211,437 | 148,743 |
| 8/1/2015 | 40.75% | 192,117 | 151,369 |
| 9/1/2015 | 36.41% | 178,603 | 142,195 |
| 10/1/2015 | 43.12% | 181,175 | 138,052 |
| 11/1/2015 | 69.02% | 217,959 | 148,936 |
| 12/1/2015 | 73.49% | 223,435 | 149,946 |
| 1/1/2016 | 63.33% | 209,514 | 146,186 |
| 2/1/2016 | 49.49% | 187,428 | 137,934 |
| 3/1/2016 | 56.48% | 194,415 | 137,934 |
| 4/1/2016 | 47.34% | 195,770 | 148,430 |
| 5/1/2016 | 46.38% | 194,301 | 147,923 |
| 6/1/2016 | 51.44% | 201,999 | 150,558 |
| 7/1/2016 | 50.41% | 201,092 | 150,680 |
| 8/1/2016 | 52.72% | 207,223 | 154,501 |
| 9/1/2016 | 67.04% | 222,481 | 155,446 |
| 10/1/2016 | 42.98% | 198,563 | 155,582 |
| 11/1/2016 | 41.86% | 195,726 | 153,863 |
| 12/1/2016 | 45.92% | 202,775 | 156,859 |
| 1/1/2017 | 47.19% | 209,503 | 162,313 |
| 2/1/2017 | 47.65% | 212,330 | 164,675 |
| 3/1/2017 | 52.99% | 222,583 | 169,589 |
| 4/1/2017 | 54.43% | 224,094 | 169,663 |
| 5/1/2017 | 55.80% | 231,497 | 175,712 |
| Current | 54.70% | 231,215 | 176,512 |
So my lead is not 60 points (as I posted earlier today) but rather closer to 55 points.
Newest Tranche
Here is my newest tranche:
| 5/6/2017 | Start | Current | Dividend | Pct Gain | R3K Gain |
| WSTC | $24.15 | $24.15 | $0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| TGNA | $25.75 | $25.75 | $0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| TIME | $15.05 | $15.05 | $0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| MSGN | $23.55 | $23.55 | $0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| QCOM | $54.93 | $54.93 | $0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Totals | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Many of these have special circumstances that I find intriguing. WSTC is being rumored to be bought. I have heard prices around $30 and prices around $24. Hopefully $24 is the floor. At this cycle in market, I am ok with stocks with limited downside, yet some upside.
TGNA is spinning of Cars.com later this month. I think that may be a catalyst to unlock some value.
TIME rebuffed bids (rumored to be MDP). I think a chance MDP comes back with higher did (their stock price dropped when TIME announced withdrawal). But even without MDP, I like TIME at $15. They pay a 4%+ dividend and with our new 24 hour reality show that is President Trump, we are getting more eyeballs on CNN & Time magazine.
MSGN has also been rumored to sell themselves post their spinoff from MSG.
Finally, QCOM got pretty beat down with AAPL playing hardball. But I think legally AAPL needs to pay QCOM. And then I love the QCOM purchase of NXPI. That sector (think KLAC) has been on fire since merger was announced yet that is not reflected at all in QCOM.
We'll see - I always like my ideas day 1.
For the record, here are my rejects:
BIIB
DIN
HSII
MCK
SCMP
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