Wednesday, March 08, 2017

April 1st, 2016 Tranche

April 1st, 2016 Tranche

I have  MFI Formula tranche with only about three weeks left.  It has been a solidgroup of 5 stocks, up 19.5% (benchmark is up 17.7%).  I'd like to say that means my formula is working, but my other three open tranches are trailing.

In addition, Mr Random was nice to me. The 7 stocks I did not pick are just up about 4 points (BKE and PBI off over 30% each).  No one said this would be easy.

Anyhoo, here are the five stocks I DID buy:


 4/1/16 Stocks  Start Current Dividend Pct Gain R3K Gain
 CALM  $51.27 $37.95 $0.44 -25.1% 17.7%
 HPQ  $12.10 $17.32 $0.51 47.3% 17.7%
 TIME  $15.24 $18.75 $0.76 28.0% 17.7%
 ILG  $13.85 $18.30 $0.36 34.7% 17.7%
 XPER  $30.79 $33.90 $0.80 12.7% 17.7%
 Totals  19.5% 17.7%


CALM was clearly the problem as they suspended their dividend due to low egg prices.  Somehow I think I lost more money on CALM than my family saved on cheaper eggs during the past year.

Looking Forward

I will continue with my plan of more $ into MFI (even though market feels stretched).  It would be about a 40% bump to get to where the January tranche is.  That may be more of a stretch than I want right now. I'll probably go up by 1/3.

If I were picking today, here would be my choices:


Number Ticker Market Cap Price Dividend Yield
1 BBY              13,958         45.10              1.18 2.6%
2 BKE                    883         18.15              1.00 5.5%
3 CA              13,212         32.05              1.02 3.2%
4 CSCO            171,239         34.02              1.16 3.4%
5 GME                 2,531         25.00              1.52 6.1%
6 GILD              90,278         69.70              2.08 3.0%
7 HPQ              29,428         17.32              0.53 3.1%
8 OMC              19,736         85.10              2.20 2.6%
9 PBI                 2,460         13.27              0.75 5.7%
10 RGR                    908         50.55              1.82 3.6%
11 SYNT                 1,484         17.57            14.00 79.7%

I do allow myself the "luxury" of pitching out one stock.  As I have noted before, I am not a fan of retail in today's world.  So BBY, BKE and GME probably would comprise my short list of candidates.  I am stunned BKE is $18.15.  At these prices, I think I would pitch GME out.  But I do not make decision today. Three weeks can be a lifetime.

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